Macro Liquidity - The US dollar index continued to decline, and the degree of "inversion" in the China-US interest rate spread deepened. Both nominal and real yields on 10-year US Treasuries rose, indicating a rebound in inflation expectations [1][6] - Offshore dollar liquidity has marginally tightened, while the domestic interbank funding situation remained overall balanced, with a slight widening of the yield spread between 10-year and 1-year bonds [1][6] Market Trading Activity - Overall market trading heat has decreased, with most major indices experiencing a decline in volatility. Sectors such as light industry, military industry, textile and apparel, chemicals, retail, machinery, computers, pharmaceuticals, steel, and telecommunications are all above the 80th percentile in trading heat [2][6] - The liquidity indicators in the market have also receded, with the non-ferrous metals sector's liquidity indicators above the 50th historical percentile [2][11] Analyst Forecasts - Analysts have adjusted the net profit forecasts for the entire A-share market for 2025/2026, with sectors such as steel, retail, machinery, electric power, media, non-ferrous metals, and utilities seeing upward revisions [2][4] - The proportion of stocks with upward revisions in net profit forecasts for 2025/2026 has increased, while the proportion of stocks with downward revisions has decreased [4][16] - The net profit forecasts for the ChiNext Index and the SSE 50 have been raised, while those for the CSI 300 have been lowered. The CSI 500's forecasts have seen mixed adjustments [4][16] Northbound Trading - Northbound trading activity has decreased, with an overall net sell-off of A-shares. The average daily trading volume for northbound trading has also declined [3][5] - Northbound funds have primarily net bought sectors such as electric power and utilities, and electronics, while net selling occurred in sectors like computers, media, food and beverage, agriculture, and home appliances [3][5] Margin Financing - Margin financing activity has slightly decreased but remains at a high point since late March 2025. The net buying in margin financing was 12.607 billion yuan, with significant net purchases in sectors like electronics, military, chemicals, and electric power [4][6] - The proportion of financing purchases in sectors such as non-ferrous metals, real estate, telecommunications, and military has increased, with non-ferrous metals and telecommunications above the 50th historical percentile [4][8] Fund Activity - The positions of actively managed equity funds have decreased, with overall net redemptions in ETFs, primarily from institutional ETFs. Active equity funds have increased positions in sectors like military, telecommunications, computers, and pharmaceuticals, while reducing positions in agriculture, retail, and consumer services [4][8] - Newly established equity funds have seen a significant decline in scale, with both active and passive equity fund sizes decreasing [4][8]

Market Overview - The overall trading activity in the market has significantly increased, with the average daily trading volume rising from 1.2 trillion to 1.5 trillion CNY[1] - The Shanghai Composite Index turnover rate has increased to the 85th percentile, while the STAR Market turnover rate has reached the 40th percentile[1] - The proportion of stocks rising has increased to 88.6%, with a median weekly return of 4.4%[3] Capital Flow Insights - Net inflow of southbound funds has risen to 28.4 billion CNY, marking a 96th percentile since 2022[3] - Foreign capital has seen a net outflow of 3.74 million USD from the A-share market[39] - Financing funds have net bought 25.6 billion CNY, with the total margin balance increasing to over 1.8 trillion CNY[3] Fund Issuance and Performance - The issuance scale of new equity funds has decreased to 15.9 billion CNY, down from 25.7 billion CNY[31] - The private equity confidence index has slightly declined, while the positions have marginally increased[37] - The average return of funds has shown a significant improvement, with most funds reporting positive returns year-to-date[33] Sector Performance - The trading concentration in certain sectors has increased, with seven industries having turnover rates above 90%, including comprehensive finance and defense[2] - The electronic and computer sectors have the highest average daily trading volumes, at 1829.61 billion CNY and 1684.80 billion CNY respectively[20] - Notable inflows in financing funds were observed in the computer sector (+4.94 billion CNY) and non-bank financials (+3.93 billion CNY), while real estate saw outflows (-0.24 billion CNY)[3] Risk Considerations - There are potential risks related to data collection methods and measurement errors, as well as biases from third-party data sources[3]

Market Pricing Status - The overall trading heat in the market has significantly increased, with the average daily trading volume of the entire A-share market rising from 12.2 trillion to 13.8 trillion yuan, and the turnover rate of the Shanghai Composite Index increasing to 82% [1][12][11] - The number of daily limit-up stocks has decreased to 66, with the maximum consecutive limit-up stocks being 7 [1][12] A-Share Liquidity Tracking - Foreign capital has turned to inflow, with a net inflow of 0.3 million USD into the A-share market [4][47] - The net inflow of financing funds reached 125.8 billion yuan, with the total margin balance increasing to 1.8 trillion yuan [4][30] - The issuance scale of new equity funds has decreased to 12.2 billion yuan [4][30] Industry Allocation Tracking - Financing funds have shown divergence in the pharmaceutical sector, with net inflows of 22.5 billion yuan in pharmaceuticals and 17.2 billion yuan in electronics, while there were net outflows of 15.6 billion yuan in agriculture and 2.8 billion yuan in power equipment [4][30] - Foreign capital has primarily flowed into the real estate sector, while food and beverage and power equipment sectors experienced net outflows [4][30] - The top three industries on the trading leaderboard were pharmaceuticals, machinery, and environmental protection [4][30] Global Fund Flow Tracking - Southbound funds have increased, with a net inflow of 154.6 billion yuan, placing it in the 62nd percentile since 2022 [3][4] - Major global markets have shown mixed performance, with the South Korean index leading with a 2.9% increase [3][4]

Market Overview - The overall trading heat in the market has slightly decreased, with a decline in market sentiment and a drop in the average daily trading volume from 12.7 trillion to 11.7 trillion CNY [1] - The average daily number of stocks hitting the daily limit has decreased to 69, with the maximum consecutive limit hits being 5 [1] - The proportion of stocks that rose has dropped to 30%, and the median weekly return for all A-shares has fallen to -1.44% [1] Fund Flows - Financing funds continue to flow in, while ETF funds are experiencing outflows [2] - The new issuance scale of equity funds has increased to 9.5 billion CNY, with existing public fund positions rising by 0.2% [2] - Foreign capital has seen a net outflow of 700 million USD, with the inflow scale of A-shares dropping to a historical percentile of 7.6% [2] - The net inflow of financing has been 2 billion CNY, with the transaction volume proportion rising to 8.2% [2] Industry Allocation - There is a significant divergence in funding between foreign capital and margin financing in the automotive and electric new energy sectors, with financing funds increasing while foreign capital is decreasing [3] - The net inflow in the automotive sector is 2.79 billion CNY, while the computer sector has seen a net outflow of 1.41 billion CNY [3] - In the ETF market, the defense and military industry has seen a net inflow of 1.74 billion CNY, while the medical and electric new energy sectors have experienced outflows of 3.71 billion CNY and 1.75 billion CNY, respectively [3] Hong Kong and Global Fund Flows - Southbound capital inflow has accelerated, with a net inflow of 19 billion CNY, ranking in the 73rd percentile since 2022 [4] - Foreign capital has seen a net outflow of 721 million USD from Hong Kong stocks [4] - Developed markets have generally attracted foreign capital inflows, with the US and France leading in net inflows of 2 billion USD and 760 million USD, respectively [4]