Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - Steel market: The steel market is following market risk appetite and sentiment, with attention to short - term long opportunities. The 3100 level of the rebar 10 - contract represents the blast furnace's static cost, providing static support for hot metal production before the peak demand season is falsified [4]. - Ferro - silicon and ferromanganese: The "Steel Industry Steady Growth Work Plan (2025 - 2026)" has limited impact on dual - silicon. The anti - involution policy supports prices in the long - term. Supply is increasing, inventory is being depleted, and steel tenders are generally positive, but inventory pressure remains [5][6]. - Coking coal and coke: The market is expected to be weak. The eighth round of coke price increase has not been implemented, and there are expectations of 2 - 3 rounds of price cuts in September. Mid - line long - position investors should wait for the first round of coke price cut news [7]. - Iron ore: Although there is an expected increase in supply in the second half of the year, considering the "anti - involution" policy and potential policy changes in the steel sector, the 01 - contract has effective support below [8]. Summary by Related Catalogs Futures Market - **Contract Prices and Changes**: On August 28, for far - month contracts, RB2601 closed at 3205 yuan/ton, up 25 yuan or 0.79%; HC2601 closed at 3372 yuan/ton, up 26 yuan or 0.78%; J2605 closed at 1760 yuan/ton, down 8 yuan or 0.45%; JM2605 closed at 1222 yuan/ton, up 18 yuan or 1.50%. For near - month contracts, RB2510 closed at 3129 yuan/ton, up 917 yuan or 0.55%; HC2510 closed at 3385 yuan/ton, up 28 yuan or 0.83% [1]. - **Spread and Ratio**: On August 28, the coil - rebar spread was 256 yuan/ton, up 18 yuan; the rebar - ore ratio was 3.96, down 0.05; the coal - coke ratio was 1.42, down 0.02; the rebar disk profit was - 69.33 yuan/ton, down 8.25 yuan; the coking disk profit was 109.75 yuan/ton, down 24.93 yuan [1]. Spot Market - **Prices and Changes**: On August 28, Shanghai rebar was 3280 yuan/ton, unchanged; Tianjin rebar was 3240 yuan/ton, unchanged; Guangzhou rebar was 3290 yuan/ton, unchanged; Tangshan billet was 3020 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan; the Platts Index was 103.9, up 1.45. Shanghai hot - rolled coil was 3410 yuan/ton, up 50 yuan; Hangzhou hot - rolled coil was 3410 yuan/ton, unchanged; Guangzhou hot - rolled coil was 3410 yuan/ton, up 40 yuan; the billet - product spread was 260 yuan/ton, down 10 yuan [1]. Investment Strategies - **Steel**: Unilateral short - term long positions can be taken with the 3100 level as the support and the previous low as the stop - loss. For futures - cash operations, follow the basis changes and conduct positive - spread rolling operations [4][9]. - **Coking Coal and Coke**: Pay attention to whether the impact of the mine accident will spread. Industrial customers can consider hedging opportunities after price increases [7][9].

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index experienced slight fluctuations, while the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index reached new highs during the session. As of the midday close, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.16% to 3849.76 points, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.93%, and the ChiNext Index surged by 2.34%. The STAR 50 Index fell by 2.51%. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 18,754 billion yuan [1]. Sector Performance - Strong sectors included insurance, liquor, tourism services, small metals, gold, daily chemicals, copper, supermarket chains, chemical pharmaceuticals, and textile machinery. Conversely, sectors such as semiconductors, IT equipment, communication devices, software services, components, forestry, and diversified finance showed weakness [1]. Concept Stocks - Concept stocks related to sodium batteries, lithium mines, solid-state batteries, and battery recycling saw significant gains [1]. Market Sentiment - Financial analysts noted a clear market structure differentiation, with technology stocks, particularly in computing hardware and semiconductor chips, leading the market. Other sectors are experiencing rapid rotation, indicating the need for careful market timing. Mid-term factors influencing the A-share market include anti-involution policies and demand-side policies. The influx of household savings into the market is expected to support the strengthening of market indices. The outlook remains for a strong oscillation in indices, with an increased tolerance for investment risks and a recommendation for active participation in the A-share market [1].

Group 1: Industry Investment Rating - No investment rating information provided Group 2: Core Views - For industrial silicon, the supply - demand pattern has improved, the spot price has minor fluctuations, the inventory has slightly decreased, and the market is mainly affected by overall commodity sentiment [3] - For polysilicon, the production has increased and the manufacturer's inventory has decreased, but the total inventory is still accumulating. The downstream wafer production has improved. The recent spot price has moved up, and the futures price is basically flat with the spot price after a decline. The market is greatly affected by anti - involution policies, and it is suitable to buy on dips in the medium - to - long term [8] Group 3: Market Analysis of Industrial Silicon - **Futures**: On August 28, 2025, the industrial silicon futures price fluctuated widely. The main contract 2511 opened at 8530 yuan/ton and closed at 8570 yuan/ton, a change of 30 yuan/ton (0.35%) from the previous settlement. The position of the main contract 2511 was 273,754 lots, and the number of warehouse receipts was 50,656 lots, a change of - 53 lots from the previous day [1] - **Supply**: The industrial silicon spot price remained stable. The price of East China oxygen - passing 553 silicon was 9200 - 9300 (- 50) yuan/ton, 421 silicon was 9400 - 9600 (- 50) yuan/ton, Xinjiang oxygen - passing 553 silicon was 8400 - 8600 (- 50) yuan/ton, and 99 silicon was 8400 - 8600 (- 50) yuan/ton. The silicon prices in some regions decreased slightly, and the price of 97 silicon remained stable. The total social inventory of industrial silicon in major regions was 541,000 tons, a decrease of 2,000 tons from last week [1] - **Consumption**: The quoted price of silicone DMC was 10,500 - 11,000 (0) yuan/ton. The prices of main silicone products were close to the enterprise cost line, and the market was in a stalemate with low - price transactions. Downstream enterprises mainly made rigid - demand purchases [2] Group 4: Market Analysis of Polysilicon - **Futures**: On August 28, 2025, the main contract 2511 of polysilicon futures fluctuated widely, opening at 49,220 yuan/ton and closing at 49,665 yuan/ton, a change of - 0.10% from the previous trading day. The position of the main contract was 143,912 lots (154,537 lots the previous day), and the trading volume was 376,304 lots [5] - **Spot**: The polysilicon spot price remained stable. The price of N - type material was 46.00 - 52.00 (0.00) yuan/kg, and the price of n - type granular silicon was 45.00 - 47.00 (0.00) yuan/kg. The polysilicon manufacturer's inventory decreased, the wafer inventory increased. The polysilicon inventory was 21.30 (a change of - 14.29% month - on - month), the wafer inventory was 18.05GW (a change of 3.68% month - on - month), the weekly polysilicon production was 31,000.00 tons (a change of 6.53% month - on - month), and the wafer production was 15.63GW (a change of 27.18% month - on - month) [5] Group 5: Price Information of Other Products - **Silicon wafers**: The price of domestic N - type 18Xmm silicon wafers was 1.23 (0.00) yuan/piece, N - type 210mm was 1.58 (0.00) yuan/piece, and N - type 210R silicon wafers was 1.38 (0.00) yuan/piece [7] - **Battery cells**: The price of high - efficiency PERC182 battery cells was 0.27 (0.00) yuan/W, PERC210 battery cells was about 0.28 (0.00) yuan/W, TopconM10 battery cells was about 0.29 (0.00) yuan/W, Topcon G12 battery cells was 0.29 (0.00) yuan/W, Topcon210RN battery cells was 0.29 (0.00) yuan/W, and HJT210 half - piece battery was 0.37 (0.00) yuan/W [7] - **Components**: The mainstream transaction price of PERC182mm was 0.67 - 0.74 (0.00) yuan/W, PERC210mm was 0.69 - 0.73 (0.00) yuan/W, N - type 182mm was 0.67 - 0.69 (0.00) yuan/W, and N - type 210mm was 0.67 - 0.69 (0.00) yuan/W [7] Group 6: Strategies - **Industrial silicon**: The supply - demand pattern has improved, and the current fundamental changes are small. The market is mainly affected by overall commodity sentiment [3] - **Polysilicon**: In the short - term, conduct range trading. In the medium - to - long term, it is suitable to buy on dips. Pay attention to policy implementation and spot price transmission [8][10]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Group 2: Core Views of the Report - Steel market is following market risk appetite and sentiment, with attention on short - term long opportunities around the blast furnace cost. There are still inventory build - up issues, but the 3100 level of the rebar 10 - contract represents the blast furnace static cost and provides support for iron - water production before the peak demand season is falsified [4]. - The "Steel Industry Steady Growth Work Plan (2025 - 2026)" has a limited impact on ferrosilicon and silicomanganese. Although the basic supply - demand of double - silicon is resilient, the high inventory still poses a de - stocking pressure. The industry's average profit has been significantly repaired [5][6]. - The coking coal and coke market is expected to be weak and volatile. The eighth round of coke price increase has not been implemented, and there are expectations of 2 - 3 rounds of price cuts in September. Mid - line investors in long positions should wait for the first round of coke price cut news [7]. - The iron ore price increase is restricted by supply increments in the second half of the year and future capacity release expectations. However, the impact of policies on the steel sector may be greater than the price itself, and the support for the 01 - contract iron ore is still effective [8]. Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Futures Market - On August 28, for far - month contracts, RB2601 closed at 3205 yuan/ton, up 25 yuan or 0.79%; HC2601 closed at 3372 yuan/ton, up 26 yuan or 0.78%; I2605 closed at 765.5 yuan/ton, up 11 yuan or 1.46%; J2605 closed at 1760 yuan/ton, down 8 yuan or 0.45%; JM2605 closed at 1222 yuan/ton, up 18 yuan or 1.50%. For near - month contracts, RB2510 closed at 3129 yuan/ton, up 917 yuan or 0.55%; HC2510 closed at 3385 yuan/ton, up 28 yuan or 0.83%; I2601 closed at 790.5 yuan/ton, up 13.5 yuan or 1.74%; J2601 closed at 1672.5 yuan/ton, down 8.5 yuan or 0.51%; JM2601 closed at 1175 yuan/ton, down 10.5 yuan or 0.90% [1]. - The cross - month spreads, spreads/ratios/profits, and basis also had corresponding changes on August 28 [1]. Spot Market - On August 28, Shanghai rebar was priced at 3280 yuan/ton, Tianjin rebar at 3240 yuan/ton, Guangzhou rebar at 3290 yuan/ton, Tangshan billet at 3020 yuan/ton, and the Platts Index at 103.9. Shanghai hot - rolled coil was 3410 yuan/ton, and prices in other regions also had different performances. Other spot prices such as those of coking coal and coke also had specific values and changes [1]. Steel - The steel market is still in a situation of inventory build - up, but the 3100 level of the rebar 10 - contract provides support. It is recommended to go short - term long around 3100 with the previous low as the stop - loss point, and conduct positive - spread rolling operations in the futures - cash market [4][9]. Ferrosilicon and Silicomanganese - The "Steel Industry Steady Growth Work Plan" has limited impact. The supply - demand is resilient, but high inventory requires de - stocking. The industry profit has been repaired [5][6]. Coking Coal and Coke - The spot trading atmosphere has weakened, the eighth round of coke price increase has not been implemented, and there are expectations of price cuts in September. It is recommended to pay attention to whether the impact of mine accidents spreads, and industrial customers can consider hedging opportunities on price rallies [7][9]. Iron Ore - The steel apparent demand is rising, but inventory build - up may continue. The iron ore price increase is restricted by supply increments, but policy impacts may be significant, and the support for the 01 - contract iron ore is still effective [8].

2025年8月28日晚间，苏州春兴精工股份有限公司(证券代码：002547，证券简称：春兴精工)发布了 2025年半年度业绩公告。公告显示，2025上半年春兴精工营收为9.77亿元，其中主营业务收入为9亿 元，同比增长4.21%；归属于上市公司股东的净利润为-1.29亿元，主要系新能源汽车件产能处于爬坡及 惠州春兴拟计提预计负债2,100万元；扣除非经常性损益后的归母净利润为-1.25亿元，同比去年同期收 窄2,800万元。 部分业务微幅改善 尽管整体业绩仍未扭亏，但半年度业绩透露了部分积极信号：汽车件业务营收与毛利率同比分别实现增 长7.36%、1.59%，其中春兴精工生产新能源汽车件的主要子公司金寨春兴净利润比去年同期亏损收窄 1099.69万元；精密结构件业务营收提升12.77%；主营业务收入整体增幅4.21%；海外市场也有所增长， 增幅为6.44%。这些细微变化或许预示着公司在结构性调整中正逐步企稳。 值得注意的是，春兴精工汽车件业务虽实现营收微增，但其新能源汽车件产能仍处于爬坡过程中，生产 效率和产品良率尚未达到理想状态，这一阶段性问题不仅限制了该业务的盈利贡献，也对公司本期整体 经营业绩造成了一定 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No industry investment ratings are provided in the given content. 2. Core Views of the Report - Crude oil may shift to a volatile trend before geopolitical risks further intensify, and short - selling opportunities after the peak season should be watched [2]. - Precious metals are in a volatile trend, and a mid - term strategy of buying on dips is recommended [3]. - For various metals and industrial products, their prices are influenced by factors such as supply - demand relationships, policy changes, and seasonal factors, and different trading strategies are suggested accordingly [4][5][6]. - For agricultural products, their prices are affected by factors like weather, trade policies, and supply - demand expectations, and corresponding investment outlooks are provided [34][35][36]. - In the financial market, the stock index is in a stage of considering geopolitical and economic risks, and a style of increasing allocation to technology - growth sectors is maintained; the yield curve of treasury bonds is expected to steepen [46][47]. 3. Summaries by Related Catalogs Energy - **Crude Oil**: Overnight international oil prices rose, with Brent's October contract up 0.82%. Last week, US EIA crude oil inventories unexpectedly decreased by 2.392 million barrels. Before geopolitical risks further intensify, crude oil may turn to a volatile trend [2]. - **Fuel Oil & Low - Sulfur Fuel Oil**: After a sharp decline in oil prices, fuel - related futures also fell. As of the end of July, Singapore's marine fuel sales and China's bonded marine fuel filling demand decreased year - on - year, but domestic refinery production enthusiasm was also low. The overall fundamentals are relatively more positive [21]. - **Natural Gas**: No relevant content. Metals - **Copper**: Overnight copper prices declined. The market is still cautious about the economic performance. High - level short positions should be held [4]. - **Aluminum**: Overnight, Shanghai aluminum followed the overall decline of non - ferrous metals. It is expected to remain volatile in the short term, with resistance at the 21,000 - yuan area [5]. - **Zinc**: Fundamentally, supply increases while demand is weak. Although the short - term downside space is limited, one should wait for short - selling opportunities at high levels [8]. - **Nickel and Stainless Steel**: Shanghai nickel's rebound was blocked and it fell back. The overall inventory is still high, and one should look for short - selling positions [10]. - **Tin**: Overnight, both domestic and international tin prices broke through the integer - level resistance and expanded their gains. It is expected that tin prices still have the potential to rise in the short term [10]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: The futures price of lithium carbonate corrected, and the market trading volume shrank. It is expected to be strongly volatile in general [11]. Industrial Products - **Industrial Silicon**: The industrial silicon futures closed slightly lower. The short - term market sentiment led to the weakening of the futures price. One should pay attention to the support at 8,300 yuan/ton [12]. - **Polysilicon**: The polysilicon futures are approaching the lower limit of the volatile range. It is recommended to wait and see for now [13]. - **Rebar & Hot - Rolled Coil**: Night - session steel prices were weakly volatile. The market is under negative feedback pressure, but the overall inventory level is relatively low. The short - term price is still under pressure [14]. - **Iron Ore**: The iron ore futures were volatile overnight. The overall supply - demand situation is gradually weakening, and it is expected to be weakly volatile [15]. - **Coke and Coking Coal**: Their prices decreased during the day. The prices are greatly affected by the "anti - involution" policy expectations, and short - term volatility is high [16][17]. Agricultural Products - **Soybeans and Soybean Meal**: Affected by the auction of imported soybeans, the price of Dalian soybean meal continued to fall. The market is cautiously bullish on Dalian soybean meal in the medium - to - long - term [34]. - **Soybean Oil and Palm Oil**: They showed a volatile adjustment. One can consider buying on dips in the medium - to - long - term, but short - term attention should be paid to soybean policy guidance [35]. - **Rapeseed Meal and Rapeseed Oil**: The domestic rapeseed sector is in a short - term volatile consolidation pattern [36]. - **Corn**: The Dalian corn futures rebounded last night. Given the good growth of US corn and the expected domestic harvest, the futures may continue to be weakly traded at the bottom [38]. - **Hogs**: The spot and futures prices of hogs are both weak. It is expected that the hog price will remain weak in the medium - term [39]. - **Eggs**: The egg futures continued to set new lows with increased positions. One can consider buying futures contracts for the first half of next year on dips [40]. - **Cotton**: The international cotton market lacks strong positive factors and is expected to be volatile in the short term. Zhengzhou cotton should be bought on dips [41]. - **Sugar**: The international sugar supply is sufficient, and the domestic sugar has insufficient positive factors. Sugar prices are expected to remain volatile [42]. - **Apples**: The futures price increased with increased positions. The short - term price may continue to rise, but there is a lack of positive factors on the supply side in the medium - to - long - term [43]. Financial Products - **Stock Index**: The stock index is in a stage of considering geopolitical and economic risks. The strategy of increasing allocation to technology - growth sectors is maintained [46]. - **Treasury Bonds**: Treasury bond futures closed up across the board. The yield curve is expected to steepen [47].

期货市场交易指引 2025 年 08 月 29 日 数据来源： 同花顺，长江期货 800 900 1,000 1,100 1,200 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 2024/5/20 2025/5/20 南华期货:工业品指数 南华期货:商品指数 南华期货:农产品指数（右轴） 1 宏观金融 ◆股指：震荡运行 | | 宏观金融 | | --- | --- | | ◆股指： | 中长期看好，逢低做多 | | ◆国债： | 保持观望 | | | 黑色建材 | | ◆焦煤： | 区间交易 | | ◆螺纹钢： | 区间交易 | | ◆玻璃： | 震荡偏弱 | | | 有色金属 | | ◆铜： | 建议低位适度持多 | | ◆铝： | 建议待回落后逢低布局多单 | | ◆镍： | 建议观望或逢高做空 | | ◆锡： | 区间交易 | | ◆黄金： | 区间交易 | | ◆白银： | 区间交易 | | | 能源化工 | | ◆PVC： | 震荡 | | ◆纯碱： | 空 01 多 05 套利 | | ◆烧碱： | 震荡 | | ◆苯乙烯： | 震荡 | | ◆橡胶： | 震荡 | | ...

大越期货投资咨询部 胡毓秀 从业资格证号：F03105325 投资咨询证号：Z0021337 联系方式：0575-85226759 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人的投资建议 。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户；市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 玻璃早报 2025-8-29 交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】1091号 每日观点 玻璃： 1、基本面：玻璃生产利润回落，行业冷修速度放缓，开工率、产量下降至历史同期低位；深加工 订单不及往年同期，终端需求偏弱；偏空 2、基差：浮法玻璃河北沙河大板现货1060元/吨，FG2601收盘价为1174元/吨，基差为-114元，期 货升水现货；偏空 3、库存：全国浮法玻璃企业库存6256.60万重量箱，较前一周减少1.64%，库存在5年均值上方运 行；偏空 4、盘面：价格在20日线下方运行，20日线向下；偏空 5、主力持仓：主力持仓净空，空减；偏空 6、预期：玻璃基本面疲弱，短期预计震荡偏弱运行为主。 影响因素总结 利多： 1、"反内卷"政策影响下，浮法玻璃行业存产能出清预期。 利空： 1、地产终 ...

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 宝城期货动力煤早报（2025 年 8 月 29 日） ◼ 品种观点参考 时间周期说明：短期为一周以内、中期为两周至一月 | | | 备注： 1.有夜盘的品种以夜盘收盘价为起始价格，无夜盘的品种以昨日收盘价为起始价格，当日日盘收盘 价为终点价格，计算涨跌幅度。 2.跌幅大于 1%为下跌，跌幅 0~1%为震荡偏弱，涨幅 0~1%为震荡偏强，涨幅大于 1%为上涨。 （仅供参考，不构成任何投资建议） 获取每日 期货观点 推 送 服 务 国 家 走 向 世 界 知 行 合 一 专 业 敬 业 诚 信 至 上 合 规 经 营 严 谨 管 理 开 拓 进 取 扫码关注宝城期货官方微信·期货咨询尽在掌握 专业研究·创造价值 1 / 2 请务必阅读文末免责条款 3.震荡偏强/偏弱只针对日内观点，短期和中期不做区分。 ◼ 主要品种价格行情驱动逻辑—商品期货黑色板块 品种：动力煤现货 日内观点： 中期观点： 参考观点：震荡 核心逻辑：随着淡季临近，电煤需求将进入季节性下滑的阶段，而非电端并无实质性利好出现， 动力煤需求侧不确定性有限，市场博弈焦点仍在于供应端。特别是在当前"反内卷 ...

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2) Report's Core View - For both Jiao Coal (JM) and Coke (J), the short - term, medium - term, and overall reference views are "oscillation". The intraday view is "oscillation weakening", and the medium - term view is "oscillation strengthening" [1][5][6]. 3) Summary by Related Catalogs Jiao Coal (JM) - **Price Trend**: In the short - term, medium - term, and intraday, it shows an oscillatory trend. The intraday view is oscillatory weakening, and the medium - term view is oscillatory strengthening [1][5]. - **Core Logic**: The fundamentals of Jiao Coal have no obvious changes. Super - production verification and heavy rainfall in Shanxi still suppress supply. Before the 9.3 parade, coking plants and steel mills are affected by environmental protection restrictions, so short - term demand also faces pressure. Although the impact of the "anti - involution" policy has been released, the coal industry will still respond to relevant policies, which may bring new positive news. Currently, long and short factors are intertwined, and the futures main contract oscillates within a range. Considering the "anti - involution" impact, the callback space may be limited [5]. Coke (J) - **Price Trend**: In the short - term, medium - term, and intraday, it shows an oscillatory trend. The intraday view is oscillatory weakening, and the medium - term view is oscillatory strengthening [1][6]. - **Core Logic**: The eighth round of price increase for Coke has been blocked, and the game between upstream and downstream of the black industry chain has intensified, with the spot market temporarily stable. In the futures market, with the fermentation of the "anti - involution" theme, the market has entered the verification stage from the strong cost - side expectation. The long - short game has become more intense. Considering that the coal industry may further cooperate with the "anti - involution" policy, the cost - side news is still expected to form a positive support. After a short - term correction, Coke may show a characteristic of being easy to rise and difficult to fall in the long - term [6].