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不仅全员失业,资本主义也将终结?德银重磅推演AI发展两种终局
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2026-02-27 02:04
当讨论AI时,绝大多数人还在纠结"工作会不会被抢走"。但德银认为,这个视角或许有点狭窄了。 据追风交易台,德银外汇研究全球主管George Saravelos撰写的最新报告,推演了AI发展的两个极端终 局: 第一种结局是"彻底替代"。如同180多年前马克思的预言与如今马斯克的愿景:在经济学的生产要素 中,"资本"本身变成了"劳动力"本身,劳动价值归零,资本主义将变得过时。AI大规模取代人类工作, 财富和收入高度集中在少数资本所有者手中,普通人的收入和需求被削弱,经济陷入"东西很多、但没 人买得起"的困境。 马克思预测了人工智能吗?大约200年前,他写了一部关于"机器"的著作,构想了全面自动 化的场景。在这个世界里,稀缺性问题得到了解决。但是,随着劳动力价值降至零,资本主 义将变得过时,我们将过渡到一个物质极大丰富的全新世界。马克思构想的终点,与如今埃 隆·马斯克的愿景出奇地相似。 从亚当·斯密(Adam Smith)开始,所有古典经济学家都基于一个最基本的假设:资本和劳动是两个完 全独立的生产要素。无论是资本还是劳动,其价格(利率和工资)都是由它们在市场上的"相对稀缺 性"决定的。 回顾过去两百年的历史,以前 ...
中国具身智能企业两月融资110亿 智平方再融资10亿估值超百亿
Chang Jiang Shang Bao· 2026-02-27 00:45
长江商报消息 ●长江商报记者 沈右荣 中国具身智能机器人融资持续火爆。 近日,智平方(深圳)科技有限公司(以下简称"智平方")通过公众号披露,公司完成B轮融资,融资 规模超10亿元,公司估值正式超过百亿,稳居中国具身智能企业第一梯队。 本轮融资由百度、中国中车及多家特斯拉生态链企业联合投资。此前,智平方已经完成5轮融资。 这是马年首例具身智能领域大规模融资,智平方也是全球融资节奏最快的具身智能企业。 智平方是一家智能机器人研发企业,由人工智能博士郭彦东于2023年4月17日创办。 2024年,智平方参加了世界机器人大会。公司与东风柳汽、惠科、深圳慧智物联等企业达成战略合作。 智平方构建了从硬件量产到商业落地的完整闭环。公司曾与全球第三大面板厂商惠科签订的3年1000台 订单,被认为是该领域全球最大单一订单,也验证了国产大模型在复杂工业环境下的稳定性。 一个值得关注的信号是,智平方本次融资方包含券商系基金。市场据此判断,公司正在筹划上市。 据长江商报记者不完全统计,截至2月24日,不到两个月时间,中国具身智能企业累计完成110亿元融 资。 一年完成12轮融资 智平方方面称,相较于当前的具身智能领域,公司B轮系列 ...
当工作失去意义,工作的未来将何去何从
3 6 Ke· 2026-02-26 23:08
Core Insights - The article discusses the evolving nature of work in the context of artificial intelligence (AI) and the unique value of human subjectivity in creative fields [1][2][3][4][5][6]. Group 1: The Crisis of Meaning - The concept of meaning has become a scarce commodity in modern society, leading to a crisis where individuals seek purpose in their work [8][20]. - Historical context is provided to understand how societies have evolved from pre-modern to modern and post-modern views, impacting the perception of meaning [10][13][14][16]. - The transition to an information age has further abstracted labor, leading to a disconnection from meaningful work [15][29]. Group 2: The Role of AI - AI is seen as a potential threat to traditional jobs, promising to eliminate labor but simultaneously exacerbating the scarcity of meaning [29][30][34]. - The article highlights the paradox that if everyone becomes unemployed due to AI, the economy could collapse as no one would have money to spend [37][38]. - The emergence of a creator economy is suggested, where individuals can derive income from their unique perspectives and contributions rather than traditional employment [70][72]. Group 3: Skills for the Future - The future skill set should focus on human-centric abilities that AI cannot replicate, such as subjectivity, taste, and the ability to create meaningful narratives [108][111][120]. - The importance of personal growth and the ability to connect with others is emphasized as essential for finding meaning in work [59][60]. - The article outlines a hierarchy of skills necessary for success in a post-labor economy, including the ability to persuade and the technical expertise to leverage AI tools effectively [130][131].
宇信科技:近日公司与具身智能领域前沿企业智平方(AI Robotics)正式签署战略合作协议
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2026-02-26 14:15
(文章来源:证券日报) 证券日报网讯 2月26日,宇信科技在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示,近日公司与具身智能领域前沿企 业智平方(AI²Robotics)正式签署战略合作协议。双方将依托各自在金融业务系统深度沉淀与通用人工 智能(AGI)物理感知领域的领先优势,共同探索具身智能机器人在金融垂直领域的深度应用,如智慧 网点、金融风控、金融机构后台运营及特殊场景保障等领域,重构底层金融生产力工具。 ...
宇信科技:近日公司与具身智能领域前沿企业智平方(AI² Robotics)正式签署战略合作协议
(编辑 丛可心) 证券日报网讯 2月26日,宇信科技在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示,近日公司与具身智能领域前沿企 业智平方(AI²Robotics)正式签署战略合作协议。双方将依托各自在金融业务系统深度沉淀与通用人工 智能(AGI)物理感知领域的领先优势,共同探索具身智能机器人在金融垂直领域的深度应用,如智慧 网点、金融风控、金融机构后台运营及特殊场景保障等领域,重构底层金融生产力工具。 ...
马斯克不讲武德!月球造卫星工厂,OpenAICEO:十年内绝不可能!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-26 11:16
一、月球弹弓:天才构想还是科幻狂想? "在太空部署AI数据中心,成本比地球低10倍。"马斯克的这句话,戳中了当前AI发展的最大痛点——算 力需求爆炸与地球资源有限的矛盾。传统数据中心占全球电力消耗的3%,散热成本更是天文数字,而 月球的低重力、零大气阻力、24小时太阳能,理论上是完美的"太空算力基地"。 但现实的挑战足以让任何工程师头疼:如何在月球建立电磁弹射器?要知道,地球上最先进的电磁弹射 器(如航母用)只能推动30吨物体,而马斯克需要把成百上千颗卫星加速到每秒11.2公里的逃逸速度。 更难的是卫星组装厂——月球没有工业基础,所有设备都需从地球运送,成本堪比"用黄金铺路"。奥尔 特曼的质疑并非没有道理:"发射成本、维护难度、辐射防护,每个问题都是一座大山。" 不过,马斯克的"疯狂"向来有技术支撑。SpaceX的星舰已实现火箭回收,成本降低90%;星链卫星通过 规模化生产,单颗成本从100万美元压到5万美元。或许,月球计划不是"空中楼阁",而是他用"迭代思 维"撬动太空的又一步险棋——先发射小型试验装置,再逐步扩建,就像星链从60颗卫星到如今1000万 用户的扩张路径。 当所有人还在讨论"元宇宙是不是泡沫" ...
阶跃星辰被曝赴港IPO:昔日的“六小虎”告别同一张牌桌
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-26 10:05
Core Insights - The capital landscape in the large model sector is rapidly evolving, with companies like Jieyue Xingchen preparing for an IPO to raise approximately $500 million, following a record-breaking financing round of over 5 billion RMB [3] - The industry is experiencing significant differentiation, with companies like Zhipu AI and MiniMax successfully listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, while others like Lingyi Wanshu and Baichuan Intelligence are shifting focus to more practical business models [5][6] - The competitive dynamics have shifted from a focus on model capabilities to a more brutal "ecological positioning battle," as companies adapt to the harsh realities of high operational costs and market competition [5][9] Company Strategies - Zhipu AI has chosen to focus on enterprise services, targeting large clients such as banks and government entities, thereby avoiding direct competition with tech giants in the consumer market [11] - MiniMax is betting on the overseas consumer market, aiming to differentiate itself with lightweight models and engaging user experiences, while facing challenges in maintaining user retention and profitability [12][14] - Yuezhianmian is concentrating on technological advancements in the domestic market, developing competitive models like K2 to carve out a niche despite the competitive pressures from larger players [16] - Jieyue Xingchen is pursuing a hybrid model that integrates AI capabilities into physical devices, aiming to become a core component in smart hardware, thus linking its success to the growth of the hardware industry [16][18] Industry Outlook - The future landscape of the large model industry is expected to resemble a "pyramid structure," with a few dominant players at the top, specialized vertical players in the middle, and a vibrant ecosystem of applications at the base [22] - The complex competitive relationships may replace simple confrontations, with top players potentially launching their own vertical applications, leading to alliances among different vertical players to counteract giants [24] - The emergence of new technological paradigms could disrupt existing ecological positions, leaving the future of the industry uncertain [25]
蚂蚁阿福,为啥不是王小川最先做出来?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-26 05:57
"垂直领域,是AI创企的是避风港,还是焚化炉? 在中国大模型创企的丛林里,王小川一直被视为那个最懂医疗的"种子选手"。 从搜狗时代延续下来的医疗搜索基因,让百川智能自诞生之日起,就坚定地把旗帜插在了医疗赛道的最高处。在同行们还在通用的幻觉里打转时,百川已 经早早喊出了"医疗大模型"的口号,试图用专业数据构建起一道密不透风的护城河。 然而,整整一年的寂寞长跑,市场等来的却是一声略显沉闷的回响。 就在大家开始怀疑"医疗AI是否还不到开花结果之时"的时候,蚂蚁阿福突然横空出世。这个背靠支付宝、长在金融土壤里的"异类",以一种近乎野蛮的姿 态席卷了医疗应用市场。极速攀升的用户量、精准的诊前建议、极低的幻觉率……这种扑面而来的代差感,像极了当初DeepSeek对硅谷巨头的突袭。 这就产生了一个极其辛辣、甚至让创业者感到绝望的悖论: 为什么深耕医疗、手握大量行业资源与数据的百川智能,没能做出医疗赛道的现象级产品?而一个主业做金融、看似"外行"的蚂蚁集团,却在医疗这个最 硬核的阵地里,完成了精准的降维打击? 这背后的真相,可能并不是百川不够努力,也不是医疗数据不够多,而是一个大模型时代最残酷的生存法则——在这个逻辑为王的时 ...
亚马逊对OpenAI的500亿美元投资或取决于其IPO和AGI情况
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-02-26 02:09
Group 1 - Amazon's potential $50 billion investment in OpenAI is contingent upon the company's initial public offering (IPO) and the development of artificial general intelligence (AGI) [2]
亚马逊500亿美元投OpenAI,前提系IPO与AGI达标
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2026-02-26 02:03
Group 1 - Amazon's potential $50 billion investment in OpenAI may hinge on the outcomes of an initial public offering (IPO) and the development of artificial general intelligence (AGI) [1]