Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the rising prices of precious metals, particularly gold, driven by increasing risk aversion and weakening dollar credit, with a long-term bullish outlook on gold prices due to ongoing U.S. debt issues and growing demand for gold investments [1] Group 1: Precious Metals Market - Risk aversion has intensified, leading to a surge in precious metal prices, particularly gold [1] - The trend of weakening dollar credit is accelerating in the short term, supporting the rise in gold prices [1] - Central bank gold purchases and increasing investment demand are expected to sustain upward pressure on precious metal prices [1] Group 2: Long-term Outlook - The macroeconomic uncertainties abroad continue to amplify gold's safe-haven attributes in the medium term [1] - The weakening dollar credit narrative has become clearer since Trump's administration, enhancing gold's monetary properties [1] - A long-term bullish outlook on gold prices is maintained, with expectations for a continued upward movement in the price center [1] Group 3: Investment Strategies - Investors are encouraged to consider participating in gold investments during subsequent price corrections and to accumulate positions gradually [1] - Direct investment in physical gold and tax-exempt gold ETFs (518800) are recommended, along with gold stock ETFs (517400) that cover the entire gold industry chain [1]

报告同时指出，美元保单需求保持稳健，第三季度同比增长48%，反映在内地保证利率下调后，香港寿 险市场在产品多元性及回报竞争力方面的优势。展望第四季度，小摩预期在销售佣金率调整前，代理及 经纪渠道将共同推动新单业务保持强劲。此外，内地保险公司自2025年9月起下调非分红险保证利率， 可能进一步刺激内地访客对香港保险产品的需求。 智通财经APP获悉，摩根大通发布研报称，香港寿险业在2025年第三季度再次创下新单销售纪录，首年 保费达910亿元，同比大幅增长69%。然而，该行认为虽然销售量创新高，但整体产品结构及业务发展 的健康度不及近期季度，并预期在监管趋紧的背景下，管理增长动能将成为2026年关键。小摩表示， 2026年更偏好中国人寿(02628)及中国平安(02318)，认为其业务增长前景优于其他地区同业。 小摩表示，香港保险业监管局计划自2026年1月起下调前端销售佣金，促使经纪渠道销售贡献显著提 升，第三季度占新单保费比例达35%，同比增加8个百分点。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the insurance sector and highlights a positive long-term outlook despite short-term market pressures [6][37]. Core Insights - The official guidelines for public fund performance benchmarks were released, emphasizing the importance of benchmarks in measuring performance and the responsibilities of fund managers [1][21]. - The insurance sector is expected to benefit from long-term trends such as the migration of deposits and increasing demand for healthcare and retirement products, despite short-term adjustments in the A-share market [4][37]. - The securities sector is experiencing heightened market risk appetite and active trading, benefiting both IT companies and brokerages [4][37]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - The non-bank financial sector, including securities and insurance, experienced varied performance, with the insurance sector showing a slight decline while the securities sector remained active [11]. - The public fund performance benchmark guidelines will take effect on March 1, 2026, with a focus on enhancing the accountability of fund managers and improving the transparency of performance metrics [1][21]. Insurance - The insurance industry is seeing a compound annual growth rate of over 20% in commercial health insurance over the past decade, with over 11,000 medical insurance products available [15]. - The China Insurance Association is working on industry demonstration clauses and drug payment lists to support high-quality development in the sector [15]. - China Pacific Insurance reported a premium income of CNY 258.11 billion for the past 12 months, with a year-on-year growth of 8.08% [17]. Securities - The average daily trading volume for stock funds was CNY 22,757.32 billion, reflecting a 44.37% decrease from the previous week [28]. - The number of IPOs approved was five, with a total fundraising amount of CNY 3.087 billion [28]. - The report highlights the performance of various brokerages, with significant year-on-year growth expected for several firms [24]. Multi-Financial - The Shanghai Futures Exchange is revising its nickel futures business rules to allow for international participation, indicating a move towards greater market integration [35]. - The Guizhou Futures Exchange has adjusted the trading limits and margin requirements for lithium carbonate futures, reflecting ongoing changes in commodity trading [35].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the insurance sector, indicating a positive long-term outlook despite short-term adjustments in the A-share market [4]. Core Insights - The official release of the public fund performance benchmark guidelines emphasizes the importance of benchmarks in measuring performance and enhancing accountability among fund managers [1][20]. - The insurance sector is expected to benefit from long-term trends such as the migration of deposits and increasing demand for healthcare and retirement security, despite short-term pressures on sentiment and funding [4][36]. - The securities sector is experiencing heightened market risk appetite and active trading, with IT companies and brokerages benefiting from improved valuations and performance [4][36]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - The non-bank financial sector, including securities and insurance, experienced varied performance, with the insurance sector showing a decline of 1.45% and the securities sector a slight decrease of 0.34% during the week [10]. - The ten-year government bond yield decreased to 1.8298%, reflecting a slight decline from the previous week [17]. Insurance - The insurance industry is focusing on high-quality development, with a significant emphasis on commercial health insurance, which has seen a compound annual growth rate exceeding 20% over the past decade [14]. - The China Insurance Industry Association is working on industry demonstration clauses and drug payment lists to enhance collaboration between medical, pharmaceutical, and insurance sectors [14]. - China Pacific Insurance reported a total premium income of CNY 258.11 billion for the past year, marking an 8.08% year-on-year increase, driven primarily by the rapid expansion of the bancassurance channel [16]. Securities - The official guidelines for public fund performance benchmarks will take effect on March 1, 2026, establishing clear requirements for benchmark selection and management responsibilities [20][21]. - The report highlights the importance of maintaining a consistent performance benchmark to ensure transparency and accountability in fund management [21]. - The average daily trading volume for stock funds reached CNY 22,757.32 billion, a decrease of 44.37% from the previous week, indicating fluctuations in market activity [27]. Multi-Financial - The Shanghai Futures Exchange is revising its nickel futures business rules to allow for international participation, which may enhance market liquidity and trading opportunities [34]. - The Guizhou Futures Exchange has adjusted the trading limits and margin requirements for lithium carbonate futures, reflecting ongoing developments in the commodities market [34].

Market Overview - Global markets showed mixed performance, with the Hang Seng Index closing at 26,750, up 0.45% year-to-date, while the US Dow Jones fell by 0.58% [1][3] - The Chinese stock market saw gains, particularly in materials, consumer discretionary, and healthcare sectors, while energy and real estate lagged [3] Industry Insights - The Chinese pharmaceutical sector is experiencing a significant upward trend, with the MSCI China Healthcare Index rising 9.2% since early 2026, outperforming the MSCI China Index by 5.6% [4] - The trend of Chinese innovative drugs going overseas continues to gain momentum, with multiple business development (BD) transactions occurring in early 2026, indicating a strong market for overseas licensing [5] - Key transactions include the overseas rights granted by Rongchang Biopharma to AbbVie for RC148 and by Haisika for HSK39004, showcasing the clinical progress of these drugs [5] Company Analysis - China Ping An is projected to see a 12% increase in operating profit to RMB 135.9 billion in 2025, driven by improvements in life and health insurance segments [7] - The new business value (NBV) is expected to grow by 42% year-on-year to RMB 40.4 billion, with a strong performance anticipated in the first quarter of 2026, particularly in the bancassurance channel [8] - The target price for China Ping An has been raised to HKD 90, reflecting adjustments in profit and NBV growth forecasts, with the company currently trading at 0.71 times FY26E P/EV [8]

Market Performance - The micro-cap stock index reached a historical high last week, while large-cap indices like the CSI 300 and SSE 50 experienced adjustments [1] - This morning, large-cap stocks strengthened, with the SSE 50 index rising over 1.8% at its peak, while the micro-cap index and the CSI 2000 index both declined, with the latter down 1.39% [1] - By the close of the morning session, the SSE index rose by 0.12%, while the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index fell by 0.74% and 0.86%, respectively, with total market turnover exceeding 2.26 trillion yuan [3] Sector Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector showed strong performance, particularly in precious metals, with leading stocks like Zijin Mining and China Uranium Industry experiencing significant gains [4] - Several precious metal companies announced profit forecasts for 2025, with Zijin Mining expecting a net profit of 51 to 52 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 59% to 62% [7] - The insurance sector was active, with major companies like New China Life Insurance and China Pacific Insurance seeing collective gains, and New China Life Insurance rising over 4% [9][11] Catalysts for Growth - The rise in gold and silver prices is attributed to geopolitical factors and fluctuations in confidence towards U.S. assets, leading to increased demand for safe-haven assets like gold [7] - Three main catalysts for the non-ferrous metals sector include: 1. Recovery in manufacturing and inventory replenishment cycles, with PMI indicators returning to expansion [8] 2. Long-term demand reshaping due to green and technological trends, particularly in sectors like electric vehicles and renewable energy [8] 3. Liquidity expectations and financial attributes, with a favorable environment for precious metals due to anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [8]

东方金诚研究发展部高级副总监瞿瑞对《证券日报》记者表示，黄金近两日涨势显著，主因当前地缘政治风险反复。往后 看，短期内需警惕投机资金获利了结离场的风险，金价波动将加大。但中长期来看，金价上涨逻辑依然坚实。 图片来源：金投网 本报记者 孟珂 "展望未来，与其他贵金属相比，黄金由于其地缘敏感性、对冲便利性等原因，在当下宽松预期出现阶段性回调的过程中 仍有望得到其他因素的交替支持，看好长期走势。"博时黄金ETF基金经理王祥对《证券日报》记者表示。 截至1月26日记者发稿，现货黄金最高触及5092.71美元/盎司。值得关注的是，高盛公司将2026年国际金价预期值上调至 5400美元/盎司。高盛分析师在最新报告中指出，此次上调理由是那些将黄金作为应对宏观政策风险的对冲工具而购入黄金的 个人投资者，将会在年底之前继续持有这些黄金头寸。 （编辑 孙倩） 平安证券指出，黄金价格震荡上行。长期来看美国债务问题未解，美元信用走弱的主线逻辑持续，央行购金以及黄金投资 需求增长，贵金属价格重心或继续抬升。海外宏观不确定性持续，中期黄金避险属性仍处于放大阶段。长期来看，美元信用走 弱的主线逻辑愈加清晰，黄金货币属性加速凸显，持续看好黄 ...

2026年1月20日，国家金融监督管理总局阜新监管分局发布批复称，《中国平安财产保险股份有限公司 辽宁分公司关于中国平安财产保险股份有限公司彰武县支公司变更营业场所的请示》（平保产辽分发 〔2025〕631号）收悉。经审核，现批复如下： 二、中国平安财产保险股份有限公司彰武县支公司应按照有关规定及时办理变更及许可证换领事宜。 一、同意中国平安财产保险股份有限公司彰武县支公司将营业场所变更为：辽宁省阜新市彰武县彰武镇 丹霍路15#楼15-3门。 ...

报告亦指出，中国平安持续扩展银保渠道，目前已覆盖约1.9万个非平安银行网点。该行认为，在家庭 储户追求稳健收益的趋势下，银保渠道具备进一步渗透的潜力，预计中国平安2025年新业务价值(NBV) 将按年增长41.7%。 招银国际发表研究报告，维持中国平安"买入"评级，对其H股目标价从75港元上调至90港元。以可比基 础计，该行预计中国平安2025年集团税后营业利润按年增长12%至1360亿元，意味着第四季度营业利润 将按年增长约46%。增速加快主要受惠于寿险及健康险业务营业利润强劲增长、资产管理业务减值损失 下降，以及财产保险业务承保利润稳健。 ...

Group 1: Industry Insights - The insurance industry is experiencing continuous improvement on both the liability and asset sides, with significant upward valuation potential remaining [1] - The China Insurance Industry Association held a seminar focusing on the high-quality development of commercial health insurance, highlighting a compound annual growth rate of over 20% in the past decade for commercial health insurance [2] - The Shanghai Financial Regulatory Bureau released an action plan for the high-quality development of pension finance, proposing 20 measures to enhance the pension system and support the pension industry [3] Group 2: Company Developments - Major insurance companies, including China Life and PICC, have established specialized health management subsidiaries to create a comprehensive health and wellness service ecosystem [4] - The establishment of health management companies is expected to accelerate the pace of insurance institutions' layout in the health and wellness sector, leveraging policy guidance to develop a second growth curve through the "insurance products + health services" model [4]