中长期看，黄金价格中枢仍有望上行，投资者或可考虑后续回调参与、逢低分批布局。关注直接投 资实物黄金，免征增值税的黄金基金ETF（518800），覆盖黄金全产业链股票的黄金票ETF （517400）。 注：如提及个股仅供参考，不代表投资建议。指数/基金短期涨跌幅及历史表现仅供分析参考，不 预示未来表现。市场观点随市场环境变化而变动，不构成任何投资建议或承诺。文中提及指数仅供参 考，不构成任何投资建议，也不构成对基金业绩的预测和保证。如需购买相关基金产品，请选择与风险 等级相匹配的产品。基金有风险，投资需谨慎。 中信期货表示，近期多位美联储官员支持12月再次降息，推动市场对美联储宽松政策的预期上升。 然而，由于关键经济数据推迟发布，美联储在12月会议前面临数据真空期，导致政策倾向更加温和保 守，市场对降息预期摇摆不定。美元从前期高位进入整理阶段，反映出市场在降息预期、资产估值压力 和流动性边际收紧之间寻求新的平衡。地缘政治风险溢价、央行购金稳定等因素支撑金价。预计短期内 贵金属将继续区间震荡，但随着关键经济数据的公布，市场可能重新评估美联储路径和美元利率水平， 从而引发更明确的方向性波动。 【免责声明】本文仅代表 ...

中长期看，黄金价格中枢仍有望上行，投资者或可考虑后续回调参与、逢低分批布局。关注直接投 资实物黄金，免征增值税的黄金基金ETF（518800），覆盖黄金全产业链股票的黄金股票ETF （517400）。 注：如提及个股仅供参考，不代表投资建议。指数/基金短期涨跌幅及历史表现仅供分析参考，不 预示未来表现。市场观点随市场环境变化而变动，不构成任何投资建议或承诺。文中提及指数仅供参 考，不构成任何投资建议，也不构成对基金业绩的预测和保证。如需购买相关基金产品，请选择与风险 等级相匹配的产品。基金有风险，投资需谨慎。 中信建投指出，黄金、白银和铜的VIX下降，原油的VIX抬升。经济偏弱、市场波动增加、物价波 动增加、地缘政治威胁指数抬升，中长期依然看多黄金。历史上黄金与美元指数负相关，黄金与美国实 际利率负相关；近期美元指数抬升、实际利率抬升。地缘政治威胁指数抬升、黄金总需求抬升，助推黄 金价格。 每日经济新闻 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news ...

Market Overview - The market experienced a significant rebound today, with the ChiNext Index rising nearly 2% and the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 0.87% [1] - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.81 trillion, an increase of 84.4 billion compared to the previous trading day [1] AI Sector - The AI hardware and application sectors saw a resurgence, while the breeding and military industries weakened [1] - The semiconductor chip sector performed well, likely influenced by the overnight rebound in US stocks [3] - Companies like Amazon, Google, Meta, and Oracle have issued a total of $90 billion in bonds since September, indicating a high demand for financing to support their computing infrastructure [3] - The discussion around AI investment returns is expected to persist, leading to increased volatility in the sector, but the overall industry trend remains positive [3] Investment Recommendations - Investors are advised to focus on the AI investment theme and consider products like communication ETFs (515880) and semiconductor equipment ETFs (159516) for exposure to the AI computing industry [3][6] - The gaming sector continues to show strength, with the gaming ETF (516010) rising by 4.14% [8] - The media sector is expected to recover due to ongoing AI industrialization and IP commercialization, with recommendations to consider gaming ETF (516010) and film ETF (516620) [9] Gold and Lithium Markets - The metal sector performed well, with various ETFs showing positive growth, particularly in gold and lithium [10] - The gold market is influenced by expectations of the December FOMC interest rate and the US economic fundamentals, with a long-term bullish outlook due to factors like the Fed's potential rate cuts [10] - The lithium market is experiencing a slight recovery after a previous surge, with supply constraints and high demand in the lithium battery sector [10]

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a slight stabilization today, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.05% to 3836.77 points and the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 0.37% to 12585.08 points, amidst a total trading volume of 1.7 trillion yuan [1] - The military and media sectors led the market, while the dividend style saw a pullback, indicating a recent adjustment phase influenced by external economic pressures and high valuations [1] Gaming Sector - The gaming sector showed strength today, with the gaming ETF (516010) rising by 3.15%, recovering from last week's losses, indicating a "post-pullback offensive window" for investment [3] - In Q3 2025, the gaming industry's revenue reached 30.362 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 28.6% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 9.48%, with profits growing by 112% to 5.777 billion yuan, reflecting strong profitability and continued industry momentum [3] - AI's impact on cost reduction is significant, with management expense ratios decreasing from 10% in Q1 2023 to 7% in Q3 2025, and R&D expense ratios dropping from 12% to 11% in the same period, enhancing profit margins [3] Media and Internet Sector - In Q3 2025, public funds increased their holdings in the media and internet sector, with the market value proportion rising to 2.50%, and the gaming sub-sector's allocation increasing to 1.68%, indicating a positive outlook for valuation and liquidity recovery [4] - The gaming industry remains resilient due to high fundamental growth, ongoing AI cost reduction trends, and a favorable supply of game licenses, suggesting improved investment opportunities [4] Hong Kong Market - The Hong Kong market rebounded significantly, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 1.97% to 25716.50 points, and the Hang Seng Tech Index increasing by 2.78% to 5545.56 points, indicating a systemic recovery in the internet sector [6] - Despite recent volatility due to hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve and concerns over AI valuations, there is potential for marginal improvement in risk appetite following upcoming policy meetings [6][5] Gold and Innovation Drug Sectors - The gold ETF (518800) saw a slight increase of 0.31%, supported by fluctuating interest rate expectations and geopolitical tensions, which have bolstered safe-haven demand [6] - The innovation drug sector reported a revenue of 48.56 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 21.41%, with a significant reduction in net profit losses, indicating a positive trend in the industry [8] - The establishment of a commercial insurance directory for innovative drugs is expected to create a potential funding pool of approximately 20 billion yuan, enhancing the financial landscape for the sector [8]

注：如提及个股仅供参考，不代表投资建议。指数/基金短期涨跌幅及历史表现仅供分析参考，不预示 未来表现。市场观点随市场环境变化而变动，不构成任何投资建议或承诺。文中提及指数仅供参考，不 构成任何投资建议，也不构成对基金业绩的预测和保证。如需购买相关基金产品，请选择与风险等级相 匹配的产品。基金有风险，投资需谨慎。 平安证券指出，黄金市场受降息预期摇摆影响呈现震荡走势，短期金价或因预期不明朗维持较强震荡。 长期来看，美国债务问题未解，美元信用走弱的主线逻辑持续，叠加央行购金及黄金投资需求增长，贵 金属价格重心或继续上移。海外宏观不确定性延续，中期黄金避险属性仍处于放大阶段；长期特朗普上 任后，美元信用走弱趋势愈加清晰，黄金货币属性加速凸显，持续看好黄金中长期走势。 中长期看，黄金价格中枢仍有望上行，投资者或可考虑后续回调参与、逢低分批布局。关注直接投资实 物黄金，免征增值税的黄金基金ETF（518800），覆盖黄金全产业链股票的黄金票ETF（517400）。 ...

注：如提及个股仅供参考，不代表投资建议。指数/基金短期涨跌幅及历史表现仅供分析参考，不 预示未来表现。市场观点随市场环境变化而变动，不构成任何投资建议或承诺。文中提及指数仅供参 考，不构成任何投资建议，也不构成对基金业绩的预测和保证。如需购买相关基金产品，请选择与风险 等级相匹配的产品。基金有风险，投资需谨慎。 每日经济新闻 美国披露9月非农数据，资金持续布局黄金，黄金基金ETF（518800）连续10日净流入超17亿元 平安证券指出，美国披露9月非农数据，继7、8月的非农显著走弱后，9月新增非农就业人数超预期 回升，但失业率同步上行。基于10、11月非农将于12月FOMC之后公布，美联储数据依赖的风格进一步 降低12月降息概率，但停摆造成的负向冲击下，远期降息预期仍然乐观。 中长期看，黄金价格中枢仍有望上行，投资者或可考虑后续回调参与、逢低分批布局。关注直接投 资实物黄金，免征增值税的黄金基金ETF（518800），覆盖黄金全产业链股票的黄金股票ETF （517400）。 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何 ...

注：如提及个股仅供参考，不代表投资建议。指数/基金短期涨跌幅及历史表现仅供分析参考，不预示 未来表现。市场观点随市场环境变化而变动，不构成任何投资建议或承诺。文中提及指数仅供参考，不 构成任何投资建议，也不构成对基金业绩的预测和保证。如需购买相关基金产品，请选择与风险等级相 匹配的产品。基金有风险，投资需谨慎。 每日经济新闻 国泰海通指出，美国流动性危机缓解，黄金短期压制因素解除。随着美国政府停摆结束，美国财政部账 户余额预期下降，市场流动性缓解后，黄金的短期压制因素解除。中期来看，美联储的降息、停止缩表 等政策路径将主导黄金走势，虽然2025年12月降息幅度及2026年降息路径仍存不确定性，但美国降息趋 势不变，金价中期存在支撑。此外，美联储主席换届进程可能影响市场对2026年政策的预期，当前候选 人偏"鸽派"或进一步支撑金价。长期来看，去美元化背景下，各国央行持续购金（2022-2024年每年净 购超1000吨），黄金作为金属货币的地位上升，叠加美国降息周期带来的弱势美元，黄金中长期价格具 备支撑。 中长期看，黄金价格中枢仍有望上行，投资者或可考虑后续回调参与、逢低分批布局。关注直接投资实 物黄金，免征增 ...

平安证券指出，黄金现货价格受短期预期波动影响呈现震荡，但中长期走势看好。美国政府结束"停 摆"后财政扩张预期抬升，金价周内上行，但市场对美联储降息节奏的担忧导致周五夜盘价格下挫。长 期来看，美国债务问题未解，美元信用走弱的主线逻辑持续，黄金的货币属性处于抬升趋势。海外宏观 不确定性持续，中期黄金避险属性仍处于放大阶段，黄金中长期走势值得期待。 注：如提及个股仅供参考，不代表投资建议。指数/基金短期涨跌幅及历史表现仅供分析参考，不预示 未来表现。市场观点随市场环境变化而变动，不构成任何投资建议或承诺。文中提及指数仅供参考，不 构成任何投资建议，也不构成对基金业绩的预测和保证。如需购买相关基金产品，请选择与风险等级相 匹配的产品。基金有风险，投资需谨慎。 每日经济新闻 中长期看，黄金价格中枢仍有望上行，投资者或可考虑后续回调参与、逢低分批布局。关注直接投资实 物黄金，免征增值税的黄金基金ETF（518800），覆盖黄金全产业链股票的黄金股票ETF（517400）。 ...

11月19日黄金股票ETF（517400）大涨4.55%，黄金近两天实现V转，伦敦现货黄金价格重返4100美元/ 盎司。此前由于市场对美联储12月降息预期降温以及获利盘止盈等因素出现技术性调整，但从中长期看 美元上涨的核心驱动因素仍未改变。 货币超发及财政赤字货币化背景下，美元信用体系受到挑战；美国政府仍然面临多重问题，宏观环境也 存在不确定性；全球地缘动荡频发推动资产储备多元化，黄金作为安全资产的需求持续提升。摩根大通 报告数据显示，2025年第三季度，全球央行净购金总量达到220吨，环比增长30%；中国央行公布最新 黄金储备数据显示，10月末黄金储备7409万盎司，环比继续增加约3万盎司，为中国央行连续第十二个 月增持黄金。 驱动黄金价格上涨的核心要素并未根本改变，中长期"美联储开启降息周期+海外宏观政策不确定性加 剧+全球去美元化趋势"对于金价构成一定支撑。中金公司认为，本轮黄金行情的涨幅与持续时间，仍 低于上世纪70年代和2000年代两轮主要上涨周期，若当前趋势延续，不排除金价明年突破5000美元/盎 司的可能。 聚焦黄金板块的投资者可以关注黄金基金ETF（518800）和黄金股票ETF（517400 ...

Core Viewpoint - Central banks' continuous gold purchases are driven by the ongoing trend of de-dollarization, which is expected to support long-term gold price increases [1] Summary by Relevant Sections Central Bank Gold Purchases - According to Cathay Securities, global central banks have net purchased over 1,000 tons of gold for three consecutive years from 2022 to 2024, with net purchases of 1,080 tons, 1,050.8 tons, and 1,089.4 tons respectively, each exceeding 20% of the total global gold demand for those years [1] Long-term Gold Price Outlook - The expectation is that central banks will continue to purchase gold in the context of de-dollarization, which is likely to support the long-term upward trend of gold prices [1] Investment Recommendations - Investors are advised to consider participating in gold investments during subsequent price corrections, with a focus on direct investment in physical gold and tax-exempt gold ETF (518800), as well as gold stock ETFs covering the entire gold industry chain (517400) [1]