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财政支出前置促经济回升
Guohai Securities· 2025-03-26 03:02
Revenue and Expenditure Overview - In the first two months of 2025, the national general public budget revenue was 43,856 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 1.6%[3] - National general public budget expenditure reached 45,096 billion CNY, showing a year-on-year increase of 3.4%[3] - Government fund budget revenue fell to 6,381 billion CNY, down 10.7% year-on-year, while expenditure was 11,358 billion CNY, up 1.2%[3] Tax Revenue Insights - Among the four major tax categories, three showed positive growth: domestic VAT increased by 1.1%, domestic consumption tax by 0.3%, and personal income tax surged by 26.7%[4] - Corporate income tax saw a decline of 10.4%, primarily due to reduced tax payments from certain central financial enterprises[4] - Export tax rebates increased by 16.9%, influenced by potential trade protectionism[4] Fiscal Policy and Spending - The expenditure growth rate of 3.4% significantly outpaced the revenue growth rate, with expenditure progress at 15.2%, exceeding the five-year average by 0.8 percentage points[5] - The government plans to enhance fiscal policies, focusing on consumption and technology innovation, with a budget of 3,000 billion CNY for consumer subsidies, doubling from the previous year[7][8] Support for Key Sectors - Fiscal spending on science and technology reached 11,505 billion CNY last year, growing by 5.7%, and increased by 10.6% in the first two months of 2025[8] - Social security, education, and health-related expenditures rose by 5.4%, outpacing general public fiscal spending growth[8] Risks and Challenges - Potential risks include macroeconomic fluctuations, global economic downturns, geopolitical tensions, and uncertainties in policy and trade relations[8]
财政部重磅!2025年要提高财政赤字率,安排更大规模政府债券
证券时报· 2025-03-24 08:47
财政部发布2024年中国财政政策执行情况报告(简称"报告")。 原文如下: 2024年中国财政政策执行情况报告 综述 报告指出,2025年财政政策要更加积极,持续用力、更加给力,具体体现在五个方面: 报告还指出,支持全方位扩大国内需求。大力提振消费。加大民生保障力度,多渠道增加居民收入。推进实施提振消费专项行动,加大消费品以旧换新支持 力度。适当提高退休人员基本养老金,提高城乡居民基础养老金和城乡居民基本医疗保险财政补助标准等。推进实施国家综合货运枢纽补链强链提升行动、 公路水路交通基础设施数字化转型升级,推动降低全社会物流成本。积极扩大有效投资。统筹用好各类政府投资资金,聚焦关键领域和薄弱环节加大投资力 度。合理安排政府债券发行,加快政府债券资金预算下达,尽早形成实物工作量。 2024年是实现"十四五"规划目标任务的关键一年。面对外部压力加大、内部困难增多的严峻复杂形势,在以习近平同志为核心的党中央坚强领导下,各地区 各部门深入贯彻党的二十大和二十届二中、三中全会精神,按照党中央、国务院决策部署,坚持完整准确全面贯彻新发展理念,加快构建新发展格局,扎实 推动高质量发展,全年主要发展目标顺利完成,中国式现代化 ...
房地产及建材行业双周报(2024/02/28-2025/03/13):政府工作报告维持“推动房地产止跌回稳”行业基本面持续回暖-2025-03-14
Dongguan Securities· 2025-03-14 12:00
房地产及建材行业 房地产-标配(维持) 行 业 建材材料-标配(维持) 2025 年 03 月 14 日 双 周 分析师:何敏仪 S0340513040001 电话:0769-22177163 邮箱:hmy@dgzq.com.cn 研 究 证 券 报 告 资料来源:iFind,东莞证券研究所 房地产及建材行业双周报(2024/02/28-2025/03/13) 政府工作报告维持"推动房地产止跌回稳" 行业基本面持续回暖 投资要点: SAC 执业证书编号: 房地产周观点:2025年政府工作报告中指出,"持续用力推动房地产市 场止跌回稳。因城施策调减限制性措施,加力实施城中村和危旧房改造, 充分释放刚性和改善性住房需求潜力"。政策延续"推动房地产止跌回 稳","收购存量商品房","发挥房地产融资协调机制","保交房" 以及"构建房地产发展新模式",并且增加提出"因城施策调减限制性 措施"、"充分释放刚性和改善性住房需求潜力"以及建设"好房子" 等。后续房地产政策进一步加码优化可期。 报 行 业 申万房地产行业指数走势 国家统计局2月19日发布的70城价格指数显示,2025年首月,新房售价 上涨城市个数增至24个, ...
政策高频 |中央财政预留充足空间
申万宏源宏观· 2025-03-11 15:23
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of major economic provinces in driving growth and innovation, with a focus on technology and talent development [1][2] - Key discussions during the meetings included enhancing domestic circulation, promoting green development, and addressing social issues such as employment and education [2][4] - The government aims to implement a combination of proactive fiscal policies and moderate monetary policies to stimulate consumption and ensure smooth economic circulation [2][5] Group 2 - The fiscal policy for 2025 includes a deficit rate of 4%, with a total deficit scale of 5.66 trillion yuan, an increase of 1.6 trillion yuan from the previous year [6] - The government plans to increase public budget expenditure to 29.7 trillion yuan, reflecting a growth of 4.4% compared to last year [6] - Emphasis is placed on enhancing financial support for consumption, real estate, and technology sectors, with specific measures to optimize resource allocation and support long-term consumption needs [7][8] Group 3 - Regulatory measures for platform economies include standardizing platform fees, enhancing oversight of live commerce, and ensuring algorithm transparency to protect labor rights [10][11] - The government is committed to addressing issues of excessive charges and fines in enterprise operations, promoting a fair and transparent business environment [10][11]