Core Insights - The passenger car market in China showed strong performance in September 2025, with record highs in retail, export, wholesale, and production, particularly in the new energy vehicle (NEV) sector [1][2][5] Retail Performance - In September, the retail sales of passenger cars reached 2.241 million units, a year-on-year increase of 6.3% and a month-on-month increase of 11.0% [2][4] - Cumulative retail sales from January to September reached 17.005 million units, reflecting a 9.2% year-on-year growth [2][4] - The retail penetration rate of NEVs in September was 57.8%, with a notable increase in the share of domestic brands [12][14] Export Trends - In September, the total export of passenger cars was 528,000 units, marking a year-on-year increase of 20.7% [5][15] - NEVs accounted for 40.1% of total exports, with a significant year-on-year increase of 15 percentage points [5][15] - The export of domestic brands reached 463,000 units, a year-on-year growth of 27% [5][15] Production Insights - Passenger car production in September was 2.838 million units, a year-on-year increase of 17.2% [5][6] - Cumulative production from January to September reached 20.78 million units, reflecting a 13.9% year-on-year growth [5][6] Wholesale Data - In September, wholesale sales of passenger cars reached 2.803 million units, a year-on-year increase of 12.4% [6][12] - The wholesale penetration rate of NEVs was 53.5%, with domestic brands leading at 68.3% [12][15] New Energy Vehicle (NEV) Performance - NEV production in September reached 1.501 million units, a year-on-year increase of 22.9% [8][9] - NEV wholesale sales were 1.500 million units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 22.4% [9][12] - The cumulative retail of NEVs from January to September was 8.866 million units, a growth of 24.4% [9][12] Brand Performance - In September, domestic brands achieved retail sales of 1.5 million units, a year-on-year increase of 13% [4][17] - The market share of domestic brands in the retail sector reached 66.9%, up 3.6 percentage points year-on-year [4][17] - New energy brands like BYD, Geely, and Chery showed strong performance in both retail and wholesale segments [16][17] Market Dynamics - The market is transitioning towards a more stable environment with reduced price wars and moderate promotional activities [3][4] - The competitive landscape is evolving, with emerging brands gaining market share and traditional brands adapting to new trends [16][17]

Core Insights - The automotive sector showed a slight year-on-year increase in passenger car sales, with a total of 653,000 units sold in the fourth week of September 2025, reflecting a 1.5% increase year-on-year and a 26.6% increase month-on-month [1][2] - New energy vehicle (NEV) sales reached 371,000 units, marking a 13.8% year-on-year increase and a 23.6% month-on-month increase, with a penetration rate of 56.9%, which is a decrease of 1.4 percentage points from the previous month [1][2] - The A-share automotive sector underperformed the market, declining by 0.9% during the week of October 9-10, 2025, ranking 26th among Shenwan sub-industries, while the CSI 300 index increased by 0.2% [1][2] Weekly Data - Passenger car sales for the week of September 22-28, 2025, totaled 653,000 units, with a year-on-year increase of 1.5% and a month-on-month increase of 26.6% [2] - NEV sales for the same week were 371,000 units, showing a year-on-year increase of 13.8% and a month-on-month increase of 23.6% [2] - NEV penetration rate was recorded at 56.9%, down 1.4 percentage points from the previous month [2] Market Performance - The automotive sector's performance was weaker than the overall market, with a decline of 0.9% in A-shares during the week of October 9-10, 2025 [1][2] - Among sub-sectors, commercial passenger vehicles and automotive services saw increases of 1.6% and 1.2%, respectively, while motorcycles and others, commercial freight vehicles, passenger cars, and automotive parts experienced declines of 0.8%, 1.3%, 1.4%, and 1.4% [1][2] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on key companies such as Geely Automobile, Xpeng Motors, Li Auto, BYD, Xiaomi Group, Bertley, Top Group, Xinquan Co., Hu Guang Co., and Chunfeng Power for investment opportunities in the passenger car segment [2] - In the automotive parts sector, recommendations include companies involved in intelligent driving and smart cockpits, as well as those in the new energy vehicle supply chain [5]

Sales Performance - In August, the total passenger car sales reached 1.985 million units, a year-on-year increase of 0.7% and a month-on-month increase of 7.7% [4] - The new energy vehicle (NEV) market saw sales of approximately 1.096 million units, a year-on-year increase of 8.3% and a month-on-month increase of 12.4%, significantly outperforming the overall market [4] - NEVs accounted for 55.2% of total passenger car sales in August, an increase of 2.2% from the previous month and up 3.9% year-on-year [4] New Energy Market Performance - In August, pure electric vehicle sales were approximately 704,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 20.6% and a month-on-month increase of 15.3% [9] - Plug-in hybrid sales were about 393,000 units, showing a year-on-year decline of 8.4% but a month-on-month increase of 7.5% [9] - Cumulative NEV sales reached 7.347 million units by 2025, with a cumulative year-on-year increase of 24.0% [9] Top Cities for NEV Sales - The top 10 cities accounted for 26.0% of NEV sales, an increase of 0.5% from the previous month [10] - The top three cities for NEV sales were Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Chengdu, with Tianjin replacing Ningbo in the top ten [10] - NEV penetration rates in the top 10 cities exceeded 50%, with Shenzhen leading at 65.2%, followed by Wuhan at 64.8% and Chongqing at 63.4% [10] Pure Electric Market Analysis - The top three segments in the pure electric market were B-SUV (17.0%), A0 class (16.8%), and A00 class (13.0%) [15] - The B-SUV and D-SUV market shares increased by 2.0% and 1.4% respectively, while the A-SUV market share decreased by 2.3% [15] - The C-SUV market share expanded from 3.0% to 6.6% year-on-year, with other segments showing relatively minor changes [15] User Ownership Analysis - In August, personal users accounted for 86.8% of the pure electric market, a year-on-year increase of 27.2%, while unit users accounted for 5.8%, a year-on-year decline of 5.4% [16] - Cumulatively, personal users made up 85.6% of the pure electric market, while unit users accounted for 6.3% [16] Industry Dynamics - Significant events in the NEV sector included the expansion of electronic and electrical architecture technology cooperation between XPeng Motors and Volkswagen Group [20] - GAC Group launched the "Star Source Range Extender" technology, marking its return to the range extender market after over a decade [22] - Geely released the industry's first AI cockpit, indicating a shift towards AI-driven automotive technology [24] Policy and Industry Trends - The State Council issued opinions on the implementation of "Artificial Intelligence +" actions, promoting the integration of AI across various sectors, including the automotive industry [25][29] - The focus on smart connected vehicles and intelligent manufacturing is expected to drive the transformation of the automotive industry towards greater intelligence and connectivity [29]

Overall Market Summary - In September 2025, the retail sales of passenger cars reached 2.241 million units, a year-on-year increase of 6.3% and a month-on-month increase of 11.0%. Cumulative retail sales for the year reached 17.005 million units, up 9.2% year-on-year [13][15][16] - The production of passenger cars in September was 2.838 million units, a year-on-year increase of 17.2% and a month-on-month increase of 15.7%. Cumulative production for the year was 20.78 million units, up 13.9% year-on-year [17][18] - The wholesale volume for September was 2.803 million units, marking a historical high for the month, with a year-on-year increase of 12.4% and a month-on-month increase of 13.0% [18] New Energy Market Summary - In September 2025, the production of new energy vehicles (NEVs) reached 1.501 million units, a year-on-year increase of 22.9% and a month-on-month increase of 17.5%. Cumulative production for the year was 10.376 million units, up 32.2% year-on-year [19] - The wholesale volume of NEVs in September was 1.500 million units, a year-on-year increase of 22.4% and a month-on-month increase of 15.9%. Cumulative wholesale for the year reached 10.444 million units, up 31.9% year-on-year [19] - The retail sales of NEVs in September were 1.296 million units, a year-on-year increase of 15.5% and a month-on-month increase of 16.2%. Cumulative retail for the year was 886.6 thousand units, up 24.4% year-on-year [19] Export Performance - In September, the export of passenger cars reached 528,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 20.7% and a month-on-month increase of 5.7%. Cumulative exports for the year were 3.999 million units, up 12.5% year-on-year [17] - NEVs accounted for 40.1% of total exports in September, a year-on-year increase of 15 percentage points. The export of NEVs reached 211,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 96.5% [24][17] Market Trends and Insights - The market is experiencing a shift towards stable pricing and reduced promotional activities, with 23 models seeing price cuts in September, compared to 36 last year [13][15] - The penetration rate of NEVs in the domestic market reached 57.8% in September, with a notable increase in the share of domestic brands [23][19] - The competitive landscape is evolving, with significant growth in domestic brands, particularly in the NEV segment, where brands like BYD and Geely are leading [27][26] Inventory and Production Dynamics - The overall industry inventory increased by 70,000 units in September, indicating a proactive approach by manufacturers to build inventory [19] - The production of luxury brands increased by 7% year-on-year, while domestic brands saw a 21% increase, reflecting strong demand [17][19] Future Outlook - The market is expected to maintain a "front low, middle high, back flat" trend, with a focus on new energy vehicles driving growth [15][29] - The upcoming months may see a more moderate growth rate due to seasonal factors and changes in consumer purchasing behavior [29][30]

ab 9 October 2025 Tesla rolled out lower-cost Model 3/Y Tesla introduced a more affordable version of its Model 3/Y SUV priced at US$36,990/US $39,990, featuring simplified interiors and exteriors, fewer amenities, and a reduced range. The lower-cost Model 3/Y can be ordered immediately, deliveries are scheduled to begin in November. Production will start at Tesla's US plant first, with manufacturing at the Shanghai plant anticipated to launch in Q126. We believe the launch of the lower- cost Model 3/Y coul ...

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the performance of the power equipment and new energy sectors, noting a general decline in the market, while specific segments like nuclear power and power generation equipment showed positive growth [1][3]. Industry Summary New Energy Vehicles - Anticipated high growth in domestic new energy vehicle sales by 2025 due to new model releases and the sales peak season, driving demand for batteries and materials [2] - In September 2025, major manufacturers reported significant sales increases: Geely sold 273,100 units (up 35% YoY), BYD sold 396,300 units, and XPeng sold 41,600 units (up 95% YoY) [3] - Cumulative wholesale sales of new energy passenger vehicles reached 10.446 million units in the first nine months of the year, a 32% increase YoY [3] Power Generation and Storage - The power equipment and new energy sector saw an overall decline of 2.52%, with specific segments like nuclear power up 6.90%, power generation equipment up 5.77%, and wind power up 3.54% [1][3] - The average price of 2-hour energy storage systems rose by 31% to 0.641 yuan/Wh in September 2025 [4] Photovoltaics - The "anti-involution" strategy remains a key investment theme in the photovoltaic sector, with government announcements aimed at maintaining market price order [2] - The ability of photovoltaic component prices to be transmitted effectively depends on terminal installation demand and the profitability of photovoltaic power stations [2] Hydrogen Energy - The National Energy Administration is advancing green liquid fuel technology and industrialization trials, indicating a developing relationship between green electricity, hydrogen, and green fuels [2] - A new investment project worth 6 billion yuan for a full industry chain in hydrogen production, storage, and methanol synthesis has been approved in Inner Mongolia [4] Nuclear Fusion - Progress in nuclear fusion with the assembly of the first key component of the BEST device, indicating accelerated industrialization [2][4] Company Highlights - Zhongwei Co. is undergoing a listing review by the Hong Kong Stock Exchange and has signed a strategic cooperation framework agreement with Xiamen Xatung New Energy Materials [4] - Huayou Cobalt's subsidiary signed a supply agreement for ternary precursors with LGES, indicating strong partnerships in the battery materials sector [4] - Xian Dao Intelligent and Aikexibo have both released draft plans for restricted stock incentive programs for 2025 [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the electric equipment and new energy industry [1][27]. Core Insights - Significant breakthroughs in solid-state battery technology and advancements in nuclear fusion industrialization are highlighted. The domestic sales of new energy vehicles (NEVs) are expected to maintain high growth, driven by new model releases and the upcoming sales peak, which will boost demand for batteries and materials [1][3]. - The report emphasizes a "anti-involution" strategy for photovoltaic investments, with recent government announcements aimed at maintaining market price order, indicating potential price increases within the photovoltaic industry chain [1][3]. - The new energy storage sector is projected to remain robust, with a target of reaching over 180 million kilowatts of new energy storage capacity by 2027, and recent trends show rising bidding prices for storage systems [1][3]. - In the hydrogen energy sector, the National Energy Administration is promoting green liquid fuel technology, which is expected to benefit from premium pricing in its early development stages [1][3]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - The report notes that in September 2025, NEV wholesale sales reached 1.5 million units, a year-on-year increase of 22% and a month-on-month increase of 16%. Cumulative wholesale sales for the first nine months of the year reached 10.446 million units, up 32% year-on-year [3][16]. - The average price of a 2-hour energy storage system in September 2025 was 0.641 yuan/Wh, reflecting a 31% increase month-on-month [1][16]. - The BEST device's first key component, the Dewar base, has been assembled, marking progress in nuclear fusion projects [1][16]. Company Developments - Huayou Cobalt's subsidiary signed a supply agreement for ternary precursor products totaling approximately 76,000 tons from 2026 to 2030 [18]. - Zhongwei Co. is undergoing a listing review by the Hong Kong Stock Exchange and has signed a strategic cooperation framework agreement with Xiamen Tungsten [18]. - Aike Saibo has released a draft for its 2025 restricted stock incentive plan [18].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses an incident where BYD's security team allegedly impersonated Geely's Zeekr team to obtain sensitive information about a cybersecurity product, raising questions about corporate ethics and competition in the automotive industry [4][5][11]. Group 1: Incident Overview - BYD's security team posed as members of Geely's Zeekr team to request information about DefenseWeaver, an AI-driven automotive cybersecurity analysis software [4]. - The impersonators initiated contact through official channels, conducted a detailed online meeting, and subsequently went silent after obtaining information [4][5]. - After the incident, BYD representatives provided vague explanations and did not acknowledge any wrongdoing [4]. Group 2: Industry Context - The incident reflects a competitive environment in the Chinese automotive sector, where companies may resort to unethical practices to gain technological advantages [11][12]. - BYD reported significant financial growth, with a revenue of 777.1 billion yuan and a net profit of 40.25 billion yuan in 2024, suggesting that the company has resources for legitimate R&D [11]. - The competitive landscape has intensified, with Geely's sales increasing by 126% in the first half of 2025, indicating a shrinking market share for BYD [14]. Group 3: Ethical Concerns - The article raises critical questions about BYD's corporate culture and the ethical standards expected of its employees [17]. - Comments from industry insiders suggest that such behavior may stem from internal pressures to innovate and compete effectively [11][12]. - The incident has sparked discussions about the need for suppliers to protect their intellectual property in a highly competitive market [12][17].

Group 1: Weekly Data and Market Performance - Passenger car sales for the week of September 22-28, 2025, reached 653,000 units, up 1.5% year-on-year and up 26.6% month-on-month [2] - New energy vehicle sales for the same week were 371,000 units, up 13.8% year-on-year and up 23.6% month-on-month, with a penetration rate of 56.9%, down 1.4 percentage points from the previous month [2][48] - The A-share automotive sector declined by 0.9% during the week of October 9-10, 2025, underperforming the CSI 300 index, which rose by 0.2% [3] Group 2: Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies include Geely Automobile, Xpeng Motors, Li Auto, BYD, Xiaomi Group, Berteli, Top Group, New Spring Co., Hu Guang Co., and Chuanfeng Power [4][14] - Focus on quality autonomous brands that are accelerating in intelligence and globalization [16] Group 3: Policy and Regulatory Updates - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology announced adjustments to the technical requirements for the exemption of purchase tax for new energy vehicles from 2026 to 2027, which is expected to enhance average selling prices (ASP) and drive technological upgrades [5] - The new standards for pure electric vehicles set stricter energy consumption limits, while plug-in hybrid vehicles must now meet a minimum electric range of 100 kilometers [5] Group 4: Robotics and Automation - Tesla is expected to release the Optimus V3 robot in Q4 2025, with a production target of hundreds of prototype units within the year and a goal of reaching a million units in five years [6][15] - The focus is on hardware segments with significant potential for change, including dexterous hand configurations and lightweight materials [7][20] Group 5: Market Trends in Motorcycles and Heavy Trucks - The motorcycle market saw a significant increase in sales for large displacement models, with 84,000 units sold in August 2025, up 23.6% year-on-year [27] - Heavy truck sales reached 92,000 units in August 2025, a year-on-year increase of 46.6%, driven by expanded subsidies for replacing older vehicles [30][31] Group 6: Tire Industry Insights - The tire industry is experiencing strong demand, with domestic PCR operating rates at 67.47%, indicating high production levels [33][54] - The global tire market is expected to benefit from the ongoing expansion of Chinese tire manufacturers into overseas markets [32]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the latest developments in the electric vehicle (EV) market, including new model launches, company dynamics, and policy changes that could impact the industry. New Car Launches - The 3D-printed hybrid supercar Czinger 21C has been launched with a starting price of $1.7 million and a limited production of 80 units [2][3] - Tesla has released the Model 3/Y Standard with starting prices of $36,990 and $39,990 respectively [11][12] - The new Geely Xingyuan has been launched with a limited-time price range of 65,800 to 95,800 yuan [19][21] - BYD's new Seal 05 DM-i model is priced at 79,800 yuan, featuring an increased battery capacity and electric range [28][30] - The new BYD Han long-range version is available at prices ranging from 169,800 to 215,800 yuan [31][33] - The new Zeekr 001 has been launched with prices between 269,800 and 329,800 yuan [41][42] Company Dynamics - BMW plans to launch over 40 new models by 2027 to strengthen its position in the luxury market [80][81] - FX Super One is expected to begin production in the U.S. by the end of the year [84][86] - Avita has invested 11.5 billion yuan in Huawei for a 10% stake, aiming to enhance collaboration in the EV sector [87][90] - BYD has produced its 14 millionth new energy vehicle, with Brazilian President Lula becoming a customer [91][92] - Dongfeng Nissan has developed a dedicated engine for its hybrid sedan N6 [94][96] - SAIC Group reported nearly 190,000 new energy vehicle sales in September, leading the industry [99][100] - Mercedes-Benz's global passenger car sales for Q3 were 441,500 units, a 12% decline year-on-year [103][105] - BMW Group's Q3 global sales reached 588,300 units, an 8.8% increase year-on-year [106][108] Policy Changes - The 2026-2027 new energy vehicle tax exemption policy has been announced, adjusting technical requirements for eligible vehicles [110][111] - The policy specifies that electric vehicles must meet certain energy consumption limits to qualify for tax exemptions, impacting future vehicle designs [112][114]