那么，为什么成长风格的创业板能顶住压力逆势收红？关键在于领涨的通信/CPO板块，其驱动逻辑与 有色金属完全"脱钩"，它遵循的是另一套叙事和基本面。 先说结论：今日市场是外部宏观冲击与内部产业趋势力量的一次激烈碰撞，其结果凸显了当前环境 下"脱钩"传统周期与拥抱科技创新的资金选择。 先看数据全景。今日A股沪弱深强，上证跌0.96%，创业板指涨1.27%，成交缩量至2.86万亿，显示市场 整体处于观望。港股则更弱，恒指跌超2%。板块上，通信（+3.44%）与有色金属（-7.80%）分列涨跌 榜首位，形成刺眼对比。 这种分裂行情的直接"导火索"，是隔夜全球贵金属市场的闪崩。白银暴跌超8%，黄金高位回撤超500美 元，源于多头获利了结与美元反弹的双重压力。这完美诠释了周期股尤其是资源品的投资核心矛盾：其 价格定价权在外，股价波动性与全球流动性和商品价格高度同步，内生缓冲弱。A股相关标的出现逾30 只跌停，是情绪与逻辑的连锁反应。 投资者当下需要做的，或许是重新审视自己持仓的"核心驱动逻辑"是什么。是博弈美元加息周期的尾 声，还是投资中国制造业升级与科技创新的确定性未来？不同的答案，对应着截然不同的持仓结构和心 态。 ...

1月27日，科技板块走势分化，固态电池板块持续调整，CPO概念逆势走强。从指数层面看，创业板成长指数上涨0.3%， 创业板指数下跌0.1%，创业板中盘200指数下跌4.1%。 兴业证券认为，随着A股上市公司年报预告进入披露高峰，叠加北美科技巨头财报集中披露，业绩对结构的影响或将更加 显著，继续聚焦基本面挖掘亮点。结合年报业绩预告线索与近期盈利预期边际上修情况，当前业绩具备亮点且本轮涨幅偏 低的行业主要集中在AI硬件、电池、医药、钢铁、非银等。 | | 创业板 | 创业板中盘 | 创业板成长 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 指数 | 200指数 | 指数 | | 本周涨跌幅 | -0. 1% | -4. 1% | 0. 3% | | 指数滚动 市盈率 | 42. 3倍 | 113. 3倍 | 40. 5倍 | | 滚动市盈率 分位 | 39. 5% | 该指数2023年 11月15日发布 | 45. 4% | | 跟踪该 | 创业板ETF | 创业板200ETF | 创业板成长ETF 易方达 | | 指数的ETF | 易方达 | 易方达 | | | | (159915) | (1 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that companies with solid fundamentals and better-than-expected performance are likely to lead the upcoming "spring rally" in the market [3][12] - The market focus will shift to earnings as the annual performance forecasts begin to be disclosed in late January, with a median year-on-year growth rate of over 10% for the net profit attributable to shareholders of all A-shares in 2025 [3][12] - Key sectors such as computing power, lithium batteries, and energy storage are expected to show significant earnings growth, contributing to the overall recovery in corporate profitability [3][12] Group 2 - Huabao Fund has launched three major broad-based ETFs tracking the China A-share market, providing diverse investment options for investors [4] - The A50 ETF focuses on the top 50 leading companies, while the A100 ETF encompasses the top 100 industry leaders, indicating a strategy to capture high-quality growth [5][6] - The overall market performance showed a decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.96% and a total trading volume of 2.84 trillion yuan, reflecting a decrease of 394.5 billion yuan from the previous day [11]

Market Overview - A-shares showed mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index dropping over 1% at one point, while the ChiNext Index surged by 1.27% by the end of the trading day [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and North markets was approximately 2.86 trillion yuan, a decrease of nearly 400 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1] CPO Concept Surge - The CPO (Co-Packaged Optics) concept experienced a strong rally, with stocks like Jietong Technology and Zhishang Technology hitting the 20% limit up, and other companies like Juguang Technology and Tianfu Communication also seeing significant gains [3][4] Agricultural Sector Rise - The agricultural sector saw a notable increase, particularly in seed industry stocks, with Shen Nong Seed Industry rising nearly 13% and Qiu Le Seed Industry up over 10% [7][8] - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs emphasized the importance of seed industry revitalization, aiming for significant breakthroughs during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [9] Precious Metals Sector Decline - The precious metals sector faced a sharp decline, with gold prices dropping nearly 5% to below $5200 per ounce and silver prices falling over 9% to below $105 per ounce [11][12] - Affected stocks included Xiaocheng Technology and various companies in the silver and copper sectors, which saw significant drops, with many hitting the limit down [13][14] Company-Specific Developments - Zijin Mining, a company with a market capitalization exceeding 1 trillion yuan, experienced a significant drop, nearing the limit down during trading [1] - Companies like Yuguang Gold Lead and Zhaojin Mining issued warnings about the risks associated with their rapidly rising stock prices, indicating that their fundamentals had not changed significantly [14][15]

Core Viewpoint - The CPO concept stocks in A-shares have experienced a significant surge, driven by the release of new AI models and positive earnings forecasts from related companies, alleviating previous market concerns [2][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - On January 30, A-share CPO concept stocks saw a collective rise, with companies like Jieput and Zhishang Technology hitting a 20% limit up, and Hengtong Optic-Electric and Changfei Optical Fiber achieving a 10% limit up [3]. - The ChiNext Index rose by 1.52% after previously dropping over 1%, indicating a strong market rebound [2]. Group 2: Company Earnings Forecasts - Jieput announced an expected 97.69% year-on-year increase in net profit for 2025, reaching 1.3288 billion yuan, benefiting from rising global demand for laser products [3]. - Out of 21 CPO concept stocks that disclosed 2025 earnings forecasts, 17 are expected to show year-on-year net profit growth, representing over 80% [3]. Group 3: AI Industry Developments - Recent releases of AI models, such as DeepSeek-OCR2 and Baidu's Wenxin 5.0, have catalyzed market enthusiasm, with some experts predicting a "ChatGPT moment" in 2026 [3][6]. - Industrial Fulian reported strong customer demand for AI computing power, with expectations for cloud service providers to maintain aggressive capital expenditures, projected to exceed $600 billion by 2026, marking a 40% year-on-year increase [5]. Group 4: Price Increases in AI Services - Major tech companies like Google Cloud and Amazon have announced price increases for data transmission and computing services, indicating rising costs in the AI infrastructure sector [6][7]. - Meta and Microsoft reported higher-than-expected capital expenditures for Q4 2025, with Meta raising its full-year 2026 capital expenditure forecast to $125 billion, a 73% increase [6]. Group 5: Future Outlook - Analysts predict that the demand for computing power will continue to rise, driven by the increasing deployment of AI applications and ongoing iterations of training models [7]. - The AI industry is expected to experience a new wave of growth, particularly in the computing power sector, as concerns about a "computing power bubble" may ease with upcoming confirmations from U.S. earnings reports [7].

Market Performance - On January 30, A-shares showed mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.96% to 4117.95 points, the Shenzhen Component Index down by 0.66% to 14205.89 points, and the ChiNext Index up by 1.27% to 3346.36 points [1] - The sectors that performed well included optical communication modules, CPO concepts, and computing power concepts, while sectors such as gold concepts, small metals, and scarce resources saw declines [1] Fund Manager Changes - On January 30, there were 30 fund manager changes, with 44 fund products announcing departures involving 10 fund managers [3] - In the past 30 days (December 31 to January 30), a total of 567 fund products experienced fund manager departures [3] - The reasons for the changes included personal reasons for 4 fund managers, product expiration for 1 fund manager, and job changes for 5 fund managers [3] New Fund Managers - On January 30, 50 fund products announced new fund manager appointments involving 23 fund managers [5] - Zhang Xun from Pengyang Fund has a total asset scale of 87.43 billion yuan, managing mainly mixed and stock funds, with the highest return product being Pengyang Digital Economy Pioneer Mixed A, which achieved a return of 152.18% over 1 year and 156 days [5] Fund Research Activity - In the past month (December 31 to January 30), Bosera Fund conducted the most company research, engaging with 47 listed companies, followed by Huaxia Fund, Southern Fund, and Fortune Fund, which researched 47, 38, and 38 companies respectively [6] - The chemical products industry was the most researched sector with 224 instances, followed by the automotive parts industry with 175 instances [6] Recent Fund Research Focus - In the last week (January 23 to January 30), the most researched company was Haozhi Electromechanical, which was engaged by 22 fund institutions [8] - Other companies with significant research attention included Fengzhuzhou, Wolker Materials, and Hailide, receiving 21, 18, and 17 fund institution engagements respectively [8]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index experienced a decline of 0.96%, closing at 4117.95 points, while the Shenzhen Component fell by 0.66%. In contrast, the ChiNext Index rose by 1.27% [1] - The total trading volume across the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and North markets reached approximately 2.86 trillion yuan [1] Sector Performance - Sectors such as metals, oil, liquor, brokerage, and real estate saw declines, while agriculture, paper, coal, and semiconductor sectors showed gains. Notably, seed industry stocks, CPO concepts, and storage chip concepts were particularly active [1] Investment Insights - According to Hengsheng Qianhai Fund, previously strong sectors require time to digest profit-taking and are entering a phase of consolidation. However, with international commodity prices continuing to rise, cyclical stocks are expected to attract ongoing capital [1] - The medium to long-term outlook for the A-share market remains positive, with the index projected to have upward potential until 2026. The current appreciation of the RMB and the return of cross-border capital are helping to restore cash flow statements in China's real sector [1] - The ongoing technological revolution driven by AI and the domestic manufacturing sector's transition to high-end production are key trends to watch, with recommendations to focus on opportunities in technology, consumer goods, high-end manufacturing, and pharmaceuticals [1]

上证指数午盘跌1.19%，创业板指涨0.8%。沪深京三市半日成交额19514亿元，较上日缩量836亿 元。全市场超3800只个股下跌。 贵金属、基本金属板块深度回调，个股现跌停潮；钢铁、地产、白 酒、化工行业跌幅靠前；商业航天、光伏、AI应用题材走弱；CPO概念股盘中拉升，农业股逆势走强。 ETF方面，华泰柏瑞基金中韩半导体ETF涨3%。AI硬件走强，CPO概念股盘中拉升，通信ETF广 发、通信ETF嘉实分别涨2.9%和2.57%。农业板块走强，粮食ETF广发、鹏华基金粮食ETF分别涨2.32% 和2.19%。 （责任编辑：刘静 HZ010） 金属板块深度回调，黄金股票ETF、黄金股ETF、黄金股票ETF跌停。稀有金属同步下跌，稀有金 属ETF跌8%。 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com ...

另外，近期AI产业消息催化不断。DeepSeek-OCR2模型、月之暗面KimiK2.5大模型、阿里千问旗舰推理模型 Qwen3-Max-Thinking先后发布。而在一周前，百度发布并上线原生全模态大模型文心5.0正式版，海外方面， AI智能体Clawdbot全网爆火，被部分观点视为2026年的"ChatGPT时刻"。 超级赛道突然逆势爆发。 今日，A股CPO概念股集体大涨，杰普特、致尚科技斩获20%涨停，亨通光电、长飞光纤录得10%涨停，天孚 通信一度大涨近17%，带动创业板指持续反攻，截至券商中国发稿，创业板指涨幅为1.52%，此前一度跌超1% 。 有分析机构指出，近期国内多家AI（人工智能）企业发布了最新版本的大模型，引爆了市场情绪。另外，相 关上市公司的业绩预告报喜也缓解了市场此前的担忧情绪。海外方面，美国科技巨头Meta、微软均在最新财 报中表示，AI算力供应紧张态势将贯穿2026年。另外，谷歌云、亚马逊也相继上调了数据传输与算力服务价 格。 CPO概念股大爆发 1月30日，A股CPO概念股全线大涨，杰普特、致尚科技斩获20%涨停，亨通光电、长飞光纤录得10%涨停，天 孚通信一度大涨近17%，罗博 ...

Group 1 - The A-share market experienced a total of 57 stocks hitting the daily limit up and 60 stocks hitting the daily limit down on January 30 [1] - The agricultural planting sector was active, with companies like Nongfa Seed Industry and Denghai Seed Industry reaching the limit up [1] - The laser industry concept strengthened, with Jepu Te hitting the limit up [1] Group 2 - CPO concept stocks rose, with Hengtong Optic-Electric hitting the limit up [1] - Tian Di Online achieved 6 limit ups in 10 days, while *ST Chengchang had 6 limit ups in 7 days [1] - Other notable stocks included Hunan Gold with 5 consecutive limit ups and Tianqi Co. with 3 limit ups in 5 days [1] Group 3 - *ST Wanfang faced 14 consecutive limit downs, while *ST Jinglun had 4 consecutive limit downs [1] - *ST Sailong experienced 3 consecutive limit downs, and other companies like Jinmoly Co. and Pengxin Resources also faced limit downs [1]