日本总务省称，自2022年4月以来，这一关键通胀指标一直保持在或高于日本央行2%的目标。而日本央 行已强调了利率正常化以确保物价稳定的重要性。资源贫乏的日本严重依赖进口来满足其食品和能源需 求。 （文章来源：新华财经） 新华财经北京11月21日电数据显示，受食品价格上涨的推动，日本10月份核心CPI较上年同期上涨 3.0%，这加剧了人们对央行将在不久的将来提高政策利率以抑制通胀的预期。 日本政府表示，剔除波动较大的生鲜食品后，全国物价较上月上涨，此前9月其涨幅已为2.9%，这凸显 出日元急剧贬值导致的进口成本上升所产生的负面影响。 ...

中信证券研报称，10月CPI数据超预期引发市场高度关注，大消费领域市场涨幅居前。经复盘，2025年 我国CPI同比始终处于低位运行态势的两大核心拖累项是食品和原油；核心CPI的表现显著超出市场预 期，其中核心商品价格涨幅显著高于核心服务，其他用品和服务（主要为金饰品）、耐用消费品是其中 最超预期的贡献项。展望2026年，综合考虑居民当前损益表与资产负债表的边际变化以及国补可能有所 退坡的情况，中性情景下我们预计核心CPI同比、CPI同比中枢分别为0.8%、0.8%。宏观经济运行方 面，10月经济数据供需两端均有所回落，新型政策性金融工具落地生效仍需时间。 ...

Core Insights - The continuous expansion of the core CPI for six months is seen as a positive sign, but it is insufficient to determine whether a true turning point in China's economic prices has been reached, requiring further evaluation of upcoming data [1][14]. Economic Performance - In October, the total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 2.9% year-on-year, marking a decline in growth rate for five consecutive months [2]. - The core CPI rose by 1.2% year-on-year in October, with the growth rate expanding for the sixth consecutive month, indicating a potential turning point in price trends and a signal of recovering consumer demand [2][3]. Consumption Trends - The decline in retail sales growth is attributed to a "supply-demand imbalance," highlighting the need for enhanced consumer demand [3]. - Consumption has become the primary driver of GDP growth this year, with various policies introduced to stimulate consumption, such as "trade-in" programs [3]. Price Dynamics - The core CPI's rise is influenced by factors such as the consumption boost from the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holidays and a surge in gold prices [7]. - Service prices have been gradually recovering since March, with notable increases in airfares and hotel accommodation prices [7]. Future Outlook - Experts suggest that while the core CPI's growth reflects improving terminal consumer demand, it also indicates underlying pressures on food and energy prices [14]. - The overall CPI is expected to remain low, with projections indicating that achieving a 2% or 3% year-on-year CPI growth next year will require multiple favorable factors, including a recovery in real estate prices and improvements in median income growth [15].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that China's economic growth is facing challenges, with a decline in social retail sales and an increase in core CPI, suggesting a complex economic environment [2][3][12] - In October, the social retail sales total increased by 2.9% year-on-year, marking a continuous decline for five months, while the core CPI rose by 1.2%, indicating a potential turning point in consumer demand [2][8] - Experts highlight a "supply-demand imbalance" in the economy, emphasizing the need for enhanced consumer demand to address the declining retail sales growth [2][12] Group 2 - The increase in core CPI is attributed to factors such as the consumption stimulus from the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holidays, as well as rising gold prices, with service prices also showing a recovery [7][8] - The core CPI's growth reflects improvements in terminal consumer demand, but it also indicates underlying pressures on food and energy prices, which remain low [13][14] - The overall CPI has been operating at low levels, with experts suggesting that while the core CPI's increase is a positive sign, it is not sufficient to confirm a definitive turning point in the economy [11][12]

其他用品及服务是居民消费价格指数（CPI）统计中的第八大类，涵盖珠宝、手表、殡葬用品等非日常 耐用消费品及服务，在2025年前三季度占全国居民人均消费支出的3.0%。 这个项目再细分就是，实物用品：如珠宝首饰、手表、箱包等耐用消费品。服务项目：如殡葬服务、美 容美发服务、家庭维修服务等。 数据显示，2025年前三季度，全国居民人均其他用品及服务消费支出为639元，占人均消费支出的 3.0%，增速达10.3%。 对这个数据影响最大的部分是珠宝、贵金属商品。按照2024年年末的情况，黄金的权重分别占CPI和核 心CPI的2.7%和4.9%，金饰品和铂金价格同比去年分别上涨了50.3%和46.1%。国盛证券的研报测算，强 调国内黄金期货价格与CPI的"其他用品和服务"呈现明显的正相关关系，如果剔除贵金属价格的上涨， 10月CPI和核心CPI同比分别是负的0.2%和0.6%。 10月份通胀水平引发市场关注，核心CPI连涨6个月，同比上涨幅度达到1.2%。尤其值得注意的是服务 价格的持续回升。 具体来看，10月CPI同比上涨0.2%，环比上涨0.2%。扣除食品和能源价格的核心CPI同比上涨1.2%，涨 幅连续第6个月扩 ...

Group 1: CPI Analysis - In October 2025, the national consumer price index (CPI) increased by 0.2% year-on-year, with urban areas rising by 0.3% and rural areas declining by 0.2%[12] - Food prices decreased by 2.9%, while non-food prices increased by 0.9%[12] - Core CPI rose by 1.2%, marking the highest increase since March 2024, indicating steady demand growth[15] Group 2: PPI Trends - The producer price index (PPI) fell by 2.1% year-on-year in October 2025, but the decline narrowed by 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous month[14] - PPI showed a month-on-month increase of 0.1%, marking the first rise in 2025[20] - Key industries such as black metal mining and coal mining saw price declines narrow or recover, indicating ongoing improvement in PPI[22] Group 3: Policy Implications - The low CPI and PPI levels create room for more aggressive macroeconomic policies, including proactive fiscal measures and moderate monetary easing[5] - Continuous improvement in industrial product prices suggests a stable economic recovery trend[30] Group 4: Risks - Potential risks include worsening geopolitical events, changes in international financial conditions, and unexpected shifts in China-U.S. policies[6]

国家统计局新闻发言人、总经济师、国民经济综合统计司司长付凌晖分析指出，CPI环比涨幅扩大主要是由于国 庆、中秋假期消费扩大和工业消费品价格上涨带动。假日旅游出行需求旺盛，带动交通和住宿价格上涨。10月 份，服务价格环比上涨0.2%，影响CPI环比上涨0.07个百分点。其中，宾馆住宿、飞机票和旅游价格环比分别上涨 8.6%、4.5%和2.5%。同时假日用餐需求增加，带动食品价格上涨。10月份，食品价格环比上涨0.3%，其中鲜菜、 羊肉、鲜果、虾蟹类和牛肉价格环比涨幅在0.5%和4.3%之间。工业消费品价格环比也在上涨。10月份，扣除能源 的工业消费品价格环比上涨0.3%，影响CPI环比上涨0.07个百分点。 从同比看，扣除食品和能源后的核心CPI同比上涨1.2%，涨幅比上个月扩大0.2个百分点，连续六个月涨幅扩大。 居民消费价格同比由降转涨，主要是国内市场供求关系改善，服务价格和工业消费品价格回升带动影响。我国粮 食等食品供应充足，加之国际能源价格下行的输入性影响，今年以来国内食品和能源价格持续下降，对CPI影响 较大。此外，国际金价上涨对国内的传导效应也影响了CPI回升。 "总的来看，在促进价格合理回升的各项 ...

Core Insights - The consumer price index (CPI) in Wuhan increased by 0.1% year-on-year in October, with the core CPI (excluding food and energy) rising by 1.0%, indicating a dual drive of consumption upgrade and policy effects on market vitality [1][2] Group 1: Consumer Trends - The robust growth of core CPI is attributed to the dual pull from services and industrial consumer goods [2] - Wuhan has remained one of the top ten popular tourist destinations in China since the National Day holiday, with post-holiday travel still thriving [2] - Prices for air tickets and accommodations increased by 4.4% and 4.0% year-on-year, respectively, in mid to late October [2] - Prices for cultural and entertainment smart devices, such as tablets and wearable devices, rose by 4.3% year-on-year [2] - The rise in prices for maternal and infant care services by 3.2% year-on-year reflects the growing scientific parenting concepts among the new generation of parents [2] Group 2: Consumer Goods and Policies - Policies aimed at reducing "involution" are beginning to show results, with a notable shift in consumer preferences towards quality and technology in vehicles [2] - The price decline for fuel vehicles and new energy vehicles narrowed by 3.4 and 1.3 percentage points year-on-year, respectively, while sales saw a significant increase [2] - The "national subsidy" policy has diversified consumer demand, leading to a 2.8% year-on-year price increase for aesthetically pleasing and functional small appliances [2] Group 3: Price Changes and Economic Impact - In October, the prices of essential goods such as pork and fresh vegetables decreased by 19.5% and 7.7% year-on-year, respectively, contributing to lower living costs for residents [6] - The price of gasoline and diesel fell by 5.6% and 5.9%, respectively, further reducing household expenses [6] - The core CPI's upward trend indicates a shift in consumption towards service-oriented and improvement-focused sectors [6] - Among eight categories of goods and services, six experienced price increases, with "other goods and services" seeing a significant rise of 12.9% year-on-year [6] - The current consumer market in Wuhan is transitioning from "recovery growth" to "structural upgrade," driven by ongoing policy effects and the emergence of new business formats [6]

Group 1: CPI Trends - In October, Sichuan's Consumer Price Index (CPI) decreased by 0.6% year-on-year, with a narrowing decline of 0.3 percentage points compared to the previous month, and a month-on-month increase of 0.4% [1][2] - The average CPI from January to October in Sichuan fell by 0.4% compared to the same period last year [1] Group 2: Price Movements - Fresh vegetable and fruit prices increased by 5.7% and 2.2% month-on-month in October, primarily due to seasonal factors and the demand surge during the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival [2][3] - Pork prices continued to decline, with a month-on-month decrease of 1.9% and a year-on-year drop of 20.2%, attributed to sufficient market supply and the timing of seasonal consumption [3] - Egg prices also fell by 1.3% month-on-month due to temporary oversupply and post-holiday demand drop [4] Group 3: Core CPI Insights - The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose by 0.9% year-on-year in October, marking a 0.3 percentage point increase from the previous month, the highest since February 2023 [4] - Service prices contributed to the core CPI increase, with notable rises in air ticket prices (10.8%), travel agency fees (7.3%), and accommodation costs (3.4%) [4] Group 4: PPI Trends - The Producer Price Index (PPI) in Sichuan fell by 2.5% year-on-year in October, with a month-on-month decrease of 0.3%, reflecting a shift from previous increases [7] - The automotive manufacturing sector saw a month-on-month price drop of 0.5%, while electricity and heat production prices decreased by 1.5% month-on-month [7] - Despite the overall decline, some industries, such as computer manufacturing and non-ferrous metal processing, showed signs of price recovery [7] Group 5: Future Outlook - For the fourth quarter, the PPI is expected to continue operating at low levels, but the rate of decline may narrow due to improved market demand and ongoing policy support [8] - The "anti-involution" policies are positively impacting certain industries, leading to a reduction in price declines in sectors like coal and metal processing [8]

Group 1 - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) in Shenzhen increased by 0.4% year-on-year in October 2025, with the core CPI rising by 0.9%, marking a 0.1 percentage point increase from the previous month [1] - Average CPI from January to October 2025 rose by 0.1% compared to the same period last year [1] - Food prices decreased by 1.5%, with rice, pork, and dairy prices falling by 10.0%, 6.3%, and 4.4% respectively, contributing to a 0.17 percentage point decline in CPI [1] Group 2 - Non-food prices increased by 0.7%, with medical services and utilities rising by 6.3% and 1.4%, respectively, contributing to a 0.29 percentage point increase in CPI [1] - Jewelry and platinum prices surged by 51.1% and 56.4%, respectively, adding approximately 0.21 percentage points to the CPI [1] - The CPI remained stable month-on-month, following a 0.2% decline in the previous month [1] Group 3 - The pork market is currently characterized by strong supply and weak demand, leading to a 2.1% decrease in pork prices [2] - The arrival of seasonal fruits has increased supply, resulting in a 2.8% drop in fresh fruit prices [2] - Non-food prices remained stable, with hotel accommodation and travel agency fees rising by 7.6% and 4.1% during the National Day holiday, contributing to a 0.06 percentage point increase in CPI [2]