2026 年 3 月 1 日 电力设备新能源、环保 看好 Token 出海背景下电力运营商价值重估 ——电新环保行业周报 20260301 电力设备新能源 买入（维持） 环保 买入（维持） 作者 分析师：殷中枢 执业证书编号：S0930518040004 010-58452071 yinzs@ebscn.com 分析师：郝骞 执业证书编号：S0930520050001 021-52523827 haoqian@ebscn.com 分析师：陈无忌 执业证书编号：S0930522070001 021-52523693 chenwuji@ebscn.com 分析师：和霖 执业证书编号：S0930523070006 021-52523853 helin@ebscn.com 分析师：邓怡亮 执业证书编号：S0930525070003 021-52523802 dengyiliang@ebscn.com 行业与沪深 300 指数对比图 -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 2025/2/27 2025/6/29 2025/10/29 2026/2/28 电力设备(申万) 环保(申万) 沪深300 资料来源：i ...

点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 氢氨醇：1月30日，中共中央政治局就前瞻布局和发展未来产业进行了集体学习。"十五五"期间，基于中 国未来产业、26年欧盟碳关税双重利好加持下，看好氢氨醇统筹、规模化、超前建设，碳、氢等相关政 策、也可与化工板块形成轮动； 太空光伏：讨论技术和基本面意义不大，当前市场流动性充裕，且商业航天是主线之一、光伏板块机构持 仓较低，相关行情或将具有一定持续性； 权重股反弹：经过一段时间整体调整后，权重股标的股价均有一定性价比，具有一定配置价值。 （2）可持续波段性操作： AIDC电源：关注国产算力机会，看好国内AIDC建设，亦可配合AI应用形成板块轮动；海外层面HVDC方 案放量、SST技术合作进展有望兑现； 户储：英国150亿英镑"温暖家庭计划"预计到2030年将新增安装300万户的光伏，叠加美国极端天气、澳洲 户储补贴政策等催化，板块估值有望持续提升； 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限 ...

2026 年 2 月 1 日 电力设备新能源、环保 《关于完善发电侧容量电价机制的通知》出台 ——电新环保行业周报 20260201 电力设备新能源 买入（维持） 环保 买入（维持） 作者 分析师：殷中枢 执业证书编号：S0930518040004 010-58452071 yinzs@ebscn.com 分析师：郝骞 执业证书编号：S0930520050001 021-52523827 haoqian@ebscn.com 分析师：陈无忌 执业证书编号：S0930522070001 021-52523693 chenwuji@ebscn.com 分析师：和霖 执业证书编号：S0930523070006 021-52523853 helin@ebscn.com 分析师：邓怡亮 执业证书编号：S0930525070003 021-52523802 dengyiliang@ebscn.com 行业与沪深 300 指数对比图 -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 2025/1/30 2025/6/1 2025/10/1 2026/1/31 电力设备(申万) 环保(申万) 沪深300 资料来源：iFinD 要 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Goldwind Technology (02208.HK) announced that there has been unusual volatility in its A-share stock trading, but there are no significant changes in its operational situation or external business environment [3] - The company confirmed that there are no major undisclosed matters or significant events in the planning stage, and its largest shareholder has not traded the company's stock during the period of unusual volatility [3] - Goldwind Technology holds equity in Landspace, a private commercial rocket company in China, which is noted for being the first to successfully launch a liquid oxygen-methane rocket [3] Group 2 - According to Everbright Securities, the recent rapid increase in Goldwind Technology's stock price is attributed to the commercial aerospace market, but expectations for its hydrogen-ammonia logic market remain relatively low, indicating potential areas for future focus [3]

Investment Ratings - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both the power equipment and environmental sectors [1]. Core Views - The report expresses a positive outlook on investment opportunities in the energy storage and hydrogen-ammonia sectors, highlighting ongoing domestic and international developments that support growth in these areas [3][4][5]. Summary by Relevant Sections Energy Storage - Domestic energy storage continues to show strong demand, with significant GWh-level tenders such as CGN's 7.2GWh and Xinjiang Corps' 1200MWh projects. The expectation is that independent energy storage tenders will maintain good levels through 2026, supported by a complete revenue model from energy, capacity, and ancillary service markets [3][7]. - Internationally, the U.S. continues to face electricity shortages, driving demand for energy storage solutions. The latest capacity auction in the U.S. saw prices reach $333.44 per MW-day, indicating a strong need for reliable power sources [7]. - In November 2025, domestic new energy storage installations totaled 4.51GW/13.03GWh, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 57.14% in power and 74.66% in capacity [8]. Hydrogen-Ammonia and Wind Power - The report notes the launch of China's largest integrated green hydrogen-ammonia project in Jilin, which is expected to drive further development in this sector. Additionally, Poland's successful offshore wind auction for 3.4GW of capacity is anticipated to enhance the European offshore wind market [4]. - The report emphasizes the importance of hydrogen-ammonia as a key direction for renewable energy consumption and non-electric applications, supported by favorable policies and market conditions [4]. Lithium Battery Sector - The lithium market is experiencing a shift, with expectations of continued demand despite a potential slowdown in new energy vehicle sales. The report highlights the importance of monitoring supply chain dynamics, particularly in lithium mining and production [5][20]. - The report suggests that the ongoing negotiations for long-term contracts in the lithium battery supply chain may face challenges, but the overall supply-demand balance is expected to improve [23]. Wind Power - The report indicates that China's onshore wind power installations reached 75.8GW in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 9.68%, while offshore wind installations saw a decrease of 40.85% [9]. - The bidding capacity for wind turbines in 2024 is projected at 164.1GW, a 90% increase year-on-year, indicating a robust market outlook for wind power [14][19].

Investment Ratings - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both the power equipment and environmental protection sectors [1]. Core Views - The Central Economic Work Conference emphasizes the application of green electricity and promotes the development of hydrogen, ammonia, methanol, and energy storage, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in green energy sectors in 2026 [3]. - Domestic energy storage saw significant growth in November, with newly installed capacity reaching 4.51GW/13.03GWh, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 57.14% in power and 74.66% in capacity [3][7]. - The report highlights the importance of hydrogen and green fuels as new growth points, with expectations for increased investment in these areas due to supportive policies and market conditions [4]. Summary by Sections Energy Storage - Domestic energy storage is experiencing a boom, with November's new installations showing a 45.95% year-on-year increase in power and a 49.6% increase in capacity [3][7]. - The report anticipates that independent energy storage tenders will maintain a good level in 2026, supported by a complete revenue model through energy markets and auxiliary services [3]. Hydrogen and Green Fuels - The report suggests that hydrogen and methanol will play a crucial role in the non-electric applications of green electricity, with significant investment expected in these areas [4]. - The development of zero-carbon parks and factories is also highlighted as a key initiative for 2026 [3]. Wind Power - The report notes that in 2024, onshore wind power installations are expected to reach 75.8GW, a year-on-year increase of 9.68%, while offshore wind installations are projected to be 4.0GW, a decrease of 40.85% [8]. - The bidding capacity for wind power equipment in 2024 is expected to be 164.1GW, a 90% increase year-on-year [13]. Lithium Battery - The report indicates that the demand for lithium batteries remains strong, with December's retail sales of new energy vehicles expected to show a bright performance despite a year-on-year decline of 17% [19]. - The supply chain for lithium batteries is expected to stabilize, with ongoing negotiations for long-term contracts and price adjustments [22][23].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [3][10]. Core Insights - The company is a clean energy equipment platform under CIMC, focusing on LNG transportation, storage, and processing equipment, with a strong financial position and a projected CAGR of 17% for net profit from 2020 to 2024, driven by the growth in clean energy equipment [9][10]. - The company has a robust order book, with total orders amounting to 30.8 billion yuan as of Q3 2025, including 27.3 billion yuan in clean energy equipment [10][51]. - The report highlights the potential for growth in hydrogen and methanol businesses, supported by national policies and increasing demand for clean energy solutions [12][10]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company, established in 2004, is a subsidiary of CIMC, primarily engaged in the production of various transportation, storage, and processing equipment for clean energy, chemical environments, and liquid food industries [20][21]. - The company has shown steady revenue and profit growth, with a CAGR of 19% for revenue and 17% for net profit from 2020 to 2024 [26][32]. 2. Energy Equipment - The company benefits from a full order book in clean energy equipment, with significant growth expected in LNG storage and transportation due to declining natural gas prices and increasing demand [9][10]. - The report notes that the company is well-positioned to capitalize on the LNG market, with a projected increase in LNG-powered vessels and infrastructure [62][66]. 3. Energy Operations - The company is expanding its operations in blue hydrogen and green methanol production, with projects expected to come online in the near future [10][12]. - The focus on utilizing by-products from steel production for hydrogen and LNG production is highlighted as a key growth area [21][61]. 4. Chemical and Food Industries - The company holds a significant market share in chemical tank containers, although it faces short-term pressures from the chemical cycle [32][34]. - The liquid food segment is also impacted by consumer trends, but diversification strategies are in place to enhance resilience [32][34]. 5. Investment Analysis - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 1.133 billion, 1.469 billion, and 1.762 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 13, 10, and 8 [10][11]. - The report suggests a reasonable valuation of 19.1 billion yuan for 2026, indicating a potential upside of 29% from the current market capitalization [10][11].

Group 1: Costco (COST.O) Q1 FY2026 Earnings Call - Key focus on membership growth and renewal rates, same-store sales performance, e-commerce growth, and the resilience of affluent customer spending in an inflationary environment [2] - Management's outlook on supply chain stability and store expansion strategy is also noteworthy [2] Group 2: Broadcom (AVGO.O) Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call - Attention on management's specific guidance for the upcoming year, particularly regarding the revenue explosion from Google TPU chips and when new customer orders (e.g., OpenAI) will contribute to substantial performance [5] - Inquiry into whether the high growth of AI business can be sustained and dominate the company's future [5] Group 3: Electric New Energy Industry Investment Strategy - Focus on high growth and anti-involution strategies for the electric new energy sector in 2026, utilizing energy and power system analysis methods [8] - Comprehensive discussion on investment opportunities, timing, and risks in sub-sectors such as AI power, energy storage, hydrogen ammonia, lithium batteries, wind power, and photovoltaics [8] Group 4: A-Share Market Outlook for 2026 - The beginning of the "14th Five-Year Plan" is expected to strengthen reform policy expectations, with the RMB exchange rate steadily rising, supporting liquidity [10] - Future earnings are anticipated to take over valuation as the key focus of the market, with policy dividends and industrial opportunities expected to deeply integrate [10] Group 5: Financial Institutions' Asset Management Behavior Outlook for 2026 - The "Big Central Bank" era is reshaping the financial market landscape for 2026, with central banks enhancing curve control through interest rate guidance [14] - The improvement in liability costs for state-owned banks is expected to boost trading functions, while smaller banks face constraints from fund redemptions and liability pressures [14] - Reasonable liquidity and steadily declining financing costs are expected to solidify the foundation for a slow bull market in equities, with the "deposit migration" trend likely to inject incremental funds into the market [14]

Group 1 - The overall A-share market experienced wide fluctuations, with major indices showing slight weekly gains and increased trading volume [5] - The short-term pullback pressure may have been released, indicating a return to a consolidation phase, with a positive outlook for market rebounds [5] - The investment strategy suggested focuses on "dividend + technology" as the main allocation theme, with dividends expected to perform better in terms of volatility [5] Group 2 - The electrolytic aluminum spot price reached its highest level since May 2022, indicating potential recovery in the steel sector's profitability [6] - The copper industry reported a 1% month-on-month increase in China's electrolytic copper production for November, with cable enterprise operating rates rising for five consecutive weeks [6] - The supply-demand dynamics in the copper market are expected to remain tight, supporting a bullish outlook for copper prices [6] Group 3 - China National Petroleum Corporation is recognized as a significant state-owned enterprise and a major global oil and gas producer, benefiting from its integrated operations across various energy sectors [7] - The energy sector is seeing a focus on investment opportunities in hydrogen, ammonia, and energy storage, with expectations for stable domestic bidding levels in 2026 [7] - The lithium battery sector is highlighted for potential investment opportunities, particularly in lithium mines and production processes that are currently under pressure [7] Group 4 - The first commercial insurance innovative drug directory was released, including 24 drugs, with 19 successfully negotiated for pricing, expanding market opportunities for innovative drugs in China [8] - The implementation of this directory is expected to create a broader market space for innovative pharmaceuticals amid the continuous emergence of new global drugs [8]

Group 1: Energy Storage - In November, domestic energy storage completed a total of 10GW/29.7GWh in bidding, with independent storage projects accounting for 90% of the total. The average bid price for 2/4h systems was 0.594/0.494 CNY/Wh, showing a slight decrease compared to October. It is expected that independent storage bidding will maintain a good level in 2026, supported by the development of the industry and a complete revenue model through energy, capacity, and ancillary service markets [4] - The logic for overseas energy storage continues to evolve, with the overall electricity shortage in the U.S. remaining unchanged. Future technological advancements are expected to be a key focus, with attention on overseas storage and SST opportunities. Demand for energy storage in non-U.S. countries is also anticipated to rise, such as in Middle Eastern data centers and Ukraine's reconstruction efforts [4] Group 2: Hydrogen and Ammonia - The Jilin Provincial Ecological Environment Department has accepted the environmental impact report for a project by Liao Yuan Tian Yi Hydrogen Energy Technology Co., Ltd., which aims to produce 180,000 tons of green methane annually. This project is part of the "wind-solar-storage-hydrogen-ammonia integration" series under a government framework agreement. The hydrogen and ammonia sector is expected to gain more investment due to dual benefits from China's future industries and the EU's carbon tariff in 2026 [5] Group 3: Lithium Battery - Production in December is expected to remain stable, with demand anticipated to improve in January. The market is currently negotiating on the demand side regarding domestic energy storage bidding expectations for 2026, while also monitoring the sales of new energy vehicles. On the supply side, the lithium battery industry is experiencing a "reverse involution" logic, establishing a trend of supply-demand improvement. Short-term expectations for lithium hexafluorophosphate are already high, and various segments are gradually entering long-term contract signing phases. Mid-term investment opportunities should focus on lithium mines with significant supply variability and membrane segments where profitability does not support expansion [6]