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黄金价格一路上涨,为何?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-25 02:56
近期,国际黄金价格屡创新高。当地时间9月23日,COMEX黄金期货涨0.58%报3796.9美元/盎司,盘中一度涨至3824.60美元/盎司创盘中历史新高。随着 国际黄金价格走高,国内金饰价格也随之攀升。9月23日,周生生足金首饰价格达到1100元/克,比前一日上涨10元/克;周大福和老凤祥足金首饰升至 1098元/克。 自年初以来,国际现货黄金价格从2625美元/盎司起步,持续攀升,年内国际黄金价格涨幅已接近43%,国内黄金价格上涨约38%。 "黄金价格上涨是美联储政策转向、全球央行购金潮以及地缘政治风险等多重因素共同作用的结果。"中国人民大学重阳金融研究院研究员刘英在接受《中 国报道》记者采访时说。 美联储降息是最直接的催化剂 北京时间9月18凌晨,美联储宣布将联邦基金利率目标区间下调25个基点到4.00%至4.25%。这是美联储2025年第一次降息,也是继2024年三次降息后再次 降息。 "美联储货币政策转向是本轮黄金价格上涨的直接催化剂。"刘英指出,美联储本次降息25个基点,随后大概率还会再降息2次,这种宽松货币政策对黄金 价格上涨形成直接支撑。 美联储如期降息后,市场关注点转向年内后续降息路径。联邦 ...
多位华尔街交易员揭秘:“欧美资本是本轮金价新高的最大多头”
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-09-24 06:18
在8月以来的这波黄金价格迭创新高行情里,欧美资本成为最重要的幕后推手。 申万宏源证券分析师赵伟指出,按交易时段拆解分析,8月20日以来,亚太交易盘、欧洲交易盘、美国 交易盘时段的金价累计增长率分别为1.3%、1.8%和7.7%,显示黄金涨幅主要由欧美交易盘贡献;按黄 金ETF的资金进出额分析,8月以来,美国与欧洲投资者增持黄金ETF所对应的黄金增加量分别达到37.1 吨与20.8吨,期间亚洲投资者却减持4.8吨。 记者注意到,美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)的COMEX黄金期货期权持仓报告,以及国内黄金期 货多空比数据,也印证欧美投资者是这轮黄金上涨行情的关键推手。 CFTC数据显示,8月16日—9月16日当周期间,以华尔街对冲基金为主的资产管理机构持有的COMEX 黄金期货期权净多头头寸(看涨金价头寸)从1417.58万盎司增加至1604.89万盎司,成为推动COMEX 黄金期货价格迭创新高的最大资本力量。 作者:陈植 9月23日晚,COMEX黄金期货主力合约报价盘中再创历史高点3824.6美元/盎司。 在欧美资本持续推动金价迭创新高之际,亚太地区资本似乎选择"提前收工"。 东方财富网数据显示,8月21日 ...
ETF Inflows Surge Into Gold and Bitcoin in September | US Crypto News
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-23 14:30
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that gold is currently outperforming Bitcoin in terms of ETF inflows, with gold nearing its strongest yearly gain while Bitcoin's momentum has cooled [2][4]. - On a 30-day rolling basis, inflows into gold funds are significantly surpassing those into Bitcoin ETFs, reflecting a shift in investor preference towards hard assets [2][4]. - The Federal Reserve's indication of potential rate cuts is contributing to the rising demand for both gold and Bitcoin, with experts suggesting that this trend may continue [2][3]. Group 2 - Deutsche Bank forecasts that Bitcoin could join gold on central bank balance sheets by 2030, highlighting a potential long-term integration of Bitcoin into traditional financial systems [3]. - Despite the positive outlook for gold, some analysts express caution regarding Bitcoin's future, suggesting that gold's recent performance may signal challenges for Bitcoin holders [5]. - A contrasting perspective from crypto analysts suggests that even if gold's value were to increase significantly relative to Bitcoin, it would still remain down 99.96% against Bitcoin over the long term [6].
Not Just Gold: Silver, Platinum and Other Precious Metals Are All Stealing Bitcoin’s Thunder in 2025
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-23 12:07
Group 1: Precious Metals Performance - Gold has surged by 44% to a record price of $3,784 per ounce, while silver has gained 53% to $44.32 per troy ounce, platinum has increased by 60% to $1,452, and palladium has risen by 33% to $1,207 [1][2] - Precious metals are viewed as safe havens and inflation hedges amid a deteriorating fiscal outlook for advanced economies and geopolitical tensions [2] Group 2: Central Bank Activity - Central banks have been diversifying into gold, holding approximately 36,000 metric tons, which has provided significant support for gold and its counterparts [3] - The buying spree by central banks began after the coronavirus crisis and intensified following Russia's invasion of Ukraine, with over 1,000 metric tons added annually, more than double the average of the previous decade [4] Group 3: Bitcoin Comparison - Bitcoin has only risen slightly over 20% to $113,000, failing to keep pace with precious metals, and has not been adopted by central banks as a reserve asset [2][5] - The gains of Bitcoin may be limited due to continued liquidations from old wallets above $110,000, which have offset ETF inflows [5]
研究人员:未来几个月的黄金需求料将继续得到有力支撑
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-22 08:22
Core Viewpoint - Gold prices have surged to new record highs due to concerns that the Federal Reserve may begin to ease monetary policy while the U.S. economy remains resilient [1] Group 1: Demand for Gold - Future demand for gold appears to be strongly supported in the coming months [1] - Gold is recognized as the oldest inflation hedge globally, which is expected to enhance its appeal as the Federal Reserve seems poised to initiate a new round of monetary easing [1]
这一地发现金矿,有望新增金金属资源量超5吨!国际金价又涨了,分析师预测......
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-20 05:43
Group 1 - Jiangsu Province's natural resources department is conducting a gold mine survey project in the Lunshan area, which is part of the 2024 geological exploration funding project [1] - Out of six completed drill holes, four have encountered industrial or low-grade gold ore bodies, with thicknesses ranging from 3 to 5 meters and the highest grade reaching 7 grams per ton [1] - The survey is expected to add over 5 tons of gold metal resources and identify a medium-sized mineral site in the region [1] Group 2 - International gold prices have fluctuated significantly, with a recent drop due to profit-taking after the Federal Reserve's 25 basis point rate cut, but prices rebounded to above $3700 per ounce [3] - The latest surge in gold prices began on August 20, driven by factors such as expectations of Fed rate cuts, a weaker dollar, increased global central bank gold purchases, and heightened geopolitical uncertainties [5] - Goldman Sachs predicts that gold could reach $4000 per ounce within the next 12 months, citing a long-term trend of global investors seeking diversification [5]
46% Use Crypto to Hedge Inflation, 63% for Passive Income — What This Means for Investors
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-19 08:52
Core Insights - A significant increase in users entering crypto for inflation protection, rising from 29% to 46% globally [3][8] - Latin America shows strong community-driven adoption, with 63% of new users seeking passive income [4][8] - Wealth distribution is shifting, with a decline in high-net-worth wallets in East Asia and a rise in mid-tier wallets [5][6][8] Regional Trends - East Asia sees inflation protection as a primary motivation, with 52% of users citing this reason, up from previous figures [3] - The Middle East also experiences a notable increase, with users citing inflation protection rising from 27% to 45% [3] - South Asia emerges as a trading hub, with 52% of user activity in spot trading and 53% motivated by financial independence [4] Asset Preferences - Public chain tokens are the most widely held assets, with over 65% of users globally including them in their portfolios [5] - Stablecoin usage remains steady at 50%, indicating a balance between hedging against volatility and seeking yield [5] - Mid-tier wallets ($5k–$20k) are increasing, suggesting broader participation in the crypto market [6] Future Outlook - MEXC forecasts continued growth in users entering crypto for wealth protection and an increase in structured trading strategies [6] - Core holdings like public chain assets are expected to remain dominant despite the short-term interest in memecoins and AI tokens [6] Market Penetration - Over 50 million Americans now own crypto, reflecting its shift into the financial mainstream, with 21% of US adults participating [7]
Chinese investors are retreating from record-setting gold for booming equities
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-17 14:03
Group 1: Gold Demand Trends - Chinese wholesale gold demand fell to 85 metric tons in August, the weakest since 2010, down 9 tons from July [1][2] - The decline in gold demand is attributed to subdued bar and coin sales as investors shift focus to equities [2] - Despite the People's Bank of China increasing gold reserves for 10 consecutive months, private demand has decreased in 2025 [5] Group 2: Price Dynamics and Investor Behavior - Gold prices on the London Bullion Market rose nearly 4%, reaching a record high above $3,700 per troy ounce, while the Shanghai Futures Exchange saw a 26% drop in trading activity from July to August [3][6] - Price fatigue among Chinese investors has deterred new gold purchases, with muted tonnage withdrawn from the Shanghai Gold Exchange compared to historical averages [7] Group 3: Shift to Equities - Chinese investors are increasingly moving from gold to domestic stocks, with the CSI300 Index rising 10% in August and approximately 16% year-to-date due to aggressive policy support [9][10] - Retail investors have pulled 6 billion Chinese yuan (approximately $834 million) from gold ETFs in August, reducing holdings by 7.7 tons [6]
金荣中国:黄金再创历史新高,早盘低点决定是否极强
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-16 06:22
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the strong performance of the gold market, driven by multiple favorable factors including a weak US dollar and declining US Treasury yields [1][2][4] - On Monday, gold prices closed at $3678.73 per ounce, marking a 1% increase, with an intraday high of $3685.47, indicating significant market interest [1] - The US dollar index fell by 0.3% to close at 97.33, reaching a near one-week low of 97.26, which reduced the relative holding cost of gold for investors holding other currencies [1][4] Group 2 - The 10-year US Treasury yield decreased by 2.6 basis points to 4.034%, while the 30-year yield also fell by 2.6 basis points to 4.653%, reflecting a downward trend in the yield curve [1] - Recent labor market signals, such as the unexpected negative reading of the New York Fed manufacturing index at -8.7, have heightened concerns about economic slowdown and increased the urgency for potential Federal Reserve rate cuts [1][2] - The upcoming Federal Reserve meeting is highly anticipated, with a 96% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut, marking the first reduction since December [2] Group 3 - Demand from Asian countries is contributing significantly to the rise in gold prices, with reports suggesting potential easing of gold import/export regulations [4] - As the largest gold consumer, any regulatory relaxation in Asian countries could lead to increased physical gold market investments, further driving up demand [4] - Global market dynamics, including upcoming interest rate decisions from central banks in Japan, the UK, Canada, and Norway, are also creating a favorable environment for gold [4] Group 4 - The key resistance level for gold in the short term is identified at $3700, with expectations that a dovish signal from the Federal Reserve could facilitate a breakthrough [5] - Conversely, any unexpected hawkish comments influenced by political pressures could lead to a temporary pullback in gold prices [5] - Investors are advised to closely monitor the upcoming US retail sales data, known as "the horror data," which could impact market sentiment [5]
金晟富:9.16黄金买预期再创历史新高!日内黄金行情分析参考
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-16 02:26
Core Viewpoint - The current gold market is experiencing a significant upward trend driven by multiple factors, including a weakening US dollar, declining US Treasury yields, and expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut, which collectively create a favorable environment for gold investment [1][2][4]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - As of September 16, the spot gold price is trading at $3677.81 per ounce, with a notable increase of approximately 1% to close at $3678.73 [1]. - The US dollar index fell by 0.3%, reaching a near one-week low of 97.26, making gold more attractive to investors holding other currencies [1]. - Market expectations indicate a 96% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve, with potential for additional cuts by the end of the year, providing strong support for gold prices [2]. Group 2: Technical Analysis - The gold price has broken previous highs, indicating a strong bullish trend, with key support levels identified at $3674-3675 and resistance at $3697-3700 [2][4]. - The current upward movement is characterized by a series of higher highs and higher lows, suggesting a continuation of the bullish trend [4]. - Short-term trading strategies recommend buying on dips around $3670-3675 and selling on rebounds near $3697-3700, with strict stop-loss measures advised [4]. Group 3: Investment Strategies - Investors are encouraged to view any price pullbacks as opportunities to enter long positions, as the overall market sentiment remains bullish [4]. - The upcoming Federal Reserve meeting is critical, as any dovish signals could lead to a further increase in gold prices, while hawkish comments may trigger a temporary pullback [2]. - The market is advised to monitor key economic indicators, such as the US retail sales data, which could impact gold price movements [2].