在市场看来，美克家居通过"止损优化+政策红利+赛道升级"的三重布局，已勾勒出清晰的成长路径。 随着算力业务落地与家居主业复苏形成共振，公司有望突破此前的增长瓶颈，实现价值重估。 此外，2025年度美克家居预亏主要源于行业周期性调整，而非公司核心竞争力退化。从行业背景看， 2025年家居行业整体面临地产周期换挡压力，但积极信号已在显现：2025年前三季度家具零售业销售收 入同比增长33.2%，存量房改造、局部焕新等需求持续释放。进入2026年，国补新政精准聚焦绿色家 居、智能产品与适老改造，单户补贴上限提升至3万元，且支持与地方消费券叠加使用，为行业需求复 苏注入强心剂。 据悉，美克家居已提前布局适配政策导向：通过"AI智家"工具实现智能化设计服务，与头部地产合作深 耕精装房配套，拓展局部改造业务线，30万高价值会员贡献57%渠道销售额。在业内人士看来，随着政 策红利逐步落地，美克家居的家居主业有望借助行业复苏周期实现业绩反弹。 值得关注的是，根据公告，美克家居正在筹划以发行股票及支付现金的方式购买深圳万德溙光电科技有 限公司(以下简称"万德溙")100%股权。 万德溙专注于25G-800G高速铜缆产品，作为A ...

反内卷后光伏产业链涨价，盈利修复带动光伏行情回归 20251228 摘要 光伏行业正经历反内卷，旨在避免低价竞争，实现产业链合理盈利，推 动价格全面修复。市场关注当前报价的成交量，但价格上涨有望逐步扩 大各环节盈利空间。 尽管 2026 年全球光伏装机可能出现阶段性回撤，但 AI、IDC 用电需求、 海外缺电及国内政策预期等多重因素支撑，整体需求或超市场预期，光 伏产业链价值修复带来投资机会。 数据中心电源领域，H200 芯片供应放开及人工智能行动意见加强算力 建设，将驱动国内数据中心建设。中恒电气、盛弘股份等在 HVDC 和服 务器电源领域具有优势。 锂电材料受供需关系影响，价格出现修复。固态电池方面，硫化物电解 质等新材料与电压设备等新设备取得进展。霞浦新能、中毅科技及设备 端拉科诺尔等值得关注。 储能领域，市场对 AIDC 配储需求预期较高。配置储能可实现削峰填谷 和平抑波动，提升供电稳定性。阳光电源、阿特斯及德业股份等公司在 储能领域具备发展潜力。 Q&A 当前光伏行业的主要趋势和价格变化是什么？ 本周光伏行业的产业价格出现了明显修复，光伏板块行情强势回归。多晶硅现 货报价显著上涨，一度接近期货价格。 ...

在论坛主旨报告环节，九位知名学者与专家分享了前沿见解。主旨报告第一阶段，南通大学原党委书 记、江苏长江经济带研究院院长成长春以《教育科技人才一体融通赋能数字中国建设》为题，系统阐释 了三者协同对数字中国的基石作用与实施路径；盐城师范学院党委副书记、校长张宏如对"数字经济提 升了就业数量？还是就业质量？"命题进行了剖析，并代表江苏沿海人才发展研究院现场发布了《中国 就业量质协调发展指数》；浙江工商大学副校长陈衍泰以浙江民营企业45年转型为例，生动阐述了从生 存型创业到数智化转型的"技术+模式"双轮驱动路径。 中新网江苏新闻12月22日电(殷凤春 许彤彤)12月20日，数字经济政产学研合作论坛暨首届经管学科青年 学者学术论坛在盐城举办。活动由盐城师范学院主办，中国科学学与科技政策研究会期刊工作委员会、 全国师范大学经济与管理学院(商学院)院长联席会协办。来自政府部门、高校、科研院所及行业企业的 100余名知名专家与青年学者，围绕"教育科技人才一体融通赋能数字经济高质量发展"主题，共商数字 经济发展大计，共绘政产学研协同发展新篇章。 活动现场。陈明明 摄 组建。陈明明 摄 主旨报告第二阶段，北京理工大学经济学院院长 ...

江苏长江经济带研究院院长成长春认为，数字中国建设是新时代我国推动高质量发展的核心战略之一。 教育、科技、人才作为支撑数字经济的三大核心要素，其一体融通是破解数字经济建设瓶颈、提升国际 竞争力的关键所在。北京理工大学经济学院院长王兆华认为，当前在数字经济领域的校企合作动力与能 力依旧失衡，需要构建"政—校—企—研—用"深度融合的生态体系。盐城师范学院校长张宏如通过调研 得出结论，在数字经济背景下实现就业量质显著提升，既要做好区域协同，强化产业链协同，更要完善 制度环境，优化市场竞争与数据治理制度，健全社会安全网与公共服务体系，完善适应产业链发展的劳 动保障制度。 本报讯(记者叶真)12月20日，数字经济政产学研合作论坛暨首届经管学科青年学者论坛在盐城举行。来 自全国高校的专家学者就数字经济高质量发展、就业、生产要素变革、人工智能和算力建设等关键词展 开讨论。在论坛上，沿海地区区域数字经济政产学研联盟启动，江苏沿海人才发展研究院发布《中国就 业量质协调发展指数》，盐城师范学院数字经济学院揭牌。 ...

湖北利川推动算力建设加快打造"武陵算谷" 中新网恩施12月15日电 (董晓斌 税浪 邹雄艳)投资额约2.5亿元的武陵山(利川)智算中心项目二期100P算 力近日在湖北利川投入运营，该项目正围绕"智算中心+文旅大模型+智慧场景"等方面，助推湖北武陵 山区数字经济发展。 游客在武陵山(利川)智算中心参观。董晓斌 摄 利川地处武陵山区，是恩施土家族苗族自治州面积最大的县级市。近年来，该市抓住数字经济发展机 遇，筹划了"智慧利川·人工智能新基建工程"，探索出一条具有山区特色的县域数字经济发展路径。 2023年底，武陵山(利川)智算中心破土动工，这是全国首个县域全栈国产化、自主可控的算力平台。 2024年3月，智算中心一期50P算力投用，用户涵盖政务、传媒、金融、新能源、汽车、物业等行业， 辐射武汉、合肥、成都等城市。 同时，利川开发出全国首个县域级文旅大模型，植入"AI游利川"智慧平台。"利川文旅行业数据丰富， 场景智能化程度高，在文旅数据的储备、时效方面均具有领先优势。"武陵山(利川)人工智能计算中心 负责人储昭武说。 利川打造数字经济产业生态。刘康 摄 在利川腾龙洞，搭载传感器的无人机在景区上空实时回传客流与地质 ...

Core Insights - Nebius, a Dutch AI infrastructure company, has secured significant contracts with Microsoft worth $19.4 billion and Meta worth $3 billion within three months, attracting industry attention [1][2] - The company reported a staggering revenue growth of 355% year-on-year in Q3 of FY2026, with its core data center business revenue increasing by 400% [1][22] - Nebius's stock price surged approximately 210% since the beginning of 2025, reflecting strong market performance [1] Financial Performance - In Q3 of FY2026, Nebius's revenue increased by 355% year-on-year and 38% quarter-on-quarter, with a core AI infrastructure EBITDA margin of 19% [22] - The company has sold all available computing power for the current fiscal quarter, indicating high demand for its services [22] Expansion Plans - Nebius plans to build a computing cluster with a total capacity of 2.5GW by 2026, equivalent to deploying approximately 1 to 1.25 million NVIDIA GPUs [2][20] - The company’s capital allocation strategy involves an initial 1% investment to secure land and power resources, followed by 18%-20% for building data centers, and 80% for GPU procurement based on confirmed contracts [5][25] Historical Context - Nebius traces its roots back to Yandex, a major Russian internet company founded in 1997, which provided it with a team of over 1,000 engineers and substantial assets [2][12] - The company was established after Yandex sold its Russian assets amid geopolitical tensions, allowing it to focus on AI infrastructure [11][12] Strategic Partnerships - Nebius maintains a close relationship with NVIDIA, which has facilitated access to advanced GPU resources, enhancing its competitive edge in the AI infrastructure market [15][17] - The company has also secured contracts with notable clients, including AI startups like Black Forest Labs and Anysphere, further solidifying its market position [22] Market Position - Nebius is positioned as a unique investment opportunity in the AI infrastructure sector, being one of the few publicly traded companies in this capital-intensive field [12] - The company’s ability to deliver comprehensive end-to-end AI infrastructure solutions distinguishes it from other emerging cloud providers [17][20]

Core Insights - The report highlights a gradual recovery in the domestic economy, with A-share market performance expected to improve due to supportive policies and capital flow [4][7][14] - The semiconductor industry is experiencing growth driven by AI demand, with significant capital expenditure from major cloud providers [24][25][27] - The chemical industry is entering a phase of recovery, with supply-demand dynamics improving and investment strategies focusing on specific sub-sectors [34][35] Domestic Market Performance - The A-share market has shown mixed performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index at 3,873.32, down 0.70%, and the Shenzhen Component Index at 13,147.39, down 1.27% [3] - The average P/E ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext are 16.00 and 49.52, respectively, indicating a suitable environment for medium to long-term investments [7][8] Industry Analysis - The chemical sector is witnessing a slowdown in price declines, with notable performance in sulfur and phosphate fertilizers, and an overall industry P/E ratio of 27.76, slightly below historical averages [15][16] - The telecommunications sector is benefiting from a rise in 5G users and increased telecom revenue, with a 10-month cumulative revenue of 14,670 billion yuan, up 0.9% year-on-year [17][18] - The food and beverage sector is experiencing a rebound, particularly in prepared foods and liquor, although overall performance remains weak compared to market benchmarks [21][22][23] Investment Strategies - The report suggests focusing on sectors with strong recovery potential, such as renewable energy, AI applications, and specific chemical sub-sectors like organic silicon and phosphate chemicals [34][35] - Investment opportunities are identified in the semiconductor industry, particularly in companies involved in AI chip production and telecommunications equipment [20][24][27] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring macroeconomic data and policy changes to identify potential investment opportunities across various sectors [7][14][30]

分析师：张刚 登记编码：S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 晨会聚焦 证券研究报告-晨会聚焦 发布日期：2025 年 12 月 09 日 资料来源：聚源，中原证券研究所 -13% -7% -1% 5% 10% 16% 22% 28% 2024.12 2025.04 2025.08 2025.12 上证指数 深证成指 | 国内市场表现 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指数名称 | | 昨日收盘价 | 涨跌幅(%) | | | 上证指数 | | 3,924.08 | | 0.54 | | 深证成指 | | 13,329.99 | | 1.39 | | 创业板指 | | 2,022.77 | | -0.47 | | 沪深 | 300 | 4,621.75 | | 0.81 | | 上证 | 50 | 2,443.97 | | -0.52 | | 科创 | 50 | 891.46 | | 0.14 | | 创业板 | 50 | 1,924.26 | | -0.67 | | 中证 | 100 | 4,49 ...

Core Insights - The report highlights the gradual recovery of the domestic market, with expectations for a 5% growth target for the year, supported by macroeconomic stabilization and upcoming policy meetings that may catalyze a new market rally [5][9][10] - The A-share market is experiencing a phase of consolidation, with various sectors such as aerospace robotics, coal, and non-ferrous metals leading the gains, while others like tourism and food and beverage are lagging [5][9][13] - The report emphasizes the importance of maintaining a balanced investment strategy, focusing on high-dividend defensive stocks and technology growth sectors [10][12] Domestic Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,875.79, with a slight decline of 0.06%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.40% to 13,006.72 [3] - The average price-to-earnings ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext indices are 15.94 and 47.66, respectively, indicating a suitable environment for medium to long-term investments [5][9] International Market Performance - Major international indices such as the Dow Jones and S&P 500 experienced declines of 0.67% and 0.45%, respectively, while the Nikkei 225 saw a modest increase of 0.62% [4] Industry Analysis - The report indicates that the charging and swapping service industry, along with information transmission and software services, are experiencing rapid growth in electricity consumption [16] - The coal production and import rates are declining, with a notable decrease in raw coal production by 2.3% year-on-year in October 2025 [17][18] - The report also notes that the chemical industry is gradually entering a recovery phase, with improved profitability in sectors like agricultural chemicals and fluorochemicals, while others face challenges due to overcapacity [21][22] Investment Recommendations - The report maintains a "stronger than the market" rating for the electric power and public utilities sector, suggesting a focus on stable, high-dividend companies [19] - In the chemical industry, it recommends monitoring integrated leaders such as Wanhua Chemical and Baofeng Energy, as well as sectors like organic silicon and phosphoric chemicals for investment opportunities [23][24] - The AI sector is highlighted for its rapid application growth, with recommendations to focus on companies involved in AI infrastructure and domestic chip production [24][25]

Group 1 - The computer industry is showing signs of improvement in both revenue and profit for 2025, with software business revenue reaching 11.11 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.0% [11][13] - The overall revenue for the computer industry in the first three quarters of 2025 is 1.51 trillion yuan, with a growth rate of 10.1% after excluding the high proportion of Industrial Fulian [13][16] - The net profit for the industry in the first three quarters of 2025 is 184 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 57.4% [16] Group 2 - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes self-sufficiency in key areas such as integrated circuits and basic software, with increased government procurement for domestic innovation [25][26] - The EDA sector has become a focal point of U.S. export controls, accelerating the demand for domestic alternatives [29][30] - The release of HarmonyOS 6 marks a significant milestone for Huawei, with terminal numbers surpassing 23 million, indicating a strong growth trajectory for domestic operating systems [38][41] Group 3 - The AI and computing concepts have shown significant growth, with the AI computing demand driving the "East Data West Computing" concept to rise by 146.8% in 2025 [20][21] - The overall valuation of the computer industry is above historical averages, with a TTM valuation of 55.33 times as of November 27, 2025 [21][24] - Domestic AI chip manufacturers are experiencing accelerated growth, with companies like Cambrian and Haiguang reporting substantial revenue increases [48][49] Group 4 - The integration of AI applications is expected to enhance the competitive advantage of integrated AI manufacturers, with DeepSeek collaborating with domestic chip manufacturers to optimize performance [4][4] - The demand for AI servers is increasing, requiring manufacturers to enhance their overall system design capabilities [3][3] - The trend towards liquid cooling technology is becoming mainstream as AI chip performance continues to improve [3][3]