低利率周期
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保险公司发债规模连续三年超千亿元 多重因素推动
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2026-01-08 23:20
人民财讯1月9日电,连续三年,保险公司发行债券规模超千亿元。刚刚过去的2025年,23家保险公司发 债规模合计达1042亿元。业内人士普遍认为,这背后有多重推动因素——低利率周期下,保险公司普遍 面临较高的资本补充需求;利率下行,发债成本更低,险企有动力发新债置换旧债;也有险企希望在利 率低位时融资以进一步夯实资本实力、增厚发展安全垫。另外,在逆周期监管思路下,保险公司发债也 在一定程度上获得了监管部门的支持。 ...
高手,是怎么玩转黄金的?
雪球· 2026-01-06 08:46
普通投资者:"我看不懂呀"、"不敢买"。 分析黄金的确是个技术活,因为在市场这个大舞台里,它扮演着三个角色: 商品、 货币 、投资 。 以下文章来源于画不多说 ,作者懂私募的灵魂画手 画不多说 . 话不多说,画多说。用最通俗易懂的方式,讲述私募的故事。 如果要给今年各资产的表现颁个奖, 黄金无疑是"最强王者" 。 从年初不到2800,狂飙到现在的4300+,年内涨幅达50%以上! 作为 实物 商品 时 ,黄金价格的基础逻辑是 「 供给与需求 」 。 当全球央行(央妈)持续购金,或首饰消费旺盛,需求大于供给,便会推动金价上涨。 因此美元越弱,黄金越贵。 作为 投资品 时 ,黄金会和其他大 投资品类 的收益 「 作比较 」 。 钱可以放在很多地方,如果我们把钱换成黄金,就不能再放银行拿利息,或者买国债了。 所以,作为一个投资品类的时候,黄金能带来的收益,会不断和其他资产的潜在收益作比对,也 叫持有黄金的 "机会成本"。 作为 货币 时 ,黄金 价格 通常与美元 指数 走势 「 反着来 」 。 这是因为,黄金是用美元来标价和交易的。 同样是买一盎司黄金,当美元贬值时,买同样的黄金就需要更多的美元,即金价上涨。 当其 ...
低利率周期的分红险,中意人寿的家庭财富管理新解法
Jin Rong Jie· 2026-01-06 08:26
摘要:低利率周期下,兼顾"保证利益"和"浮动红利"的分红险成为跨周期财富规划的重要选择之一。中 意人寿保险有限公司(简称"中意人寿")秉持"成为客户终身伙伴"理念,依托20余年分红险经验,以及 成熟的资产负债管理能力,从经营、投资、风控三大维度筑牢保障,以"一生中意"系列等产品满足客户 不同人生阶段的风险管理与财务保障需求。 二、实力之基:资产负债匹配理念下的稳健投资支撑 对于分红险的长期价值兑现而言,保险公司的资产负债管理能力是重要参考维度,中意人寿旗下中意资 产管理有限责任公司(简称"中意资产")在此领域的实践,构成了其分红险的硬核底气之一。中意资产 始终将"资产负债匹配"作为核心经营理念,坚持"长期投资、稳健投资、价值投资",构建起兼顾稳健与 成长的资产配置结构。 一、周期之困:低利率周期的资产配置逻辑重构 "在国内外多重因素影响下,近年来我国利率不断下行……利率的变化会牵一发而动全身,尤其是从一 种状态过渡到另外一种状态,充满挑战同时也是机遇,适者得以生存发展。"中国人民银行金融研究所 所长丁志杰在《应对低利率:机遇与挑战》一文中谈及自己对低利率环境下金融生态的思考。 这一宏观趋势正在影响家庭资产配置 ...
农银理财董事长马曙光:跨越低利率周期,坚定为民理财初心
券商中国· 2025-12-30 06:57
编者按 当前,银行理财市场呈现"规模新高"与"收益承压"的鲜明反差。行业规模在2025年末触及34万亿元的历史 新高,然而在低利率成为常态的背景下,上半年产品平均年化收益率已降至2.12%,传统依赖固收投资 的"舒适区"模式面临挑战。平衡收益与波动、通过多元化资产配置寻求突围,已成为全行业的核心命题。 在此背景下,农银理财党委书记、董事长马曙光接受证券时报记者专访,深入阐述其对行业转型的思考与 实践路径。 马曙光表示,农银理财成立以来,坚持党建引领业务发展,深刻践行金融工作的政治性、人民性,促转型、强 能力、优产品、拓渠道、保安全,综合实力保持在理财行业第一梯队,实现"十四五"圆满收官。 在他看来,站在"十五五"开局之年的起点,如何在低利率"新常态"的时代背景下,做稳固定收益投资基本盘的 同时,稳步提升多资产投资能力,打造高质量增长的"第二曲线",是农银理财以及整个理财行业需思考的核心 问题。 银行理财发展态势悄然生变 马曙光认为,我国进入高质量发展阶段以来,发展环境面临深刻复杂变化。在"促进社会综合融资成本低位运 行"的政策导向下,债券收益率较难有明显提升,银行理财发展态势也由此发生微妙变化。 从负债端看, ...
送米又送油,年底冲刺“开门红”,部分中小银行上调存款利率
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-09 12:17
来源:华夏时报 临近年终,银行业"开门红"悄然打响。 日前,记者走访北京多家银行网点了解到,为应对"开门红",部分中小银行阶段性上调定期存款利率, 或推出颇具吸引力的礼品奖励,如有银行给出"10万一桶油或一袋米"的礼品配置,吸引储户。 "我们目前柜面3年期定存利率是1.9%,如果单笔50万元以上,可以做到1.95%。"有城商行北京某支行 客户经理向记者透露,并称这一水平"应该是目前北京这边(同类产品中)最高的了"。 "开门红"并未改变整体利率下行的大趋势。进入12月,仍有不少中小银行继续下调挂牌存款利率。业内 人士指出,"高息揽储"更多是短期营销策略,长期来看,存款利率整体仍处于下行通道。 "利率+礼品"组合揽储 "1.9%这个利率,得来咱们柜台存。"有银行客户经理对记者表示。 记者日前走访北京多家银行网点发现,不少银行线上APP显示的存款利率与线下柜面实际可享利率存在 差异。以某城商行为例,其手机银行APP上显示,北京地区3年期定期存款年利率最高为1.75%,2年期 和5年期则均为1.6%;但据该行客户经理介绍,若客户为"新资金"且到柜面办理,单笔金额20万元以 上,3年期定存利率可达1.9%。 "现在不少 ...
平安集团副首席投资官路昊阳: 低利率周期增配权益 是各国险企必经之路
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-12-04 23:26
近日,"第十九届深圳国际金融博览会暨2025中国金融机构年会"在深圳举行。在"中国保险业资产负债 管理年会"分论坛上,平安集团副首席投资官路昊阳发表了《发挥长线资金优势,积极践行耐心资本担 当》的主题演讲。他表示,借鉴海外市场的经验,在低利率环境下增配权益资产是不二选择,中国股票 的吸引力愈发凸显。 (原标题:平安集团副首席投资官路昊阳: 低利率周期增配权益 是各国险企必经之路) 证券时报记者 杨庆婉 "我们不是来股市'炒股'的,而是来选择可以长期投资的公司,用长期主义分享其利润的增长和估值的 扩张。"路昊阳表示,成本相对刚性、资金体量大、负债久期长是保险资金的主要特性,决定了保险资 金天生就是"耐心资本"。同时,保险资金是"负债驱动、追求稳健"的资金,意味着今天收的保费,未来 要能变成稳定的现金流去支付给客户,"客户在春天播种,秋天须有收获"。 据路昊阳介绍,市场上还是较为缺乏长久期资产去匹配如此大体量的保险负债。2024年末寿险行业平均 负债久期16.3年,目前行业规模调整后久期缺口为9.2年。20世纪以来,中国保险资金规模进入高速增长 期,截至2025年三季度末保险资金运用余额达37万亿元,其中股票投资 ...
平安集团副首席投资官路昊阳: 低利率周期增配权益是各国险企必经之路
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-12-04 17:48
"平安集团所管理的保险资产现已超6万亿元,其中二级市场权益投资规模超8000亿元。"路昊阳透露, 平安集团内部制定了"五大匹配"原则,即资产与负债久期匹配、投资与收益要求匹配、投资与流动性需 求匹配、投资与风险安全要求匹配、投资与财务报表要求匹配。 当前,保险行业普遍面临低利率环境下资产收益无法满足负债成本要求的困境,资产负债匹配的挑战不 断加大。而全球保险机构在穿越低利率环境方面早有探索,特别是美国、日本等经历过低利率周期的国 家。日本在20世纪90年代经济泡沫破裂后、利率持续走低,其国内保险业经历了严重危机,多家保险公 司破产,剩下的险企在投资方面做对了两件事:一是大幅增加海外配置,赚取息差,缓解负债匹配压 力;二是增配国内高股息股票作为"压舱石",有效覆盖了负债成本。美国险企面对低利率时,更多是选 择主动调降负债,在保证成本的同时大幅增配权益,与客户共同承担风险,同时利用权益的波动性弥补 低利率环境下产品吸引力的不足。德国险企虽略有保守但不缺灵活,一方面通过利率债严格把控久期缺 口,另一方面通过适当加大二级市场权益投资和挖掘一级市场的股权投资机会,全面提升长期收益水 平。 "增配权益是各国险企度过低利率 ...
低利率下,居民财富如何增长→
第一财经· 2025-11-26 02:54
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the challenges and opportunities presented by the low interest rate environment, emphasizing the need for diversified wealth management strategies among residents to achieve wealth growth despite declining traditional savings options [4][11]. Group 1: Changes in Wealth Management Demand - The low interest rate cycle is reshaping residents' wealth management needs and risk preferences, moving away from reliance on real estate and high-interest deposits to a more diversified asset allocation approach [6]. - Three significant changes in client demands for wealth management have been identified: a rational adjustment of investment return expectations, an increasing demand for protection products, and a growing awareness of global asset allocation [6][9]. - The insurance market reflects this trend, with a 20% year-on-year growth in premium income from insurance channels, particularly in long-term dividend insurance products related to retirement [6][9]. Group 2: Fund Market Trends - The fund market is also showing signs of changing demands, with a recovery in the issuance of equity funds and a notable increase in "fixed income plus" products, which saw a net inflow of 460 billion yuan in the third quarter [7][8]. - The strategy of combining "fixed income" as a base with "opportunistic" assets is being recommended to adapt to the low interest rate environment, with a focus on risk-adjusted returns [9][12]. Group 3: Asset Management Era - The article posits that China is entering a true asset management era, where equity assets are becoming the core vehicle for future wealth growth, driven by technological innovation [11]. - International investment teams are increasingly optimistic about Chinese assets, particularly in sectors like artificial intelligence, new energy, and electric vehicles, which are seen as having global competitiveness [11][12]. Group 4: Multi-Dimensional Asset Allocation - Financial institutions are encouraged to adopt a multi-dimensional asset allocation strategy to optimize domestic and international assets, thereby diversifying risks and capturing opportunities [13]. - Active management capabilities are highlighted as a core competitive advantage for fund companies, emphasizing the importance of long-termism and deep research foundations [13].
低利率下,居民财富如何增长?多元配置成破局之道
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2025-11-25 13:12
Core Insights - The traditional method of wealth management through bank deposits is becoming less viable as one-year fixed deposit rates fall below 1%, indicating a shift towards a low-interest-rate environment [1] - Financial institutions are adapting to this change by offering diversified wealth management strategies that balance returns, security, and global asset allocation [1][3] Wealth Management Demand Changes - There are three significant changes in wealth management demand: a rational adjustment of return expectations, an increased demand for protective products, and a growing awareness of global asset allocation [3] - The insurance market reflects this trend, with a 20% year-on-year growth in premium income from insurance channels, particularly in long-term dividend insurance products related to retirement [3] Fund Market Trends - The fund market is also showing a shift in demand, with a recovery in the issuance of equity funds and a notable increase in "fixed income plus" products, which saw a net buying volume of 460 billion yuan in the third quarter [5][6] Multi-Asset Strategies - Financial institutions are employing dual-track strategies of "core assets + opportunity assets" to navigate the low-interest environment, focusing on products like "fixed income plus," structured products, and dividend insurance [6] - The emphasis on multi-asset investment strategies is seen as essential for achieving higher returns while managing risks [6] Asset Management Era - The low-interest environment presents both challenges and opportunities, marking the beginning of a true asset management era in China, where equity assets are becoming central to wealth growth [7] - There is a positive long-term outlook for Chinese assets, particularly in sectors like AI, new energy, and innovative pharmaceuticals, which are gaining global competitiveness [7][8]
中国太保苏罡:传统配置策略面临巨大挑战,保险资产负债管理必须“以产品为原点”
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-20 10:38
Core Viewpoint - The 19th Shenzhen International Financial Expo and the 2025 China Financial Institutions Annual Conference highlighted the importance of asset-liability management in the insurance industry, emphasizing the need for long-term strategies in a low-interest-rate environment [1]. Group 1: Asset-Liability Management - Insurance funds are primarily driven by policy liabilities, with approximately 90% originating from these liabilities, necessitating long-term management of funds [1]. - The characteristics of liabilities include rigid cash flow and high cost stickiness, which require careful management of the asset side to ensure sustainable returns [1]. Group 2: Investment Strategies - In a low-interest-rate cycle, traditional investment strategies face pressure on both ends, leading to persistent reinvestment risks, thus necessitating the search for long-term investment logic [1]. - The asset allocation should focus on safety, profitability, and liquidity, adhering to the principles of asset-liability management [1]. Group 3: Cost Management - The liability side should focus on reducing costs, optimizing structure, and increasing flexibility, which includes measures such as actively lowering new policy preset interest rates to reduce rigid costs [1]. - Optimizing the interest source structure is essential to lower costs associated with liabilities [1].