炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 12月24日，重仓软件开发行业的信创ETF基金（562030）在水面附近震荡，场内价格盘中摸高0.59%， 现跌0.2%，值得关注的是，该ETF回落至今年7月位置，较高点回落明显，考虑到2027年央国企信息化 系统全面替代节点临近，当前或可能是左侧布局的窗口期。 成份股方面，江波龙、赢时胜和千方科技表现较为突出，涨幅分别为2.76%、2.64%和2.29%。另一方 面，奇安信、海光信息和纳思达表现较弱，跌幅分别为0.88%、0.83%和0.76%。 消息面上，12月22日MDC 2025大会聚焦国产算力突破，中国工程院院士郑纬民强调"主权AI"需构建算 力自主体系，摩尔线程展示MUSA架构在AI推理及深度学习生态的进展；同期国内首个规模化光量子计 算机制造工厂在深圳落地，推动量子计算产业化进程，相关技术突破有望赋能信创产业链核心环节。 天风证券（维权）表示，2025年计算机行业跑赢沪深300，基本面自2024年低点后修复，25Q3营收同比 +3.22%、归母净利润同比+2.40%，盈利拐点显现。AI Coding规模化落地将降低研发成本 ...

凤凰网财经讯 12月24日，A股三大指数集体高开，沪指涨0.01%，深成指涨0.07%，创业板指涨0.07%。 贵金属、玻纤、玻璃等板块指数涨幅居前。 机构观点 华泰证券：中国游戏企业的出海已全面进入"高质量增长新时代" 华泰证券指出，全球游戏市场正从流量红利驱动转向结构性创新驱动，中国游戏企业的出海已全面进 入"高质量增长新时代"。从后续机会看，出海机遇来自于：1）区域扩张：从"广撒网"到"精耕细作"， 新兴市场与高价值市场并重；2）玩法与品类更新，混合玩法与跨平台成新趋势。 银河证券：国产GPU发展有望加速，带动集成电路制造以及设备和材料需求 银河证券指出，尽管市场担忧AI存在泡沫，但AI仍处在早期发展阶段，美国头部互联网公司财务状况 仍较健康，未来资本支出依然有增长空间。沐曦股份、摩尔线程和天数智芯陆续登陆资本市场，国产 GPU发展有望加速，从而带动集成电路制造以及设备和材料需求。 中信建投：量子计算产业正迎来高速增长阶段 中信建投表示，2025年是"国际量子科学与技术年"，亦是量子科技加速从理论研究向产业应用迈进的关 键之年。全球主要国家纷纷加码量子战略布局，我国"十五五"规划将量子科技列为未来产业之 ...

Core Insights - The article emphasizes that 2025 marks a significant year for AI advancements, particularly in reasoning, collaboration, and scientific discovery, led by Google [1][3][9] Group 1: AI Development and Integration - Google has made substantial progress in reasoning, multi-modal understanding, model efficiency, and generative capabilities, significantly enhancing model performance [15][4] - The Gemini series, particularly Gemini 3 Pro, has set new standards in multi-modal reasoning and achieved top scores in various benchmark tests, including a 23.4% record in MathArena Apex [18][19] - AI has been deeply integrated into Google's core products, transforming from a tool to a practical asset for users [5][10][23] Group 2: Generative Media and Creative Tools - 2025 is highlighted as a transformative year for generative media, with AI providing unprecedented capabilities for video, image, audio, and virtual world generation [24][25] - Google has collaborated with creative professionals to develop tools like Flow and Music AI Sandbox, enhancing creative workflows [25][21] Group 3: Scientific and Mathematical Advancements - AI has significantly contributed to advancements in life sciences, health, natural sciences, and mathematics, empowering researchers with new tools and resources [27][28] - The AI system AlphaFold, which addresses protein folding, has been widely adopted by researchers globally, marking a milestone in scientific research [28] Group 4: Quantum Computing and Physical World Research - Google has made notable advancements in quantum computing and energy-efficient technologies, including the launch of a new TPU designed for the reasoning era [33][32] - The company has also made strides in robotics and visual understanding, integrating AI agents into both physical and virtual environments [33] Group 5: Addressing Global Challenges - Google's AI-driven scientific progress is being applied to tackle critical global challenges, including climate resilience, public health, and education [36][38] - The company has developed advanced forecasting models that enhance decision-making in various sectors, including weather prediction [36] Group 6: Responsibility and Safety - Google emphasizes the importance of combining research breakthroughs with responsibility and safety, continuously improving tools and frameworks to mitigate risks [42][43] - The Gemini 3 model is noted as the safest model to date, undergoing comprehensive safety assessments [44] Group 7: Collaboration and Open Ecosystem - Google advocates for cross-sector collaboration to responsibly advance AI, establishing partnerships with leading AI labs and educational institutions [46][45] - The company aims to continue promoting cutting-edge technology safely and responsibly for the benefit of humanity [47]

市场昨日冲高回落，沪深两市成交额1.9万亿，较上一个交易日放量379亿。从板块来看，海南自贸概念 局部强势，半导体设备、有色·钨概念表现活跃。下跌方面，商业航天概念冲高回落，旅游概念多股下 挫。截至昨日收盘，沪指涨0.07%，深成指涨0.27%，创业板指涨0.41%。 在今天的券商晨会上，华泰证券指出，中国游戏企业的出海已全面进入"高质量增长新时代"；银河证券 表示，国产GPU发展有望加速，带动集成电路制造以及设备和材料需求；中信建投认为，量子计算产业 正迎来高速增长阶段。 华泰证券：中国游戏企业的出海已全面进入"高质量增长新时代" 中信建投：量子计算产业正迎来高速增长阶段 中信建投表示，2025年是"国际量子科学与技术年"，亦是量子科技加速从理论研究向产业应用迈进的关 键之年。全球主要国家纷纷加码量子战略布局，我国"十五五"规划将量子科技列为未来产业之首，量子 科技已然成为全球新的角力场。量子计算作为量子科技皇冠上的宝石，技术壁垒最高、颠覆性最强、成 长潜力最大，有望通过实现指数级算力突破重塑经典计算边界，是下一代科技革命的关键引擎。当前， 量子计算正处在含噪声的中等规模量子时代，超导、离子阱、光量子以及中 ...

Core Insights - 2025 is designated as the "International Year of Quantum Science and Technology," marking a pivotal year for the transition of quantum technology from theoretical research to industrial application. Major countries are intensifying their quantum strategic layouts, with China's "14th Five-Year Plan" prioritizing quantum technology as a key future industry, establishing it as a new arena for global competition [1][3][18]. Industry Overview - Quantum computing, regarded as the crown jewel of quantum technology, possesses the highest technical barriers, the strongest disruptive potential, and the greatest growth prospects. It is expected to redefine the boundaries of classical computing through exponential computing power breakthroughs, serving as a critical engine for the next technological revolution [1][3][18]. - The quantum computing industry is entering a high-growth phase, with the global market projected to exceed $800 billion by 2035. The downstream sector is still in its early development stage but holds significant growth potential [1][11][29]. Technological Landscape - The current era of quantum computing is characterized as the noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) era, with mainstream technological paths such as superconducting, ion trap, photonic, and neutral atom technologies advancing simultaneously without convergence. The upstream of the industry chain, which includes quantum chips and measurement control systems, is a key development focus [1][4][22]. - The midstream encompasses quantum computers and software algorithms, where high costs and algorithm complexity may lead cloud platforms to become critical for accelerating penetration into downstream applications [4][22]. Market Potential - According to Photon Box Research Institute, the quantum computing industry is expected to enter a high compound growth phase, with the global market size projected to grow from approximately $5 billion in 2024 to around $800 billion by 2035, capturing nearly 90% of the quantum technology market share. The upstream sector is relatively mature and shows significant growth, while the downstream sector is in its infancy with substantial growth potential [11][29].

12月初，全球资本市场的目光聚焦于谷歌母公司Alphabet。就在刚刚过去的11月，其市值单月增长约5300亿美 元，与AI芯片霸主英伟达形成了戏剧性的"市值大挪移"，而其发布的TPU芯片更被认为将直接挑战英伟达的霸主 地位，让黄仁勋开始睡不着。 这背后，是市场对谷歌在人工智能领域重掌霸权的强烈预期。 ChatGPT横空出世后，谷歌曾一度被质疑陷入"创新者窘境"，甚至被贴上"下一个雅虎"的标签。但如今，它集齐 了"最强模型（Gemini 3）+最强算力（TPU）+最大入口（Android/Chrome）"，连一向审慎的"股神"巴菲特，也在 退休前斥资数十亿美元买了它的股票。逆转这一切的大英雄，是这艘科技巨轮背后的掌舵人——桑达尔·皮查伊。 桑达尔·皮查伊不是一个典型的、充满个人魅力的"明星式"CEO。 他既没有马斯克的张扬，也没有乔布斯的"现实扭曲力场"。从打磨工具栏到押注AI全栈，理工科出身的他始终像 工程师一样发现问题、拆解问题，然后沉默而坚定地构建解决方案。 在谷歌最需要稳定与连贯性的时代，他接过权杖；在行业遭遇颠覆性冲击的危急时刻，他押注长远、亮出底牌， 以惊人的定力和清晰的战略，带领谷歌完成了惊世一 ...

华见早安之声 市场概述 科技股力挺 三大美股指低开高走、 四连阳， 标普收创最高纪录；芯片关税消息后， 英伟达大 涨3%；特斯拉回落超0.6%，科技七巨头中独跌；矿业股 Freeport McMoRan涨2.5%；"口服版减肥神药"在美率先获批后， 诺和诺德欧股涨超9%，带动泛欧股指四日内三度收创历史新高。 法国通过短期预算案，十年期法债领涨同期欧债。 美GDP强劲打击降息预期，GDP后， 美债价格 止涨回跌、收益率抹平降幅、一度刷新近两周高位；美元指数收窄跌幅、靠近日高。日本高官暗示准备干预 后，日元两日反弹； 离岸人民币连创14个月新高、 一年多来首次盘中涨破7.02；比特币盘中较日高跌超2%、跌破8.7万美元。 金银铜继续创历史新高，现货 金银盘中分别涨超1%和近4%，但 在美GDP后曾"闪跌"；伦铜史上首次涨破1.2万美元；美国继续发力切断委内瑞拉石油贸 易， 原油五连阳、收创至少近两周新高，五日涨近6%。 亚洲时段，A股三大指数冲高回落、小幅收涨，海南板块延续强势，商业航天概念下挫。 要闻 中共中央总书记对央企工作作出重要指示强调，充分认识职责使命，更好服务党和国家工作大局，为中国式现代化建设贡献更 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of electronic materials in various high-tech industries, highlighting the need for innovation and domestic production capabilities to enhance China's competitiveness in the global market [7][9]. Group 1: Industry Overview - Electronic materials are crucial for manufacturing electronic devices, integrated circuits (ICs), and optoelectronic devices, directly impacting product functionality and efficiency [7]. - The global semiconductor industry is projected to reach a total sales of $526.8 billion in 2023, with IC electronic materials accounting for approximately 12.7% of this market [7]. - The demand for electronic materials is increasing in sectors such as ICs, display technology, photovoltaic energy, and high-end capacitors/resistors, driven by advancements in information technology and communication [7][9]. Group 2: Key Electronic Materials - **Semiconductor Materials**: Silicon (Si) is the primary material used in over 95% of semiconductor devices, with a market dominated by companies like Shin-Etsu Chemical and Sumco, holding over 90% market share in 8-12 inch wafers [11][15]. - **Electronic Specialty Gases**: The market for electronic specialty gases is highly concentrated, with major players like Air Products and Linde holding over 80% market share. The largest category, NF3, has a market size of $8.8 billion [16][18]. - **Photoresists**: The photoresist market is critical for IC manufacturing, with costs accounting for about 35% of total chip manufacturing costs. The development of EUV photoresists is essential for advanced nodes below 7nm [19][21]. - **Wet Electronic Chemicals**: The global market for wet electronic chemicals was valued at 639.1 billion yuan in 2022, with a projected growth rate of 8.9% annually [25]. - **CMP Materials**: Chemical Mechanical Polishing (CMP) materials are vital for achieving high precision in wafer manufacturing, with the global market for CMP pads and slurries growing significantly from 2016 to 2021 [28][29]. - **Third-Generation Semiconductor Materials**: Materials like SiC and GaN are gaining traction due to their superior properties for high-frequency and high-power applications, with China's market for these materials reaching approximately 85.4 billion yuan in 2023 [30][31]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Trends - The electronic materials industry is characterized by a high degree of international competition, with the U.S., Europe, Japan, South Korea, and China being the main players [8]. - The ongoing technological revolution and industrial transformation present both challenges and opportunities for the electronic materials sector, necessitating advancements in material performance to meet the demands of emerging technologies like 6G and quantum computing [8][9]. - The article highlights the need for China to enhance its domestic production capabilities and innovation in electronic materials to ensure supply chain security and reduce reliance on foreign imports [9].

智通财经APP获悉，2025 年流入美国股市的散户资金将创下历史新高。在降息预期的推动下，个人投资者已成为这 波可能延续至明年的股市反弹背后的主要力量。 摩根大通的数据显示，2025 年至今，散户投资者投入美国股市的资金量较去年同期的 1970 亿美元增长了 53%，并 比 2021 年零售交易狂热巅峰时期创下的 2700 亿美元纪录高出 14%。 同时，根据摩根大通的专项交易数据，散户交易约占今年总交易活动的 20%–25%，并在 4 月份触及约 35% 的历史 新高。 个人投资者在市场抛售期间低价吸纳优质股，最显著的是在美国总统唐纳德·特朗普的"解放日"关税政策引发 4 月全 球市场暴跌之后，散户的介入帮助推动标准普尔 500 指数再创新高。该基准指数今年已上涨约 16%。 杰富瑞中小盘股策略师史蒂文·德桑克蒂斯表示，"散户投资者将长期存在，尤其是在 2026 年。他们今年赚到了钱， 喜欢交易股票，并且拥有进行交易的应用程序。我们将继续看到他们保持良好的存在感。" 多年来，随着 Robinhood 和盈透证券等低成本、零佣金经纪商的兴起，普通美国人进入市场的门槛更低、成本更 廉，散户对股市的参与度稳步增长 ...

他强调，当前，俄中全面务实合作是在复杂外部环境下展开的，这样的成果弥足珍贵。"我们成功建立了高效的合作渠道和新的 产业与物流链条，双边结算机制日趋成熟，如今几乎全部以卢布和人民币进行。这一切都彰显出两国深化互利合作的坚定意 愿。我们的经济互补性强，合作是全面、多维度的。" 他进一步指出，目前，双方正在共同推动80多个大型联合项目，涵盖汽车制造、钢铁、有色冶金、化工、木材加工等关键行 业。新版中俄双边投资协定于12月1日正式生效，为双边投资合作提供有力支持。两国边境运输及配套基础设施蓬勃发展，定期 航班不断增加，这在俄中两国实施互免签证政策的背景下尤为重要。此外，两国还启动了北极航道合作开发。几周前，全球首 条中欧北极快线成功运行，首趟经北极航道运输中国商品的集装箱船仅用20天完成航程，较传统苏伊士运河路线节省10–20天， 运输效率显著提升。 能源合作一直是中俄两国务实合作中分量最重、成果最多、范围最广的领域，是两国经贸合作的"压舱石"。莫尔古洛夫指出， 俄罗斯是中国最大的石油和天然气供应国，并满足中国约20%的煤炭进口需求。与此同时，两国企业正从油气开采到核电站建 设等领域推进大型合作项目。目前，双方正就经 ...