Core Insights - The company is a new type of "industrial-city ecological service provider" focusing on the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area, aiming to transform from a traditional real estate developer to a digital ecological operator through strategic acquisitions and business model upgrades [1] Summary by Sections Company Overview - Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Holdings Limited is recognized as a top 100 real estate company in China, with a strategic focus on the Greater Bay Area [1] Strategic Transformation - The company is undergoing a strategic transformation to become an "industrial-city ecological service provider," moving away from traditional real estate development [1] Major Acquisition - On October 23, 2025, the company completed a significant acquisition of Wisdom Knight Holdings Limited for HKD 977 million, which controls Shenzhen Tiandun Data Technology Co., a leading operator in intelligent computing and green energy services in China [1] Financial Restructuring - The company successfully completed a debt-to-equity swap of USD 440 million on May 7, 2025, reducing its interest-bearing debt ratio from 45% to 7%, allowing traditional business operations to become a growth driver rather than a burden [1] Business Model and Growth Potential - The dual business model of Tiandun Data, focusing on multi-source computing power services and AIDC construction operations, has been commercially validated, enhancing operational efficiency and profitability [1] New Growth Opportunities - The integration of the "green energy computing" model with the company's existing capabilities is expected to create new growth avenues by transforming idle factory and land resources into high-performance computing centers [1] Revenue Diversification - The company aims to diversify its revenue streams through AI computing services, energy management, and intelligent computing space operations, significantly enhancing its risk resilience and profitability [1] Profit Forecast - The projected net profit for the company from 2025 to 2027 is expected to be CNY 718 million, CNY 579 million, and CNY 789 million, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of +139.13%, -19.41%, and +36.41% respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 9x, 11x, and 8x [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company is a leading global manufacturer of precision components, with Hon Hai as the actual controller. It continues to focus on deepening its AI product portfolio in connection, power, and liquid cooling systems, thereby enhancing business reach. In Q3 2025, the AI business is expanding, with Cloud/Datacenter revenue reaching $215 million, a year-on-year increase of 34% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 14%, accounting for 16% of total revenue. The company has updated its guidance for the next three years, projecting optimistic AI growth [1]. Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of $1.325 billion, a year-on-year increase of 13%, and a net profit from continuing operations of $74.38 million, a year-on-year increase of 9%. The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 23.5%, an increase of 1.8 percentage points year-on-year and 5.7 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2]. Revenue Breakdown - In Q3 2025, revenue from various segments included: - Smartphones: $210 million, a year-on-year decrease of 20% - Cloud/Datacenter: $215 million, a year-on-year increase of 34% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 14% - Consumer Interconnects: $221 million, year-on-year flat - AutoMobility: $240 million, a year-on-year increase of 116% - System Products: $382 million, a year-on-year increase of 3% - Others: $61 million, a year-on-year increase of 30% [2]. Updated Guidance - The company has updated its three-year guidance, projecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in revenue of mid-twenties for 2027/2028, up from a previous low-twenties forecast. The Cloud/Datacenter revenue is expected to account for high teens in 2025, with targets of low twenties in 2026, mid-twenties in 2027, and high twenties in 2028, reflecting confidence in AI business growth [3]. Focus Areas - The company continues to focus on opportunities in the AI industry, emphasizing connections, power, and liquid cooling systems. It offers a range of products related to electrical and optical connections, including chip-to-chip connectors, standard connectors for computing boards, backplane connectors, copper cable solutions, high voltage and high-speed solutions, and optical modules/CPO [3]. Product Launches - In September 2025, the company's subsidiary Huayun Optoelectronics launched a new generation 102.4T CPO ELSFP module, designed to natively support the To maha wk-6 CPO liquid cooling switch. In October 2025, at the OCP conference, the company showcased various products and solutions, including high-speed solutions, switch cooling technology, power busbars, and liquid cooling couplers [4]. Profit Forecast - The company forecasts revenues of $4.78 billion, $6.15 billion, and $7.53 billion for 2025-2027, with net profits of $170 million, $300 million, and $450 million, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 29x, 16x, and 11x, respectively, maintaining a "buy" rating [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Shengyi Technology (600183 CH) with a target price of 90 CNY, highlighting its leadership in the PCB and copper-clad laminate market [1]. Core Insights - The global PCB and copper-clad laminate industry is in the early stages of a structural upcycle driven by AI infrastructure investments, with a notable divergence in performance between high-performance products and standard products [1][2]. - The PCB market is expected to rebound strongly in 2025 with a growth rate of 12.8%, while the copper-clad laminate sector has already seen an 18% growth in 2024, indicating stronger pricing power [1][3]. - The demand for high-layer and HDI boards is surging due to AI server deployments, leading to a "super growth cycle" for these high-performance circuit boards [2][8]. Summary by Sections PCB Market Overview - The global PCB market is projected to recover in 2024 with a 5.8% increase in sales to 74 billion USD, following a 15% decline in 2023 due to inventory destocking and weak end-demand [3]. - The recovery is primarily driven by normalizing inventory levels and early investments in AI-related infrastructure [3][4]. - The market is expected to show a strong rebound in 2025, with a projected sales area growth of 10.3% and a sales revenue growth of 12.8% [4]. Copper-Clad Laminate Market Overview - The global copper-clad laminate market is anticipated to grow by 18% in 2024, driven by a 14% increase in sales volume and a 4% rise in average selling prices [13]. - The market's performance is significantly better than that of the PCB market, showcasing superior pricing power and value-added effects from product structure optimization [13][14]. Competitive Landscape - The copper-clad laminate market is characterized by an oligopolistic structure, with the top ten suppliers holding 77% of the market share, ensuring stronger market pricing power [2][29]. - In contrast, the PCB market is more fragmented, with the top forty suppliers accounting for approximately 50% of the market share, necessitating a strategic focus on high-value segments to maintain pricing power [2][29]. Material Cost Dynamics - Copper constitutes 60%-70% of the raw material costs for PCBs, and the structural increase in copper prices, driven by supply shortages and emerging demands from AI and clean energy sectors, is reshaping the cost structure of the PCB and copper-clad laminate supply chains [16][22]. - The London Metal Exchange copper prices have risen approximately 24% this year, impacting suppliers differently based on their product focus and pricing power [16][22].

Core Insights - The Hong Kong Technology ETF Tianhong (159128) has seen significant trading activity, with a turnover of 9% and a transaction volume of 58.47 million yuan as of November 20, 2025 [1] - The ETF has attracted substantial investment, with a net subscription of 13 million shares in just half a day [1] - Over the past week, the ETF's scale has increased by 17.31 million yuan, reaching a new high of 679 million shares since its inception [2] Fund Performance - The Hong Kong Technology ETF Tianhong (159128) tracks the National Index of Hong Kong Technology Stocks, focusing on 30 leading technology companies across high-growth sectors such as internet, electronics, communication, biotechnology, and smart vehicles [2] - The ETF has shown a strong historical performance, often outperforming other Hong Kong technology indices, indicating higher elasticity and potential for excess returns [2] Recent Corporate Events - Tencent Holdings announced a buyback of 1.018 million shares for 636 million HKD, with a total buyback amounting to 1.271 billion HKD over the past 30 days [3] - Kuaishou reported a 14.2% year-on-year revenue growth in Q3, reaching 35.554 billion yuan, with operating profit increasing by 69.9% to 5.299 billion yuan [3] Market Outlook - CITIC Securities predicts a rebound in the Hong Kong market fundamentals, expecting a second round of valuation recovery and further earnings revival by 2026 [4] - The market is anticipated to benefit from a complete domestic AI industry chain and the influx of quality A-share companies listing in Hong Kong, driven by ongoing liquidity and AI narratives [5]

Core Insights - Kyndryl has renewed its partnership with Vodafone Idea (Vi) for three years, focusing on transforming Vi's IT operations and enhancing cybersecurity measures [1][3] - The collaboration aims to implement a next-generation IT operations delivery model that emphasizes automation and data-driven insights, leading to improved service delivery and operational efficiency [2][4] Company Collaboration - Kyndryl will develop a cyber resilience framework for Vi, which includes security governance, zero-touch services, data protection, and incident recovery services [1][3] - The partnership will leverage Kyndryl Bridge, an AI-powered integration platform, which has already deployed over 1,000 automations at Vi, reducing delivery event noise by 15% [2][3] Strategic Objectives - The collaboration is designed to align Vi's IT strategy with its business objectives, maximizing returns on IT investments and accelerating the time-to-market for new digital services [4] - Kyndryl's expertise in managing mission-critical systems has been recognized by Vi, highlighting the importance of this partnership in driving business agility and operational efficiencies [3]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market continues to exhibit a "two-eight" differentiation, with the banking sector leading the gains while technology stocks experience volatility, particularly influenced by AI trends [1][11]. Banking Sector - The banking sector remains a key stabilizing force for the market, with the Shenwan Banking Index rising by 1.89% [6]. - Major banks such as China Bank and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) reached historical highs, with China Bank increasing by 5.17% and its market capitalization surpassing 2 trillion yuan, while ICBC rose by 1.58% with a market cap nearing 3 trillion yuan [6][10]. - The report from Kaiyuan Securities emphasizes the importance of large state-owned banks for stable returns and suggests a focus on regional banks with unique characteristics for flexible allocation [10]. Real Estate Sector - The real estate sector showed signs of recovery, with the Shenwan Real Estate Index increasing by 1.59% [4]. - Notable stocks such as I Love My Home and World Union experienced significant price surges, with some reaching their daily limit [4]. - Data indicates a 4.7% year-on-year increase in the transaction area of second-hand homes from January to October, with second-hand homes accounting for 44.8% of total transactions [4]. Technology Sector - The technology sector initially surged following Nvidia's strong quarterly performance but later faced a downturn, with the Shenwan Electronics Index dropping by 0.34% by midday [12][15]. - The performance of the TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) sectors varied, with the computer index down by 0.45% and the communication index's gains narrowing to 0.2% [12]. - Despite concerns over valuation bubbles and sustainability of AI investments, recent earnings reports from leading tech companies have generally met expectations, indicating continued growth potential in the sector [16].

Core Insights - Xiaomi Group reported a total revenue of 113.1 billion yuan for Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 22.3%, with adjusted net profit reaching 11.3 billion yuan, up 81%, marking a historical high [1][4] - The company successfully transitioned between old and new growth engines, with innovative businesses like smart electric vehicles and AI achieving profitability for the first time in a single quarter, while the traditional smartphone business faced pressure due to rising memory costs [1][4] Financial Performance - The automotive business delivered 108,796 vehicles in Q3, with a total of 265,967 vehicles delivered in the first three quarters, and a monthly delivery of over 40,000 units in October, achieving profitability with a net profit of 6,434 yuan per vehicle sold [4][6] - The smartphone business faced challenges, with global shipments of 43.3 million units and revenue of 45.969 billion yuan, leading to a decline in gross margin to 11.1% due to rising costs of core components [6][5] Business Segmentation - Internet services generated revenue of 9.4 billion yuan in Q3, a 10.8% increase, primarily driven by strong advertising performance [7] - IoT business revenue reached 27.6 billion yuan, maintaining year-on-year growth for seven consecutive quarters, with a gross margin of 23.9% [9][8] R&D and Long-term Strategy - R&D expenditure in Q3 amounted to 9.1 billion yuan, a 52.1% increase, with total R&D investment for the first three quarters nearing last year's total, expected to exceed 30 billion yuan for the year [11][12] - The company is focusing on core technologies and frontier fields, with capital expenditure for the first three quarters at 13 billion yuan, reflecting long-term strategic investments [12][10] Market Outlook and Challenges - Despite achieving profitability in the automotive sector, the company anticipates challenges in 2026 due to reduced purchase tax subsidies and intensified competition [12] - The smartphone business continues to face long-term pressure from rising memory costs, while the IoT sector is experiencing a transitional phase in the domestic appliance market [12][6]

Market Overview - The global stock markets experienced declines, with the Hang Seng Index falling by 2.10% and the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.64% [1][3] - Southbound capital saw a net inflow of HKD 6.59 billion, with notable net purchases in Xiaomi Group, Alibaba, and Hua Hong Semiconductor, while China Mobile, Tencent, and Pop Mart saw the most significant net sales [3] Economic Insights - China's economic growth is expected to decline before rebounding, with a new round of policy easing likely in Q1 2024. Despite a slowdown in H2 2023, achieving the annual growth target of 5% remains feasible due to strong performance in H1 [3] - Japan's government is anticipated to introduce a supplementary budget, which may lead to rising bond yields as fiscal expansion aims to boost economic and inflation expectations [3] Company Analysis Kuaishou (快手) - Kuaishou reported a 14% year-on-year revenue increase to RMB 35.6 billion in Q3 2025, aligning with market expectations. Adjusted net profit rose by 26% to RMB 4.99 billion, driven by improved operational efficiency [5] - AI revenue surpassed RMB 300 million, reflecting a 20% quarter-on-quarter growth, supporting a positive outlook on Kuaishou's AI initiatives [5] iQIYI (爱奇艺) - iQIYI's Q3 2025 revenue decreased by 8% to RMB 6.68 billion, meeting expectations. The non-GAAP net loss was RMB 148 million, a decline from a net profit of RMB 480 million in Q3 2024 due to increased content investment [5] - The company anticipates revenue growth in Q4 2025, driven by improved content quality and policy support [5] Futu (富途) - Futu's Q3 2025 performance was robust, with total revenue increasing by 86% year-on-year to HKD 6.4 billion. Non-GAAP net profit surged by 137% to HKD 3.3 billion, significantly exceeding market expectations [6] - The company experienced a 79% year-on-year growth in total customer assets, reaching HKD 1.24 trillion, with net inflows contributing significantly to this growth [6]

面对这"一半海水，一半火焰"的复杂局面，小米集团合伙人兼总裁卢伟冰在业绩会上对21世纪经济报道记者表示："环境因素虽不可控，但我们可以通过 持续的能力建设增强韧性。" 11月18日晚，小米集团召开2025年第三季度业绩发布媒体电话会。财报显示，集团当期总营收为1131亿元，同比增长22.3%；经调整净利润达113亿元，同 比增长81%，创历史新高。 这份财报传递出小米集团新旧增长引擎成功交替的关键信号。本季度，以智能电动汽车和AI为代表的创新业务首次实现单季度盈利，成为拉动增长的新 核心引擎；而传统支柱智能手机业务，则因行业性内存成本的周期性上涨而承压。 他进一步指出，本轮内存价格上涨始于今年第一季度，并延续至三、四季度。"在这一轮中国产业周期的波动中，小米的业绩和经营表现出了更强的稳定 性。我们正按照年初制定的策略稳步推进各项工作。" 汽车业务首次盈利，雷军最新发声 三季度小米业绩呈现出明显的"新旧业务分化"。智能电动汽车及AI等创新业务首次实现单季度盈利，成为拉动整体增长的核心引擎；而智能手机业务虽维 持规模优势，却因供应链成本上涨导致毛利率承压。 在新业务方面，三季度小米汽车交付新车108796辆，前三 ...

记者丨雷晨 在新业务方面， 三季度小米汽车交付新车108796辆，前三季度累计交付265967辆。10月单月交付量突破4万辆，预计本周内可完成 全年35万辆的交付目标。 尤为关键的是， 这是小米汽车业务首次实现盈利。 财报显示，小米汽车智能电动汽车及AI等创新业务从 第二季度的3亿元的经营亏损成功扭亏，经营收益为7亿元， 平均每卖1台车净赚6434元。 卢伟冰强调："几个季度前我们还在探索 单月或单车型盈利，如今实现单季度盈利，超出预期，验证了小米汽车的产品力与商业模式可行性。" 编辑丨包芳鸣 11月18日晚，小米集团召开2025年第三季度业绩发布媒体电话会。财报显示，集团当期总营收为1131亿元，同比增长22.3%；经调 整净利润达113亿元，同比增长81%，创历史新高。 这份财报传递出小米集团新旧增长引擎成功交替的关键信号。本季度，以智能电动汽车和AI为代表的创新业务首次实现单季度盈 利，成为拉动增长的新核心引擎；而传统支柱智能手机业务，则因行业性内存成本的周期性上涨而承压。 面对这"一半海水，一半火焰"的复杂局面，小米集团合伙人兼总裁卢伟冰在业绩会上对21世纪经济报道记者表示："环境因素虽不可 控，但我 ...