分散投资
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多品牌黄金首饰克价重回千元
Guang Zhou Ri Bao· 2025-06-03 19:13
广州日报讯 (全媒体记者许晓芳)6月3日早间,COMEX黄金一度突破3417美元/盎司,金价再次逼近 历史最高位3500美元/盎司。与此同时,国内品牌首饰金价也同步走高,多个品牌足金饰品价格重回每 克千元以上。值得注意的是,这已是黄金年内第三次在3300美元关口上演"过山车"行情。 当前,分析机构对黄金商品市场的看法已经呈现出分化。高盛坚定看涨黄金,认为当前的回调是投资者 建立多头头寸的良机。该行维持2025年底金价3700美元/盎司、2026年中4000美元/盎司的预测目标。高 盛指出,尽管黄金ETF资金外流,但私营部门资产配置向黄金的温和转移,以及美联储延迟降息等因 素,共同构成了黄金价格的上行动力。 但花旗银行在最新报告中指出,虽然金价有望在2025年下半年继续在3100~3500美元/盎司区间震荡,但 长期前景不太乐观,预计2026年~2027年将出现显著回调。花旗认为,随着全球经济不确定性下降,市 场避险情绪或将减退,加之当前全球家庭黄金持有量已攀升至半世纪以来的峰值水平,市场对黄金的需 求可能会下降。 阅宝黄金集团投资经理、国家注册高级黄金分析师谢雪美认为,金价的上涨主要是因为国际贸易紧张局 势升 ...
金价再逼近历史高位,投资者可分散投资以降低风险
Guang Zhou Ri Bao· 2025-06-03 14:40
6月3日早间,COMEX黄金一度突破3417美元/盎司,金价再次逼近历史最高位3500美元/盎司,截至发 稿,COMEX黄金微跌0.35%,报3385.3美元/盎司。 市场避险情绪加剧,看好金价中枢上移 广州东山百货业务部经理戴崇业告诉记者,刚刚过去的三天假期黄金首饰销售额同比升54.8%、投资金 条销售额同比升47.6%,而五月份黄金首饰销售额同比升19.5%、投资金条销售额同比升7.4%,高金价 之下销售依旧高涨,其中婚庆金饰领跑。 分析人士建议,在当前复杂的市场环境下,投资者应采取谨慎的态度,并考虑分散投资以降低风险。这 意味着可以在黄金投资组合中加入其他类型的资产,如股票、债券或其他贵金属,以应对市场不确定 性。对于风险承受能力较低、追求资产保值增值的投资者而言,可以适当配置一定比例的黄金资产,如 黄金ETF、实物黄金等,以分散投资风险。一般而言,黄金资产在投资组合中的占比可以控制在 5%-15%左右,但衍生品交易具有较高的杠杆性,风险也相对较大,投资者应谨慎操作。 (文章来源:广州日报) 阅宝黄金集团投资经理、国家注册高级黄金分析师谢雪美也认为,金价的上涨主要是因为国际贸易紧张 局势升级,刺激市场避 ...
荐股骗局的“幸存者偏差”游戏:为什么你总被“小涨股票”迷惑?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-03 08:09
Group 1 - The allure of stock recommendation scams often involves enticing slogans such as "expert recommendations," "insider information," and "guaranteed profits," which attract investors through social media, telemarketing, and investment seminars [2] - Survivor bias is a significant factor in stock recommendation scams, where investors focus on successful cases while ignoring failures, leading to a misleading perception of potential returns [4] - Small gain stocks can mislead investors due to short-term profit temptations, psychological suggestions from so-called "experts," and herd mentality, which often results in buying at high points and incurring losses [5] Group 2 - To avoid becoming a victim of survivor bias, investors should maintain rational thinking, conduct thorough research before making investment decisions, and remain cautious of claims of guaranteed profits [5][6] - Independent thinking is crucial; investors should not blindly follow others and must take responsibility for their investment choices [6] - Diversification is an effective method to reduce risk, advising against putting all funds into a single stock [7]
买股票,哪些习惯帮我避了坑?| 猫猫看市
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-06-01 05:51
Group 1 - The company emphasizes the importance of avoiding high-priced stocks and those with poor financial fundamentals, as these often do not present suitable investment opportunities [4][12] - The company maintains a cautious approach towards popular stocks and sectors, recognizing that high demand often leads to inflated prices and increased competition [5][6][7] - The company shows interest in under-the-radar stocks that are undervalued and overlooked by the market, as these can potentially yield significant returns if identified correctly [8][12] Group 2 - The company advocates for diversification in investment portfolios, which helps in risk reduction and achieving a more optimized investment strategy [9][11] - The company acknowledges that while these investment habits may lead to missed opportunities for high returns, they contribute to a more secure and stable growth of the investment portfolio [12][13]
瑞银吕子杰,最新发声!
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2025-05-31 10:32
Core Viewpoint - UBS emphasizes the importance of the Chinese market as a critical area for investment and business development, highlighting its significant economic growth and potential opportunities [4]. Group 1: Investment Trends - Diversification in investment has become a mainstream trend, with some family offices considering reducing their exposure to USD assets and shifting towards non-USD assets [3]. - Gold is identified as a favorable diversification asset, with UBS recommending clients to invest in gold when prices were at $1,700 per ounce [3]. - European stocks are gaining attention from family offices, particularly in the food and healthcare sectors, despite UBS maintaining a neutral rating on the overall European stock market [3]. Group 2: UBS's Operations in China - UBS has been operating in Hong Kong for over 60 years, establishing a mature business platform that provides a range of services including investment banking, asset management, and wealth management [4]. - The firm has over 35 years of experience in mainland China, with more than 20 years in wealth management, and has set up global investment banking and wealth management teams in key cities like Shenzhen and Guangzhou [4]. - UBS has increased its stake in UBS Securities to 100%, reflecting its long-term commitment to the Chinese market [4]. Group 3: Integrated Banking Services - UBS is increasingly focusing on "integrated banking services" and global connectivity to meet diverse client needs across different life stages and financial goals [5]. - The wealth management business is considered the core of UBS, with close collaboration between investment banking and asset management departments to enhance client service [6]. - A new department, "Strategic Clients and Global Connectivity," has been established to better coordinate global resources and leverage the advantages of integrated banking services [6].
低价股抄底王!揭秘A股牛散“张素芬”:耗资逾13亿元买成15家上市公司前十大股东
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-05-27 06:46
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the emergence of a notable individual investor, Zhang Sufen, in the A-share market, who has made significant investments in multiple listed companies, positioning herself among the top shareholders of 15 companies as of the first quarter of 2025 [1][2][3]. Group 1: Investment Profile - Zhang Sufen holds substantial shares in various companies, with a total holding of 349.66 million shares across 15 listed companies, making her the second-largest shareholder in Electronic City and the fourth-largest in Shaanxi Guotou A [3][4]. - Her investment strategy appears to focus on low-priced stocks, with most of her holdings priced below 10 yuan, indicating a preference for undervalued assets [7][8]. - The total market value of her holdings exceeds 1.38 billion yuan, with five stocks valued over 100 million yuan each [8]. Group 2: Performance and Strategy - Zhang's investments have shown mixed results, with the highest floating profit being 26.81% from Liugang Co., while the largest loss is 13.62% from Shaanxi Construction [3][4]. - She has demonstrated a long-term investment approach, often increasing her holdings over several quarters, as seen in her continuous accumulation of shares in low-performing stocks like New Star Foundry [6][7]. - Despite her success, she has also faced significant losses, such as a 30% loss in Yibai Pharmaceutical, highlighting the risks associated with her investment choices [8][9]. Group 3: Market Impact and Perception - Zhang Sufen's investment activities have drawn attention in the market, with speculation about her potential connections to larger investment networks, suggesting that her strategies may not be typical of individual investors [7][8]. - Her approach to investing, characterized by a focus on low-priced stocks and a willingness to endure volatility, positions her as a unique figure in the A-share market, comparable to institutional investors [6][7].
新加坡银行:关税让优质股更具性价比 客户配置中国香港及内地资产比例逐渐增加
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-05-26 07:58
Group 1 - The current market is filled with uncertainty due to U.S. tariff policies, leading clients to adopt a cautious investment attitude and hold significant cash reserves [1] - Despite the cautious approach, clients are increasingly allocating funds to Hong Kong and mainland China assets, viewing tariffs as an opportunity to buy quality stocks [1][2] - There has been a notable increase in trading activities, with a 36% rise in trading income for Singapore Bank's Hong Kong branch in the first quarter, contributing to a 25% overall revenue growth [2] Group 2 - Following signals of economic reform from China in September and October last year, client interest in Chinese assets has risen, although large-scale buying has not yet occurred [2] - The bank has observed a 21% growth in assets under management (AUM) for fund subscriptions and a 47% increase in discretionary portfolio management (DPM) AUM in the first quarter [2] - The bank maintains a long-term positive outlook on gold prices, having advised clients to invest in gold early on, reflecting a shift in client investment strategies towards a more diversified portfolio [2]
富达国际:政策能见度相对较高 亚洲本币债市前景具吸引力
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-05-26 02:45
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the attractiveness of Asian local currency bond markets due to expected interest rate cuts by central banks and decreasing inflation, which provides a conducive environment for capital gains and diversification amidst global trade uncertainties [1][2] - The size of the emerging East Asia local currency bond market has significantly increased from $866 billion in 2000 to $23.2 trillion by the end of 2022, enhancing its appeal to investors [1] - The correlation between Asian local currency government bonds and major global government bonds is relatively low, with coefficients of 0.4% and 0.3% with U.S. and German government bonds respectively, making them an attractive diversification tool [1] Group 2 - Long-term investment in Asian investment-grade local currency government bonds has shown a risk-adjusted return of 28.2% over the past decade, outperforming the 14.5% return from U.S. Treasury bonds [2] - The Sharpe Ratio for the Asian local currency sovereign bond portfolio is 0.6, indicating a higher return per unit of risk compared to the 0.4 ratio for U.S. Treasury bonds, suggesting better compensation for risk [2] - Despite potential pressures from global trade order changes, Asian economies are expected to remain resilient, supported by domestic fiscal and monetary policies [3] Group 3 - The need for Asian countries to rely on domestic demand as a new engine for economic growth is highlighted, with a large and young population supporting this structural shift [3] - Investors are advised to closely monitor the evolving trade situation and its impacts on Asia, while improvements in market infrastructure, liquidity, and transparency in the local currency government bond market are necessary [3] - Asian local currency government bonds are becoming increasingly attractive as a diversification option for investors concerned about rising U.S. debt and trade policy uncertainties [3]
瀚亚投资:中国H股及A股的估值仍然有吸引力 为自下而上的投资者带来机会
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-05-26 02:27
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that significant uncertainties from tariffs and U.S. policies will suppress global economic growth in 2025, with U.S. growth expected to slow to 1.2-1.5% and a downward risk bias [1] - The implementation of a 30% tariff on certain Chinese goods and a 10% tariff on all goods from other countries represents a tax increase equivalent to approximately 1.5% of U.S. GDP, marking one of the largest single-year tax hikes in decades [1] - The anticipated slowdown in U.S. economic growth and ongoing geopolitical pressures are expected to lead to further capital outflows from the dollar over the next year [1] Group 2 - Most Asian currencies are expected to strengthen to some extent due to the depreciation of the dollar, with controlled inflation in Asia and emerging markets providing central banks the space to cut interest rates to support economic growth [1] - The dual effect of currency appreciation and interest rate cuts is expected to enhance the attractiveness of Asian asset markets to international capital flows [1] - The uncertainty surrounding the long-term direction of tariff negotiations may continue to trigger intermittent market volatility, prompting investors to seek further diversification in their portfolios [1] Group 3 - Japan remains one of the lowest-valued markets globally based on price-to-book (P/B) ratios, while Chinese H-shares and A-shares still present attractive valuations for bottom-up investors [2] - Despite being perceived as overvalued at the beginning of 2025, the Indian stock market continues to show resilience due to supportive measures from the Reserve Bank of India, low oil prices, and stable domestic capital flows [2] - The bond market offers multiple opportunities to acquire quality assets at ideal valuations, with local currency bonds in Asia showing attractive investment prospects due to appealing real yields and strong economic fundamentals [2] Group 4 - Investors are advised to adopt a defensive strategy to cope with future market pressures, with low volatility strategies recommended to minimize downside risks while allowing participation in market uptrends [2]
降息破1%!储蓄搬家潮要来了?帮主解读居民投资新选择
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-25 03:10
Group 1 - The recent interest rate cuts by banks have significantly reduced the appeal of traditional savings, with one-year deposit rates dropping below 1% from around 2% previously, leading to a shift in investment behavior [1][3] - Investors are exploring alternatives to savings accounts, such as money market funds with annualized returns of 1%-2%, bond funds yielding 4%-6%, and high-dividend stocks like Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, which has maintained a dividend rate above 5% [3][4] - The stock market is experiencing increased activity, with some viewing it as a signal of "savings migration," particularly towards stable, high-dividend stocks that have shown annualized returns exceeding 10% over the past decade [4] Group 2 - The interest rate cuts are part of a broader economic strategy aimed at reducing financing costs for businesses and stimulating consumer spending and investment, thereby revitalizing dormant capital [5] - The government is implementing policies to support the capital market, including promoting registration system reforms and attracting long-term funds from sources like insurance and pension funds, which could create structural opportunities in sectors such as technology and consumer goods [5] - Individuals are encouraged to adapt their investment strategies in response to the low-interest environment, diversifying their portfolios with money market funds, bond funds, and high-dividend stocks while enhancing their financial literacy [6][8] Group 3 - The trend of declining interest rates is expected to continue, with predictions of further reductions in the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) by 20-30 basis points, indicating that reliance on interest income from savings will diminish [7] - The current economic climate necessitates a shift in mindset regarding savings, urging individuals to seek diverse investment avenues to grow their wealth in a low-rate environment [8]