离岸人民币兑美元短线小幅走强，同时美元指数DXY走高10余点，美元兑日元USD/JPY走高40点。 ...

金十数据5月7日讯，衡量美元对六种主要货币的美元指数当天下跌0.59%，在汇市尾市收于99.237。截 至纽约汇市尾市，1欧元兑换1.1371美元，高于前一交易日的1.1313美元；1英镑兑换1.3376美元，高于 前一交易日的1.3289美元。1美元兑换142.45日元，低于前一交易日的143.92日元；1美元兑换0.8217瑞士 法郎，低于前一交易日的0.8229瑞士法郎；1美元兑换1.3773加元，低于前一交易日的1.3815加元；1美 元兑换9.5663瑞典克朗，低于前一交易日的9.6720瑞典克朗。 美元指数6日下跌 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent appreciation of the RMB is driven by a weaker USD and a thawing in China-US trade relations, with future focus on tariff negotiations and US economic data impacting the USD index [1] Group 1: RMB Exchange Rate Dynamics - The RMB has shown a "short-term rapid appreciation," influenced by the weakening of the USD and narrowing China-US interest rate differentials [1] - The relationship between the RMB exchange rate and both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks is observed to be vaguely positively correlated, while the exchange rate is strongly correlated with the China-US interest rate differential [1] - The recent rapid appreciation of the RMB has contributed to the recovery of A-shares and Hong Kong stocks, but technical analysis suggests that the rapid appreciation phase has ended, leading to potential fluctuations [1] Group 2: Technical Analysis Insights - From a technical perspective, the RMB exchange rate is currently in a phase of oscillation after the rapid appreciation, which may cause disturbances in market trends [1] - The analysis indicates that if the RMB rebounds to certain levels, it may signal further downward movement, while a return to specific thresholds could indicate reduced downward space [1][23] - The PCR indicator, which tracks short-term market timing, has shown a slight increase, indicating a high-risk zone, suggesting that if it remains elevated, a market adjustment may be imminent [1]

美元指数DXY日内跌超0.50%，现报99.30。 ...

美元指数DXY短线波动不大，现报99.47。 ...

数据截至5月6日19:53，图 / Wind 人民币汇率的强劲升值势头也提升了资本市场的活力。5月6日，A股呈现普涨格局，三大指数 均涨超1%，近5 0 0 0股飘红，两市成交额重返1 . 3万亿之上。 | 图 / Wind | | --- | 作 者丨林秋彤 编 辑丨包芳鸣 图源丨图虫 Wi n d 数 据 显 示 ， 离 岸 人 民 币 汇 率 自 5 月 1 日 收 于 7 . 2 7 7 3 后 连 续 走 强 ， 截 至 5 月 5 日 收 盘 已 升 至 7 . 2 0 0 6，当日盘中更是一度触及7 . 1 8 4 3的高点。"五一"期间，离岸人民币汇率一度升超8 0 0 点。 5月6日，人民币大幅拉升， 在岸人民币对美元日内一度涨近6 0 0点，创去年11月以来最高水 平， 收盘报7 . 2 1 6 9，日内上涨4 6 3点。离岸人民币汇率小幅回落，仍维持在7 . 2 0左右。在岸 人民币汇率自4月2 8日开始持续升值。 东方金诚首席宏观分析师王青表示，4月2 5日中共中央政治局会议做出明确部署，要求"加强 超 常 规 逆 周 期 调 节 " " 要 加 紧 实 施 更 加 积 极 有 为 的 ...

市场预期美国关税谈判或有进展，美元指数承压，黄金多头卷土重来？点击观看金十研究员文成直播分 析 相关链接 ...

美国供应管理协会（ISM）最新公布的服务业PMI（采购经理指数）出乎意料上升，从3月时的九个月 低位50.8点，上升至4月份的51.6点，远超市场预期的50.6点。该指数读数在50点以上，反映经济活动扩 张，反之则意味着经济活动收缩。 4月份的服务业PMI达到51.6点的水平，着实让市场喜出望外，美股三大指数原本低开低走，在公布服 务业PMI后反弹，但是回味过后，投资者的忧虑并没有消散，美股收盘前续跌。以反映科技股表现的纳 斯达克指数（IXIC.US）为例，低开后持续上下波动，午后公布服务业PMI后一度走高，但是尾盘急速 走低，收盘跌133.49点，或0.74%，报17,844.24点。 这项数据有何问题？ 本周中后期美联储议息，市场普遍预期将维持利率不变，这或也是关税阴霾下，市场对于美联储最后一 次把握比较大的预测，即便如此，利率仍走高，反映资金需要更高的风险收益补偿。 美元指数再跌破100 从服务业PMI的细分领域来看，新订单和存货指数均表现良好，分别达到52.3点和53.4点，显示出增长 加快的信号，同时商业活动仍处于扩张区间，为53.7点。但值得注意的是，服务业就业继续处于收缩水 平，报49点，而价格 ...

Market Overview - The fluctuation of the US dollar index has a significant impact on gold prices, as gold is priced in dollars. The current dollar index trend has led to cautious investor sentiment towards gold, resulting in narrow price fluctuations [2] - Global economic data expectations also influence the gold market. Uncertainty regarding economic outlook leads to investor hesitation, affecting gold demand and causing a lack of clear upward or downward momentum in gold prices [2] - The direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy remains a key variable for the gold market. Divergence exists in market expectations regarding future interest rate decisions, leading to cautious investor behavior ahead of the May 8 Federal Reserve rate decision [2] Technical Analysis - Gold - The spot gold price opened at $3239.46 per ounce, experienced a strong intraday rise, reaching a high of $3337.46, and closed at $3333.96, indicating a bullish market trend [5] - On the daily chart, the closing price is significantly above the 20-day moving average, suggesting strong bullish momentum and opportunities for long positions [5] - The hourly chart indicates a departure from the bottom consolidation range, with a strong upward trend along the 20-day moving average, suggesting further upward potential [6] Technical Analysis - Silver - The silver price opened at $32.002, showing wide fluctuations and reaching a high of $32.669, closing at $32.473, indicating a bullish trend [8] - The closing price is back above the 20-day moving average, reinforcing a bullish outlook and opportunities for long positions [8] - The hourly chart shows silver returning to the high point of the consolidation range, with a need to observe if it can effectively break through the previous resistance level [8]

Group 1 - The recent surge in spot gold prices has seen it break through the $3,360 per ounce mark, with a slight pullback following the peak, indicating strong market interest in gold as an investment [1][3] - The increase in gold prices is attributed to several factors, including a cooling of interest rate hike expectations in the U.S., a weakening U.S. dollar, and central banks globally accumulating gold as a safety net, which affects supply and demand dynamics positively [3] - The current market sentiment is volatile, and while short-term gains are evident, a cautious approach is advised for long-term investors, suggesting to wait for potential price corrections before making new investments [3] Group 2 - The commentary emphasizes the importance of a long-term investment strategy, likening it to a marathon rather than a sprint, and encourages investors to focus on understanding market fundamentals rather than chasing short-term trends [3] - Future monitoring of global inflation data and geopolitical situations is recommended as these factors are considered significant variables that could impact gold prices [3]