楼市风向已变？洞察2026年房价四大预兆 回首过去几年，国内房地产市场自2022年起便步入深度调整期，这已是不争的事实。最初，郑州、天津、石家庄等二三线城市率先感受到寒意，房价开始下 滑。进入2023年，即便是上海、深圳这样的一线城市也难 resist 下行压力，纷纷加入调整行列。截至目前，全国平均房价跌幅已超过30%，环京地区的廊 坊、涿州等地跌幅更是触目惊心，超过60%。这意味着，早些年入市的投资者们如今正面临着巨大的资产缩水。 | Ing with a free and in the contribution of the contrib | 新闻大学 作 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Select with CD ( 1 ( 1 ) = 1 ( ) = | | | | | | | | | 18 - 040 | | | | | | | | | 9 - 1 - 1 - 1 | | | | | | | | | 原有 高品 = 2 | 下一篇: 在线上 | | | | | | | | 店中 百公司及度 | | ...

时间已经来到2026年，2025年合肥新房、二手房和土拍市场表现如何？我们一起来看看。 | | 合肥2025年市区网签数据 | | | 数据源:金刚石云数据 安徽 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 目保 | | 成交套数 | | 成交均价(元/平) | | 2025年1月 | | 1735套 | | 22259.2元每平 | | 2025年2月 合肥班 | | 1320套 | | 21743.37元每平 | | 2025年3月 | | 1971套 -- | | 20666.2元每平 | | 2025年4月 | | 2221套 | | 20606.66元每平 | | 2025年5月 | | 1283套 | | 20490.89元每平 | | 2025年6月 | | 1087套 | | 21400.17元每平 | | 2025年7月 合肥药长 | ◎合肥药 | 1096套 | | 21549.39元每平 | | 2025年8月 | | 1259套 | | 21114.28元每平 | | 2025年9月 | | @合肥张 1124套 ■研长 | | 20698.97元每平 | ...

据调价记录显示，该房源于2025年3月挂牌，首次挂牌价98.8万。随后进行了多次调价。 近日，小编在二手房平台上发现，位于赣州经开区的银宸公馆小区终于迎来了二手房成交。 该楼盘在2023年1月迎来交付，距今已经将近3年的时间。 成交房源为建筑面积约118.66平米的四房，位于18层住宅的中间楼层，挂牌价75万，最终降价16万，以59万、4973元/㎡成交。 *本文二手房数据来源于某单个二手房平台，数据随时变动，仅供参考，具体以官方公布为准。 该房源成交周期257天。 与首次挂牌相比，降价39.8万成交，打了约6折。 ZUZD-11-U4 降价8万 售价75万 t 2025-06-26 C 涨价2万 售价83万 ↑ ○ 2025-06-23 降价2万 售价81万 中 2025-05-26 降价5万 售价83万 → O 2025-05-15 降价1万 售价88万 t 2025-04-23 降价9.8万 售价89万 t 2025-03-01 O 房源挂牌,首次挂牌价98.8万 2 公众号: 赣州晒房网 银宸公馆位于赣州经开区蟠龙公园附近，占地约 30.27 亩，容积率 2.2 ，绿化率 35%，总户数 400 户， ...

Core Viewpoint - The second-hand housing market in key cities like Beijing, Shanghai, and Shenzhen is experiencing a slowdown in transaction momentum, with a notable shift in buyer preferences towards lower-priced properties and specific property types [2][13]. Group 1: Transaction Structure Changes - The proportion of transactions for properties priced below 2 million yuan is increasing, indicating a significant diversion of first-time homebuyers to the second-hand market. For instance, in Shanghai, the share of transactions for properties under 2 million yuan reached 48.72% in October 2025, up by 2.16 percentage points month-on-month and 8.93 percentage points year-on-year [2][4]. - In contrast, the high-end segment of the new housing market is drawing buyers away from the second-hand market, particularly for properties priced above 8 million yuan in Shanghai and Shenzhen, where transaction shares have either stabilized or declined [3][4]. Group 2: Property Size Preferences - The majority of transactions in the second-hand market are still concentrated in smaller units, particularly those under 70 square meters, which accounted for over 30% of transactions in October 2025. In Shanghai, this segment is seeing an upward trend [7][8]. - There is also a growing interest in compact units (90-100 square meters) and larger comfortable units (140-160 square meters), which cater to buyers looking for more spacious living arrangements [8][13]. Group 3: Regional Transaction Trends - The transaction share in suburban areas of Shanghai is declining, while core urban areas in Beijing, Shenzhen, and Hangzhou are also seeing a drop in transaction shares. Notably, Shenzhen's main areas are experiencing an increase in transaction concentration, with districts like Luohu and Longgang showing significant month-on-month growth [11][12]. Group 4: Market Outlook - The second-hand housing market is expected to continue its downward trend in November, with a persistent "price-for-volume" strategy. The ability of mid-to-high-end properties to gain traction will largely depend on the volume of new listings and the quality of new housing products entering the market [14].

Group 1: Real Estate Market Trends - In October, Shenzhen recorded 5,547 second-hand homes, marking a 4.5% month-on-month decline and a 32.9% year-on-year decline, but has maintained over 5,000 units for eight consecutive months, indicating a stabilization phase in the market [1] - Wuhan's land auction saw 8 out of 9 plots sold at the base price, generating over 1.118 billion yuan, reflecting a "low-temperature normalization" in the land market, with private enterprises cautiously acquiring land in suburban areas [2] Group 2: Corporate Actions and Financial Developments - Fantasia Holdings opposed the auction of 29.9% of its subsidiary, Color Life Services Group, asserting that debts owed to TFISF were not secured by Color Life shares, and is seeking legal advice to protect its rights [3] - R&F Properties announced that a restructuring plan for a domestic bond with a principal balance of approximately 1.68 billion yuan was approved, which will extend debt maturity and alleviate short-term repayment pressure [4] - Zhihong Home's controlling shareholders plan to reduce their holdings of convertible bonds by 13.51%, with a total of 905,000 bonds to be sold, which may impact the company's equity structure and market confidence in the long term [5]

Core Insights - The recent transaction of a second-hand property in the Jiafu International project marks the first sale in two years, indicating a significant change in the local real estate market dynamics [1][26] - The latest transaction price of 6668 yuan/㎡ sets a new record low for the area, reflecting a broader trend of declining prices in the old city district of Ganzhou [24][26] Property Details - The recently sold property has a built area of approximately 141.74 square meters, originally listed at 1 million yuan, and sold for 945,000 yuan after a price reduction of 55,000 yuan, with a transaction cycle of 54 days [1][24] - The previous sale in May 2023 involved a smaller unit of 62.65 square meters, which sold for 499,000 yuan after a significant price drop from 590,000 yuan, completing the sale in just one day [4][24] Market Context - Jiafu International is one of the few relatively new large-scale modern residential complexes in the old city of Ganzhou, developed by Hong Kong's Haoguan Group, with a total construction area of 320,000 square meters [5][11] - The complex has seen a notable decline in market activity, with only one transaction in the last 90 days and a total of 96 listings currently available, indicating low demand [13][11] Price Trends - The average listing price for properties in Jiafu International is currently 8651 yuan/㎡, ranking 22nd among 1358 listed complexes in the old city area, with a clear downward trend in prices over recent years [11][26] - Historical transaction prices for the complex range from 6668 to 11009 yuan/㎡, with the latest sale significantly below the average [18][23] Competitive Landscape - The shift in buyer preference towards newer districts like Zhangjiang New District and Rongjiang New District is evident, as these areas offer better planning, resource concentration, and modern amenities, leading to a decline in demand for properties in the old city [26][11] - The overall real estate market in the old city is transitioning from a "core value area" to a "supplementary market," with Jiafu International's low transaction activity reflecting a common trend among many complexes in the area [26][11]

Core Viewpoint - The auction of a property in the well-known Spring Jiang Hua Yue community in Hangzhou reflects both unexpected and expected trends in the real estate market, highlighting a significant price drop compared to previous years while still maintaining a level of buyer interest due to its desirable location and characteristics [1][4][9]. Group 1: Property Details - A property in the Spring Jiang Hua Yue community was auctioned with a starting price of 9.107 million yuan, ultimately selling for 9.377 million yuan, translating to approximately 46,100 yuan per square meter [4][10]. - The property features a total area of 203.32 square meters, with a layout of 4 bedrooms, 2 living rooms, 1 kitchen, 2 bathrooms, and 2 balconies, offering a view of the Qiantang River [4][6]. Group 2: Market Trends - The auction results were surprising due to the property's location within the Flowing Cloud Garden, which has seen higher past sales, including a record sale of 39.975 million yuan for a larger unit in 2019 [6][8]. - Recent sales data indicates a significant decline in prices, with the latest auction price being lower than previous sales in 2021 and 2022, where prices ranged from 65,000 to 70,000 yuan per square meter [9][13]. - Despite the price drop, the Spring Jiang Hua Yue community remains attractive due to its large size, diverse unit types, and good school district, leading to consistent transaction activity [13].

Group 1 - The article emphasizes that landlords should be cautious about revealing their psychological price (bottom line) to real estate agents due to the current buyer's market conditions, where supply exceeds demand [1][2] - It highlights that revealing the bottom line to agents can unfairly set a baseline for negotiations, as buyers tend to negotiate down from any quoted price [1] - The article points out that the significant number of listings in the Shanghai real estate market leads to increased information asymmetry between agents and landlords, which can result in agents leveraging this information to pressure landlords into lower prices [1] Group 2 - The article acknowledges the reality of a buyer's market, where properties are difficult to sell, and price reductions are often necessary for transactions to occur [2] - It advises landlords to find a balance between setting a competitive listing price to attract agents and being cautious about their bottom line during negotiations with potential buyers [2] - The article concludes with a wish for landlords to successfully sell their properties at acceptable prices despite the challenges presented by the market dynamics [2]

Core Insights - The gap between ideal and reality for home sellers in Guangzhou is significant, with buyers often negotiating prices down by substantial amounts, reflecting a buyer's market [1][3][20] Market Overview - The Guangzhou second-hand housing market is experiencing a downturn, with an average discount rate of 12% from the listing price to the transaction price for the first seven months of the year, an increase of 2% compared to the same period last year [4][10] - The average listing price for second-hand homes in Guangzhou is 30,559 CNY per square meter, while the average transaction price is 26,750 CNY per square meter [4][10] Price Dynamics - To successfully sell a property, sellers need to offer significant discounts, with an example showing that a property listed at 2 million CNY may only sell for 1.74 million CNY after a discount [7][10] - Monthly discounts for second-hand homes in Guangzhou range from 2,900 CNY to 4,300 CNY per square meter [7][10] Regional Variations - Discount rates vary by district, with the lowest in Huangpu at 10% and the highest in districts like Tianhe and Baiyun at 12% [10][13] - Popular properties in various districts also show a need for price reductions of 5% to 20% to close sales [14][15] Supply and Demand - There are currently 147,000 second-hand homes for sale in Guangzhou, but the monthly transaction volume is only 9,133 units, leading to a 16-month inventory turnover period [16][17] - The market is characterized by an oversupply of homes and a lack of buyers, with new developments competing aggressively for market share [20][21] Buyer Sentiment - The current market conditions favor buyers, who have more options and can negotiate better prices due to the high inventory levels [21]

Core Viewpoint - The recent sale of a property in Ganzhou's Baoneng City East District, achieving a price close to 20,000 yuan per square meter, highlights the unique value resilience of quality properties amidst a generally cooling second-hand housing market [1][4][25]. Transaction Details - The property sold is an 88 square meter duplex located on a low floor of a 32-story building, initially listed at 1.79 million yuan, which was reduced to a final sale price of 1.675 million yuan, equating to 19,035 yuan per square meter [4][24]. - The transaction took 57 days, with the property first listed in June at a price of 1.9 million yuan, indicating a reduction of 225,000 yuan from the initial asking price [4][25]. Market Context - The average listing price for properties in Baoneng City East District is currently 15,660 yuan per square meter, ranking 11th among 295 listed communities in the Zhangjiang New District, indicating its popularity despite a general downward trend in prices [15][27]. - Historical data shows that the peak transaction price for the district was 20,522 yuan per square meter in 2022, with a notable decline in both transaction prices and volumes since then [9][20]. Property Characteristics - The property features a well-maintained interior with high-quality furnishings and appliances, which contributes to its appeal in the current market [7][25]. - The district benefits from a prime location with mature surrounding infrastructure, including commercial complexes and educational institutions, enhancing its attractiveness to potential buyers [13][27]. Market Dynamics - The second-hand housing market in Baoneng City East District has transitioned from a phase of rising prices and volumes to a period of rational adjustment characterized by declining prices and transaction volumes [25][27]. - The sale of the duplex is viewed as an exception rather than a signal of overall market recovery, emphasizing the importance of property type and location in maintaining value [25][27].