Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that the current bull market is positioned favorably, with the market expected to react positively to the anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which is projected to initiate a global easing cycle [2] Group 1: Macroeconomic Context - The market anticipates an 87% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September, which is expected to support the "A-share technology bull market + global easing bull" narrative [2] - The Shanghai Composite Index and Hang Seng Index have shown varying responses to past rate cuts, indicating potential market movements following the upcoming rate decision [3] Group 2: Technology Sector Focus - The article identifies key technology sectors to watch, including AI hardware, semiconductor manufacturing, and commercial aerospace, highlighting the importance of domestic breakthroughs and international market expansion [10][12] - The focus is on two main directions: the competitive landscape between China and the U.S. in technology and the advantages of Chinese companies in international markets [10] Group 3: Domestic Self-Sufficiency - The domestic chip industry is expected to see significant breakthroughs, with multiple IPOs of domestic chip unicorns anticipated in the second half of the year, particularly in the 6G and AI chip sectors [12] - The semiconductor lithography machine sector is also experiencing advancements, with new technologies being developed to support high-end AI chip integration [13] Group 4: Commercial Aerospace Developments - September is marked by a series of planned launches in the commercial aerospace sector, which are expected to validate technological maturity and reduce costs in satellite manufacturing and rocket recovery [14] Group 5: Solid-State Battery Innovations - The article discusses the upcoming mass production of solid-state batteries by various companies, which are expected to enhance energy density and vehicle range significantly [15] Group 6: Strategic Importance of Rare Earths - Rare earth materials are highlighted as critical for military and high-end manufacturing, with China's dominance in the rare earth refining sector providing a competitive edge [17] Group 7: International Market Trends - The article notes that the demand for Chinese machinery and integrated circuits is increasing in emerging markets, despite U.S. attempts to impose tariffs [10] Group 8: Upcoming Events and Market Dynamics - Key events in September include major product launches from Apple and Huawei, which are expected to drive competition and influence supply chain dynamics [21] - The article suggests that the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting and industry exhibitions will be crucial for market sentiment and investment strategies [24]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on AI-PCB and core computing hardware, as well as the Apple supply chain and industries benefiting from AI-driven and self-controlled trends [4][32]. Core Insights - The release of DeepSeek V3.1 model enhances mixed reasoning capabilities, significantly improving efficiency and reducing token consumption by 20-50%, which is favorable for domestic computing chip development [4][32]. - The demand for AI computing hardware remains strong, with expectations for robust growth in the second half of the year, particularly in AI-PCB and related sectors [4][32]. - The semiconductor industry is experiencing a trend of upward demand, driven by AI applications and the need for advanced computing solutions [24][32]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The report highlights the strong demand for AI computing hardware and the positive impact of DeepSeek's advancements on domestic chip manufacturers [4][32]. - The PCB industry is expected to maintain high growth due to increased demand from automotive and industrial control sectors, alongside AI applications [7][32]. 2. Key Segments - **Consumer Electronics**: The introduction of innovative products like the影翎 Antigravity A1 drone is expected to enhance market competitiveness and consumer engagement [5]. - **PCB**: The PCB industry is experiencing a significant uptrend, with expectations for continued high demand driven by AI and automotive sectors [7][32]. - **IC Design**: The storage segment is projected to see upward trends due to increased demand for high-capacity products driven by AI applications [21][32]. 3. Company Focus - Key companies to watch include 生益科技, 寒武纪, 海光信息, and others that are positioned to benefit from the growth in AI-PCB and computing hardware sectors [32]. - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring earnings reports from major players like NVIDIA and Broadcom for insights into future demand [4][32]. 4. Market Trends - The semiconductor equipment market is expected to grow significantly, with a projected increase in capital expenditures from major cloud computing firms [34][32]. - The report notes that the demand for advanced packaging and semiconductor materials is on the rise, driven by geopolitical factors and the need for self-sufficiency in the semiconductor supply chain [24][32].

Group 1 - The A-share computing hardware sector continues to show strong performance, with leading server company Industrial Fulian hitting the daily limit up, reaching a total market value of 971.3 billion yuan [1] - Industrial Fulian reported a revenue of 360.76 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 35.58%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 12.113 billion yuan, up 38.61% year-on-year [1] - The 5G Communication ETF (515050) focusing on computing leaders rose by 1.72% in a single day, with a trading volume exceeding 300 million yuan, and has seen a cumulative increase of over 10% in the past five trading days [1] Group 2 - The 5G Communication ETF (515050) has a deep layout in AI computing hardware and 6G industry chain leading stocks, with a latest scale of 7 billion yuan [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the ETF include companies like Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, and Industrial Fulian, with the optical module CPO concept stocks accounting for 31% of the weight [2]

Market Overview - The A-share market showed contrasting trends, with the Shanghai Composite Index nearly falling below 3500 points but closing at 3505, while the ChiNext Index surged by 1.73% despite over 4000 stocks declining [1][3]. Policy Impact - The Central Financial Committee has initiated measures to "govern low-price competition," leading to a 30% reduction in photovoltaic glass production and cement production limits, which could benefit the steel and building materials sectors [3]. - Rebar steel inventory has dropped to its lowest level this year, indicating potential recovery for cyclical stocks [3]. Sector Performance - High-dividend sectors like banking and electricity have seen significant capital outflows, with over 12 billion net outflow in three days, and the dividend yield for the China Securities Bank Index has fallen to 3.89% [3]. - The semiconductor sector has been energized by the news of NVIDIA's H20 chip resuming sales to China, leading to significant stock price increases for leading companies like Xinyi and Zhongji Xuchuang [3]. Technical Analysis - The Shanghai Composite Index is experiencing short-term adjustment pressure near the 3500-point mark, while the ChiNext Index shows signs of potential continuation in its upward trend [4]. - Despite a net outflow of 52.4 billion in main funds, sectors like AI hardware and robotics are attracting investment, indicating a shift from high-dividend stocks to technology growth stocks [4]. Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to focus on technology stocks with solid core technologies and performance, such as Xinyi and Zhongji Xuchuang, especially those with clear profit growth expectations [5]. - High-dividend stocks should be monitored for potential entry points when yields return to reasonable levels, such as bank stocks yielding over 5% [5]. - A cautious approach is recommended, maintaining a 70% investment position while keeping 30% liquid to manage market volatility [5].