Core Insights - The second-hand housing market in Foshan has shown a continuous increase in transaction volume, with over 27,209 units signed in the first half of 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of approximately 6% [3][5] - The proportion of second-hand housing transactions has reached a historical high of 62.4% of total transactions in the city [5] - The average transaction price of second-hand homes has been declining, while the bargaining rate has been increasing, indicating a shift in market dynamics [18][21] Group 1: Transaction Volume and Market Trends - Foshan's second-hand residential net signed transactions reached 27,209 units in the first half of 2025, a 6% increase year-on-year [3] - The total signed area for second-hand residential properties was approximately 331.86 million square meters, reflecting a 6.9% increase compared to the same period last year [3] - The transaction volume in the Shunde and Nanhai districts remains dominant, while the transaction volume in the Chancheng district has decreased by 7.3% year-on-year [6][10] Group 2: Buyer Preferences and Pricing Sensitivity - The most popular property type in Foshan's second-hand market is the 120-140 square meter category, followed by properties under 90 square meters [11] - Properties priced below 1 million yuan accounted for 49.4% of transactions, a significant increase of 2.9% from the previous half-year [13] - The proportion of transactions for properties priced under 10,000 yuan per square meter has risen to 51% [14] Group 3: Pricing and Bargaining Trends - The average transaction price for second-hand homes in Foshan has decreased from 1.292 million yuan to 1.206 million yuan [18] - The average bargaining rate for second-hand homes has increased, with the average price drop from listing to sale reaching 27.2% [21] - The highest bargaining rate is observed in the Nanhai district at 28.1%, while properties priced below 1 million yuan have the highest bargaining rate at 28.7% [22][24] Group 4: Transaction Cycle and Financing Trends - The average time from listing to sale for second-hand homes in Foshan has extended to nearly 10 months, with 29.6% of properties taking over 360 days to sell [25][28] - The proportion of transactions involving loans has increased, reaching the highest level in five years, with cash purchases dropping to 17.7% [33][35] - The use of public housing funds for purchases has also seen an uptick due to lower interest rates [37] Group 5: Rental Market Insights - The average rent in Foshan is 2,202 yuan per unit, with a slight decrease in rental prices but an increase in rental yield to 2.2% [38] - The rental market is increasingly favoring larger units, with three-bedroom properties accounting for over 54% of transactions [45] - The average transaction cycle for rental properties has also lengthened, with an average of 94 days for rental listings [48]

Core Viewpoint - The Shenzhen second-hand housing market recorded 1,321 transactions in the week of July 7-13, 2025, reflecting an 8.0% decrease compared to the previous week, indicating a stable market despite the decline in transaction volume [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The transaction volume of second-hand homes in Shenzhen remains at a relatively good level for the year, suggesting a steady market operation [1]. - As of July 14, 2025, there are 75,173 valid second-hand housing listings available in Shenzhen, which is an increase of 4 listings from the previous week, indicating that the inventory level is stabilizing [1].

Core Insights - As of July 14, Shenzhen has a total of 75,173 valid second-hand housing listings, with a slight increase of 4 listings compared to the previous week [1] - The Longgang District accounts for 25.9% of the total listings, with 19,466 units, significantly surpassing other districts, while Dapeng New District only represents 0.2% with 157 units, indicating a notable disparity in second-hand housing availability across different regions [1] - Last week, Shenzhen recorded 1,321 second-hand housing transactions (including self-service), reflecting a week-on-week decrease of 8%, ending a two-week growth trend; however, the transaction volume remains at a relatively strong level for the year, indicating a stable performance in the Shenzhen second-hand housing market [1]

Economic Information - In the first five months, internet enterprises above designated size achieved internet business revenue of 773.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.9%, while total profit was 69.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.2% [2] - In June, the average price of second-hand residential properties in 100 cities was 13,691 yuan per square meter, a month-on-month decrease of 0.75% and a year-on-year decrease of 7.26%, indicating a trend of "price for volume" in the market [3] Company Alerts - Aong Likang has only one innovative drug project under research, which is the ALK-N001 project [8] - *ST Yuancheng is under investigation by the China Securities Regulatory Commission for suspected false disclosure of financial data in annual reports and other periodic reports [8] - Several companies, including Hangzhou Thermal Power and Ruijie Environmental Protection, have announced plans for significant share reductions by major shareholders [10] Overseas Market Alerts - The NASDAQ index fell by 0.82%, with Tesla dropping over 5%, while the Dow Jones increased by 0.91% [5] - President Trump stated he does not plan to extend the July 9 deadline for trade negotiations, expressing skepticism about reaching an agreement with Japan [5][6] Storage Chip Market - TrendForce reported that DDR4 prices may peak and decline in the fourth quarter, driven by supply cuts and market demand, while DDR5 prices are expected to remain stable with a projected quarterly increase of 3% to 8% in 2025 [7]

Core Viewpoint - The real estate market in China is experiencing a series of favorable policies aimed at stimulating demand and improving accessibility for potential homebuyers as 2024 approaches, with expectations for significant trends in 2025 [2] Group 1: Policy Changes - Most cities in China have lifted purchase restrictions, allowing more potential buyers to enter the market, except for core areas in first-tier cities like Shanghai and Shenzhen [2] - Financial policies remain accommodative, with mortgage rates dropping to around 3.2%, and down payment ratios reduced from 30% to 15%, effectively lowering the barriers to homeownership [2] - The government has implemented tax relief measures, including reductions in deed tax and value-added tax, to alleviate the financial burden on homebuyers [2] Group 2: Market Trends for 2025 - The market is shifting towards the sale of completed homes, moving away from the pre-sale model, which will enhance buyer confidence and impose higher standards on developers regarding financial strength and project quality [4] - The second-hand housing market is facing significant challenges, with listing volumes in major cities like Shanghai, Chongqing, and Chengdu exceeding 150,000 units, leading to price reductions as sellers seek to close deals amid weak demand [4] - The government aims to provide 6 million units of affordable housing over the next five years, which is expected to ease housing pressure for low-income groups and divert some demand from the commercial housing market [4] Group 3: Financial Outlook - Current mortgage rates are in the range of 3.2% to 3.5%, with predictions that they may drop below 3% in 2025 to stimulate demand amid a declining market [6] - The overall trend for housing prices is expected to be "stable with a downward bias," as the market has entered a long-term adjustment phase, with significant price drops observed in cities like Zhengzhou and Tianjin [8] - For instance, in Shanghai, prices have decreased from nearly 100,000 yuan per square meter to approximately 65,000 yuan per square meter, reflecting a decline of over 30% [8]

Group 1 - The article highlights the recent sale of a second-hand property in Jiangshanli, a well-known riverside residential community in Ganzhou, which achieved a record low transaction price on the platform [1][33] - The specific property sold was a three-bedroom unit with a built area of approximately 112.16 square meters, which was listed at 1.4 million but sold for 1.203 million, resulting in a unit price of 10,726 yuan per square meter [2][29] - The property had a long transaction cycle of 330 days, with multiple price adjustments from an initial listing price of 1.67 million [9][28] Group 2 - Jiangshanli community consists of three phases, with the first phase, Lanyuan, primarily featuring high-rise buildings, while the second phase focuses on high-end products like large flats and French-style courtyards [10][14] - The community is strategically located near the intersection of Meiguan Avenue and Gankang Road, offering extensive river views and proximity to parks, enhancing its living environment [12][33] - The current average listing price for second-hand properties in Jiangshanli is 16,008 yuan per square meter, ranking 15th among 295 listed communities in the Jiangjiang New District [21][31] Group 3 - The community has a high occupancy rate since its delivery in 2014, with a total of 2,900 units and a green space ratio of 35% [14][10] - The property management was recently changed to China Resources Property, with a management fee of 1.8 yuan per square meter [17] - The market activity for second-hand properties in Jiangshanli is moderate, with only two transactions in the last 90 days and 88 viewings in the last 30 days [22][21]

Core Viewpoint - The tightening of high usage rates in Guangzhou is expected to impact both new and second-hand housing markets, with mixed implications for developers and homeowners [2][4]. Summary by Sections New Regulations and Developer Impact - New regulations will still allow certain housing types but will eliminate methods that exploit "extra area" such as bay windows and flower beds [2]. - Developers with existing high usage rate inventory may benefit, while those who recently acquired land without exploiting these methods may face challenges [2][4]. Current State of Second-Hand Housing - The current state of second-hand housing in Guangzhou is described as "quite miserable, but not as bad as before," with over 146,000 listings on platforms like Beike, marking a historical peak [2][12]. - Transaction volumes have shown some improvement compared to last year, with April and March seeing over 10,000 transactions, although May saw a decline to 9,228 [2][12]. Impact of High Usage Rate on Second-Hand Housing - The previous high usage rates widened the gap between new and second-hand housing in terms of product quality and price-performance ratio [5][12]. - For example, a new 91㎡ unit can offer superior features compared to a 95㎡ second-hand unit, making it difficult for second-hand homeowners to compete [6][8]. Buyer Preferences and Market Dynamics - Many new home buyers are looking to upgrade from second-hand homes, which complicates the market dynamics as they struggle to sell their existing properties [9][10]. - The current buyer demographic favors smaller units, with 90㎡ and below accounting for half of the second-hand transactions in May [12][14]. Future Outlook for Second-Hand Housing - The tightening of usage rates may stop the widening gap between new and second-hand homes, but it does not eliminate the existing disparity [12][13]. - To revitalize the second-hand market, two strategies are suggested: waiting for new supply to diminish in prime areas to highlight second-hand scarcity, and maintaining competitive pricing against new homes [15][17].

Group 1: Second-hand Housing Listing Volume - In May 2025, the listing volume of second-hand houses in 100 cities reached 2.718 million units, a year-on-year increase of 15.8% [1] - The increase in listing volume by city tier: first-tier cities up by 13.1%, new first-tier cities up by 14.5%, second-tier cities up by 15.4%, and third and fourth-tier cities up by 21.9% [1] - Notable changes in specific cities: Shenzhen had the highest increase among first-tier cities, while Shanghai had the lowest; Chengdu led new first-tier cities, while Suzhou saw a decrease [3][5] Group 2: Second-hand Housing Search Heat Index - The search heat index for second-hand houses in 100 cities was 62.6 in May 2025, down 10.6% year-on-year [7] - The decline in search heat index by city tier: first-tier cities down 11.0%, new first-tier cities down 11.7%, second-tier cities down 11.2%, and third and fourth-tier cities down 9.9% [7] - Specific city changes: Shenzhen experienced the largest decline among first-tier cities, while Beijing had the smallest; in new first-tier cities, Hangzhou saw the largest drop [9][11] Group 3: Second-hand Housing Listing Duration - The average listing duration for second-hand houses in 100 cities was 89.4 days in May 2025, an increase of 7.6% year-on-year [13] - By city tier, first-tier cities had an average duration of 103.0 days (up 9.6%), new first-tier cities 87.1 days (up 9.9%), second-tier cities 83.9 days (up 5.7%), and third and fourth-tier cities 92.3 days (up 7.9%) [13] - Notable changes in specific cities: Shanghai had the largest increase in listing duration among first-tier cities, while Beijing saw a decrease [15][17] Group 4: Second-hand Housing Average Listing Price - The average listing price for second-hand houses in 100 cities was 12,389 yuan per square meter in May 2025, down 9.0% year-on-year [19] - Average prices by city tier: first-tier cities at 48,544 yuan (down 7.8%), new first-tier cities at 16,931 yuan (down 10.2%), second-tier cities at 12,451 yuan (down 10.2%), and third and fourth-tier cities at 8,094 yuan (down 8.6%) [19] - Specific city price changes: Shanghai had the largest price drop among first-tier cities, while Shenzhen had the smallest [21][23]

Core Insights - The real estate market in various cities is experiencing a phenomenon of "increased volume and decreased prices" [1][3] - In Guangzhou, the second-hand housing transaction volume surged by 17.73% year-on-year in May 2025, with a total of 46,722 units sold in the first five months, also reflecting a growth of over 17% [1] - Despite the increase in transaction volume, the average price of second-hand homes in Guangzhou has been declining, with a notable drop in core areas [3] Market Dynamics - The second-hand housing market is no longer a "seller's market," with increased inventory leading to price reductions [3][7] - In cities like Xi'an, the transaction volume reached historical highs, but the listing volume surged to 151,000 units, causing prices to revert to 2019 levels [3] - The inventory turnover period in many cities exceeds 18 months, indicating significant market pressure [8] Regional Variations - In Chengdu, the listing volume exceeds 160,000 units, but core district properties still maintain liquidity, while older properties in suburban areas struggle to attract buyers [4] - In Mianyang, older properties have seen prices drop to 3,066 yuan per square meter, reflecting a significant decline [5] Emerging Trends - The market is shifting towards a "stock housing era," with second-hand transactions in 30 key cities reaching 59% of total sales by 2024 [11] - Price differentiation is intensifying, with new properties in core areas maintaining value while older suburban properties depreciate [13][14] - Policy adjustments, such as potential interest rate cuts and increased public housing supply, may further impact the market dynamics [15] Recommendations for Buyers - Focus on core area new properties, as they demonstrate stronger resilience against price declines [9] - Monitor inventory turnover rates, as a high ratio indicates market stress [8] - Be cautious of high leverage risks, ensuring that mortgage payments do not exceed 40% of household income [10]