Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is implementing a series of monetary policy measures to support economic stability and growth during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, focusing on medium to long-term financial development without immediate policy adjustments [1][3][4]. Monetary Policy Measures - The PBOC is adopting a moderately accommodative monetary policy, enhancing counter-cyclical adjustments, and utilizing various monetary policy tools to support high-quality economic development [3][4]. - Key macro-financial indicators show positive trends, with social financing scale increasing by 8.4% year-on-year and loans growing by 7.4% [3]. - The broad money supply (M2) is maintaining a steady growth rate of around 7%, significantly higher than nominal economic growth [3]. Specific Policy Actions - The PBOC will implement ten specific measures categorized into three types: quantity-based, price-based, and structure-based policies [5][6]. - Quantity-based measures include a 0.5 percentage point reduction in the reserve requirement ratio, expected to provide approximately 1 trillion yuan in long-term liquidity [6][16]. - Price-based measures involve a 0.1 percentage point reduction in policy interest rates, which will likely lead to a similar decrease in the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) [6][17]. - Structure-based measures include the establishment of new policy tools to support technology innovation, consumption expansion, and inclusive finance [5][10]. Financial Market Performance - The stock market has shown stability with the Shanghai Composite Index around 3,300 points, while the bond market has self-corrected due to improved economic confidence [3]. - The onshore and offshore RMB have appreciated by approximately 1% against the US dollar since the end of last year, indicating balanced cross-border capital flows [3]. Risk Management and Financial Stability - The PBOC emphasizes maintaining a balance between economic growth and financial risk prevention, focusing on structural adjustments to address underlying economic challenges [11][12]. - Significant progress has been made in reducing risks associated with local government financing platforms, with the number of such platforms decreasing by over 60% since early 2023 [12]. - The PBOC is committed to enhancing the financial stability framework, including legislative efforts and the establishment of a financial stability guarantee fund [13][14].

9月22日，国务院新闻办公室举行新闻发布会，介绍"十四五"时期金融业发展成就。 美联储在9月议息会议决定降息25个基点，中国人民银行下一步的货币政策有何考虑？对此，中国人民银行行 长潘功胜表示，虽然这个问题不能给到具体的回答，但是可以从宏观的层面来谈一谈央行如何考虑。 ▲发布会现场（图片来源：国新网） 红星新闻记者 付垚 编辑 郭宇 潘功胜说，几天之前，美联储降低了联邦基金利率25个基点，全球金融市场对美联储这次降息有充分预期， 市场反应相对平稳。美元指数基本维持在97的区间附近，国际资本市场总体上行，大宗商品市场振荡下行。 我国的股、债、汇等主要金融市场也保持平稳运行。 潘功胜介绍，中国央行在货币政策的确定上，宏观层面的原则是非常清晰的，中国的货币政策坚持以我为 主，兼顾内外均衡。就当前中国的货币政策立场，央行多次与市场进行沟通。当前中国的货币政策立场是支 持性的，实施适度宽松的货币政策，这一政策立场为我国经济的持续回升向好和金融市场的稳定运行创造了 良好的货币金融环境。 他说，往前看，将根据宏观经济运行的情况和形势变化，综合运用多种货币政策工具。这也是国际上很多的 央行，包括美联储、欧央行、日本央行等主要 ...

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China emphasizes a supportive monetary policy stance aimed at fostering economic recovery and maintaining financial market stability [1] Monetary Policy - The current monetary policy is characterized as supportive and moderately loose, creating a favorable financial environment for economic recovery and market stability [1] - The central bank plans to utilize various monetary policy tools based on macroeconomic conditions to ensure ample liquidity and reduce overall financing costs [1] Economic Support - The focus is on supporting consumption and expanding effective investment to reinforce the positive trend of economic recovery [1] - The aim is to maintain the stability of the RMB exchange rate at a reasonable and balanced level [1]

潘功胜指出，正如国际上很多央行操作，我国也是如此，会根据宏观经济运行的情况和形势的变化，综 合利用多种货币政策抵御风险。 来源：北京日报客户端 记者：吴娜 9月22日下午，国新办举行"高质量完成'十四五'规划"系列主题新闻发布会，介绍"十四五"时期金融业发 展成就。 对于近期美联储降息25个基点相关情况，中国人民银行行长潘功胜表示，全球金融市场对美联储降息有 一个充分的预期，市场反应是相对平稳的，我国的股债汇等主要金融市场也保持了一个平稳的状态。 潘功胜强调，在货币政策的确定上，我国在宏观层面的原则是非常清晰的，就是坚持以我为主。当前中 国的货币政策立场是支持性的，实施适度宽松的货币政策，这一政策立场为我国经济的持续回升向好和 金融市场的稳定运行创造货币金融环境。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the synergy between proactive fiscal policy and moderately loose monetary policy to stimulate consumption and support economic growth [1][6] - The government has allocated approximately 420 billion yuan to boost consumption, leading to over 2.9 trillion yuan in sales [2] - The issuance of special government bonds has increased significantly, with 7.88 trillion yuan issued in the first half of the year, a 35.28% increase year-on-year [4] Group 2 - The introduction of various policies, such as child-rearing subsidies and personal consumption loans, aims to enhance consumer confidence and stimulate effective demand [3] - The total social financing increased by 26.56 trillion yuan in the first eight months, which is 4.66 trillion yuan more than the previous year [5] - Structural monetary policy tools have been implemented to support key sectors, including technology innovation and consumption expansion [7]

Policy and Market Overview - In 2025, the issuance of CMBS/CMBN and REITs is driven by the need to revitalize existing assets and reduce liabilities, supported by policies promoting a multi-tiered REITs market[4] - The issuance market remains robust with a total of 76 transactions from January to July 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 35.71%[7] - The total issuance scale reached 1026.75 billion CNY, up 21.36% year-on-year, indicating strong financing demand[7] Issuance and Performance Metrics - The proportion of CMBS/CMBN and REITs in the ABS market was 8.95%, showing a slight year-on-year decline[7] - The average issuance rates for AAAsf and AA+sf rated securities were 2.44% and 2.66%, respectively, down 36bps and 95bps from the previous year[19] - The average issuance rate for AAAsf rated REITs was 2.40%, slightly lower than the 2.48% for CMBS/CMBN, maintaining a consistent spread of 8bps compared to the previous year[20] Asset and Investor Insights - Local state-owned enterprises accounted for nearly half of the actual issuers, with city investment enterprises primarily issuing CMBS/CMBN products[23] - The diversity of underlying assets has increased, with significant contributions from shopping malls, parks, and energy assets, each accounting for over 15% of issuance[17] - The number of projects with specific identifiers increased significantly, with 22 projects identified, including 11 related to green initiatives[9] Future Outlook - The low interest rate environment is expected to persist, with a continued trend of narrowing spreads anticipated in the second half of 2025[34] - The market for holding-type real estate ABS is expected to expand, with nearly 20 projects currently in the review stage for issuance[35] - The competition in the office and industrial park sectors is intensifying, with high vacancy rates projected to continue due to limited demand[36]

Group 1 - The People's Bank of China reported an increase of 13.46 trillion yuan in RMB loans in the first eight months of this year, with a total loan balance of 273.02 trillion yuan as of the end of August, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.6% [1] - The structure of credit continues to improve, with inclusive small and micro loans reaching 35.20 trillion yuan, growing by 11.8% year-on-year, and medium to long-term loans for the manufacturing sector at 14.87 trillion yuan, up by 8.6% [1] - The weighted average interest rate for newly issued corporate loans in August was 3.1%, down by 40 basis points from the same period last year, indicating a significant decline in financing costs for the real economy [1] Group 2 - Some enterprises are experiencing loan growth due to a rebound in production activity, with manufacturing loans accounting for 53% of new corporate loans from January to August, a significant increase of 33 percentage points compared to the entire year of 2024 [2] - Personal loan growth has also been stimulated by seasonal consumer demand and government policies promoting consumption, leading to increased loan demand in major cities [2] - Recent real estate policy adjustments in cities like Beijing, Shanghai, and Shenzhen have resulted in a notable increase in housing transaction volumes, reflecting a recovery in residential purchase demand and a rise in mortgage loan inquiries and agreements [2] Group 3 - The cumulative increase in social financing scale for the first eight months reached 26.56 trillion yuan, which is 4.66 trillion yuan more than the same period last year, with 12.93 trillion yuan allocated to the real economy [3] - As of the end of August, the broad money supply (M2) stood at 331.98 trillion yuan, growing by 8.8% year-on-year, indicating a supportive monetary policy environment [3] - The continuous implementation of supportive monetary policies, including interest rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio reductions, has enhanced financial support for the real economy, with structural monetary policy tools covering key sectors [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the social financing scale has maintained a high growth rate, indicating strong financial support for the real economy, with a year-on-year growth of 8.8% as of the end of August [1][3] - As of the end of August, the total social financing scale was 433.66 trillion yuan, with the balance of RMB loans to the real economy at 265.42 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.6% and accounting for 61.2% of the total social financing scale [3] - In the first eight months, the increment of social financing was 26.56 trillion yuan, which is an increase of 4.66 trillion yuan compared to the same period last year [5] Group 2 - The broad money (M2) balance reached 331.98 trillion yuan at the end of August, with a year-on-year growth of 8.8%, while the narrow money (M1) balance was 111.23 trillion yuan, growing by 6% [7] - The chief economist of Minsheng Bank noted that since 2025, a combination of proactive fiscal policy and moderately loose monetary policy has effectively supported the real economy, with cumulative financing increments consistently exceeding the previous year's levels [9] - The convergence of the M1 and M2 scissors difference indicates that more funds are being converted into demand deposits, which is beneficial for consumption and investment activities [9]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that China's financial total maintains a high growth rate, indicating strong support for the real economy [1][2] - As of the end of August, the social financing scale increased by 8.8% year-on-year, reflecting robust financial backing for the economy [1] - The broad money (M2) balance reached 331.98 trillion yuan, also growing by 8.8% year-on-year, supported by fiscal policies and reasonable growth in social financing and loans [1] Group 2 - The credit support for the real economy remains strong, driven by factors such as industry recovery, resilient exports, summer consumption peaks, and real estate support policies [2] - Manufacturing loans have significantly increased, with new manufacturing loans accounting for 53% of new corporate loans from January to August, a rise of 33 percentage points compared to the entire year of 2024 [2] - Personal loan growth was boosted by traditional summer consumption demand and policies promoting consumption, alongside new real estate regulations in major cities [2] Group 3 - Future monetary policy will focus on optimizing structure rather than just maintaining total growth, as the economy transitions to medium-high speed and faces challenges like high household leverage and bank asset quality [3] - By the end of August, the balance of various RMB loans was 269.10 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 6.8%, while inclusive small and micro loans grew by 11.8% [3] - Structural monetary policy tools are expected to enhance financial institutions' ability and willingness to support key areas, with a focus on effective collaboration between monetary credit policies and fiscal measures [3]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints of the Report - Macroeconomic policies aim to strengthen the domestic market, with China's August CPI, core CPI, and PPI showing specific trends, and US inflation unexpectedly falling. Fundamentally, zinc ore imports and processing fees are rising, along with increased smelter profits and supply growth. Import losses are widening, reducing imported zinc inflows. On the demand side, downstream is at the end of the off - season, with stable and rising processing enterprise operating rates. Zinc prices are at a low level, downstream purchases on - demand, domestic social inventories are increasing, and overseas LME inventories are decreasing, supporting zinc prices. Technically, with decreasing positions and price fluctuations, it's recommended to wait and see or go long on dips [3]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - The closing price of the Shanghai Zinc main contract is 22,250 yuan/ton, up 35 yuan; the 10 - 11 month contract spread is - 5 yuan/ton, down 10 yuan. The LME three - month zinc quote is 2,887.5 dollars/ton, up 20.5 dollars. The total Shanghai Zinc open interest is 222,719 lots, up 970 lots; the net position of the top 20 in Shanghai Zinc is - 6,229 lots, up 3,619 lots. Shanghai Zinc warehouse receipts are 44,925 tons, up 596 tons. The SHFE inventory is 87,032 tons, up 1,052 tons; the LME inventory is 50,825 tons, down 200 tons [3]. Spot Market - The SMM 0 zinc spot price is 22,180 yuan/ton, up 90 yuan; the Yangtze River Non - ferrous market 1 zinc spot price is 22,180 yuan/ton, up 260 yuan. The ZN main contract basis is - 70 yuan/ton, up 55 yuan; the LME zinc cash - 3 months spread is 23.01 dollars/ton, up 5.39 dollars. The Kunming 50% zinc concentrate arrival price is 16,860 yuan/ton, down 50 yuan; the Shanghai 85% - 86% broken zinc price is 15,600 yuan/ton, unchanged [3]. Upstream Situation - The WBMS zinc supply - demand balance is - 124,700 tons, down 104,100 tons; the ILZSG zinc supply - demand balance is - 69,100 tons, up 10,400 tons. The ILZSG global zinc mine production is 1,007,500 tons, down 4,300 tons; domestic refined zinc production is 617,000 tons, down 11,000 tons. Zinc ore imports are 455,900 tons, up 124,900 tons [3]. Industry Situation - Refined zinc imports are 35,156.02 tons, down 22,615.39 tons; refined zinc exports are 483.88 tons, up 266.83 tons. Zinc social inventories are 140,100 tons, up 1,800 tons [3]. Downstream Situation - Galvanized sheet production is 2.32 million tons, down 130,000 tons; sales are 2.34 million tons, down 120,000 tons. The new housing construction area is 352.06 million square meters, up 48.4168 million square meters; the housing completion area is 250.34 million square meters, up 24.6739 million square meters. Automobile production is 2.51 million vehicles, down 298,600 vehicles; air - conditioner production is 19.6788 million units, up 3.4764 million units [3]. Option Market - The implied volatility of the at - the - money zinc call option is 13.01%, down 0.03%; the 20 - day historical volatility of the at - the - money zinc option is 6.16%. The implied volatility of the at - the - money zinc put option is 13.02%, down 0.02%; the 60 - day historical volatility of the at - the - money zinc option is 11.12%, down 0.04% [3]. Industry News - China aims to stabilize employment, enterprises, markets, and expectations, implement active fiscal and moderately loose monetary policies, and promote various aspects of development. China's August CPI, core CPI, and PPI show specific trends, and US inflation unexpectedly falls [3].