昨天，美国特朗普政府声称将积极地撤销中国学生签证，同时加强审查今后所有来自中国内地和香港的签证申请。 值得一提的是，这倒不仅仅针对中国，美国近期还暂停了对赴美留学、交流的外国公民在海外申请签证需要进行的面谈，并加强对申请者社交媒体帖子的 审查。 风雨欲来，当美国对中国等多个国家逐渐开始"闭关锁国"，世界又如何看待今天的美国呢？ 近期Skift（美国权威旅游行业新闻网站）做过一份调查报告，当时我还觉得《特朗普政策或将导致美国旅游业衰退》这个标题有点夸张，现在看颇有先见 之明。 01 美国驻华大使馆公众号5月29日截图 从具体调研内容来看，Skift问了来自五个国家的1250名游客："特朗普执政时期，你们有去美国的旅游计划吗？" 结果，有46%的人当场回答"那不可能"。 更离谱的是，加拿大受访者"不去"的比例是62%，德国人"不去"是59%。 这不是"不想去"，而是"躲着走"。 前阵子，我和一个中国工作多年的法国老友聊到今年暑期安排，他也是类似态度，"Xi，我宁可去你们宁夏看沙漠，也不想在纽约机场被问十分钟'你来干 嘛的'。" 听起来像段子，实际上是趋势，而数据也已经开口说话了。 也就是说，美国成了全球184个经 ...

欧洲央行行长拉加德26日在德国柏林参加一场活动时指出，当前的国际秩序正在受到根本性的动摇，多 边合作正在被零和思维与权力博弈所取代。开放正让位于保护主义。拉加德说，欧洲经济深度融入全球 贸易体系，出口占欧洲经济增加值的近五分之一，并支撑着3000万个就业岗位。国际秩序中任何导致世 界贸易下降或经济集团分裂的变化，都将对欧洲经济造成不利影响。但只要采取正确的政策应对，形势 变化也可能为欧元在未来的国际舞台上发挥更大作用提供可能性。拉加德说，美元的主导地位也存在不 确定性。近年来，美元在全球外汇储备中的占比不断下降，目前的占比是1994年以来的最低水平。拉加 德表示，欧元如今是第二大全球货币，占全球外汇储备的20%左右。增强欧元的国际地位将促使更多贸 易以欧元计价，从而令欧洲免受不稳定的资本流动的影响。为提升欧元的全球地位，欧洲需要坚定不移 地致力于开放贸易，巩固经济基础以促进资本市场发展，以及捍卫法治和政治团结。(新华社) ...

Group 1: Trade Measures - The U.S. has imposed a 30% additional tariff on specific models of cranes imported from China, affecting over $1.5 billion worth of imports annually [3] - The U.S. Coast Guard announced a new port facility usage fee for Chinese-built vessels, charging double compared to other countries, impacting a wide range of ships including commercial and fishing vessels [3] - The construction industry in the U.S. is expected to see an 8% increase in project costs over the next year due to the crane tariff, potentially leading small contractors to abandon projects and affecting local employment [3] Group 2: Geopolitical Implications - The U.S. aims to weaken China's manufacturing competitiveness through economic measures, which is crucial for maintaining its dominance in the global supply chain [5] - The U.S. actions are seen as a political maneuver to divert attention from domestic economic and social issues, especially with elections approaching [6] - China is accelerating free trade agreement negotiations with other economies, reducing reliance on the U.S. market, and implementing reciprocal trade measures against certain U.S. goods [6] Group 3: International Reactions - International economic organizations emphasize that confrontation between the U.S. and China will harm both parties, advocating for cooperation as a solution [8] - The World Trade Organization has expressed concerns that U.S. protectionist measures undermine the multilateral trade system and could negatively impact global economic recovery [6] - Long-term cooperation in various fields such as trade, climate, and security is essential for both nations, with a call for dialogue to achieve mutual benefits and global economic stability [8]

Core Viewpoint - The Trump administration is shifting its focus away from clean energy competition with China, instead prioritizing traditional energy sources like oil, natural gas, and coal, leading to significant internal divisions within the Republican Party regarding energy policy [1][3]. Group 1: Energy Policy Shifts - The Trump administration's strategy reflects a "zero-sum" mindset, believing that further investment in clean energy would only benefit China, which dominates key segments of the global supply chain for batteries, electric vehicles, solar, and wind energy [3][5]. - In contrast to the first term's broad approach to energy policy, the second term shows a clear preference for fossil fuels, with Trump expressing intentions to repeal parts of the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) to cut government spending [3][4]. Group 2: Internal Republican Divisions - The proposed "Big Beautiful Bill Act" is causing fundamental disagreements within the Republican Party, particularly between hardliners who want to eliminate clean energy subsidies and moderates who recognize the benefits of these subsidies for their communities [1][7]. - The hardline stance may alienate moderate Republicans, as many of their constituents benefit from the jobs created by clean energy projects supported by the IRA [7][9]. Group 3: Economic Implications - The cancellation of clean energy subsidies could jeopardize approximately 160,000 jobs in the U.S. manufacturing sector, particularly in Republican-majority areas [5][6]. - A study indicates that the elimination of these subsidies could result in the loss of a projected $50 billion solar component and battery export market by 2030, with other countries likely filling the investment gap left by the U.S. [6][9]. Group 4: Global Cooperation and Climate Change - The current U.S. administration's approach is seen as detrimental to global efforts to combat climate change, as it undermines the need for international collaboration [9][10]. - The article emphasizes that addressing climate change requires collective action from all nations, rather than a retreat from engagement due to perceived competition with China [9][10].

Core Points - The dialogue in Geneva highlighted the negative impact of U.S. tariffs on developing countries, emphasizing the need for solidarity and cooperation among these nations to address trade barriers imposed by the U.S. [1] - The WTO Secretary-General noted that current trade frictions could lead to a long-term decline in global GDP by nearly 7%, with particularly severe effects on developing and least developed countries [2] - Economic experts criticized the U.S. tariff policy as detrimental, arguing that it reflects a zero-sum mentality and could exacerbate economic uncertainty rather than resolve manufacturing challenges [3] Group 1 - The dialogue emphasized that U.S. tariffs undermine sustainable development agendas and violate the principles of a rules-based multilateral trading system [1] - Representatives from various countries called for global cooperation and dialogue as the only viable solution to address global challenges [1] - The meeting's extension indicated the urgency and importance of the discussions surrounding U.S. trade practices [1] Group 2 - The WTO's report stressed that if all economies pursue benefits at the expense of others, the outcome will be detrimental to all parties involved, highlighting the necessity of cooperative trade policies [2] - Chinese officials urged the U.S. to show sincerity in negotiations by preparing to correct its unilateral tariff actions [2] - Investors expressed relief regarding the high-level talks between the U.S. and China, as trade between the two major economies has nearly stagnated, raising concerns about potential shortages in the U.S. [2] Group 3 - Experts in Switzerland argued that the U.S. approach to tariffs is economically illogical and could disrupt resource allocation, leading to increased unemployment and rising prices [3] - The significance of the U.S.-China talks was underscored as a means to ease global trade tensions, which is a positive development for the world [3] - The Swiss perspective reflects a broader concern about the crisis facing the global multilateral trading system due to U.S. tariff actions [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the U.S. tariff policy reflects a "zero-sum thinking" approach, which is unlikely to resolve manufacturing challenges and may increase economic and trade uncertainties [1] - The U.S. government's attempt to create jobs and promote manufacturing return through tariffs has not been effective and has alienated allies and trade partners [1] - The current tariff situation is likened to a poorly initiated negotiation with negative developments, indicating a lack of interest in achieving win-win outcomes [1] Group 2 - The main factor affecting the Swiss economy is the uncertainty surrounding U.S. tariff policies, with approximately 80% of Switzerland's GDP driven by exports, and about 15% of total exports going to the U.S. [2] - The 10% tariff imposed by the U.S., combined with the appreciation of the Swiss franc against the dollar, has made exports to the U.S. more challenging for Swiss companies [2] - As the U.S. market faces challenges, bilateral agreements with the EU and free trade agreements with China are becoming increasingly important for Switzerland [2] - The rapid development of Asia is attracting Swiss high-end manufacturing industries, with U.S. tariff measures accelerating this market shift [2] - The potential of the Chinese market and the improving business environment are drawing more Swiss enterprises in high-end machinery, pharmaceuticals, and watchmaking sectors [2]