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有上市银行净息差低至0.8%,中小银行存款利率又要降了?
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 11:17
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market shows that nearly 80% of banks have a net interest margin (NIM) below the self-regulatory mechanism's warning line of 1.8%, indicating significant pressure on the banking sector's profitability as interest rates continue to decline [2][3][6]. Summary by Sections Net Interest Margin Trends - As of the end of 2024, 36 A-share listed banks reported a decline in NIM compared to the previous year, with the lowest being Shanghai Bank at 1.17%, down from 1.28% in 2023 [3][4]. - In the Hong Kong market, Shengjing Bank's NIM has dropped to 0.8%, while Luzhou Bank has the highest at 2.49% [4]. - Among non-listed banks, Shanxi Bank has a particularly low NIM of 0.57%, highlighting the pressure on smaller institutions [2][5]. Factors Influencing NIM - The decline in NIM is attributed to several factors, including the continuous reduction of the Loan Prime Rate (LPR), insufficient effective credit demand, and a general decrease in the yield of interest-earning assets [5][7]. - The recent political bureau meeting has led to speculation about potential adjustments to deposit rates, particularly for smaller banks, which may face greater pressure to lower rates [2][6]. Market Expectations and Future Adjustments - Analysts predict that the next round of deposit rate adjustments may prioritize smaller banks to alleviate pressure on larger banks' liabilities [7][8]. - The overall trend indicates that banks will need to continue reducing deposit rates to manage funding costs and mitigate the narrowing of interest margins [7][8].
成都银行(601838):2024年年报点评:息差降幅收窄,存贷规模扩张
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-04-29 11:11
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for Chengdu Bank, indicating a positive outlook for the stock over the next six months [15]. Core Insights - Chengdu Bank reported a total operating income of 22.98 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.89%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 12.86 billion yuan, up 10.17% year-on-year [2][3]. - The bank's net interest income grew by 4.57% to 18.46 billion yuan, accounting for 80.33% of total revenue, although this represents a slight decrease in proportion compared to the previous year [3][17]. - The loan portfolio expanded significantly, with total loans amounting to 741.32 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.72%. Corporate loans grew by 20.25% to 602.62 billion yuan, while personal loans increased by 12.46% to 138.70 billion yuan [3][4]. - Deposits also saw growth, reaching 865.71 billion yuan, up 13.20% year-on-year. Personal deposits grew by 23.79%, now making up 50.64% of total deposits [4]. - The bank's net interest margin was reported at 1.66%, a decrease of 0.15 percentage points year-on-year, but the decline in margin has narrowed compared to previous periods [4][18]. - Asset quality improved, with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.66%, down 0.02 percentage points year-on-year. Corporate loans showed a non-performing rate of 0.63%, while personal loans increased to 0.78% [5][20]. - Capital adequacy ratios improved, with the core Tier 1 capital ratio at 9.06%, up 0.84 percentage points year-on-year [5][22]. Financial Summary - The bank's total assets reached 1.25 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.56% [16]. - Forecasted net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are expected to be 14.13 billion yuan, 15.46 billion yuan, and 16.71 billion yuan, respectively, indicating continued growth [5][26].
七千亿齐鲁银行“成长烦恼”:营收增速三连降、个人业务承压
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-04-29 11:09
Core Viewpoint - Qilu Bank is experiencing steady growth in asset scale, profitability, and asset quality, outperforming industry averages, but faces challenges such as declining growth rates and regulatory penalties [2][3][5]. Financial Performance - In 2024, Qilu Bank achieved operating income of 12.496 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.55%, and net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.986 billion yuan, up 17.77% [2][3]. - Revenue growth has slowed for three consecutive years, with growth rates of 28.11%, 8.82%, 8.03%, and 4.55% from 2021 to 2024 [3]. - Interest income remains the primary source of revenue, contributing 9.031 billion yuan in 2024, a 1.73% increase, while non-interest income, particularly from investment gains, has become a significant growth driver [3][5]. Asset Quality - Qilu Bank's non-performing loan (NPL) ratio improved to 1.19% by the end of 2024, down 0.07 percentage points from the previous year, while the coverage ratio increased to 322.38% [5][6]. - The bank's corporate loans grew by 15.51% to 240.289 billion yuan, with the corporate loan NPL ratio decreasing to 0.95% [6]. Regulatory Issues - Qilu Bank faced significant regulatory penalties totaling 14.9513 million yuan for multiple violations in credit management, marking the largest penalty for a city commercial bank in 2024 [7][8]. - The penalties highlight weaknesses in internal control and compliance across various business lines [8]. Market Confidence - The bank has experienced significant shareholder reductions, with major shareholder Chongqing Huayu Group reducing its stake, raising concerns about market confidence [9][10]. - Despite a 51.35% increase in stock price from March 2024 to March 2025, the current price remains below its historical high of 11.66 yuan per share [10]. Future Outlook - Qilu Bank plans to implement a mid-year dividend policy, distributing a total of 1.286 billion yuan, which is 27.62% of its net profit for 2024, while focusing on strengthening core capital to address external challenges [11]. - The bank aims to balance growth and compliance, emphasizing the need to enhance retail business and internal controls to maintain its competitive edge in the regional banking sector [11].
成都银行(601838):2024年度报告暨2025年一季报点评:规模扩张动能强劲,息差降幅同比收窄
EBSCN· 2025-04-29 08:48
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for Chengdu Bank (601838.SH) with a current price of 17.74 CNY [1]. Core Views - Chengdu Bank's revenue for 2024 reached 23 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 5.9%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 12.9 billion CNY, up 10.2% year-on-year [3]. - The bank's net interest margin (NIM) for 2024 was 1.66%, showing a narrowing decline compared to previous periods, indicating a stabilization in interest income [8]. - The bank's asset quality remains strong, with a non-performing loan (NPL) ratio of 0.66% at the end of 2024, maintaining a low level [10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, Chengdu Bank achieved operating income of 230 billion CNY, a 5.9% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 129 billion CNY, reflecting a 10.2% growth [3]. - For Q1 2025, the bank reported operating income of 58 billion CNY, up 3.2% year-on-year, and a net profit of 30 billion CNY, a 5.6% increase [3]. Revenue Composition - The growth rates for net interest income and non-interest income in 2024 were 4.6% and 11.7%, respectively, with a notable decline in non-interest income growth in Q1 2025 [4][9]. - Non-interest income accounted for 17.4% of total revenue in Q1 2025, down 2.3 percentage points from 2024 [9]. Asset Quality - The NPL ratio remained stable at 0.66% at the end of 2024, with a coverage ratio of 456% [10][11]. - The bank's credit impairment losses for Q1 2025 were 8.6 billion CNY, showing a slight decrease compared to the previous year [10]. Capital Adequacy - As of Q1 2025, the core tier 1 capital ratio was 8.8%, with a risk-weighted asset (RWA) growth rate of 16.1% [11][33]. - The bank's capital structure has been strengthened through the conversion of convertible bonds, increasing the total share capital [11]. Earnings Forecast - The earnings per share (EPS) estimates for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 3.16, 3.27, and 3.35 CNY, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 5.61, 5.42, and 5.30 [12][34].
投资收益骤降近10亿元,长沙银行2024年业绩增速创近十年来最低
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-04-29 08:14
华夏时报(www.chinatimes.net.cn)记者 卢梦雪 北京报道 在市场竞争格局的变化下,投资收益成为不少银行增收的重要途径。然而,当投资收益受到市场波动而减少时, 一些银行业绩增速便开始放缓。 长沙银行(601577.SH)就是其中的典型代表。作为发展战略的八大重点之一,金融投资带来的投资收益长期成 为长沙银行营收的重要构成。2023年,在投资收益大增19.60%的带动下,长沙银行营收实现了8.46%的增速。然 而,随着2024年该行投资收益缩水了24.18%,长沙银行2024年营收增速也放缓至4.57%,创近十年来最低。 "以摊余成本计量的金融资产终止确认的投资收益"这一数据反映了银行在处置或到期收回以摊余成本计量的金融 资产时,实际实现的收益或损失。2024年,长沙银行该项收益实现了-744.5万元,较上一年减少了1.21亿元,同比 减少了106.53%,是投资收益中降幅最大的项目。 具体是什么投资项目的变化导致的投资收益缩水?长沙银行未就此回复采访,但记者注意到,基金产品和债券产 品投资力度的增大,成为2024年长沙银行投资收益缩水的主要影响因素。 投资收益由增转降 2024年是长沙银行新 ...
苏州银行(002966):2024年报暨2025年一季报点评:拨备覆盖率高位,净息差降幅收窄
Guoxin Securities· 2025-04-29 07:42
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is upgraded to "Outperform the Market" [6] Core Views - The company maintains good growth in performance, with operating income for 2024 and Q1 2025 reaching 12.22 billion and 3.25 billion respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 3.0% and 0.8% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 and Q1 2025 is 5.07 billion and 1.55 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth of 10.2% and 6.8% [1] - Non-interest income significantly contributed to revenue growth, with a 27.6% increase in 2024, while Q1 2025 saw a decline in non-interest income growth to 3.3% [1][2] - The net interest margin decline has narrowed, with average net interest margins for 2024 and Q1 2025 at 1.38% and 1.34%, down 30bps and 18bps year-on-year [2] - The company shows strong asset quality with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.83% as of March 2025, remaining stable compared to the beginning of the year [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Operating income for 2024 is projected at 12.22 billion, with a growth rate of 3.0% [5] - Net profit for 2024 is estimated at 5.07 billion, reflecting a 10.2% increase [5] - The company expects net profits for 2025-2027 to be 5.42 billion, 5.96 billion, and 6.59 billion respectively, with growth rates of 6.9%, 10.0%, and 10.7% [4][5] Asset Quality - The company maintains a high provision coverage ratio, which decreased to 484% at the end of 2024 and further to 447% by March 2025 [3] - The non-performing loan generation rate for 2024 is 0.60%, which is still below the industry average [3] Market Position - The company benefits from a clear geographical advantage and has shown a gradual stabilization in net interest margins [4] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-book ratio of 0.76x for 2025, with a dividend yield of 4.93% [4]
净息差1.98%居上市股份行首位!招商银行息差“保卫战”如何打?
Xiao Fei Ri Bao Wang· 2025-04-29 07:28
记者在招商银行手机银行App看到,其"灵动存"1年期、2年期产品年利率为1.60%、1.70%,起存金额为1000元。而3年期、5年期年利率分别为1.50%和 1.55%,起存金额更低,仅50元。在行业看来,这反映了市场对未来利率的预期,也是银行加强负债成本管控的措施之一。 消费日报网讯(记者卢岳)近期,银行纷纷下调中长期存款利率,个别银行定期存款利率出现了"倒挂"现象。 随着我国金融市场进入低利率时代,商业银行净息差持续收窄。2024年上市银行年报已披露,据梳理,2024年,9家上市股份行的净息差较上年末均承压, 降幅从0.01%至0.51%不等。其中,招商银行凭借零售业务优势维持行业领先,净息差1.98%(集团口径)在上市股份行中排在首位。 在业绩发布会上,招商银行管理层表示,今年息差收窄的趋势可能还会延续,压力依然存在。招行的目标是息差收窄的幅度较上年有所改善,同时息差水平 仍然保持同业领先。为实现这一目标,招商银行如何打这场息差"保卫战"? 持续压降负债成本 "近期没有监管指导,属于自发调降,主要出于控制成本的考虑,以应对市场利率环境的变化。"对于近期新一轮的存款降息潮,某银行从业人员如是表示。 净息 ...
江苏银行(600919):2025年一季报点评:净息差亮眼,规模维持高增
Guoxin Securities· 2025-04-29 06:41
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5] Core Views - The company's profitability remains high, with Q1 2025 revenue of 22.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.21%, and net profit attributable to shareholders of 9.78 billion yuan, up 8.16% year-on-year [1][3] - The net interest income saw a significant increase of 21.9% year-on-year, while non-interest income decreased by 22.7%, primarily due to net losses from other fair value changes [1][2] - The company maintains a strong asset quality with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.86%, down 3 basis points from the beginning of the year, and a provision coverage ratio of 344% [2][3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 2025 net interest income increased by 21.9%, while non-interest income decreased by 22.7% due to market volatility [1][2] - The total assets reached 4.46 trillion yuan, with loans and deposits growing by 12.8% and 13.8% respectively [2] Profitability Metrics - The annualized weighted average ROE was 16.5%, up 1.12 percentage points year-on-year, indicating strong profitability [1][2] - The company forecasts net profits of 35.4 billion yuan, 40.2 billion yuan, and 45.5 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with growth rates of 11.2%, 13.5%, and 13.2% [3][4] Valuation Metrics - The current stock price corresponds to a PB ratio of 0.72x for 2025, with a dividend yield of 5.14% [3][4] - The forecasted PE ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 5.2, 4.6, and 4.1 respectively, indicating attractive valuation levels [4][9]
宁波银行(002142):2025 年一季报点评:不良生成率拐点向下
Guoxin Securities· 2025-04-29 06:40
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5] Core Views - The company's revenue and profit growth rates have slightly declined, with Q1 2025 revenue at 18.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.6%, and net profit at 7.4 billion yuan, up 5.8% year-on-year [1][2] - The asset growth is robust, with total assets increasing by 17.6% year-on-year to 3.40 trillion yuan, driven by a 20.2% increase in deposits and a 20.4% increase in loans [1] - The non-performing loan generation rate has decreased, indicating improved asset quality, with a year-on-year decline of 0.13 percentage points to 1.15% [2] Financial Performance Summary - Q1 2025 financial highlights include: - Revenue: 185 billion yuan, up 5.6% year-on-year - Net profit: 74 billion yuan, up 5.8% year-on-year - Annualized weighted ROE: 14.2%, down 1.3 percentage points year-on-year [1] - Loan growth was significant, with new loans of 164.1 billion yuan in Q1, compared to 109.4 billion yuan in the same period last year [1] - The net interest margin for Q1 was 1.80%, a decrease of 10 basis points year-on-year [1][2] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 29.2 billion yuan, 31.6 billion yuan, and 34.1 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 7.6%, 8.4%, and 7.8% [2][4] - The diluted EPS is projected to be 4.27 yuan, 4.64 yuan, and 5.01 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [2][4] - Current stock price corresponds to a PE of 5.9, 5.4, and 5.0 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, and a PB of 0.71, 0.65, and 0.59 respectively [2][4]
宁波银行:2025年一季报点评不良生成速度放缓-20250429
Guotou Securities· 2025-04-29 04:20
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Ningbo Bank is "Buy-A" with a 6-month target price of 28.09 CNY, compared to the current stock price of 24.96 CNY [4]. Core Views - The report highlights that Ningbo Bank's performance in Q1 2025 was primarily driven by scale expansion, cost reduction, and tax benefits, despite a slight slowdown in various performance metrics compared to 2024 [1][10]. - The bank's non-performing loan generation rate has begun to decline, indicating improved asset quality, while the bank has increased its provisioning efforts [9][10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Ningbo Bank's revenue grew by 5.63% year-on-year, with pre-provision profit increasing by 10% and net profit attributable to shareholders rising by 5.76% [1]. - The average daily balance of interest-earning assets increased by 17.79% year-on-year, with new asset scale reaching 270.8 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 94.3 billion CNY [1][17]. - New loans amounted to 162 billion CNY, up 53 billion CNY year-on-year, primarily driven by corporate loans and bill discounting [1][18]. Capital and Asset Quality - As of the end of Q1 2025, the core Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio was 9.32%, down 0.52 percentage points from the end of the previous year, indicating challenges in balancing capital consumption with asset expansion [2]. - The bank's non-performing loan balance increased by 20.61% year-on-year, while the total loan amount grew by 20.41% [10]. - The non-performing loan generation rate (annualized) was 1.08%, down 12 basis points year-on-year, reflecting a slowdown in the generation of new non-performing loans [9][10]. Income and Cost Management - The net interest margin decreased by 7 basis points quarter-on-quarter to 1.8%, with a year-on-year decline of 10 basis points, slightly impacting net interest income growth [2][3]. - Non-interest income fell by 5.78% year-on-year, with net fee and commission income down by 1.32% [3][9]. - The cost-to-income ratio improved to 29.07%, a decrease of 2.46 percentage points year-on-year, indicating effective cost control measures [9]. Future Outlook - For the full year of 2025, revenue growth is expected to be 6.50%, with net profit growth projected at 5.48% [10][12].