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人民大学重阳金融研究院王文:当下是出海配置全球资源的最好时代
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-17 09:16
王文提到,一个重要数据表明,过去十年企业已在出海,且速度非常快,体现在八大趋势:趋势一、出 海公司数量创新高。趋势二:境外应收贡献创新高。趋势三:出海成为企业第二增长极。趋势四、大公 司出海数量占比翻倍。趋势五、民营企业成为出海重要力量。趋势六、76%专精特新公司加速出海。趋 势七、产业提升推动出海结构升级。趋势八、东南亚成为国内企业出海热土。 他同时谈到,过去十年出海已逐渐升级换代、迭代,但今年以来中美博弈压力增大,中美博弈在重新塑 造全球产业链,也塑造中国企业出海进程。 在他看来,全球价值链分割大致有三个特点:一是价值链从过去效率优先到安全优先,布局不再考虑效 率优先,而是安全优先。二是技术迭代重构产业链进程规则,中国在新领域重新塑造产业链规则。三是 经济自主与体系化分割。"外国人有的我们现在都应有,此进程给西方发达国家造成压力,但对全球南 方国家是利好,因中国科技普惠政策,愿与全球南方国家分享科技产品。" 王文认为,当下出海是中华民族有史以来配置全球资源最好时代,未来还会更好。"此时我们要有百年 变局时代理念,怀揣中华大崛起民族自信,塑造14 + 70全球逻辑,国内14亿人,国外70亿人,市场更 大。还 ...
人民大学重阳金融研究院王文:民营企业成为出海重要力量
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-17 09:16
专题:2025企业家之夜启动仪式 "为中国经济点赞——企业家之夜"启动仪式于12月17日在北京举行。中国人民大学重阳金融研究院院 长、全球领导力学院院长教授王文出席并演讲。 王文提到,一个重要数据表明,过去十年企业已在出海,且速度非常快,体现在八大趋势:趋势一、出 海公司数量创新高。趋势二:境外应收贡献创新高。趋势三:出海成为企业第二增长极。趋势四、大公 司出海数量占比翻倍。趋势五、民营企业成为出海重要力量。趋势六、76%专精特新公司加速出海。趋 势七、产业提升推动出海结构升级。趋势八、东南亚成为国内企业出海热土。 在他看来,全球价值链分割大致有三个特点:一是价值链从过去效率优先到安全优先,布局不再考虑效 率优先,而是安全优先。二是技术迭代重构产业链进程规则,中国在新领域重新塑造产业链规则。三是 经济自主与体系化分割。"外国人有的我们现在都应有,此进程给西方发达国家造成压力,但对全球南 方国家是利好,因中国科技普惠政策,愿与全球南方国家分享科技产品。" 新浪声明:所有会议实录均为现场速记整理,未经演讲者审阅,新浪网登载此文出于传递更多信息之目 的,并不意味着赞同其观点或证实其描述。 责任编辑:王翔 专题:20 ...
港股收评:恒指涨0.92%、科指涨1.03%,航空股、有色金属及芯片股走高,金融股午后活跃
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-12-17 08:21
Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a narrow fluctuation in the morning and a strong rally in the afternoon, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 0.92% to 25,468.78 points, the Hang Seng Tech Index increasing by 1.03% to 5,457.95 points, and the National Enterprises Index up by 0.98% to 8,843.57 points [1] - Major technology stocks mostly rose, with Alibaba up 1.25%, Tencent Holdings up 1.42%, JD Group up 1.26%, and Meituan up 1.81% [1] - The aviation sector showed strong performance, with China Southern Airlines rising over 5%, while financial stocks also saw gains, with China Life Insurance increasing over 4% [1] - The metals sector led the gains, with Tianqi Lithium up nearly 6%, Ganfeng Lithium up over 5%, and Luoyang Molybdenum up over 2% [1] - Semiconductor stocks also rose, with Shanghai Fudan up 4%, Huahong Semiconductor up nearly 3%, and SMIC up over 2% [1] Corporate News - China Energy Construction (03996.HK) announced the official operation of the first phase of the Zhongnengjian Songyuan Hydrogen Energy Industrial Park project [2] - China Pacific Insurance (02601.HK) reported that its cumulative original insurance premium income for the first 11 months reached RMB 250.32 billion, a year-on-year increase of 9.4%, while its property insurance premium income was RMB 187.68 billion, up 0.3% [2] - Hansoh Pharmaceutical (03692.HK) entered into a licensing agreement with Glenmark for Amivantamab, which includes an upfront payment and potential milestone payments exceeding USD 1 billion [2] Financing Activities - Yuexiu Property (00123.HK) secured a term loan financing of HKD 500 million [3] - China Railway Construction (01186.HK) plans to issue company bonds with a total amount not exceeding RMB 4 billion [4] - Genscript Biotech (01672.HK) increased its share buyback fund from a maximum of HKD 300 million to HKD 500 million [5] - Tencent Holdings (00700.HK) repurchased 1.067 million shares for approximately HKD 636 million at prices ranging from HKD 592.5 to HKD 602.5 [6] - Xiaomi Group (01810.HK) repurchased 7.2 million shares for HKD 294 million at prices between HKD 40.36 and HKD 41.00 [7] - Kuaishou Technology (01024.HK) repurchased 1.8231 million shares for HKD 116 million at prices from HKD 63.05 to HKD 64.4 [8] - Geely Automobile (00175.HK) repurchased 299,900 shares for approximately HKD 50.54 million at prices between HKD 16.72 and HKD 17.2 [9] Institutional Insights - According to China Merchants Securities, the recent weakness in the Hong Kong stock market is attributed to southbound capital returning to A-shares due to new public fund benchmark regulations, concerns over IPO financing, and the upcoming peak of stock unlocks [10] - Huatai Securities noted that while the market's downside is manageable, the upside potential has not yet opened up, with market sentiment indicators remaining in a pessimistic range [10] - China Merchants Securities also highlighted that the Hong Kong market has not stabilized after overseas interest rate cuts, primarily due to internal liquidity issues [10]
A股市场集体上涨,成长ETF涨5.28%,创业板成长ETF涨4.94%
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-17 08:13
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a collective rebound, with significant increases in major indices, driven by expectations of monetary easing following disappointing U.S. employment data [1][3]. Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose over 1%, while the ChiNext Index increased by more than 3% [1]. - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.81 trillion, an increase of 87 billion compared to the previous trading day [1]. Growth ETFs - The Growth ETF surged by 5.28%, and the ChiNext Growth ETF rose by 4.94%, with the E Fund ChiNext Growth ETF increasing by 3.81% [3]. - The National Growth 100 Index, which the Growth ETF tracks, employs a unique compilation method that focuses on multiple profit growth indicators to identify genuine growth stocks [3]. Institutional Outlook - Major institutions like UBS, JPMorgan, and Fidelity believe that Chinese assets have a solid foundation for continued rebound due to profit growth, accelerated innovation, and attractive valuations [3]. - The consensus among international institutions is that the core driver for Chinese assets will shift from "valuation repair" to "profit growth" by 2026 [4]. Profit Growth Drivers - JPMorgan identified corporate earnings as a key variable for the next phase of asset appreciation in China, while Goldman Sachs noted a transition from valuation-driven to profit-driven market dynamics [4]. - The expected recovery in corporate earnings is supported by factors such as anti-involution policies, global demand for AI, and growth opportunities from companies expanding overseas [4]. Future Projections - Goldman Sachs anticipates that the Chinese stock market could reach historical highs by 2027, driven by a significant increase in earnings per share (EPS) growth, projected to rise to approximately 12% in 2026 [5]. - This EPS growth is expected to surpass historical averages from 2015-2020 (6%) and 2020-2024 (8%), indicating a qualitative leap in profit momentum [5]. - Key indices are projected to achieve a 30%-40% increase by the end of 2027, marking a potential historical peak [5]. Long-term Trends - Although these dynamics may not immediately reflect in stock prices, they are gradually being incorporated into long-term funding pricing models [6].
山东得利斯X新加坡陆福投资官宣合作,“出海”企业又一样本?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-17 02:05
Core Insights - Shandong Delisi Food Co., Ltd. has signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Singapore Lufeng Investment Pte Ltd to enhance international collaboration and market expansion [2][5] - This partnership aims to leverage both companies' strengths in product development, smart manufacturing, cross-border investment, and localized operations [2][5] - Delisi has been actively expanding its global presence, with Singapore being a strategic market due to its significant Muslim population, aligning with Delisi's halal product offerings [6][7] Group 1: Strategic Partnership - The agreement was witnessed by key officials from both companies, highlighting the importance of this collaboration [5] - Delisi's Chairman emphasized the company's commitment to food innovation, production technology upgrades, and quality control systems to meet diverse international market demands [5] - Lufeng Investment has over 30 years of experience in the agricultural and food industry in China, providing a solid foundation for long-term strategic cooperation [5] Group 2: International Market Expansion - Delisi's international strategy includes establishing a representative office in South Africa and participating in trade expos in Southeast Asia to strengthen market presence [6][7] - The company has tailored products for the Southeast Asian market, showcasing them at the "Good Products Shandong 2025" agricultural trade expo in Malaysia [7] Group 3: Domestic Market Development - Delisi continues to deepen its domestic market presence through product innovation and supply chain optimization, focusing on school food supply and e-commerce [10] - The company has achieved significant sales milestones, including a single live-streaming event generating over 1.68 million yuan in sales [10] - Delisi operates five production bases across China, with a capacity of 180,000 tons for prepared dishes and over 3 million pigs slaughtered annually, while also pursuing digital transformation [10] Group 4: Future Outlook - The ongoing optimization of Delisi's supply chain and global expansion efforts, combined with supportive national policies, are expected to enhance the company's performance [10] - The partnership with Lufeng Investment is anticipated to mitigate risks associated with international expansion, facilitating a high-quality entry into global markets [10][11]
上海市侨商联合会:“走出去、引进来” 助力侨商侨企“出海”大有可为
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-12-17 00:54
中新网上海12月16日电 (记者 陈静)"在过去的数十年间,侨商、外资对上海的经济建设贡献良多,与此 同时,也获得快速发展。"上海市侨商联合会副会长彭政峰16日接受中新网记者采访时指出,如今,上 海市的侨商企业有更强的历史使命,要以资本、技术带动更多中国企业或者配套产业企业走出国门。 在不同的国家或地区,政策法规差异较大,尤其是在知识产权、税收、劳动法等方面,企业必须提前了 解并遵守当地的法律规定。现在,陪伴企业"出海"、为企业"出海"提供服务的机构、平台很多。对此, 高铨志指出,需要注意的是,这些机构能否提供当地能落地的一些项目或者资源对接,这对中国企 业"走出去"十分重要。 据了解,高铨志是侨商二代,其家族运营的新加坡企业在华已发展多年。在父辈的耳濡目染下,"侨帮 侨"理念在高铨志心中生根。他说,借助与海外华人社团的深厚联系,上海市侨商联合会帮助了不少海 外企业、华商企业来华发展,也帮助不少中国的企业到国外去。 多年从事国际化资本运作的彭政峰表示,中国企业"出海"分为不同阶段,第一阶段以贸易出口为主;第 二阶段以产业链出海在国外设厂为主;第三阶段以大资本大运作的并购为主"出海";第四阶段以核心技 术等"出 ...
北大国发院黄卓:企业出海、新消费、人工智能或成为未来20年经济发展新机遇
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-12-16 16:08
Group 1 - The core opportunities for China's real economy over the past 20 years include globalization, urbanization, and digitalization [1] - Globalization has allowed Chinese enterprises to integrate into global supply chains, enhancing production efficiency and establishing China's "world factory" status [1] - Urbanization has driven the real estate sector's growth and created a virtuous cycle through local government infrastructure investments [1] - Digitalization has led to the deep integration of the digital economy with the real economy, characterized by the rise of e-commerce and mobile payments [1] Group 2 - Future opportunities for the next 20 years include corporate globalization driven by geopolitical changes, new consumption patterns due to demographic shifts, and advancements in artificial intelligence [2] - Chinese companies are increasingly engaging in global markets, with manufacturing accounting for 35% of global output and significant foreign direct investment [2] - The changing population structure presents a substantial opportunity for consumption growth, with government and enterprises needing to collaborate to enhance consumer spending [2] Group 3 - The current Chinese consumption market exhibits a "K-shaped" structure, with both budget-conscious and high-quality consumption demands [3] - The rise of service consumption, particularly in the aging population sector, indicates a growing demand for healthcare and elderly care services [3] - The integration of online and offline consumption channels is becoming more pronounced, with domestic brands and traditional culture gaining popularity [3] Group 4 - The technological revolution, particularly in artificial intelligence, is expected to drive significant economic changes [4] - AI is characterized by its generative capabilities, natural language interaction, multimodal abilities, and enhanced logical reasoning [4] - The AI revolution will empower the development of core AI industries, create opportunities for domestic chip replacements, and expand "AI+" business applications [4]
新一轮发展周期开启,中国经济如何谋划稳与进?
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-12-16 13:40
在中国新闻社16日主办的"国是论坛:2025年会"上,与会专家围绕"破界与共生:创新激活中国式现代 化"展开讨论,从就业结构、创新机制到产业机遇,共同探寻经济持续向好的现实路径。 十四届全国政协委员、新希望集团董事长刘永好指出,稳定就业可以有三种形态:传统就业要稳,新质 就业要扩,灵活就业要活。 传统就业要稳,传统制造业仍然是解决就业最重要的领域。新质就业要扩,科技型企业成长很快,要延 长科技产业链,在上下游增加就业机会。灵活就业要活,建议出台适度宽松政策支持灵活就业,同时建 立相应社会保障体系。 中新网北京12月16日电 (冯玲玲)2026年,"十五五"规划即将启程,中国经济站在新一轮发展起点。面对 内外环境变化,如何培育增长新动能、高质量推进中国式现代化,成为关键议题。 长三角国家技术创新中心主任刘庆表示,科技创新和产业创新的深度融合被称为科技成果转化的"死亡 之谷"。"研发作为产业,技术作为商品",长三角国家技术创新中心以此为理念,开始解题之路。 刘永好认为,要积极应对经济从"高增长"到"高质量发展"的转型,企业面临天时、地利、人和。 "天时",即党和政府非常关心民营企业发展,出台了鼓励、支持、推动民营 ...
黄卓:未来20年中国经济将迎三大新机遇
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-16 11:10
此外,消费渠道也在发生变化。"过去消费是从线下到线上转移的过程,现在开始重新重视用户线下体 验感。"黄卓说,未来线上和线下相结合,可能是新的消费趋势。除了产品功能价值外,大家也越来越 看重消费的社交价值、情绪价值和认同价值。 12月16日,北京大学国家发展研究院副院长黄卓在"国是论坛:2025年会"上发表演讲。中新社记者 蒋 启明 摄 三是人工智能带来的机遇。黄卓表示,AI的能力取决于算力、算法和数据,中国正在大力发展国产算 力基础设施,在此过程中有巨大增量需求,带动算力基础设施重构,适应人工智能计算的发展。同时, 中国更为看重人工智能的应用,让AI带动产业全要素智能化转型升级,从而提升各行各业生产力。 黄卓称,在需求侧,人工智能生成内容和人机交互多模态的特性使其能够满足消费者个性化需求,未来 在养老、金融、医疗等领域可以提供千人千面的服务。在供给侧,人工智能可以助力降本增效,赋能劳 动力,从而发挥更大价值。(完) 中新网北京12月16日电 (记者 尹倩芸)北京大学国家发展研究院副院长黄卓16日在中国新闻社主办的"国 是论坛:2025年会"上表示,未来20年中国经济将迎来出海、新消费、人工智能三大新机遇。 具 ...
港股午评:恒指跌近500点,科指跌2.41%,大型科技股、大金融股及中字头等权重股集体下挫
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-12-16 04:10
12月16日,隔夜美股三大指数收跌,中概指数跌2.17%,港股三大指数早盘低开低走,恒生指数跌 1.91%报25138.86点,恒生科技指数跌2.41%报5366.14点,国企指数跌2.12%报8728.97点,红筹指数跌 1.66%报4056.25点。 盘面上,大型科技股、大金融股(银行、保险、券商)、中字头等权重集体下挫,其中阿里巴巴跌 3.57%,腾讯控股跌1.41%,京东集团跌2.73%,小米集团跌2.96%,网易跌2.22%,美团跌1.64%,快手 跌1.55%,哔哩哔哩跌2.68%;中国人民保险集团跌超4%,中国人寿、中国财险跌超3%,中国太平、新 华保险、中国平安跌超2%;黄金股下跌,灵宝黄金跌超6%、半导体股、中兴通讯跌超4%;石油股、汽 车股等热门板块齐挫。另外,部分航空股、化妆品股逆势飘红,果下科技首日上市大涨超127%。 企业新闻 中国神华(01088.HK):前11个月煤炭销售量为3.895亿吨,同比减少7.7%。11月销售量为3700万吨,同 比减少3.6% 中国中冶(01618.HK):前11月新签合同额人民币9581.3亿元,同比降低8.6%,其中新签海外合同额人民 币750.0 ...