证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2026 02 01 年 月 日 电力设备 独立储能发布顶层文件定调行业盈利，宁德时代新生产基地落户云南 光伏：硅片价格下移，电池组件价格上涨。据安泰科，本周多晶硅主流产品市场无成交 记录，观望情绪成为市场主导，全周未出现规模性交易，仅少数企业达成小额试探性订 单，新单签约量几近停滞。据 InfoLink，本周硅片价格延续前期下行态势，整体均价如 期下滑，市场价格重心持续下探。电池片价格方面，本周 183N、210RN、210N 型号均 价上行至 0.45 元/瓦，三款产品价格区间均为 0.43-0.45 元/瓦。受白银价格大幅上涨 推高组件生产成本影响，组件企业被迫上调报价。目前国内分布式组件报价区间为 0.8- 0.88 元/瓦，实际成交价格则在 0.75-0.8 元/瓦区间波动；TOPCon 组件国内均价上调至 0.739 元/瓦，受分布式装机占比持续提升、且分布式 TOPCon 组件成交均价涨至 0.76 元/瓦的拉动，整体价格迎来调涨。核心关注三大方向：1）供给侧改革下的产业链涨价 机会，核心关注通威股份、协鑫科技、隆基绿能、晶澳科技、晶科能源、 ...

杉杉股份公告， 预计2025年度实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润4亿元至6亿元，与上年同期相比，将实现扭亏为盈。预计2025年度实现归 属于上市公司股东的扣除非经常性损益后的净利润3亿元至4.5亿元。 公司偏光片业务稳居市场领先地位， 以产品高端化、 运营精细化驱动实现规模与盈利能力双提升。 公司聚焦超大尺寸 LCD TV、 OLED TV 等高附加值领域优化产品结构， 推动高端产品销量及均价显著增长， 同时推进深化供应链协同、 精益生产工艺、 强化成本管控等举措。 降 本增效与产品结构升级形成合力带动毛利率提升， 叠加销量稳步增长， 推动偏光片业务本期盈利同比较大幅增长。 此外， 母公司三项费用、 长期股权投资权益法核算的参股企业亏损、 相关资产计提减值准备等预计合计影响本期损益-5.5 亿元至-4.5 亿 元， 较上年同期均有所收窄。 往 期 回 顾 | 01 | ｜ | 电解液"老三"开启港股IPO！ | | --- | --- | --- | | 02 | ｜ | 恩捷股份与国轩高科签署战略合作协议 | | 03 | ｜ | 璞泰来新型硅碳负极已在消费电池领域批量出货 | | 04 | ｜ 举办！ | ...

Group 1 - The report indicates that the A-share market is expected to enter a strong seasonal rally phase following the release of annual report forecasts, with a high probability of small-cap stocks outperforming during this period [3][18]. - In 2025, the proportion of companies with low expectations and those forecasting losses or negative growth has reached new highs compared to previous years, indicating significant pressure on annual report forecasts [8][10]. - Historical data shows that the period from the Spring Festival to the Two Sessions is characterized by a strong seasonal effect, with small-cap indices showing a 100% probability of rising during this time [19]. Group 2 - The report outlines four reversal strategies based on the operational positions of various industries as of Q3 2025, focusing on identifying sectors that may validate recovery trends in Q4 [21]. - Reversal Strategy 1 highlights industries that have already shown profit inflection points in Q3 2025, particularly in AI and energy storage, with expectations for continued recovery in lithium battery materials and storage sectors [32][35]. - Reversal Strategy 2 focuses on the computer sector, which may see profit inflection points in Q4 2025 due to prior cost and personnel reductions, indicating a potential supply clearing and demand improvement [38]. - Reversal Strategy 3 examines industries under pressure but showing signs of demand-side improvement, particularly in the U.S. manufacturing export chain, which is expected to face challenges in Q4 due to currency appreciation and tariffs [45][48]. Group 3 - The report identifies high-growth sectors that remain undervalued, including overseas computing power, domestic computing power, and offshore wind energy, suggesting investment opportunities in these areas following the annual report forecast phase [52][55]. - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring U.S. earnings reports for insights into overseas demand trends, which could impact A-share valuations [59].

本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： ● 业绩预告的具体适用情形：净利润实现扭亏为盈。 ● 经宁波杉杉股份有限公司（下称"公司"）财务部门初步测算，预计2025年度实现归属于上市公司股东 的净利润4.0亿元至6.0亿元，与上年同期（法定披露数据）相比，将实现扭亏为盈。预计2025年度实现 归属于上市公司股东的扣除非经常性损益后的净利润3.0亿元至4.5亿元。 证券代码：600884 证券简称：杉杉股份 公告编号：2026-003 宁波杉杉股份有限公司 2025年年度业绩预盈公告 2025年1月1日至2025年12月31日。 （二）业绩预告情况 经公司财务部门初步测算，预计2025年度实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润4.0亿元至6.0亿元，与上年 同期（法定披露数据）相比，将实现扭亏为盈。预计2025年度实现归属于上市公司股东的扣除非经常性 损益后的净利润3.0亿元至4.5亿元。 本次业绩预告未经注册会计师审计。 二、上年同期经营业绩和财务状况 ● 本年度业绩实现扭亏为盈主要得益于公司核心业务负极材料和偏 ...

Core Viewpoint - The lithium carbonate market is experiencing a supply-demand imbalance, with prices recovering significantly since mid-2025, leading to optimistic forecasts for the performance of lithium mining companies in 2025 [1][2]. Group 1: Market Conditions - Lithium carbonate prices have increased from 70,000 yuan/ton to around 170,000 yuan/ton since mid-2025, indicating a strong recovery [1]. - The market is characterized by tight supply and high demand expectations, with many lithium mining companies anticipating a significant improvement in their 2025 performance [1][2]. - Recent fluctuations in lithium prices are expected, with analysts predicting a wide range of price movements in the short term due to increased inventory levels among traders and strong demand from downstream markets [1][2]. Group 2: Demand Drivers - The demand for lithium carbonate is expected to remain robust, particularly driven by the strong growth in energy storage battery requirements [2]. - The adjustment of export tax rebates for battery products is anticipated to bring forward market demand to 2027, while national policies are promoting energy storage as a key focus area [2]. - By the end of 2025, new energy storage installations in China are projected to grow by 84% compared to the end of 2024, indicating a significant increase in demand [2]. Group 3: Company Performance - Several lithium companies, including Tianqi Lithium and Ganfeng Lithium, expect to turn losses into profits in 2025, with projected net profits of 369 million to 553 million yuan and 1.1 billion to 1.65 billion yuan, respectively [3]. - Yahua Group anticipates a substantial increase in product sales in the latter half of 2025 due to improved market conditions and operational efficiencies [3]. - The overall order situation for many industry players, especially leading companies, remains strong, suggesting a positive outlook for the sector [3].

Core Viewpoint - JinkoSolar (601778) is focusing on its energy storage business as a key emerging area for development, with plans to expand project scale based on policy and market dynamics [1] Group 1: Energy Storage Business - The company has over 10 GWh of energy storage projects under construction and in reserve, indicating significant growth potential in this sector [1] - Future expansion of energy storage projects is anticipated to create a new growth engine for the company [1] Group 2: Financial Health and Strategic Plans - The company currently has a strong cash flow and ample cash reserves [1] - A valuation enhancement plan was announced for early 2025, aimed at optimizing resource allocation and creating new competitive advantages [1] - The company is exploring investment and acquisition opportunities in the renewable energy sector and emerging business areas through various methods, including equity mergers and establishing industrial funds [1]

北京商报讯（记者 王蔓蕾）1月30日晚间，国轩高科（002074）发布2025年度业绩预告显示，公司预计 全年实现归属净利润约为25亿—30亿元，同比增长107.16%-148.59%。 国轩高科表示，公司2025年度业绩与上年同期相比实现增长，受益于新能源汽车及储能市场需求的快速 增长，公司新一代高能量密度磷酸铁锂电池产品销量同比大幅提升。 ...

Group 1: Earnings Forecasts - Han's Laser expects a net profit of 1.85 billion to 2.15 billion yuan for 2025, marking a turnaround from losses in the previous year [9] - Zhongji Xuchuang anticipates a net profit increase of 89.50% to 128.17% for 2025, projecting profits between 9.8 billion to 11.8 billion yuan [2] - Perfect World forecasts a net profit of 720 million to 760 million yuan for 2025, also reversing previous losses [25] - Yihua Lifestyle expects a net profit of 8 billion to 10 billion yuan for 2025, compared to a loss of 1.696 billion yuan in the previous year [21] - Guizhou Mingzhu anticipates a staggering net profit increase of 2908.49% to 3577.04% for 2025, projecting profits between 166 million to 203 million yuan [25] - Kexing Pharmaceutical expects a net profit increase of 328.83% to 455.89% for 2025, projecting profits between 135 million to 175 million yuan [28] Group 2: Capital Raising and Investments - Newray plans to raise no more than 1.316 billion yuan through a private placement for high-performance CNC blade industrial park projects [3] - Liyang Chip intends to raise up to 970 million yuan for integrated circuit testing projects and other initiatives [4] - Kid King plans to invest 3.3 million yuan to establish a joint venture focused on online business model innovation for family consumption [6] Group 3: Industry Developments - Tianqi Lithium's subsidiary has produced its first batch of chemical-grade lithium concentrate as part of its expansion project [5] - Yihua Lithium's subsidiary has signed a framework agreement with Indonesian state-owned enterprises to collaborate on the entire supply chain for electric vehicle batteries [7] - Longyuan Power expects a net profit increase of 51% to 73% for 2025, driven by improved profitability in its core thermal power business and expansion in renewable energy [18]

Group 1 - The company expects to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 400 million to 600 million yuan for the year 2025, marking a turnaround from losses in the previous year [1] - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is projected to be between 300 million and 450 million yuan for 2025 [1] Group 2 - The company's core businesses, including anode materials and polarizers, are expected to maintain steady growth in sales, with a combined net profit forecasted to be between 900 million and 1.1 billion yuan [2] - The anode materials business benefits from strong demand in the downstream electric vehicle and energy storage markets, leading to significant sales growth and further consolidation of its industry-leading position [2] - The company is optimizing production processes and enhancing cost management, resulting in a notable increase in profitability for the anode materials segment [2] - The polarizer business remains a market leader, driven by high-end product offerings and refined operations, leading to improvements in both scale and profitability [2] - The company is focusing on high-value areas such as large-size LCD TVs and OLED TVs, which has resulted in significant growth in sales and average prices for high-end products [2] - The impact of certain expenses and losses from equity method investments is expected to range from a negative 550 million to 450 million yuan, which is an improvement compared to the previous year [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the phosphate chemical industry [1][4][5] Core Insights - The phosphate rock supply and demand are in a tight balance, with new energy contributing to incremental growth [1][2] - The wet-process phosphoric acid is the core preparation route in the phosphate chemical industry, gradually replacing the high-energy-consuming thermal process due to its lower energy consumption and simpler equipment [1][16] - Stricter safety and environmental policies are accelerating the exit of outdated production capacity, leading to a continuous optimization of the supply-demand structure in the industry [1][18] - The domestic supply of phosphate rock is tightening due to limited resources and strong environmental constraints, with the price expected to remain high in the long term [1][26][33] Summary by Sections Phosphate Chemical Industry Overview - The phosphate chemical industry includes both wet and thermal processes, with wet-process phosphoric acid being favored due to its lower energy consumption and cost advantages [1][13][16] - The industry is facing increasing pressure from environmental regulations, leading to the closure of many outdated production facilities [1][18] Supply and Demand Dynamics - China's phosphate rock resources are characterized by scarcity and low quality, with the country holding about 5% of global reserves while contributing nearly half of the world's production [1][26] - The demand for phosphate rock is expected to increase, particularly driven by the growth in new energy applications, which is projected to account for a significant portion of phosphate consumption by 2024 [2][31] Key Companies and Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies include: - Chuanheng Co., a leading integrated phosphate chemical company with high profit margins supported by self-sufficient high-grade phosphate rock [3][4] - Yuntianhua, a dual leader in phosphate rock and fertilizer with significant resource reserves and stable growth [3][4] - Xingfa Group, a leader in fine phosphate chemicals with a diversified business model [3][4] - Yuntu Holdings, a leader in the phosphate compound fertilizer industry benefiting from tight sulfur supply [3][4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report provides profit forecasts and investment ratings for key companies, indicating a favorable outlook for their earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios [4][5]