9月15日，国家统计局新闻发言人就2025年8月份国民经济运行情况答记者问。会上，有记者提问"8月 份，PPI 环比结束连续 8 个月下行态势，同比降幅收窄。PPI 出现积极变化，背后的主要原因是什么?预 计后续 PPI 走势如何?" 对此，国家统计局新闻发言人、总经济师、国民经济综合统计司司长付凌晖表示，在宏观政策发力显 效、全国统一大市场建设纵深推进、企业竞争秩序逐步优化、新动能快速成长等因素带动下，8月份PPI 环比由降转平，同比降幅收窄。8月份，PPI同比下降2.9%，降幅比上月收窄0.7个百分点;环比持平，上 月环比下降0.2%。 8月份PPI同比降幅明显收窄：一是市场竞争秩序得到优化。近期相关部门积极推进行业自律，倡导抵制 企业无序竞争，推动重点行业产能治理，效果逐步显现。8月份，煤炭加工、黑色金属冶炼和压延加工 业、煤炭开采和洗选业出厂价格比上月收窄3.2-10.3个百分点，光伏设备及元器件制造、新能源车整车 制造价格同比降幅分别收窄2.8和0.6个百分点，上述5个行业对PPI同比的下拉影响比上月减少约0.5个百 分点。 二是新兴行业需求带动增强。随着我国经济结构调整稳步推进，产业高端化、智能化 ...

Economic Overview - In August, the national economy maintained overall stability and progress, with a focus on strengthening macro policy adjustments and promoting a unified national market [1] - The industrial added value above designated size grew by 5.2% year-on-year in August, with mining, manufacturing, and electricity sectors showing growth rates of 5.1%, 5.7%, and 2.4% respectively [1] Industrial Performance - The equipment manufacturing sector's added value increased by 8.1%, while high-tech manufacturing saw a growth of 9.3%, outperforming the overall industrial growth by 2.9 and 4.1 percentage points respectively [1] - From January to August, the industrial added value above designated size grew by 6.2% year-on-year [1] Profitability - From January to July, the total profit of industrial enterprises above designated size reached 40,204 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 1.7% [1] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) reached 326,111 billion yuan from January to August, marking a year-on-year increase of 0.5%, with a 4.2% growth when excluding real estate development investment [2] - Investment in high-tech industries such as information services, aerospace equipment manufacturing, and computer and office equipment manufacturing grew by 34.1%, 28.0%, and 12.6% year-on-year respectively [2]

Economic Overview - The overall economic development in China is expected to maintain a stable and progressive trend despite complex external environments and domestic challenges [1][5] - Key indicators for the first eight months of the year show stability, with high-quality development being steadily advanced [1] Consumer Market - Consumer potential continues to be released, with market sales steadily recovering due to various measures aimed at boosting consumption [2] - The sales of products related to trade-in programs are performing well, and new consumption models such as live-streaming sales and instant retail are rapidly growing [2] - Upcoming holidays like the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day are anticipated to further stimulate consumer spending [2] Emerging Industries - The role of innovation is increasingly significant, with continuous integration of technological and industrial innovation [3] - From January to August, the value added of high-tech manufacturing industries grew by 9.5%, with integrated circuit manufacturing and aerospace equipment manufacturing increasing by 22.3% and 14.6%, respectively [3] - Production of industrial robots and civilian drones surged by 29.9% and 53.7%, respectively, while the output of new energy vehicles rose by 31.4% [3] Market Dynamics - Market vitality is gradually improving, supported by the deepening of the national unified market and the acceleration of domestic and international trade integration [4] - From January to July, profits of large-scale manufacturing enterprises increased by 4.8%, and from January to August, the import and export volume of private enterprises grew by 7.4% [4] - The PMI for manufacturing and service sectors showed positive expectations, with indices of 53.7% and 57% respectively in August [4] Macroeconomic Policies - Continuous efforts are being made to implement macroeconomic policies effectively, contributing to economic stability [4] - The retail sales of home appliances and communication equipment under the trade-in policy increased by 28.4% and 21.1% year-on-year, respectively [4] - The implementation of more proactive fiscal policies and moderately loose monetary policies is expected to further support stable economic operations [4]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report In August 2025, under the strong leadership of the Party Central Committee with Comrade Xi Jinping as the core, the national economy maintained a generally stable and progressive development trend. Production and demand were basically stable, employment and prices were generally stable, and new driving forces were cultivated and strengthened [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Industry - In August, the added value of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 5.2% year - on - year and 0.37% month - on - month. The added value of the mining industry, manufacturing, and the production and supply of electricity, heat, gas, and water increased by 5.1%, 5.7%, and 2.4% year - on - year respectively. The added value of the equipment manufacturing industry and high - tech manufacturing industry increased by 8.1% and 9.3% year - on - year respectively, faster than the overall industrial added value [3]. - From January to August, the added value of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 6.2% year - on - year. In August, the manufacturing purchasing managers' index was 49.4%, up 0.1 percentage points from the previous month; the enterprise production and operation activity expectation index was 53.7%, up 1.1 percentage points [3]. - From January to July, the total profit of industrial enterprises above designated size was 40204 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 1.7% [3]. Services - In August, the national service industry production index increased by 5.6% year - on - year. The production indexes of information transmission, software and information technology services, finance, and leasing and business services increased by 12.1%, 9.2%, and 7.4% year - on - year respectively, faster than the service industry production index [4]. - From January to August, the national service industry production index increased by 5.9% year - on - year. From January to July, the operating income of service enterprises above designated size increased by 7.4% year - on - year [4]. - In August, the service industry business activity index was 50.5%, up 0.5 percentage points from the previous month; the service industry business activity expectation index was 57.0%, up 0.4 percentage points. Some industries were in the high - level boom range [4]. Consumption - In August, the total retail sales of consumer goods were 39668 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 3.4% and a month - on - month increase of 0.17%. The retail sales of urban and rural consumer goods increased by 3.2% and 4.6% year - on - year respectively. The retail sales of goods and catering revenue increased by 3.6% and 2.1% respectively [5]. - From January to August, the total retail sales of consumer goods were 323906 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 4.6%. The national online retail sales were 99828 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 9.6%. The online retail sales of physical goods were 80964 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 6.4%, accounting for 25.0% of the total retail sales of consumer goods [5]. - From January to August, the service retail sales increased by 5.1% year - on - year, with relatively fast growth in cultural and sports leisure services, tourism consulting and leasing services, and transportation services [5]. Investment - From January to August, the national fixed - asset investment (excluding rural households) was 326111 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 0.5%. Excluding real estate development investment, it increased by 4.2%. Infrastructure investment increased by 2.0%, manufacturing investment increased by 5.1%, and real estate development investment decreased by 12.9% [6]. - The sales area of newly built commercial housing was 57304 million square meters, a year - on - year decrease of 4.7%; the sales volume was 55015 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 7.3% [6]. - In August, fixed - asset investment (excluding rural households) decreased by 0.20% month - on - month [6]. Import and Export - In August, the total volume of goods imports and exports was 38744 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 3.5%. Exports were 23035 billion yuan, an increase of 4.8%; imports were 15709 billion yuan, an increase of 1.7% [7]. - From January to August, the total volume of goods imports and exports was 295696 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 3.5%. Exports were 176056 billion yuan, an increase of 6.9%; imports were 119640 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.2% [7]. - From January to August, general trade imports and exports increased by 2.2%, accounting for 63.9% of the total import and export volume. Imports and exports to countries along the Belt and Road increased by 5.4%. Private enterprise imports and exports increased by 7.4%, accounting for 57.1% of the total import and export volume, 2.1 percentage points higher than the previous year [7]. Price - In August, the national consumer price index (CPI) decreased by 0.4% year - on - year and remained flat month - on - month. The core CPI excluding food and energy prices increased by 0.9% year - on - year, with the growth rate expanding by 0.1 percentage points from the previous month [8]. - From January to August, the national consumer price index decreased by 0.1% year - on - year [8]. - In August, the ex - factory price of industrial producers decreased by 2.9% year - on - year, with the decline narrowing by 0.7 percentage points, and remained flat month - on - month; the purchase price of industrial producers decreased by 4.0% year - on - year, with the decline narrowing by 0.5 percentage points, and remained flat month - on - month [8]. Employment - From January to August, the average urban surveyed unemployment rate nationwide was 5.2%. In August, the urban surveyed unemployment rate was 5.3%, up 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, the same as the same month of the previous year [8]. - The surveyed unemployment rate of local household registration labor force was 5.4%; the surveyed unemployment rate of non - local household registration labor force was 5.0%, among which the surveyed unemployment rate of non - local agricultural household registration labor force was 4.7% [8]. - The surveyed unemployment rate in 31 large - scale cities was 5.3%, up 0.1 percentage points from the previous month and down 0.1 percentage points from the same month of the previous year. The average weekly working hours of enterprise employees nationwide were 48.5 hours [8].

Core Viewpoint - The macroeconomic indicators for August show a stable and improving trend in China's economy, with notable growth in industrial production, service sector, and retail sales, despite challenges in fixed asset investment and external uncertainties [12]. Group 1: Industrial Production - In August, the industrial added value for large-scale enterprises increased by 5.2% year-on-year and 0.37% month-on-month [1][4] - From January to August, the industrial added value grew by 6.2% year-on-year [1][4] - The manufacturing sector saw a 5.7% increase, with equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing growing by 8.1% and 9.3% respectively [4] Group 2: Service Sector - The service sector production index rose by 5.6% year-on-year in August, with significant growth in information transmission, finance, and business services [5] - From January to August, the service sector production index increased by 5.9% year-on-year [5] Group 3: Retail Sales - In August, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 39,668 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.4% [2][6] - Online retail sales for the first eight months totaled 99,828 billion yuan, growing by 9.6% year-on-year [7] Group 4: Fixed Asset Investment - From January to August, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) was 326,111 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 0.5% [3][8] - Real estate development investment saw a significant decline of 12.9% year-on-year [3][8] Group 5: Trade and Employment - In August, the total value of goods imports and exports was 38,744 billion yuan, with exports growing by 4.8% [9] - The urban surveyed unemployment rate in August was 5.3%, showing a slight increase from the previous month [10] Group 6: Price Indices - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) in August decreased by 0.4% year-on-year, while the core CPI rose by 0.9% [11] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) for industrial producers fell by 2.9% year-on-year, with a narrowing decline compared to the previous month [11]

Group 1 - In August, the Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 2.9% year-on-year, with the decline narrowing by 0.7 percentage points compared to the previous month, and the month-on-month change shifted from a decrease of 0.2% to flat, ending an eight-month streak of negative growth [2][3] - The improvement in PPI is attributed to several factors, including effective macro policies, the deepening of a unified national market, optimization of competitive order among enterprises, and rapid growth of new economic drivers [2][3] - The prices in key industries such as coal processing, black metal smelting, and coal mining saw a reduction in their downward impact on PPI, with price declines narrowing by 3.2 to 10.3 percentage points [3] Group 2 - The demand from emerging industries has strengthened, with prices in sectors like integrated circuit packaging and testing rising by 1.1%, and shipbuilding and related equipment manufacturing prices increasing by 0.9% [3] - Consumer policies aimed at boosting consumption have shown positive effects, with prices in categories such as arts and crafts manufacturing rising by 13% and sports equipment manufacturing prices increasing by 4.7% [4] - Despite the positive changes, PPI remains in a declining range, which poses challenges for industrial enterprises, necessitating further expansion of domestic demand and regulation of competitive order [4]

Core Viewpoint - The overall economic operation in August 2025 shows stability and progress, with macro policies effectively supporting high-quality development despite external uncertainties and risks [1][5]. Group 1: Economic Indicators - In August, the Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 2.9% year-on-year, with the decline narrowing by 0.7 percentage points compared to the previous month. Month-on-month, the PPI remained flat, ending an eight-month streak of negative growth [5][6]. - The PPI's year-on-year decline was influenced by improved market competition order, with significant price reductions in industries such as coal processing and black metal smelting, which saw price decreases narrow by 3.2% to 10.3% [6][7]. Group 2: Factors Influencing PPI - The optimization of market competition order has been a key factor, with government initiatives promoting industry self-discipline and curbing disorderly competition, leading to a reduced downward impact on PPI from key industries [6][7]. - Demand from emerging industries has strengthened, with prices in sectors like integrated circuit packaging and testing rising by 1.1%, and smart wearable devices increasing by 1.6% year-on-year [6][7]. - Consumption-boosting policies have shown positive effects, with prices in certain consumer goods sectors, such as arts and crafts, increasing by 13% year-on-year, indicating a rise in demand for upgraded products [6][7]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Despite the positive changes, the PPI remains in a declining range, which poses challenges for industrial enterprises. Future efforts should focus on expanding domestic demand and further promoting a unified national market to stabilize industrial prices [7].

Group 1 - The forum emphasized the need for comprehensive deepening of reforms in the context of the "15th Five-Year Plan," focusing on institutional construction as a central theme [1][2] - Economic system reform is highlighted as a driving force, with an emphasis on its significant impact on other areas of reform [2] - The establishment of a national unified market and the deepening of factor market-oriented reforms are prioritized to transform the domestic market from large to strong [2] Group 2 - The promotion of healthy and high-quality development of the private economy is crucial, with the implementation of the "Private Economy Promotion Law" to create a fair competitive environment for various ownership enterprises [2] - The integration of education, technology, and talent reforms is essential for fostering innovation and development [2] - Collaborative efforts are needed to advance reforms related to carbon reduction, pollution reduction, green expansion, and economic growth, facilitating a comprehensive green transformation of economic and social development [2]

此外，有个别平台为增加客户"黏性"，试图协助平台内经营者或从业人员分拆收入，以达到少缴或不缴 税款的目的。比如，有的平台"引导"平台内经营者或从业人员在销售额达到一定规模前，通过分拆收入 违规继续享受税收优惠，不缴或少缴税款。中国政法大学财税法研究中心主任施正文认为，这实际上是 一种骗享税收优惠行为。互联网平台企业报送涉税信息后，税务机关将通过数据比对、风险分析，及时 发现并查处平台内经营者和从业人员分拆收入、虚假申报、骗享优惠等违法行为，依法向平台内经营者 追缴税款、滞纳金并处以罚款，同时依法查处违规协助平台内经营者分拆收入的平台企业。互联网平台 应依法履行涉税信息报送义务，全面核验涉税信息的真实性、准确性和完整性，引导平台内经营者和从 业人员合规享惠、依法纳税，共同促进平台经济持续健康发展。 国家税务总局相关司局负责人介绍，自《规定》去年底公开征求意见以来，相关"空壳平台"的数量已减 少100余户，有力遏制了利用平台违规招商引资行为，对促进线上线下公平、整治平台"内卷式"竞争、 推进全国统一大市场建设发挥积极作用。中央财经大学税收研究中心主任赵涛认为，《规定》实施后， 税务部门能够及时掌握平台内经营者和从 ...

Core Viewpoint - The 22nd China Reform Forum emphasizes the need for comprehensive deepening of reforms to promote high-quality development during the "14th Five-Year" and "15th Five-Year" periods, highlighting the importance of continuous reform efforts and the leadership of the Communist Party of China [1][2]. Group 1: Key Themes of the Forum - The forum discusses the significance of institutional construction as a mainline for further reforms, focusing on economic system reforms and their impact on other areas [3]. - It stresses the importance of developing new productive forces and establishing new production relations that meet these requirements [3]. - The forum aims to accelerate the construction of a unified national market and deepen market-oriented reforms [3]. Group 2: Major Reform Topics - The forum addresses critical issues such as the construction of a high-level socialist market economy, supply-side structural reforms, and state-owned enterprise reforms [4]. - It shares research findings on enhancing consumption, social security, and stabilizing the stock market through coordinated reforms [4]. - Discussions include the need for a fair competitive market environment and preventing "involution" in competition [5]. Group 3: Specialized Forums - Three specialized forums are set up to discuss collaborative reform measures, enhancing economic development sustainability, and building support for comprehensive innovation [5]. - Topics include the evaluation system for state-owned enterprises, rural revitalization, and financial support for green and low-carbon development [5][6]. - Experts from various institutions participate in these discussions, contributing to a diverse range of insights and recommendations [6].