Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the company, with a target price of 17.1 CNY [2][5]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve steady growth in component shipments, with a target of 70-75 GW for 2025, while balancing volume and profitability [5]. - The company has faced significant challenges in 2024, with a revenue decline of 29.2% year-on-year, resulting in a net loss of 3.44 billion CNY [5]. - The report highlights the company's focus on technological advancements, including the development of high-efficiency N-type bifacial i-TOPCon batteries and perovskite/silicon tandem cells [5]. - The diversification of business operations, including energy storage and photovoltaic support structures, is seen as a strategy to enhance overall competitiveness [5]. Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2024 is projected at 80.28 billion CNY, with a year-on-year decline of 29.2% [4]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be -3.44 billion CNY in 2024, with a significant recovery anticipated in 2026 and 2027 [4]. - The company’s gross margin for 2024 is forecasted at 9.59%, down 6.26 percentage points year-on-year [5]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be -1.58 CNY for 2024, improving to 0.85 CNY by 2026 [4]. Business Development - The company achieved over 70 GW in component shipments in 2024, with 64.5 GW exported, marking an 18% increase year-on-year [5]. - The energy storage segment shipped 4.3 GWh in 2024, with expectations for rapid growth in 2025 as the company expands its market reach [5]. - The company is establishing a smart tracking manufacturing facility in Saudi Arabia, aiming to secure a larger share of the global market [5].

Core Insights - Longi Green Energy reported a revenue of 82.582 billion yuan for 2024 and 13.652 billion yuan for Q1 2025, demonstrating resilience amid industry challenges [1] - The company adopted a "control quantity to ensure profit" strategy in 2024, achieving a silicon wafer shipment of 108.46 GW and a module shipment of 82.32 GW [1][3] - Longi Green Energy's strategic foresight has positioned it as a leader in the photovoltaic industry, with a focus on technological innovation and cost control [3][4] Financial Performance - In 2024, Longi Green Energy experienced a 36.23% year-on-year decline in revenue, reflecting the broader industry's struggles, where over 70% of companies reported losses [3] - The company maintained a healthy financial position with cash reserves of 53.157 billion yuan and a debt ratio below 60%, allowing for continued investment in R&D and capacity expansion [12] Technological Advancements - Longi Green Energy shifted its R&D focus to back-contact (BC) technology in 2022, positioning itself ahead of competitors who were still investing in PERC technology [4][6] - The company has achieved significant advancements in BC technology, with over 400 related patents and a goal to increase BC battery and module capacity to 50 GW by the end of 2025 [6][9] Market Positioning - Longi Green Energy's BC technology has gained global recognition, securing a 1 GW supply agreement in Europe and significant market penetration in the Middle East and emerging markets [8][12] - The company has strategically avoided the pitfalls of over-reliance on TOPCon technology, which has faced severe price competition and oversupply issues [7][10] Strategic Initiatives - Longi Green Energy has implemented proactive measures such as organizational optimization and smart upgrades, resulting in a 30.22% reduction in management expenses in 2024 [6] - The company is actively building an ecosystem around BC technology, collaborating with industry partners to establish standards and reduce costs [10][12] Future Outlook - The company anticipates a recovery in the photovoltaic market, with Q1 2025 showing signs of improvement, including a silicon wafer shipment of 23.46 GW and module shipment of 16.93 GW [8] - Longi Green Energy's management expresses confidence in navigating future uncertainties, emphasizing the importance of strategic vision, technological accumulation, and financial strength for long-term success [13]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside of over 15% relative to the benchmark index [4][7]. Core Views - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for 2024, with total revenue at 9.952 billion yuan, down 44.66% year-on-year, and a net loss of 591 million yuan [1][4]. - Despite the challenging market conditions, the company achieved a notable increase in N-type battery shipments, with a total of 33.74 GW shipped in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.62%, and N-type battery shipments alone reached 30.99 GW, up 50.58% year-on-year [2][4]. - The company is actively expanding its overseas business, with overseas sales accounting for 23.85% of total sales in 2024, an increase of 19.16 percentage points compared to 2023 [2][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company reported revenue of 1.750 billion yuan, a decrease of 59.08% year-on-year, and a net loss of 174 million yuan [1]. - The company expects revenues to recover in the coming years, projecting revenues of 14.807 billion yuan, 18.741 billion yuan, and 21.849 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][6]. Production Capacity and Technology - The company has two major production bases for N-type batteries, achieving a total production capacity of 44 GW in 2024 [2]. - The average production efficiency of batteries has improved, with non-silicon costs reduced by 30%, and the introduction of the new N-type battery series "MoNo 2" [3]. Market Position and Outlook - The company ranks third globally in battery shipments, maintaining a leading position in N-type product shipments [2]. - The report anticipates a recovery in profitability and revenue growth as industry supply and demand improve, with projected net profits of 898 million yuan, 1.662 billion yuan, and 2.109 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][6].