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中国广核(003816):2024年年报点评:全年业绩微增,资产注入有望助力装机增长
Minsheng Securities· 2025-03-28 02:25
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Cautious Recommendation" rating for China General Nuclear Power Corporation (003816.SZ) with a current price of 3.65 yuan [6]. Core Views - The company achieved a slight increase in annual performance, with total revenue of 86.804 billion yuan in 2024, up 5.16% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 10.814 billion yuan, up 0.83% year-on-year [1]. - The operational management of nuclear power units led to a year-on-year increase in electricity generation by 7.08%, although lower electricity prices and rising costs impacted profitability [2]. - The company has a sufficient pipeline of projects, with 16 approved and under construction nuclear power units, and is expected to inject managed assets into the listed company by 2025 [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of 86.804 billion yuan, with a net profit of 10.814 billion yuan and basic earnings per share of 0.214 yuan [1]. - The gross profit margin was 34.03%, a decrease of 1.94 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 20.10%, down 0.55 percentage points [1]. Operational Highlights - The total electricity generation for 2024 was approximately 1908.07 billion kWh, an increase of 7.08% year-on-year, with total grid-connected electricity of about 1790.12 billion kWh, up 7.15% [2]. - The average on-grid electricity price fell to 0.416 yuan/kWh, a decrease of 1.57% year-on-year, influenced by market price declines [2]. Future Outlook - The company has several upcoming projects, including the commissioning of the Lufeng 5 and 6 units in 2027 and 2028, and the Huizhou 1 and 2 units expected to be operational in 2025 and 2026 [3]. - Long-term growth potential remains strong due to the anticipated injection of managed assets and the commissioning of new units [4]. Profit Forecast - The profit forecast for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is 10.462 billion yuan, 11.115 billion yuan, and 11.769 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding earnings per share of 0.21 yuan, 0.22 yuan, and 0.23 yuan [5].
中国广核:2024年年报点评:全年业绩微增,资产注入有望助力装机增长-20250328
Minsheng Securities· 2025-03-28 02:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Cautious Recommendation" rating for the company [6]. Core Views - The company achieved a slight increase in annual performance, with total revenue of 86.804 billion yuan, up 5.16% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 10.814 billion yuan, up 0.83% year-on-year [1]. - The operational management of nuclear power units led to a year-on-year increase in electricity generation of 7.08%, although lower electricity prices and rising costs impacted profitability [2]. - The company has a sufficient pipeline of projects, with 16 approved and under construction nuclear power units, and is expected to inject managed assets into the listed company by 2025 [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company reported revenue of 24.534 billion yuan, an increase of 8.05% year-on-year, but a net profit of 830 million yuan, down 18.98% year-on-year [1]. - The average on-grid electricity price decreased by 1.57% to 0.416 yuan/kWh, while the average market electricity price fell by approximately 3.85% [2]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates continued contributions from the newly operational Fangchenggang Unit 4, although it faces significant electricity price pressures in 2025 due to long-term contract price declines in regions like Guangdong [4]. - Profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are adjusted to 10.462 billion yuan, 11.115 billion yuan, and 11.769 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.21, 0.22, and 0.23 yuan [4][5]. Project Pipeline - The company has received approval for six new units, with operational dates for various units planned between 2025 and 2029, indicating strong future growth potential [3].
中国广核(003816):24年年报点评:业绩稳健提升,资产注入加速成长
CMS· 2025-03-27 02:32
Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Add" for the company [4] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 86.804 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.16%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 10.814 billion yuan, up 0.83% year-on-year [1][7] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.095 yuan per share, totaling 4.797 billion yuan, with a dividend payout ratio of 44.36% [7] - The company’s operational nuclear power generation increased by 6.13% year-on-year, contributing to a stable revenue performance despite a slight decline in average electricity prices [7] - The company is expected to benefit from the injection of nuclear power assets, with plans to add 1-2 new units annually from 2025 to 2030 [7][8] Financial Data and Valuation - The company’s total revenue is projected to grow from 88.827 billion yuan in 2025 to 101.227 billion yuan in 2027, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 2% and 8% [3][11] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to reach 12.876 billion yuan by 2027, reflecting a growth of 11% from 2026 [8] - The company’s price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is expected to decrease from 17.2x in 2025 to 14.7x in 2027, indicating potential valuation improvement [8]
中国神华:年度业绩稳健,分红率提升彰显投资价值-20250325
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-03-25 06:52
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company's annual performance is stable, and the increase in dividend payout ratio highlights its investment value [5] - The company has completed the acquisition of Hanjin Energy, which is expected to accelerate the injection of group assets [8] - The company aims to maintain a dividend payout ratio of no less than 65% from 2025 to 2027, reflecting its long-term investment value [8] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 58.67 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.7% year-on-year [8] - The company’s coal production and sales volume for 2024 were 327 million tons and 459 million tons, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 0.8% and 2.1% [8] - The average selling price of coal was 564 yuan per ton, down 3.4% year-on-year, while the production cost remained stable at 179 yuan per ton [8] - The company’s projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 53.065 billion yuan, 55.037 billion yuan, and 56.626 billion yuan, respectively [8] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected to be 2.67 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 13.90 [7] - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to decline from 14.61% in 2023 to 11.84% in 2025 [7] - The company’s revenue is forecasted to decrease slightly in 2024 to 338.375 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decline of 1.37% [7]