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灵活配置基金频现减仓 等待时机布局跨年行情
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-12-17 19:18
12月以来,在行情短线切换剧烈的背景下,部分基金的降仓或调仓动作明显,也有基金经理旗下产品与 三季度重仓风格背道而驰,或调仓布局跨年行情。 对于后市行情,基金经理多数持乐观展望。有基金经理表示,估值偏高后的调整对市场是健康的,为后 续行情跌出新的操作空间,另外还有不少高位股通过震荡夯实了基础,也会考虑重新买入。 年末部分基金降低仓位 以广发鑫益为例,在12月16日指数重挫的交易日中,该基金跌幅仅为0.22%,拉长时间来看,这只产品 在相当长的时间里净值表现非常平稳,自从10月27日创下历史新高后至今回撤幅度仅有2.57%,与三季 报中的持仓数据并不契合。截至三季度末,该基金股票仓位超过了九成,且重仓股中包括立讯精密 (002475)、兆易创新(603986)、天孚通信(300394)以及中际旭创(300308)等高弹性个股。此 外,基金经理费逸管理的广发聚瑞、广发瑞安精选等与广发鑫益均有类似走势。 灵活配置型基金更显"灵活" 值得注意的是,前述基金多为灵活配置型基金,某公募投研人士介绍,相较于普通股票型基金需严格遵 循基金契约、维持不低于80%股票仓位的要求,灵活配置型基金在仓位管理上具备显著的灵活调整空 间 ...
688802,首日大涨
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2025-12-17 11:31
2025.12.17 本文字数:2672,阅读时长大约5分钟 作者 |第一财经 周楠 继摩尔线程之后,又一国产GPU龙头登陆A股市场,再度点燃市场热情。12月17日,沐曦股份 (688802.SH)登陆科创板,上市首日涨幅高达692.95%。当天,三大指数悉数收涨,创业板涨超3%。 当前,距离2025年收官仅剩10个交易日,市场调整将如何演绎?跨年行情又会否如期而至?多家券商做 出了预判。 "考虑本轮上涨行情的底层逻辑并未动摇,我们认为市场中期趋势仍然向好。"中金公司研究部国内策略 首席分析师李求索说。 对于跨年行情,第一财经梳理发现,券商首席普遍持乐观预判。国泰海通首席策略分析师方奕认为,交 易层面,保收益降仓位已步入尾声,岁末年初的再配置与机构资金回流有望改善市场流动性和活跃成 交,跨年攻势已经开始。 资金层面上,有券商提到,近期,A股成交额和换手率再度回升,显示资金正在积极寻找跨年行情的机 会。 资金面和情绪面现回暖迹象 12月17日,三大指数集体反弹,截至收盘,沪指报收3870.28点,涨1.19%;深成指和创业板指分别收涨 2.4%和3.39%。两市成交额1.81万亿,较上一交易日增加约870亿元。 ...
中证A500指数大涨近2%,A500ETF易方达(159361)等产品受资金关注
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-17 11:02
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights a positive market sentiment with the CSI A500 index rising by 2.0%, and both the CSI A100 and A50 indices increasing by 1.7%, indicating a favorable environment for risk assets [1] - The A500 ETF from E Fund saw a trading volume exceeding 6 billion yuan, with net subscriptions nearing 700 million units, reflecting strong investor interest [1] - According to a report from Industrial Securities, the recent Federal Reserve meeting and significant domestic conferences have clarified the policy direction for next year, suggesting a combination of "overseas easing and domestic proactive support," which is conducive to the development of risk assets [1] Group 2 - The A500 ETF tracks the CSI A500 index, which consists of 500 securities with large market capitalization and good liquidity, covering 91 out of 93 sub-industries [3] - The A100 ETF tracks the CSI A100 index, comprising 100 representative securities with large market capitalization and good liquidity, covering 46 sub-industries, reflecting the overall performance of major listed companies [3] - The A50 ETF tracks the CSI A50 index, which includes the 50 largest stocks by market capitalization across various industries, ensuring a balanced distribution among 50 sub-industries with a focus on large-cap stocks [3]
688802,首日大涨
第一财经· 2025-12-17 10:46
2025.12. 17 本文字数:2672,阅读时长大约5分钟 作者 | 第一财经 周楠 继摩尔线程之后,又一国产GPU龙头登陆A股市场,再度点燃市场热情。12月17日,沐曦股份 (688802.SH)登陆科创板,上市首日涨幅高达692.95%。当天,三大指数悉数收涨,创业板涨超 3%。 当前,距离2025年收官仅剩10个交易日,市场调整将如何演绎?跨年行情又会否如期而至?多家券 商做出了预判。 "考虑本轮上涨行情的底层逻辑并未动摇,我们认为市场中期趋势仍然向好。"中金公司研究部国内 策略首席分析师李求索说。 对于跨年行情,第一财经梳理发现,券商首席普遍持乐观预判。国泰海通首席策略分析师方奕认为, 交易层面,保收益降仓位已步入尾声,岁末年初的再配置与机构资金回流有望改善市场流动性和活跃 成交,跨年攻势已经开始。 资金层面上,有券商提到,近期,A股成交额和换手率再度回升,显示资金正在积极寻找跨年行情的 机会。 资金面和情绪面现回暖迹象 12月17日,三大指数集体反弹,截至收盘,沪指报收3870.28点,涨1.19%;深成指和创业板指分 别收涨2.4%和3.39%。两市成交额1.81万亿,较上一交易日增加约870 ...
沐曦股份首日大涨、三大指数全收红,机构喊出“跨年攻势已开始”
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2025-12-17 10:12
继摩尔线程之后,又一国产GPU龙头登陆A股市场,再度点燃市场热情。12月17日,沐曦股份 (688802.SH)登陆科创板,上市首日涨幅高达692.95%。当天,三大指数悉数收涨,创业板涨超3%。 当前,距离2025年收官仅剩10个交易日,市场调整将如何演绎?跨年行情又会否如期而至?多家券商做 出了预判。 "考虑本轮上涨行情的底层逻辑并未动摇,我们认为市场中期趋势仍然向好。"中金公司研究部国内策略 首席分析师李求索说。 对于跨年行情,第一财经梳理发现,券商首席普遍持乐观预判。国泰海通首席策略分析师方奕认为,交 易层面,保收益降仓位已步入尾声,岁末年初的再配置与机构资金回流有望改善市场流动性和活跃成 交,跨年攻势已经开始。 资金层面上,有券商提到,近期,A股成交额和换手率再度回升,显示资金正在积极寻找跨年行情的机 会。 资金面和情绪面现回暖迹象 12月17日,三大指数集体反弹,截至收盘,沪指报收3870.28点,涨1.19%;深成指和创业板指分别收涨 2.4%和3.39%。两市成交额1.81万亿,较上一交易日增加约870亿元。 各板块中,算力硬件概念表现活跃,中瓷电子(003031.SZ)、环旭电子(60123 ...
000592,2个月暴涨3.5倍后今日跌停
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2025-12-17 06:52
Core Viewpoint - Pingtan Development (000592.SZ) has experienced a significant stock price surge of over 3.5 times in two months, leading to increased market speculation and volatility, with recent trading showing signs of a "hot potato" effect among investors [2][5][4]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of December 16, Pingtan Development's stock price has risen by 333% in the fourth quarter, making it the top performer in the A-share market [3]. - The company's market capitalization has increased from approximately 5.6 billion yuan at the beginning of the year to around 29.7 billion yuan currently [5]. - The stock has recorded 16 trading halts due to price increases and has appeared on the trading leaderboard over 20 times in the same period [5]. Group 2: Trading Dynamics - The trading activity from October 17 to December 15 indicates a transition from early speculative trading by institutional investors to a later phase dominated by retail investors [4][7]. - Initial trading was characterized by active participation from well-known speculative trading desks, particularly those associated with Guotai Junan [8]. - By late October and early November, retail investors began to take over as speculative traders started to sell off their positions, leading to a shift in the trading landscape [8]. Group 3: Financial Metrics - As of December 15, Pingtan Development's rolling P/E ratio stands at 687.06, significantly higher than the industry average of 27.07, while its P/B ratio is 14.92 compared to the industry average of 3.06 [6]. - The company has reported continuous losses over the past years, with projected revenues for 2022, 2023, 2024, and the first three quarters of 2025 being 1.175 billion yuan, 1.233 billion yuan, 1.563 billion yuan, and 1.03 billion yuan respectively [6]. - The net profit figures for the same periods are -229 million yuan, -308 million yuan, -117 million yuan, and a projected profit of 3.1 million yuan [6]. Group 4: Market Sentiment - The stock's recent volatility has led to mixed sentiments among investors, with some believing the rally is over while others are willing to increase their positions despite the downturn [2][5]. - The company has issued a statement acknowledging the significant price increase and asserting that its operational fundamentals remain unchanged [5].
000592,2个月暴涨3.5倍后今日跌停
第一财经· 2025-12-17 06:50
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent performance and market dynamics of Pingtan Development (000592.SZ), highlighting its significant stock price increase and the changing investor behavior surrounding it [4][5][10]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Pingtan Development's stock price has surged by 333% in the fourth quarter, making it the top performer in the A-share market, with the stock reaching a nearly 10-year high [4]. - The company's market capitalization has increased from approximately 5.6 billion yuan at the beginning of the year to around 29.7 billion yuan currently [5]. - As of December 16, the stock's financing balance was 990 million yuan, up from 380 million yuan in early October, indicating increased investor interest [6]. Group 2: Investor Behavior - The trading activity has shown signs of a "hot potato" effect, where early speculative investors have begun to take profits, leading to a shift in buying from institutional to retail investors [4][10]. - The trading behavior can be categorized into three phases: initial speculative buying by institutional investors, a transition to retail investors, and a current phase dominated by retail trading [11][12]. - The stock has seen significant trading volume, with a total transaction amount of 14.09 billion yuan from October 23 to November 3, where retail investors accounted for 46.21% of the buying [12]. Group 3: Financial Performance - Despite the stock's price surge, Pingtan Development has reported consecutive years of losses, with projected revenues of 1.175 billion yuan in 2022 and a net loss of 229 million yuan [7]. - The company is expected to turn a profit in 2025, with projected revenues of 1.63 billion yuan and a net profit of 31 million yuan [7]. Group 4: Market Context - The article notes the broader market trend of "calendar effect" as the A-share market anticipates a year-end rally, with Pingtan Development being a key player due to its low price, small market cap, and current popularity [5]. - The company is involved in various sectors, including forestry and timber processing, and has been positively impacted by policy expectations related to the Pingtan Free Trade Zone [9].
平潭发展2个月暴涨3.5倍,游资与散户上演“击鼓传花”游戏
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2025-12-17 06:32
Core Viewpoint - Pingtan Development (000592.SZ) has experienced a significant stock price surge of over 3.5 times in two months, raising concerns about market sustainability and potential profit-taking by investors [1][2][4]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of December 16, Pingtan Development's stock price has increased by 333% in the fourth quarter, making it the top performer in the A-share market [1]. - The company's market capitalization has risen from approximately 5.6 billion yuan at the beginning of the year to around 29.7 billion yuan [2]. - The stock has recorded 16 instances of trading limits and has appeared on the trading leaderboard over 20 times during this period [2]. Group 2: Trading Dynamics - The trading activity has shown signs of a "hot potato" effect, with early speculative investors taking profits while retail investors and some short-term traders have taken over [1][4]. - The trading behavior can be divided into three phases: initial speculative buying by institutional investors, followed by profit-taking and a shift to retail investors [5][6]. - From October 23 to November 3, retail investors accounted for 46.21% of the buying activity, indicating significant participation from smaller investors [6]. Group 3: Financial Metrics - As of December 15, Pingtan Development's rolling P/E ratio stands at 687.06, significantly higher than the industry average of 27.07, while its P/B ratio is 14.92 compared to the industry average of 3.06 [3]. - The company has reported continuous losses over the past years, with projected revenues for 2022, 2023, 2024, and the first three quarters of 2025 being 1.175 billion yuan, 1.233 billion yuan, 1.563 billion yuan, and 1.03 billion yuan respectively [3].
国泰海通|固收:把握跨年行情布局时机
过去一周( 12 月 8 日 -12 月 12 日), A 股市场整体呈现震荡分化格局,成长风格显著跑赢。 主要指数中,创业板指全周表现最佳,累计上涨 2.74% ,深证成指上涨 0.84% ,而上证指数则微跌 0.34% 。市场交投活跃度有所提升,沪深两市日均成交额达到 1.95 万亿元,较前一周放量明显。分行业看, 受到产业政策和事件催化推动,以商业航天、 CPO (共封装光学)、可控核聚变为代表的科技成长板块涨幅居前,煤炭、石油石化、房地产等传统板块表现 不佳。 可转债市场小幅上涨,估值继续修复。 中证转债指数全周累计上涨 0.20% ,转债等权指数小幅上涨 0.09% ,涨幅大于转债正股等权指数(下跌 0.94% )。市场内部结构分化明显,高价低溢价率转债表现相对较好,双低和低价转债则有所回调,小盘和大盘转债上涨,而中盘转债则下跌。转债平价中位数下跌 1.61% 至 99.60 元,而转债价格中位数下跌 0.63% 至 130.78 元,转股溢价率中位数拉升 1.21pct 至 32.71% 。 展望 12 月下半月的转债市场,预计短期将维持震荡巩固,在临近年底时有望预热反弹。 12 月美联储降息靴子 ...
满仓率新高
第一财经· 2025-12-16 11:42
2025.12. 16 0109 涨跌停比 46:39 个股普跌格局凸显,结构性热点稀缺,盘面上, 光伏、半导体、两岸融合、超硬材料、稀土永 磁、算力硬件、机器人、AI应用题材纷纷回调; 智能驾驶、免税店、零售、教育等题材逆势走 强。 资金情绪 主力资金净流出 散户资金净流入 597.23亿元 机构延续"谨慎防御"基调,机构加速从光伏、半导体、AI 应用等前期高波动赛道减持,资金向医药生物、 消费等防御性板块迁移,尽管短期操作保守,但不少机构视当前调整为布局低估值国企股、消费复苏主线 及新质生产力等长期赛道的机会, 对跨年行情仍抱有期待; 散户信心不足, 操作犹豫, 虽然中小单资金呈 现净流入,可能与部分投资者尝试"抄底"或进行短线交易有关,但整体而言,散户的交易意愿不高, 观望 情绪浓厚,市场赚钱效应减弱使得散户操作更趋谨慎,倾向于规避高波动品种。 散户情绪 75.85% 上 证 指 数 3824.81 電影電影 828.77 亿元 两市成交额 .72万亿元 ▼ 2.78% 两市成交额连续萎缩,全天成交呈现"早盘缩量 下探、午后量能停滞"特征,早盘成交额较前日同 期大减,午后未能出现放量承接,反映年末资金 ...