坚持市场在汇率形成中的决定性作用，保持汇率弹性，强化预期引导，防范汇率超调风险，保持人民币 汇率在合理均衡水平上的基本稳定。扎实做好金融"五篇大文章"，大力发展科技金融、绿色金融、普惠 金融、养老金融、数字金融，加力支持国家重大战略、经济社会发展的重点领域和薄弱环节。健全覆盖 全面的宏观审慎管理体系，加强系统性金融风险的监测、评估，强化重点领域的宏观审慎管理。防范化 解重点领域金融风险，坚定推进金融支持融资平台债务风险化解工作，积极稳妥处置中小金融机构风 险，做好房地产金融宏观审慎管理，牢牢守住不发生系统性金融风险的底线。 报告提出，下一步，金融系统将全面贯彻落实党的二十大和二十届历次全会精神，按照中央经济工作会 议、中央金融工作会议部署，统筹国内国际两个大局，完整准确全面贯彻新发展理念，加快构建新发展 格局，坚持稳中求进工作总基调，实施更加积极有为的宏观政策，加大逆周期和跨周期调节力度，持续 防范化解重点领域风险，实现"十五五"良好开局。把促进经济稳定增长、物价合理回升作为货币政策的 重要考量，保持流动性充裕，促进社会综合融资成本低位运行。 中国人民银行12月26日消息，近日中国人民银行发布的《中国金融稳定 ...

下一步，金融系统将按照中央经济工作会议、中央金融工作会议部署，统筹国内国际两个大局，完整准 确全面贯彻新发展理念，加快构建新发展格局，坚持稳中求进工作总基调，实施更加积极有为的宏观政 策，防范化解重点领域风险，为实现"十五五"良好开局打牢基础。保持流动性充裕，使社会融资规模、 货币供应量增长同经济增长、价格总水平预期目标相匹配，持续营造适宜的货币金融环境。推动社会综 合融资成本下降。坚持市场在汇率形成中的决定性作用，保持汇率弹性，强化预期引导，防范汇率超调 风险，保持人民币汇率在合理均衡水平上的基本稳定。扎实做好金融"五篇大文章"，大力发展科技金 融、绿色金融、普惠金融、养老金融、数字金融，加力支持国家重大战略、经济社会发展的重点领域和 薄弱环节。健全覆盖全面的宏观审慎管理体系，加强系统性金融风险的监测、评估，强化重点领域的宏 观审慎管理。防范化解重点领域金融风险，坚定推进金融支持融资平台债务风险化解工作，积极稳妥处 置中小金融机构风险，做好房地产金融宏观审慎管理，牢牢守住不发生系统性金融风险的底线。 市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文不构成个人投资建议，也未考虑到个别用户特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需要。用户应考虑 ...

招商银行 中国银行 工商银行 建设银行 光大银行 招商银行 分时图 日K线 周K线 月K线 41.91 0.14 0.34% 0.62% 0.41% 0.22% 0.00% 0.22% 0.41% 0.62% 41.51 41.60 41.68 41.77 41.86 41.94 42.03 09:30 10:30 11:30/13:00 14:00 15:00 0 46万 91万 137万 国际金价延续连日来的涨势。受此带动，以人民币计价的黄金价格再创新高。12月23日，有品牌足金饰品报价首次站上每克1400元上方。 | 品牌 | 价格(元/克) | | 日涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 周大福 | | 1403 | +2.56% | | 老凤祥 | | 1399 | +2.49% | | 周六福 | | 1319 | +0.53% | | 周生生 | | 1403 | +2.63% | | 六福珠宝 | | 1366 | +0.59% | 12月23日，伦敦现货黄金盘中一度接近每盎司4490美元，突破10月底每盎司4381美元的高点。受此影响，上海黄金交易所现货黄金价格 ...

会议指出，此次中央经济工作会议作为党的二十届四中全会后党中央召开的重要会议，对实现"十五 五"良好开局具有重大而深远的意义。习近平总书记在中央经济工作会议上的重要讲话举旗定向、统揽 全局，思想深邃、内涵丰富，全面总结今年和"十四五"时期经济工作，深刻分析当前国内外形势，深化 提出"五个必须"的规律性认识，系统部署明年经济工作的总体要求、政策取向和重点任务，为做好明年 和今后一个时期的经济工作指明了方向、提供了根本遵循。 会议强调，2026年是"十五五"开局之年，做好深圳金融工作责任重大。全市金融系统需统一思想行动， 牢牢坚持防风险、强监管、促高质量发展工作主线，全面加强金融系统党的建设，全力推动建设更具全 球影响力的产业金融中心各项工作，具体落实五大重点任务： 一是坚定扛起"经济大市挑大梁"的深圳金融责任担当，锚定金融业增加值年度任务目标，盯紧金融业关 键指标、重点行业、核心机构，全力以赴做好年底前金融工作，全力争取更高目标，为全市发展大局提 供更有力支撑。 据深圳市委金融办发布消息，12月15日，该办召开全体大会，深入学习贯彻习近平总书记在中央经济工 作会议上的重要讲话和中央经济工作会议精神，传达学习全国金 ...

21世纪经济报道记者黄子潇深圳报道 12月16日，据深圳市委金融办发布消息，该办召开全体大会，深入学习中央经济工作会议精神，传达学 习全国金融系统工作会议精神。深圳市委金融办常务副主任、市委金融工委常务副书记、市地方金融管 理局局长时卫干主持会议。会议强调，2026年是"十五五"开局之年，做好深圳金融工作意义重大。 会议提及，继续有力有序有效防范化解各类金融风险，严控增量、妥处存量、严防"爆雷"。坚持"一企 一策"深入推进中小金融机构改革化险。稳妥做好重点企业风险处置，加快推动重点房企涉众理财风险 出清。严厉打击非法金融活动，加强跨部门协作联动，强化"线上+线下"的"预警-识别-快速处置"链 条。 记者注意到，今年下半年，深圳市委金融办下属机构深圳市防范和打击非法金融活动专责小组办公室密 集发布多则风险提示，包括关于警惕黄金经营领域非法金融活动、警惕以"租机套现"等名义诱骗贷款、 警惕涉农领域非法集资等。例如今年11月24日，该办发布风险提示称，随着黄金价格波动，不少不法分 子假借实物黄金交易之名，违规开展"黄金委托""黄金租赁""黄金投资"等业务，涉嫌非法集资等违法行 为，扰乱经济金融秩序。而各类黄金珠宝经 ...

第一财经根据公开信息梳理，迄今已有超过15家国内知名品牌房企的理财产品发生风险。2021年9月， 中国恒大名下的恒大财富公告停止兑付。随后，佳兆业（01638.HK）下属的锦恒财富、阳光城内部员 工理财、中国奥园（03883.HK）的关联理财产品等在2021年四季度至2022年初逾期。随后，更多千亿 级别房企也陆续出现类似情况。进入2023年，金科股份、远洋集团（03377.HK）等也相继被业内曝出 员工理财产品逾期。 深圳一位专注于地产金融的资深人士向第一财经分析，多数较早出现员工理财问题的房企，目前已建立 了债务处置框架，风险处置工作正在推进。例如，通过"以房抵债"、制定分期现金兑付方案等方式，相 关风险已从最初的"燃点状态"进入"核心风险已显性化、正在缓慢排解"的阶段。 例如，7月8日，"佳兆业集团控股"微信公众号发布公告称，自2021年11月起，该公司全力盘活资产回笼 资金，已连续完成43期锦恒财富产品现金兑付，通过现金、实物抵债、财产权信托等方式，累计完成锦 恒财富76%投资款及63%投资人的兑付。 公开信息显示，在本轮行业调整中，目前也有万科等头部房企，尽管部分区域项目因收益分配问题出现 争议，但 ...

| 项目类别 | 数据指标 环比 数据指标 最新 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | EC主力收盘价 55.8↑ EC次主力收盘价 1149.7 | 1746.000 | +28.90↑ | | 期货盘面 | EC2602-EC2604价差 +24.50↑ EC2602-EC2606价差 439.30 | 596.30 | +22.30↑ | | | EC合约基差 -66.84↓ | -235.54 | | | 期货持仓头寸（手） EC主力持仓量 | 1401↑ | 33065 | | | | SCFIS（欧线）（周） 1.46↑ SCFIS（美西线）（周） 924.34 108.83↑ 集装箱船运力（万标准箱） 1,227.97 SCFI（综合指数）（周） | 1510.56 1506.46 | -36.15↓ 3.89↑ | | 现货价格 | CCFI（综合指数）（周） 3.18↑ CCFI（欧线）（周） 1,470.55 | 1118.07 | 22.99↑ | | | 波罗的海干散货指数（日） 89.00↑ 巴拿马型运费指数（日) 1,688.00 | ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided in the report. 2. Core Views of the Report - The overall performance of China's economy in 2025 shows a complex situation, with some indicators improving and others facing challenges. The government is expected to introduce more incremental policies in 2026 to boost consumption, promote investment, and address key risks. The bond market remains in a volatile and weak pattern, while the stock market is expected to see more balanced opportunities with technology stocks continuing as the main theme [17][22][34]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Macro Data Overview - GDP growth in Q3 2025 was 4.8% year - on - year, slightly lower than the previous quarter. The manufacturing PMI in November was 49.2%, and the non - manufacturing PMI for business activities was 49.5%. Social financing scale, M2, M1, and other financial indicators showed certain trends, with social financing scale increment in the first 11 months exceeding last year's full - year figure [1]. 3.2 Commodity Investment Reference 3.2.1 Comprehensive - China's November financial data showed that RMB loans increased by 15.36 trillion yuan in the first 11 months, and the cumulative social financing scale increment was 33.39 trillion yuan. The authorities issued a notice to boost consumption through financial support [2]. 3.2.2 Metals - Global physical gold ETFs had continuous inflows in November, with the total asset management scale and total holdings reaching new highs. The copper price was approaching $12,000 per ton, with a cumulative increase of over 30% this year. The zinc, copper, and other metal inventories showed different trends [5][6][7]. 3.2.3 Coal, Coke, Steel, and Minerals - The prices of coke and coking coal decreased in early December. The 2026 Shanxi Coal Trading Conference was held, and some steel products will be under export license management from January 1, 2026 [9]. 3.2.4 Energy and Chemicals - China's oil and gas industry is moving towards a new stage of development, with the expected natural gas production to reach 300 billion cubic meters by 2030. The shale oil exploration and development work was promoted, and the number of US oil drilling platforms increased [11][12]. 3.2.5 Agricultural Products - The prices of some agricultural products such as soybean meal and corn increased, while the price of peanuts decreased. The total grain output of Beidahuang Group achieved "22 consecutive years of harvest" [14][15]. 3.3 Financial News Compilation 3.3.1 Open Market - The central bank conducted 1205 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations on December 12, with a net withdrawal of 193 billion yuan. This week, there are large - scale reverse repurchase maturities, and the central bank will conduct 6000 billion yuan of 6 - month - term repurchase operations on December 15 [16]. 3.3.2 Key News - Multiple departments held meetings to implement the spirit of the Central Economic Work Conference, emphasizing policies such as promoting consumption, stabilizing investment, and preventing financial risks. The issuance scale of public funds and bonds in the market showed certain trends [17][25]. 3.3.3 Bond Market Summary - The Chinese bond market turned cold, with bond yields rising and bond futures prices falling. The money market interest rates showed different trends, and the yields of European and US bonds also changed [28][32]. 3.3.4 Foreign Exchange Market - The on - shore RMB against the US dollar rose, and the US dollar index also showed a slight increase. Non - US currencies had different trends [33]. 3.3.5 Research Report Highlights - Different institutions analyzed the November financial data and the Central Economic Work Conference, providing investment suggestions for the bond market, such as holding short - term credit bonds and medium - term interest - rate bonds [34]. 3.4 Stock Market Key News - Last week, the A - share market was volatile, with the technology growth sector performing well. The scale of ETFs linked to the CSI A500 index continued to expand. Multiple public funds are currently being issued, and the market is at the time of cross - year layout, with more balanced investment opportunities expected in 2026 [39][40].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Through macro - fundamental and technical analysis, the report predicts the trend of various futures contracts on December 15, 2025, including strong - side or weak - side oscillations, and provides corresponding resistance and support levels [2][3][4][6]. - Analyzes the market performance of various futures contracts on December 12, 2025, and provides a full - year outlook for December 2025 [20][21][22][45][51][57][64]. - Presents relevant macro - economic information and international news that may affect the futures market [8][9][10][14]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Outlook - **Stock Index Futures**: Expected to be strongly oscillating on December 15, 2025. For example, IF2512 has resistance at 4600 and 4614 points, and support at 4525 and 4511 points [2][27]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: The ten - year T2603 and thirty - year TL2603 are expected to have wide - range oscillations on December 15, 2025, with specified resistance and support levels [2]. - **Precious Metal Futures**: Gold futures AU2602 are expected to be strongly oscillating on December 15, 2025, while silver futures AG2602 are expected to be weakly oscillating [2][3]. - **Base Metal Futures**: Copper, aluminum, zinc, nickel, and tin futures show different trends. For example, copper futures CU2602 are expected to be weakly oscillating on December 15, 2025 [3]. - **Energy and Chemical Futures**: Crude oil futures SC2601 are expected to be weakly oscillating on December 15, 2025, while fuel oil futures FU2603 are expected to be strongly oscillating [3][6]. - **Agricultural Futures**: Soybean meal futures M2605 are expected to have wide - range oscillations on December 15, 2025, and palm oil futures P2601 are expected to be weakly oscillating [7][146][148]. 3.2 Macro - economic Information - Central government departments emphasize financial risk prevention, including local small and medium - sized financial institutions, real estate, and local government debt risks [8]. - China's November financial data shows an increase in RMB loans and social financing scale, and growth in M2, M1, and other indicators [8]. - The central bank will conduct a 6000 - billion - yuan 6 - month - term outright reverse repurchase operation on December 15, 2025, with an increased volume [9]. - The Ministry of Finance plans to implement fiscal policies next year, including maintaining fiscal deficits and using government bonds [10]. 3.3 International News - The US, Japan, South Korea, Australia and other countries signed an agreement to maintain the safety of the rare - earth supply chain [14]. - Trump signed an executive order to regulate artificial intelligence at the federal level in the US [15]. - Multiple US states sued the federal government over the significant increase in H - 1B visa fees [16]. - Multiple Federal Reserve officials expressed their views on inflation and interest rates [17]. - Russia's central bank sued the European Central Securities Depository over frozen national assets [17]. - Ukraine and the US held talks on a "peace plan" [17]. 3.4 Market Performance on December 12, 2025 - Stock index futures such as IF2512, IH2512, IC2512, and IM2512 showed different degrees of increase [20][21][22]. - Treasury bond futures closed down across the board, with the 30 - year and 10 - year main contracts showing relatively large declines [45]. - Gold futures AU2602 rose, and silver futures AG2602 also showed an upward trend during the day but weakened at night [51][57]. - Copper futures CU2601 rose during the day but fell at night [64][65].

这周有哪些大事要闻？ 发布了哪些重要政策、通知？ 国际货币基金组织上海中心开业仪式于12月8日举行。十二届全国政协副主席、中国人民银行原行长周 小川作主旨演讲。中国人民银行行长潘功胜、上海市市长龚正、国际货币基金组织总裁格奥尔基耶娃致 辞并揭牌。 一起来快速回顾一下吧！ 领导关心 1.李强同主要国际经济组织负责人举行"1+10"对话会 12月9日，国务院总理李强在北京钓鱼台国宾馆同主要国际经济组织负责人举行"1+10"对话会。新开发 银行行长罗塞芙、世界银行行长彭安杰、国际货币基金组织总裁格奥尔基耶娃、世贸组织总干事伊维 拉、联合国贸发会议秘书长格林斯潘、国际劳工组织总干事洪博、国际清算银行总经理德科斯、金融稳 定理事会主席贝利、亚投行行长金立群、经合组织副秘书长鲁日奇卡出席。对话会以"共商全球治理， 共谋全球发展"为主题开展讨论。 2.何立峰在全国金融系统工作会议上强调深入学习贯彻中央经济工作会议精神有力有序有效做好2026年 金融重点工作 全国金融系统工作会议12月12日在京召开。中共中央政治局委员、中央金融委员会办公室主任何立峰出 席会议并讲话。他强调，金融系统要深入学习贯彻中央经济工作会议精神，准确把 ...