行业研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 非银金融行业数据周报（20250728-20250801） 推荐（维持） 保险板块跑赢大盘，市场活跃度边际下滑 重点公司盈利预测、估值及投资评级 | | | | EPS（元） | | | PE（倍） | | PB（倍） | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 简称 | 股价（元） | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | 2025E | 评级 | | 中国太保 | 37.10 | 4.87 | 4.99 | 5.10 | 7.61 | 7.44 | 7.28 | 1.08 | 推荐 | | 中国人寿 | 40.74 | 3.09 | 3.19 | 3.25 | 13.17 | 12.79 | 12.54 | 2.25 | 推荐 | | 广发证券 | 19.34 | 1.45 | 1.55 | 1.68 | 13.36 | 12.46 | 11.50 | 1.17 | 推荐 | | 中信证券 | 28.75 | 1.82 | ...

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook on the Hong Kong stock market, particularly focusing on internet assets and traditional virtual asset companies, indicating a strong medium to long-term logic despite short-term adjustments [9]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the need for a cautious approach as financial data and verification logic become critical with the onset of new earnings reports from overseas Chinese assets [9]. - It highlights the ongoing trends in blockchain and virtual assets, noting a temporary cooling but a long-term positive trajectory supported by regulatory developments in the U.S. and Hong Kong [9]. - The report identifies potential risks related to U.S.-China tariff issues and the need for vigilance regarding the performance of overseas Chinese assets [9]. Industry Summaries Education - The education index decreased by 0.49%, outperforming major indices like the CSI 300 and Hang Seng Index [10]. - Key players such as New Oriental and TAL Education reported mixed results, with New Oriental's revenue increasing by 9.4% year-on-year [24][10]. - The competitive landscape is intensifying due to the recovery of smaller institutions, leading to a slowdown in growth for leading companies [4]. Luxury Goods - The luxury goods sector faced challenges, with the S&P Global Luxury Goods Index dropping by 6.63% [20]. - Notable companies like Hermès and Prada showed varied performance, with Hermès reporting a 7% increase in revenue while Prada's growth was more modest at 9.1% [25][20]. Coffee and Tea - The coffee sector remains robust, with Luckin Coffee reporting a 47.1% year-on-year revenue increase [29]. - The tea beverage market is under pressure due to regulatory changes affecting promotional activities [4]. E-commerce - The e-commerce sector is experiencing a slowdown, with the Hang Seng Internet Technology Index down by 2.67% [32]. - Companies like Alibaba and Tencent reported declines in stock performance, reflecting ongoing competitive pressures [32]. Streaming Platforms - The media index fell by 1.9%, with major players like Spotify and Tencent Music experiencing significant stock declines [36]. - Spotify's Q2 revenue growth was below expectations, indicating challenges in the streaming market [36]. Virtual Assets & Trading Platforms - The global cryptocurrency market capitalization decreased by 4.7%, with Bitcoin and Ethereum prices also declining [41]. - Regulatory developments, such as the SEC's "Project Crypto," are expected to shape the future of the virtual asset market positively [47]. Real Estate Transactions - Real estate transactions in major cities showed mixed results, with year-on-year changes in transaction volumes ranging from -17% in Beijing to 0% in Shenzhen [36]. Automotive Services - The automotive repair industry is projected to maintain a positive outlook, with a focus on the aftermarket ecosystem [4].

Core Viewpoint - 瑞和数智科技控股有限公司预计2025年上半年将实现盈利约4300万至4400万元人民币，主要得益于前瞻性投资布局、管理效率提升和降本增效措施的持续推进 [1] Investment Performance - 瑞和数智的盈利增长主要源于其在投资领域的卓越表现，特别是参与联合要约收购东京中央拍卖控股有限公司，获得显著的持有收益 [2] - 该公司在2025年4月以每股0.44港元收购1500万股东京中央拍卖控股有限公司，至2025年6月30日股价已升至每股4.95港元，带来超过6000万港元的收益 [2] Core Business and Technology - 瑞和数智在金融科技领域持续深耕，提供大数据解决方案和营销科技，服务能力得到广泛认可 [4] - 公司积极拓展客户群体，将服务模式从金融机构扩展到其他行业，推动技术能力的跨行业迁移 [4] Diversification Strategy - 瑞和数智推进多元化发展战略，计划投资8000万港元布局加密货币资产与Web3.0赛道，以响应香港政府的政策 [5] - 公司与上海源庐加佳信息科技有限公司合作，致力于打造以国产GPU为核心的软硬件一体化解决方案 [5] Investment Empowerment Model - 瑞和数智的高管团队将持续探索更多价值投资的可能性，关注财务回报的同时，通过投后深度赋能企业发展 [6] Future Outlook - 2025年中期业绩盈利预喜反映了公司"科技深耕+战略投资"的双轮驱动模式的初步成效，未来将把握数字经济与智能时代的广阔机遇 [7]

Core Insights - The Hong Kong digital asset ecosystem is experiencing expansion opportunities as regulatory frameworks are being optimized, allowing licensed institutions to broaden their business scope [1][3][4] Regulatory Developments - Hong Kong regulators are loosening restrictions on licensed institutions, with the Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) recently approving licensed crypto exchanges to offer staking services upon separate approval [3][4] - The regulatory environment is evolving from strict to more permissive, enabling a wider range of products and services within the digital asset space [3][16] - The principle of "same activity, same risks, same regulation" is being adopted to foster a vibrant and innovative digital asset ecosystem [3][16] Competitive Landscape - The Hong Kong cryptocurrency market consists of three main participants: global exchanges without local licenses (e.g., Binance), licensed exchanges and brokers (e.g., OSL and Futu), and offline stores facilitating small-scale crypto transactions [4][17] - Licensed exchanges and brokers have advantages such as connections with local banks, enhanced customer protection, and the ability to conduct marketing activities in Hong Kong [4][17] - OSL's fee structure for OTC trading is 25 basis points, with comprehensive solutions charging 10-15 basis points, and payment services around 2.5%, which is higher than international peers like Coinbase [4][20] Stablecoins and Their Role - Stablecoins play a crucial role in the Hong Kong digital asset ecosystem, with exchanges facilitating a significant volume of stablecoin-related transactions [5][21] - OSL is applying for stablecoin licenses in the EU and considering applications in Hong Kong and Singapore, emphasizing the importance of sustainable use cases for stablecoin issuance [5][21] - The transition from mainstream stablecoins to Hong Kong dollar-backed stablecoins may face challenges, leading most licensed institutions to operate primarily as stablecoin distributors rather than issuers [5][21][22] RWA Tokenization - The tokenization of Real World Assets (RWA) in Hong Kong is still in its early stages, with OSL providing end-to-end solutions and custodial services [6][23] - Current RWA transactions are conducted in fiat, limiting the potential for 24/7 trading; however, using stablecoins could enable real-time transactions [6][23][24] - The slow development of RWA tokenization presents opportunities for the application of Hong Kong dollar stablecoins [6][24][25] Cross-Border Payment Solutions - OSL is building a global payment network that supports both crypto and fiat transactions, with stablecoins playing a key role [26][30] - The application of stablecoins in payments can significantly reduce transaction times compared to traditional banking methods, which typically take 2 to 5 business days [28][30]

Group 1: Industry Overview - The Hong Kong asset management and private equity industry is demonstrating resilience amidst global geopolitical uncertainties and uneven economic recovery, solidifying its position as a financial hub in the Asia-Pacific region [1][13][18] - By the end of 2024, the total assets under management in Hong Kong's asset and wealth management industry are expected to grow by 13% year-on-year, reaching HKD 35.1 trillion, with net inflows surging by 81% [1][18][21] Group 2: IPO Market Performance - In the first half of 2025, Hong Kong raised HKD 107.1 billion through IPOs, marking the highest level since 2021, driven by "A+H" listings contributing 72% of the total financing [1][21][22] - The strong performance of the IPO market is supported by a robust pipeline of companies in technology, healthcare, and consumer sectors, with a record 26 A-share companies seeking dual listings in Hong Kong [1][21] Group 3: Industry Consolidation and Trends - Global asset management is experiencing significant consolidation, with firms seeking to expand scale and product offerings through mergers and acquisitions, a trend also evident in Hong Kong [2][27][28] - The rise of a "multi-strategy supermarket" model is emerging, where firms offer a wide range of investment solutions to meet the diverse needs of Asia's growing middle class [2][27] Group 4: Regulatory Developments - The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) is enhancing scrutiny of asset management firms, focusing on potential risks in private fund management and aiming to improve compliance standards [2][34][37] - Key regulatory priorities include investor protection, cybersecurity, and the implementation of robust internal controls to mitigate risks in the digital age [2][34][39] Group 5: Tax Policy Optimization - Hong Kong is reforming its Unified Fund Exemption (UFE) system to include more investment categories and simplify approval processes, enhancing tax certainty for fund managers [3][43][44] - The proposed reforms aim to attract international fund managers by providing clearer guidelines and expanding the scope of tax exemptions [3][43][45] Group 6: Private Equity and Alternative Investments - Despite geopolitical tensions, the Chinese mainland market remains vibrant, with active RMB funding providing exit opportunities for foreign investors [3][48] - The emergence of structured liquidity solutions is accelerating the development of the secondary private equity market, catering to the growing demand for liquidity and exit strategies [3][48] Group 7: Cross-Border Cooperation and Technological Innovation - Hong Kong is enhancing cross-border investment facilitation, with initiatives like "Cross-Border Wealth Management Connect 2.0" expanding participation and product offerings [4][13] - Technological innovations, particularly in artificial intelligence and virtual assets, are reshaping the industry landscape, improving operational efficiency and attracting retail investors [4][5][13] Group 8: Family Offices and Wealth Management - The number of family offices in Hong Kong is projected to grow by 43% by 2025, driven by government initiatives to attract ultra-high-net-worth individuals [5][13] - Local asset management firms are expanding services to include wealth management and tax consulting, enhancing Hong Kong's appeal to global family offices [5][13]

7月29日，港交所披露易显示，BlackRock,Inc.（即贝莱德）于7月22日买入了中金公司港股126.24万股，耗 资2552.45万港元，折合人民币约2333.71万元。截至7月29日，贝莱德对中金公司的好仓持股比例超过5%。 披露易信息还显示，贝莱德早在6月份就买入了中金公司港股，并在此后进行了多番买入卖出操作。Wind显 示，截至7月29日，中金公司港股最近一月累计涨幅为22%。 近期频繁交易中金公司和中国银河 分析师称券商板块此轮上涨持续性或更强 中金公司和中国银河证券同为中央汇金旗下，两家公司日前均发布了业绩预增公告。其中，中金公司预计上半 年实现归母净利润为34.53亿元到39.66亿元，同比增加55%到78%。中金公司称，上半年公司投资银行、股票 业务、财富管理等业务板块收入同比增加，公司业绩同比增长。 7月29日披露易的信息显示，贝莱德于7月22日买入了中金公司港股126.24万股，平均价格为20.2190港元/股。 这番买入后，贝莱德对中金公司的好仓持股为9539.97万股，持股比例为5.01%；淡仓持股为759.96万股，持股 比例为0.40%。 在港股市场，由于金融机构在市场中同时 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) is set to implement a regulatory framework for stablecoin issuers starting August 1, 2025, with the issuance of licenses expected to be limited initially to a few entities, establishing a robust compliance and trust foundation for the market [1][4][8]. Regulatory Framework - The HKMA has released several documents related to the stablecoin regulatory framework, including guidelines for licensed stablecoin issuers and anti-money laundering directives, which will be published on August 1, 2025 [4]. - Institutions interested in applying for a license are encouraged to contact the HKMA by August 31, 2025, to understand regulatory expectations and improve their application materials [4][8]. - The initial phase of license issuance will be limited, with only a few licenses expected to be granted, emphasizing the need for applicants to present concrete business rationales and application scenarios [8][9]. Market Participation - Several institutions, including Ant Group and JD.com, are predicted to be among the first to receive licenses due to their strong blockchain technology foundations and application scenarios [2]. - The HKMA has noted that while many institutions have expressed interest in obtaining licenses, many proposals remain conceptual without practical application plans [8]. Sandbox Testing - The HKMA plans to launch a "stablecoin issuer sandbox" in March 2024, allowing institutions to test their business models and technology systems in a controlled environment [8][9]. Virtual Asset Regulation - Hong Kong is actively developing a global virtual asset center and exploring the application of offshore Renminbi (CNH) stablecoins, with a regulatory roadmap aimed at balancing innovation and risk management in the virtual asset market [11]. - The regulatory framework for virtual assets in Hong Kong is taking shape, with different licenses required for various types of virtual assets, including those linked to stablecoins [11][12]. Institutional Developments - Chinese securities firms are rapidly entering the virtual asset trading service sector, with several firms obtaining licenses to provide compliant digital asset trading services [12]. - The approval of licenses for virtual asset trading services is seen as a significant step for Chinese banks to engage in the virtual asset market, indicating a growing interest and potential for development in this area [12].

Core Viewpoint - 瑞和数智 (03680) has entered into a cooperation framework agreement with an independent third-party institution for the joint development of a virtual cryptocurrency trading platform, aligning with the national digital economy strategy and aiming to enhance the trading systems of Hong Kong securities firms [1] Group 1 - The third-party institution is a leading company in the fintech solutions industry, having served over 50 securities firms and other financial institutions [1] - The agreement emphasizes the importance of upgrading virtual asset trading systems to meet market demands and regulatory standards, leveraging the strengths of both parties [1] - The company will hold the copyrights for jointly developed patents, while the third-party institution will have permanent usage rights for these patents [1] Group 2 - The board believes that this strategic cooperation aligns with the company's diversification strategy into the virtual asset trading industry, enabling it to seize opportunities in the rapidly growing digital economy [1] - The collaboration is expected to accelerate the company's adaptation to market trends and regulatory changes, thus capturing new business opportunities [1] - The board considers the strategic cooperation plan to be fair, reasonable, and in the overall interest of the company and its shareholders [1]

根据框架协议，双方应积极支持国家数字经济战略，推动香港证券公司及相关机构虚拟资产交易系统升 级发展。在本次合作中：该集团将发挥香港上市公司平台作用，与人工智能、大数据和数字转型方面的 技术经验优势;该第三方机构将贡献券商虚拟资产交易系统升级的研发能力。 根据框架协议，该集团为共同开发专利的版权持有者，该第三方机构享有该专利永久使用权。 董事会认为，该战略合作计划与集团向虚拟资产交易行业多元化发展的战略高度契合，将助力集团接入 更符合市场需求和监管标准的下一代系统。随着香港数字经济与虚拟资产产业的快速发展，此次合作使 集团能够把握数字经济高速增长的机遇，加速适应市场趋势与监管变革，从而抢占新商机。董事会认 为，关于虚拟资产交易平台的战略合作方案既公平合理，又符合公司及全体股东的整体利益。 智通财经APP讯，瑞和数智(03680)公布，该集团已于 2025年 7月29日与一家独立第三方机构达成关于虚 拟加密资产交易平台联合开发的合作框架协议。 据悉，该第三方机构，与任何关联方无直接关系，是金融科技解决方案行业的领军企业之一，专注于为 专业机构提供行情、交易、风控及结算等模块的系统开发。服务过累计超过50多家证券公 ...

根据框架协议，双方应积极支持国家数字经济战略，推动香港证券公司及相关机构虚拟资产交易系统升 级发展。在本次合作中：–集团将发挥香港上市公司平台作用，与人工智能、大数据和数字转型方面的 技术经验优势；–该第三方机构将贡献券商虚拟资产交易系统升级的研发能力；根据框架协议，集团为 共同开发专利的版权持有者，该第三方机构享有该专利永久使用权。 董事会认为，该战略合作计划与集团向虚拟资产交易行业多元化发展的战略高度契合，将助力集团接入 更符合市场需求和监管标准的下一代系统。随着香港数字经济与虚拟资产产业的快速发展，此次合作使 集团能够把握数字经济高速增长的机遇，加速适应市场趋势与监管变革，从而抢占新商机。董事会认 为，关于虚拟资产交易平台的战略合作方案既公平合理，又符合公司及全体股东的整体利益。 格隆汇7月29日丨瑞和数智(03680.HK)公告，集团已于2025年7月29日与一家独立第三方机构达成关于虚 拟加密资产交易平台联合开发的合作框架协议。该第三方机构，与任何关联方无直接关系（根据香港联 合交易所证券上市规则），是金融科技解决方案行业的领军企业之一，专注于为专业机构提供行情、交 易、风控及结算等模块的系统开发。 ...