Morning session notice 早盘提示 更多精彩内容请关注格林大华期货官方微信 格林大华期货研究院 证监许可【2011】1288 号 2026 年 1 月 27 日 星期二 研究员： 于军礼 从业资格： F0247894 交易咨询资格：Z0000112 本报告中的信息均源于公开资料，格林大华期货研究院对信息的准确性及完备性不作任何保 证，也不保证所包含的信息和建议不会发生任何变更。我们力求报告内容的客观、公正，但 文中的观点、结论和建议仅供参考，报告中的信息和意见并不构成所述期货合约的买卖出价 和征价，投资者据此作出的任何投资决策与本公司和作者无关，格林大华期货有限公司不承 担因根据本报告操作而导致的损失，敬请投资者注意可能存在的交易风险。本报告版权仅为 格林大华期货研究院所有 任何机构和个人不得以任何形式翻版 如引用、转载、刊发，须注明出处为格林大华期货有限公司。 美国回归门罗主义，在全球收缩，将对全球经济、美债、美股、美元、贵金属、 工业金属等大类资产产生颠覆式深远影响。 鉴于美国连续的错误政策，全球经济已越过顶部区域，开始向下运行。 重要事项: 联系方式：yujunli@greendh. ...

Morning session notice 研究员： 于军礼 从业资格： F0247894 交易咨询资格：Z0000112 联系方式：yujunli@greendh.com | 板块 | 品种 | 多（空） | 推荐理由 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 【行情复盘】 周一开盘后，成长类指数即遭到强大的持续卖压，属于近期稳市场的延续，尾盘有 | | | | | 所回稳。两市成交额 3.24 万亿元，继续放量。中证 500 指数收 8506 点，跌 83 点， | | | | | 跌幅-0.97%；中证 1000 指数收 8365 点，跌 105 点，跌幅-1.24%；沪深 300 指数收 | | | | | 4706 点，涨 4 点，涨幅 0.09%；上证 50 指数收 3049 点，涨 17 点，涨幅 0.57%。行 | | | | | 业与主题 ETF 中涨幅居前的是黄金股票 ETF、矿业 ETF、疫苗 ETF 富国、工业有色 | | | | | ETF 万家、有色 ETF 鹏华，跌幅居前的是卫星 ETF、通用航空 ETF 南方、高端装备 | | | | | ETF ...

Market Overview - US stock markets closed higher, with the Dow Jones up 0.64%, Nasdaq up 0.43%, and S&P 500 up 0.50% [1] - Silver experienced its strongest intraday surge since 2008 but later retraced gains, while gold surpassed the $5000 mark for the first time [2] - US natural gas prices surged nearly 30% [2] Corporate Developments - Trump administration is implementing a $1.6 billion debt and equity investment plan to acquire a 10% stake in USA Rare Earth [4] - Nvidia invested $2 billion in CoreWeave and is launching an independent CPU chip [5] - Nvidia plans to enter the Arm PC chip market, with Lenovo and Dell likely to be the first adopters [6] - Microsoft released its second-generation AI chip, Maia 200, aiming to reduce dependency on Nvidia [7] - SoftBank has paused its $50 billion data center acquisition of Switch [8] Industry Trends - The North Sea wind energy initiative is driving industry commitments to invest €9.5 billion [11] - The European Parliament has postponed its decision on whether to restore approval for the US-EU trade agreement [12] - The potential for a new US government shutdown is estimated at nearly 80% according to market predictions [13] Domestic Developments - The Ministry of Commerce announced the launch of a national digital trade demonstration zone and the establishment of relevant standards [14] - The AI healthcare sector is rapidly evolving, with Amazon's One Medical launching an AI health assistant that integrates with its existing medical services [19][20] - The digital trade sector is expected to grow significantly, with cross-border e-commerce reaching a total import and export volume of 2.75 trillion yuan by 2025 [21] Company Announcements - Zijin Mining plans to acquire 100% of United Gold for 28 billion yuan, with gold resources of 533 tons expected by the end of 2024 [22] - Dinglong Co. intends to acquire 70% of Haofei New Materials for 630 million yuan, a leading company in new lithium battery dispersants [22] - Haike New Source signed a long-term cooperation agreement with BYD for the supply of at least 100,000 tons of electrolyte solvent annually [22] - Chuanhuan Technology plans to invest 1.1 billion yuan to build a manufacturing headquarters in East China [22] - Longyuan Donggu's subsidiary received a notification for a project with a lifecycle sales amount estimated between 2.2 billion to 3 billion yuan [22] - Ruixin Microelectronics expects a net profit of 1.023 billion to 1.103 billion yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 71.97% to 85.42% [22] - Multiple companies, including Multi-Fluorine and Lantian Electronics, are projecting significant profit increases for 2025 due to market demand in sectors like new energy and AI [23][24]

商务部：将启动建设国家数字贸易示范区，制定数字贸易相关标准 商务部对外贸易司司长王志华在国新办新闻发布会上表示，下一步，将创新发展数字贸易，启动建设国家数 字贸易示范区，制定数字贸易相关标准，推动国内国际标准相通相融，推动服务外包数字化转型，培育壮大 数字贸易经营主体，办好全球数字贸易博览会。 2025中国全年服务零售额增长5.5% 1月26日，国新办就2025年商务工作及运行情况举行新闻发布会。商务部副部长鄢东在发布会上介绍，2025 年全年服务零售额增长5.5%。文体休闲、旅游咨询租赁、交通出行等服务零售额保持着两位数的增长。 广东经济总量连续37年全国第一 1月26日，广东省十四届人大五次会议在广州开幕，会上公布了广东2025年的工作"成绩单"。2025年，广东 地区生产总值为14.58万亿元，增长3.9%，总量连续37年居全国首位，多项经济指标实现增长，外贸、外 资、农业等领域均有亮眼表现，规上工业企业达7.6万家。 为线控转向划定安全边界，汽车转向强制性国标发布 市场监管总局（国家标准委）批准发布《汽车转向系 基本要求》强制性国家标准，将自7月1日起正式实 施。该标准的发布实施，进一步明确汽车转向系 ...

SoftBank (SFTBY) (SFTBF) has paused discussions about acquiring U.S. data center operator Switch, a potential setback to founder Masayoshi Son’s aim to roll out Stargate AI infrastructure, Bloomberg News reported, citing people with knowledge of the matter. Last month, it was ...

新华财经东京1月26日电（记者刘春燕李诗萌）日本东京股市两大股指26日大幅下跌。日经225种股票平 均价格指数收盘下跌1.79%，东京证券交易所股票价格指数下跌2.13%。 受高市早苗支持率下降及日元大幅升值等多重因素影响，东京股市两大股指26日跳空低开。日经股指低 开800多点。大盘全天承压、低位徘徊。由于有消息称软银对美国数据中心运营商Switch的收购谈判陷 入停顿，令孙正义雄心勃勃的人工智能基础设施计划受挫，软银集团股价收盘大跌4.89%。受东京外汇 市场日元对美元汇率大幅升值影响，出口相关股票全面下跌。丰田、本田收盘跌幅均超过4%。 （文章来源：新华财经） 至收盘时，日经指数下跌961.62点，收于52885.25点；东证指数下跌77.21点，收于3552.49点。 从板块来看，东京证券交易所33个行业板块大多下跌，运输机械、银行业、批发业等板块跌幅靠前；仅 水产和农林业、矿业、陆地运输业3个板块上涨。 ...

Group 1 - Bank of America upgraded its rating on nuclear startup Oklo (OKLO.US) from "neutral" to "buy," raising the target price from $111 to $127 due to a binding agreement with Meta (META.US) to co-develop a phased 1.2 GW advanced nuclear power plant [1] - The agreement includes customer prepayments to fund early development before the final power purchase agreement (PPA) is signed, providing tangible evidence of execution and commitment from partners [1] - Analysts believe that investors are increasingly seeking concrete evidence of advanced nuclear moving from concept to execution, and the agreement with Meta provides such proof [1] Group 2 - Recent news regarding data center operator Switch's new geothermal supply has somewhat overshadowed the positive factors for Oklo [2] - The geothermal PPA is relatively small and aligns with Switch's multi-technology strategy, serving as incremental support rather than replacing Oklo's potential 12 GW project under the memorandum of understanding (MoU) with Switch [2] - The analyst noted that Switch's significant share in the announced approximately 14 GW project pipeline indicates that the geothermal supply is a minor addition compared to the larger load demands of hundreds of megawatts to several gigawatts [2]

Group 1 - Ormat Technologies, Inc. (NYSE:ORA) is recognized as one of the 10 Best Performing Utility Stocks in 2025 [1] - The company has signed a 20-year power purchase agreement (PPA) with Switch, marking its first direct PPA with a data center operator [3] - Under the PPA, Ormat will supply approximately 13 MW of clean, renewable energy from its Salt Wells geothermal power plant in Nevada, with an option to expand output by adding a 7 MW Solar PV facility [3] Group 2 - Energy deliveries from the agreement are set to begin in the first quarter of 2030, following a major plant upgrade expected to be completed by the second quarter of this year [4] - Roth Capital has maintained a 'Buy' rating on Ormat Technologies, assigning a price target of $125, indicating confidence in the company's growth potential [4]

Core Insights - Oklo Inc. (NYSE:OKLO) experienced a share price decline of 9.84% from January 9 to January 16, 2026, ranking among the energy stocks that lost the most during that week [1] - The company, backed by OpenAI's Sam Altman, focuses on developing advanced fission power plants to deliver clean and affordable energy in the U.S. [2] Recent Developments - Earlier in January 2026, Oklo's share price surged by nearly 47% after securing a nuclear power agreement with Meta to develop a 1.2 GW power campus in Ohio, aimed at supporting Meta's data center energy needs, with pre-construction activities set to start in 2026 and the first phase operational by 2030 [3] - Oklo also entered into an agreement with the U.S. Department of Energy to create a radioisotope pilot plant under the Reactor Pilot Program, which may have contributed to the initial share price increase [3] Market Competition - The recent share price correction may be attributed to profit-taking by investors following the earlier surge [3] - Additionally, Oklo faced pressure from reports that Ormat, a geothermal company, signed a 20-year power purchase agreement with data center operator Switch, leading investors to consider geothermal energy as a viable alternative to nuclear power for supporting the AI sector [4]

Core Viewpoint - Oklo's stock has experienced a decline following a previous surge, primarily due to profit-taking by investors and increased competition from geothermal energy solutions [1][3][7]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Oklo's shares closed lower on both Monday and Tuesday after a significant rise last week, with a current decline of 4.8% as of 11:35 a.m. ET [1][6]. - The stock reached a peak of $105.31 last Friday, a level not seen since early December, indicating a potential profit-taking phase by investors [3][6]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The decline in Oklo's stock is attributed to two main factors: profit-taking after the stock's rise and the emergence of geothermal energy as a competitive alternative for data center operators [3][4]. - Ormat, a geothermal specialist, has signed a 20-year power purchase agreement with data center operator Switch, which may reduce Oklo's market opportunities in this sector [4]. Group 3: Investment Outlook - Despite the recent stock decline, the fundamental bullish case for Oklo remains unchanged, as geothermal power is geographically limited, making it less viable for many data center locations [7]. - Analysts suggest that investors who were previously bullish on Oklo should maintain their stance, as the long-term outlook has not been negatively impacted [7].