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估值整改引银行理财“抛长买短”债券 回归产品净值化“道阻且长”
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-07-03 05:46
Core Viewpoint - The regulatory changes regarding self-built valuation models for bank wealth management subsidiaries have increased the pressure on investor education and have led to significant adjustments in investment strategies to manage net asset value fluctuations [2][6][12]. Group 1: Regulatory Changes and Impact - Regulatory authorities have prohibited bank wealth management subsidiaries from using self-built valuation models, requiring them to adopt standardized valuation methods [6][4]. - The implementation of these regulations aims to restore the fundamental nature of net asset value and ensure fair competition among wealth management institutions [6][4]. - As of the end of May, the average annualized yield of open-ended fixed-income wealth management products decreased to 2.84%, down 0.35 percentage points from April, reflecting the impact of market adjustments [2]. Group 2: Investment Strategy Adjustments - Wealth management subsidiaries are shifting their investment strategies by reducing long-term bonds and low-rated credit bonds while increasing short-term high-rated bonds to mitigate net asset value fluctuations [3][11]. - The need to comply with regulatory requirements has led to a significant reduction in the net buying of long-term credit bonds, with net purchases dropping from 27 billion to 9 billion for 7-10 year bonds in June [13]. - The overall bond yield decline has prompted wealth management subsidiaries to explore alternative high-dividend investment options such as REITs and preferred stocks to enhance overall product returns [12]. Group 3: Challenges in Valuation and Investor Education - The self-built valuation models previously used by wealth management subsidiaries aimed to smooth out net asset value fluctuations but have been deemed unfair and misleading [5][4]. - Investor education has become increasingly important as fluctuations in net asset values have led to irrational redemption behaviors among investors [2]. - Wealth management subsidiaries are now required to closely monitor and adjust their asset allocation strategies in response to market conditions to maintain investor confidence [11][10].
瑞银调查显示,65%的受访者认为美联储独立性面临风险,47%的人认为风险法治恶化到足以影响资产配置。
news flash· 2025-07-03 05:07
瑞银调查显示,65%的受访者认为美联储独立性面临风险,47%的人认为风险法治恶化到足以影响资产 配置。 ...
现金买黄金超10万将需上报,黄金回调配置机备受市场关注
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-03 04:07
Core Viewpoint - The gold market is experiencing adjustments, but the overall trend indicates mid-term buying opportunities, with significant regulatory changes impacting the market dynamics [3][4]. Group 1: Gold ETF Performance - On July 3, the gold ETF (159937) rose by 0.52%, with a turnover rate of 1% and a transaction amount of 284 million yuan [1]. - As of July 2, 2025, the gold ETF has accumulated a rise of 4.98% over the past three months [1]. - The international spot gold price was reported at $3,347 per ounce, with a decline of 0.29% on the same day [2]. Group 2: Market Trends and Regulatory Changes - The People's Bank of China issued new anti-money laundering regulations for precious metals and gemstones, effective August 1, 2025, requiring reporting for cash transactions exceeding 100,000 yuan [3]. - The global gold market is currently in a state of adjustment, with trading concentrated between $3,250 and $3,350 per ounce, indicating a fluctuating upward trend [3]. Group 3: Economic Factors Influencing Gold Prices - Global uncertainty due to trade negotiations and potential tariffs is expected to increase risk aversion, supporting gold prices [4]. - The U.S. Senate's approval of a significant fiscal bill raises concerns about increased fiscal deficits, leading to a decline in the dollar index and U.S. bond yields, prompting investors to seek safe-haven assets like gold [4]. Group 4: Long-term Investment Strategy - The restructuring of the monetary system and ongoing demand from global central banks for gold suggests a sustained long-term value in gold investments [6]. - Despite short-term volatility, the long-term configuration value of gold remains strong due to geopolitical risks, expectations of U.S. interest rate cuts, and a weakening dollar [6]. - The implementation of new anti-money laundering regulations is expected to have a minimal impact on the market, ultimately contributing to healthier market development [6]. Group 5: Gold ETF Investment Characteristics - Gold ETFs (159937) and their linked funds offer low entry barriers, low costs, and diverse trading forms, supporting T+0 trading [7]. - The performance of gold assets tends to be favorable during both overheated and recessionary economic cycles, making them a viable option for investors [7].
帮主郑重:“低利率”时代,普通人如何守好钱袋子?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-03 02:58
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the impact of low interest rates on personal finance and investment strategies, emphasizing the need for individuals to adapt their wealth management approaches in a changing economic environment [1][5]. Group 1: Low Interest Rate Environment - The current low interest rates are leading to diminished returns on traditional savings, with one-year deposit rates falling below 1.5% and three-year rates approaching the "1 era" [3]. - Inflation is eroding purchasing power, making it crucial for individuals to rethink their investment strategies rather than relying solely on bank savings [3][4]. Group 2: Investment Strategies - A diversified investment approach is recommended, suggesting that individuals allocate their funds into different categories: 30% in liquid assets like money market funds, 40% in stable products like government bonds, and 30% in more aggressive investments such as index funds or quality stocks [3][4]. - Caution is advised against high-yield investment traps, with a warning that any promised returns exceeding 6% should be scrutinized, and those over 8% may risk principal loss [4]. Group 3: Financial Literacy and Mindset - The importance of financial literacy is highlighted, with individuals encouraged to invest time in understanding financial concepts and asset allocation based on their risk tolerance [4][5]. - A stable mindset is essential, as successful wealth preservation relies on consistent, long-term strategies rather than chasing quick profits [4][5].
快讯 | 申万宏源证券首批发行挂钩中证商品期货指数收益凭证
申万宏源证券上海北京西路营业部· 2025-07-03 01:58
未来,申万宏源证券将牢牢把握全品类指数研发、多品类标的交易对冲及结构化产品创设的核心 竞争力,以丰富多元、稳健优质的产品货架满足不同风险偏好、不同市场观点投资者的多样化财富管 理需求,为企业和机构投资者提供多元化的资产配置方案;探索高质量发展之路,为加快建设金融强 国贡献力量。 来源:申万宏源金融创新总部 近日,申万宏源证券成为国内最早成功发行挂钩中证商品期货指数(英文简称: CCICFI;指数代码:100001.CCI)收益凭证的券商之一,首批凭证产品采用美式看涨鲨鱼鳍 结构,客户认购规模逾3.3亿元。 申万宏源证券与中证商品指数有限责任公司在指数使用许可授权及指数产品化发展领域开展通力 合作。本次签约合作基于中证商品指数公司所发布的基础标的,并充分发挥申万宏源证券结构化产品 创设优势,在提供下跌风险缓释的同时助力客户有效把握商品期货上涨行情机会。中证商品期货指数 是我国首个全市场综合性权威商品指数系列,有助于推动数字科技、金融科技与实体经济融合发展, 为大宗商品资产配置和风险管理提供工具。 ...
5%变10%!银行如何应对?
Zhong Guo Jing Ying Bao· 2025-07-02 23:53
理财产品配置策略需调整 值得注意的是,理财产品的资产配置策略也面临调整。 "按照新规要求,随着市场波动加大,一些权益类理财产品正逐步调整配置策略,倾向于增配流动性更 强、价格波动较小的主板标的。即使继续参与权益市场,操作上也以短线波段为主。在此过程中,产品 估值管理的复杂性随之上升,净值波动幅度或将进一步放大。"周毅钦说。 邵科提到,ST类股票涨跌幅限制的放宽将促使理财产品投资策略进行调整,及时评估组合风险收益特 征,有针对性地优化资产配置方案。追求稳定收益的稳健型理财产品,或将大幅降低相关股票的配置, 将资金投向其他股票或者固定收益类资产,保持产品净值的稳定;追求超额收益的进取型产品,或将调 整相关股票的估值,明确投资比例限制、控制风险敞口、完善压力测试机制,并适当增加低波动资产的 配置,保持投资的风险收益匹配。同时,理财产品将进一步强化风险监控,建立更加严格的风险预警机 制,及时采取调整仓位、止损等措施控制风险。此外,理财公司也将强化投资者教育工作,帮助客户理 解新规下的风险变化。 (文章来源:中国经营报) 日前,沪深交易所宣布就调整主板风险警示股票价格涨跌幅限制比例及有关事项公开征求意见,拟将主 板风险 ...
专家:银行下架5年期大额存单是降低负债成本之举
news flash· 2025-07-02 22:53
Core Viewpoint - Major Chinese banks, including ICBC, CCB, and CMB, have recently suspended the issuance of 5-year large-denomination certificates of deposit (CDs) as a strategy to reduce funding costs amid low net interest margins in the banking sector [1] Group 1: Banking Sector Actions - Several large and medium-sized commercial banks, along with rural commercial banks, have withdrawn 5-year large-denomination CDs from the market [1] - The issuance volume of 3-year large-denomination CDs has also decreased significantly [1] Group 2: Financial Strategy - The banking industry is currently facing low net interest margins, prompting banks to explore ways to stabilize these margins by reducing funding costs [1] - Deposits are a primary source of liabilities for banks, making it essential to lower the costs associated with deposits [1] Group 3: Expert Recommendations - Experts suggest that in a low-interest-rate environment, households should adopt a "fixed income +" strategy by allocating investments in medium- and short-term bond funds [1] - Additionally, global asset allocation is recommended to capture economic growth opportunities worldwide [1]
下半年险资投资展望:加仓A股权益资产 加码全球资产配置
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-07-02 16:46
Core Viewpoint - The investment strategies of insurance asset management institutions are shifting towards a focus on fixed income, increased equity allocation, and diversified alternative investments in response to the ongoing decline in market interest rates [1][2]. Group 1: Investment Strategy Adjustments - As of the end of Q1, the asset allocation of insurance funds shows a trend of "debt as ballast, equity enhancement," with expectations for a continued focus on fixed income and increased equity and alternative investments in the second half of the year [1][2]. - The proportion of bank deposits held by life insurance companies has decreased to 8.21%, down 1.31 percentage points year-on-year, while the bond allocation has surpassed 51%, marking a historical high [2]. - The CEO of Taikang Asset Management emphasizes the necessity for insurance funds to prioritize equity asset allocation to meet the sustainable development and yield requirements of life insurance liabilities [2][3]. Group 2: Equity Market Considerations - Insurance funds are increasing their equity asset allocation both as a passive adjustment to low interest rates and as an active strategy, with A-share valuations being relatively low and dividend yields high [3]. - The strategy includes increasing high-dividend assets in FVOCI categories to reduce performance volatility and investing in high-dividend blue-chip stocks through private equity funds [3][4]. - The low interest rate environment is seen as an opportunity for insurance funds to optimize their asset allocation structure, enhancing the attractiveness of equity market valuations [3][4]. Group 3: Global Asset Allocation - Insurance funds are not only focusing on A-shares but are also increasing their allocation to Hong Kong stocks and exploring global investment opportunities [5][6]. - The Hong Kong stock market is particularly appealing due to its low valuations and high dividends, with 14 out of 17 equity stakes taken by insurance funds in the first half of the year being in Hong Kong companies [5]. - By 2025, 63% of insurance institutions plan to increase their investment in Hong Kong stocks, primarily through the Hong Kong Stock Connect [5][6]. Group 4: QDII and International Investments - As of June 30, 48 insurance institutions have obtained a total of $39.323 billion in QDII investment quotas, with only five institutions receiving new quotas this year [6]. - There is a growing trend among insurance companies to request increased overseas investment quotas, indicating a potential rise in QDII limits in the future [6]. - The strategic significance of investing in Hong Kong and global markets is highlighted as essential for insurance funds to manage risks and enhance returns in a low interest rate environment [6].
QDII额度扩容意义重大
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-07-02 16:20
Core Viewpoint - The recent issuance of a total of $3.08 billion in QDII (Qualified Domestic Institutional Investor) quotas by the State Administration of Foreign Exchange represents a significant step in supporting cross-border investment by qualified institutions, reflecting China's commitment to financial market openness and enhancing investor confidence [1] Group 1: Impact on Financial Market - The expansion of QDII quotas promotes the two-way opening of China's financial market, enhancing its influence in the global financial system and signaling China's determination to integrate into the global financial landscape [2] - The QDII system, alongside the QFII (Qualified Foreign Institutional Investor) system, facilitates the dual flow of capital, optimizing global capital allocation and creating a new pattern of coordinated development between "bringing in" and "going out" [2] Group 2: Internationalization of Renminbi - Certain QDII products allow for investments in offshore RMB-denominated assets, which helps expand the use and acceptance of the Renminbi abroad, enhancing its attractiveness as an international investment currency [3] - The healthy development of the QDII system contributes to the steady rise of the Renminbi's status in the international monetary system [3] Group 3: Investor Demand and Asset Management - The growing demand for cross-border investment has led to an increase in the scale of QDII funds, with the latest net asset value reaching 654.28 billion yuan, reflecting investor recognition and demand for QDII products [4] - The issuance of new QDII quotas provides strong support for asset management institutions to meet the increasing global asset allocation and risk diversification needs of domestic residents [4] Group 4: Competitiveness of Domestic Financial Institutions - The recent QDII quota expansion allows financial institutions, particularly fund companies and brokerages, to enhance their international competitiveness and global asset management capabilities [5] - The expansion is not merely about increasing scale; it aims to guide domestic funds to invest abroad, fulfilling various investor needs while strengthening the integration of the Chinese economy into the global financial system [5]
戴德梁行:上半年上海大宗市场成交不足往年一半
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-07-02 15:00
Core Insights - The report by JLL indicates that the Shanghai bulk property market recorded a total transaction value of 15.8 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, with 37 transactions completed, reflecting a significant year-on-year decline to less than half of the previous year's level [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - There is a noticeable divergence between domestic and foreign investors in the bulk property market, with domestic investors showing strong resilience and achieving a record share of total transactions [1] - Foreign investors are strategically reducing their holdings, leading to accelerated turnover of quality assets at discounted prices, creating new investment opportunities [1] Group 2: Investor Behavior - Self-use buyers continue to focus on office and research properties, with notable transactions including BFC's acquisition of three plots and Le Xin Technology's purchase of R&D properties in Zhangjiang [1] - Investment buyers exhibit polarized strategies, with non-institutional investors completing significant transactions like the West Lake Joint Venture's acquisition of the Jinglai Fang project, while institutional investors seek value recovery in distressed assets and stable cash flow properties [1] Group 3: Property Types and Trends - Office and research properties maintain the highest transaction share at 31%, although this is a decrease from the previous year, while apartments have gained traction with a 27% share due to ongoing public market support [2] - Commercial properties are frequently traded, with nearly 50% of transactions occurring through judicial auction channels, highlighted by the Chenghuangmiao Square's record auction price of 1.209 billion yuan [2] - Hotel asset transactions are characterized by smaller, high-quality projects, with three transactions in the 100 million to 300 million yuan range, all acquired by private investors [2] Group 4: Future Outlook - JLL anticipates that discounted office projects held by foreign funds will continue to transact, potentially increasing the share of office properties in the second half of the year [2] - The low-interest environment in China is expected to provide favorable financing conditions for domestic buyers, encouraging them to capitalize on market opportunities [2] - Shanghai is accelerating its development as an international economic, financial, trade, shipping, and technological innovation center, with policies aimed at optimizing the business environment and enhancing industry support [2]