顺着昨晚的内容说吧，今天早上9点开的那个会确实发布了一系列的金融利好政策，主要有： 1、降低准备金0.5%，大概可以释放1万亿元流动性。但这个利好也就那么回事，这是2011年以来连续 第26次降低准备金，看这个次数你们就知道它对股市起不了太大作用。 这次降完大银行准备金率是9%，中小银行是6%，其实横向和其他国家比还是偏高的。发达国家准备金 率在2%左右，新兴国家在3-5%，这样一对比我们还有2-3%的操作空间。 2、下调政策利率0.1%，把逆回购利率从1.5%调到1.4%，这么做的效果是下个月的LPR下跌0.1%。 降准和降息的幅度基本都和彭博社之前的预测一致，彭博社还预测今年累计降息0.3%，累计降准1%。 3、下调公积金贷款利率0.25%，这个幅度算是比较大的，公积金的下调为之后商贷的下调留出了空 间，未来中国房贷大概率是要到3%以下的。不过和我没关系了，我去年基本把房贷都提前还了，就剩 一点零头做免税申报项。因为即便是下调后的房贷利率也有3.3%，市面上找不到比这个收益高且零风 险的产品。 想要房价彻底着陆，很重要的一个数据就是租售比和房贷利率持平，一线城市有流动性溢价可以有一点 差距，但三四五线城市 ...

5月7日，中国人民银行宣布推出一揽子货币政策措施，旨在稳定市场预期和提振经济活力。其中，公开市场7天期逆回购操作 利率将于5月8日起由1.50%调整为1.40%，下降幅度为0.1个百分点。 7天逆回购操作利率是央行政策利率之一。目前我国市场基准利率以政策利率为中枢运行，并通过银行体系传导至贷款利率。 这也意味着，在本次降息后，包括个人住房按揭贷款在内的银行贷款利率，乃至多层次的市场主体融资成本都会进一步下降。 值得注意的是，商业银行维持稳健经营、防范金融风险，需要保持合理利润和净息差水平。在政策利率下行背景下，商业银行 净息差目前已降至历史最低水平，截至去年四季度末为1.52%。 调降存款利率是商业银行维持合理净息差水平的方式之一。金融监管政策专家周毅钦对《每日经济新闻》记者表示，此次降息 后，存款利率仍有下降空间，以维持净息差水平。此外，考虑到当前经济形势、中美贸易关系和货币政策目标，预计今年在必 要时，政策利率仍存在进一步下行的可能性。 历年来7天期逆回购操作利率走势 降低政策利率0.1个百分点，预计带动LPR同幅度下行 5月7日早间，中国人民银行发布公开市场业务公告(2025)第1号。 公告显示，为实施 ...

Core Viewpoint - ZA Bank, Hong Kong's largest digital bank, reported significant growth in revenue and a reduction in net loss, indicating a positive trend towards profitability despite challenges in the banking sector [1][2]. Financial Performance - Total revenue for 2024 reached HKD 548 million, a year-on-year increase of 52.6% [1]. - Net loss narrowed to HKD 232 million, a 42% improvement compared to the previous year [1]. - Customer deposits grew by 66% to HKD 19.4 billion, while loan volume increased by 5.7% [1]. Net Interest Margin - ZA Bank's net interest margin expanded by 47 basis points to 2.41%, contrasting with the overall decline in the retail banking sector [1][4]. - Net interest income rose by 86% to HKD 489 million, contributing to the bank's move towards breakeven [1]. Leadership Changes - Calvin Ng, a founding member, has taken over as CEO, aiming to enhance user growth and diversify revenue streams [1][2]. Business Diversification - The bank is focusing on reducing reliance on interest income, with plans to launch Hong Kong stock trading services to complement existing offerings in U.S. stocks and cryptocurrencies [1][7]. - Currently, approximately 90% of total revenue comes from interest income, with efforts underway to increase contributions from wealth management services [7]. User Growth Strategy - ZA Bank aims to reach a target of 1 million users by 2025, representing a 25% increase from the current 800,000 users [2][9]. - The bank is adapting its customer acquisition strategy to focus on high-quality users through product-driven and word-of-mouth approaches [9]. Deposit Strategy - The bank's current proportion of demand deposits is around 30%, with plans to increase this to lower funding costs [5]. - Innovative deposit products like the "High-Interest Money Pot" are designed to attract deposits while maintaining customer engagement through task completion [6]. Market Positioning - In a competitive landscape with eight digital banks in Hong Kong, ZA Bank positions itself as a one-stop bank for both corporate and retail clients, offering diversified services [2].

Core Insights - The 2024 performance report of 42 listed banks in A-shares shows a slight increase in operating income and net profit, indicating a recovery in revenue despite ongoing pressure on net interest margins [1][2][3] Financial Performance - Total operating income for the 42 listed banks reached 5.65 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.08%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.14 trillion yuan, up 2.35% [1][2] - 31 banks reported positive growth in both operating income and net profit, with 30 banks showing improved revenue growth compared to 2023 [2][3] - Notably, Nanjing Bank's revenue growth surged from 1.24% in 2023 to 11.32% in 2024 [2] Revenue Structure - The net interest margin continued to decline, with only two banks maintaining a margin above 2% [1][5] - Interest income for the listed banks collectively decreased by 2.1% to 4.16 trillion yuan, with 17 banks reporting positive growth [5][6] - Non-interest income saw a decline in fee and commission income by 9.38%, while investment income increased significantly by 20.32% to 512.8 billion yuan [7][8] Asset Growth - Total assets of the listed banks reached 302 trillion yuan, with major state-owned banks like ICBC, ABC, and CCB each surpassing 40 trillion yuan in assets [10][11] - ICBC's total assets were 48.82 trillion yuan, while ABC and CCB reported 43.24 trillion yuan and 40.57 trillion yuan, respectively [10] Loan and Deposit Trends - The total loan amount across the 42 banks reached 174 trillion yuan, with corporate loans showing robust growth [12] - Personal deposits increased across all listed banks, with 29 banks reporting growth exceeding 10% [13] - Agricultural Bank led in personal deposits with 18.7 trillion yuan, followed closely by ICBC with 18.54 trillion yuan [13]

Group 1: Core Insights - Xiamen Bank is implementing a "2+3" five-year development strategy focusing on short, medium, and long-term goals, emphasizing market segmentation, asset growth, and customer management [1] - The bank's total assets surpassed 400 billion yuan by the end of 2024, with operating income of 5.76 billion yuan and net profit of 2.59 billion yuan, maintaining stable performance [1] - The bank's management expressed confidence in the long-term sustainability of positive factors despite short-term performance fluctuations [3] Group 2: Interest Margin Management - Xiamen Bank anticipates stabilization and potential improvement in net interest margin (NIM) this year, with NIM contributing over 70% to operating income [2] - The bank has reduced the average scale of low-yield notes by 12.62% and decreased high-interest deposits, leading to a 30 basis points decline in deposit cost rate year-on-year [2] - The bank expects NIM to stabilize this year, with improvements anticipated as deposit costs continue to decline [2] Group 3: Performance Fluctuations - In Q1 2024, Xiamen Bank reported operating income of 1.214 billion yuan and net profit of 650 million yuan, reflecting some volatility [3] - The decline in revenue was primarily due to decreased investment-related income and tighter interbank liquidity, impacting the fair value of bond assets [3] - Despite a decrease in net interest income due to narrowing interest margins, management is optimistic about recovery [3] Group 4: Loan and Deposit Growth - In Q1 2024, Xiamen Bank's total deposits and general loan scales grew by 3.4% and 2.8%, respectively, marking a significant achievement in traditional business growth [4] - The bank plans to increase general corporate loans in the coming quarters, focusing on high-yield and high-quality sectors [4] - The bank's corporate loan growth is expected to exceed last year's total by the first half of 2025 [4] Group 5: Asset Quality Management - Xiamen Bank's non-performing loan (NPL) ratio decreased to 0.74% by the end of 2024, with a non-performing loan balance of 1.512 billion yuan, indicating strong asset quality [5] - The bank is managing credit risks effectively, particularly in high-risk sectors like real estate, with a focus on maintaining a high provision coverage ratio [6] - The bank's management remains confident in asset quality for 2025, despite some short-term pressures [7] Group 6: Cross-Strait Financial Services - Xiamen Bank has seen significant growth in cross-strait financial services, with a nearly 20% increase in Taiwan enterprise clients and a 17% increase in Taiwan resident clients by the end of 2024 [7] - The bank aims to enhance its coverage of Taiwan enterprises and residents, recognizing their substantial contribution to overall business [7] - The bank plans to expand its financial services to supply chain financing for Taiwan businesses beyond the current regions [7]

[Table_Page] 深度分析|银行 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 银行行业 2024 年çÛ 2025 年 1 季 ç{ÿ 息差回落与÷Í拖累，关ìï¿÷放持续g [Table_Summary] 核ßË点ÿ | [Table_Gr ade] 行业评级 | 买入 | | --- | --- | | _次评级 | 买入 | | ç告å期 | 2025-05-03 | [Table_PicQuote] 相对市场表ó [Table_Author] 分÷^ÿ 倪军 SAC gË号ÿS0260518020004 021-38003646 nijun@gf.com.cn 分÷^ÿ 许m SAC gË号ÿS0260518080004 SFC CE No. BNU965 021-38003625 -14% -6% 1% 9% 16% 24% 05/24 07/24 09/24 12/24 02/25 04/25 银行 î深300 xujie@gf.com.cn ÿì意，倪军并非港Ë券Û期货事务÷察委员会öìÝ | [Table_DocReport] 相关 究ÿ | | | --- | --- | | 银行行业 ...

大家都知道我在处理家庭房产，五一期间处理掉的这套是自主房，房子保养得很好，但所处 的位置有硬伤，旁边主干道有车流噪音，很多客户介意这一点。 晚上，在客户到来之前，中介告诉我老婆这个客户的心理预期是 780，实际上这是谎言。中 介建议老婆以 858 开价。 双方见面，交流了最初的报价之后，中介就将老婆与客户隔开，中介来回传话交流。这个时 候，中介跟老婆说客户不愿加价，并问我们的底价情况，然后问如何支付中介费，最后跟老 婆商量好，如果能谈成800 以上的价格，超过 800 的部分作为中介费。 老婆觉得不可能谈成多高，就同意了， 然后，中介再将双方拉到一起，告诉老婆，客户同意 848 成交... 于是，它们在这笔交易中，狠赚48万以上。至于它们问客户还收取了多少中介费，我不知道。 我心里真实很同情这对客户，你跨区看房，要多看看了解下市场定位啊！女方处于怀孕状 态，以前居住条件不好，现在急于购房，有点着急，唉！另外，买房子还价怎么能只还 10 万！以前的客户都是七八十万砍价！这对客户是第一次购房，完全没经验！ 800 实收这个价格，我和老婆没什么不满意，这个价格符合我们的预期。我们生气的原因主 要是中介在交易过程中的 ...

预期内盈利承压，拥抱稳定、可持续、可预期的回报确定性 银行业2025年一季报综述 证券分析师： 郑庆明 A0230519090001 林颖颖 A0230522070004 冯思远 A0230522090005 研究支持： 李禹昊 A0230123070008 联系人： 冯思远 A0230522090005 2025.5.6 投资要点 证 券 研 究 报 告 ◼ 一季报再度出现营收利润双双下滑（营收、归母净利润分别同比下降1.7%、1.2%），除去预期内息差下行和非息基数压力对营收 的拖累外，拨备反哺力度略低于预期是利润未能如期维持正增的主因。其中，国有大行和个别股份行业绩表现低于预期，城农商行 基本上符合预期。 ◼ 开年以来贷款增长平稳符合预期，从区域上看江浙、成都等地景气度依旧较高，而重庆则成为"后起新星"：1Q25上市银行贷款增 速较年初持平7.9%，其中国有行维持约9%锚定行业增长、股份行低位降速至约4%、农商行受中小客群需求转弱拖累增速降至6.7%， 城商行总体上信贷景气度更优，除江浙一带和成都地区外，重庆银行贷款增速超16%（其中对公超30%）成为投放"新星"。 展望 全年，加征关税对银行的影响主要 ...

[Table_Title] 证券研究报告 / 行业动态报告 投资支撑营收，息差降幅收窄 ---上市银行 2025Q1 业绩综述 报告摘要： [Table_Summary] 2025Q1 营业收入与归母净利润小幅下滑。2025 年一季度，42 家上市银 行共实现营业收入 1.45 万亿元，同比下降 1.72%。实现归母净利润 5639.79 亿元，同比下降 1.20%。 投资收益快速增长，占比营收提升明显。2025 年一季度，42 家上市银行 共实现利息净收入、手续费及佣金净收入、投资收益分别为 1.02 万亿元 （yoy-1.65%）、0.23 万亿元（yoy-0.72%）、0.17 万亿元（yoy+26.10%）， 占营收比例分别为 70.80%、15.67%、11.62%，较上年末分别提升 0.05、 0.16、2.56 个百分点。拨备计提减少释放利润，但降幅收窄。2025 年一 季度，上市银行资产减值损失为 3471.34 亿元，同比下降 2.37%，补偿了 利润，但降幅较上年全年收窄 3.61 个百分点。 信贷规模稳步增长，增速企稳。截至 2025 年一季度末，42 家上市银行 贷款及垫款总规模为 1 ...

Core Insights - The overall performance of A-share listed banks in Q1 shows positive growth in total assets, with a total exceeding 314 trillion yuan, but a slight decline in operating income and net profit compared to the previous year [1][7] - The six major state-owned banks maintain a solid asset base, while some regional banks exhibit more significant growth rates in key performance indicators [1][4] - The first quarter is expected to be the most challenging period for banks in terms of performance, but there is potential for improvement in subsequent quarters as pressure on net interest margins eases [1][6] Financial Performance - In Q1, 42 listed banks reported a total operating income of 1.45 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 1.72%, and a total net profit attributable to shareholders of 563.98 billion yuan, down 1.20% year-on-year [1][2] - Among the listed banks, 26 experienced year-on-year revenue growth, with Changshu Bank being the only bank with double-digit growth at 10.04% [2] - The major state-owned banks showed mixed results, with two experiencing profit growth and four seeing declines in net profit [2][4] Asset and Liability Growth - Total assets and liabilities of listed banks achieved positive growth, with total assets exceeding 314 trillion yuan and total liabilities around 290 trillion yuan [7] - The six major state-owned banks collectively hold over 208 trillion yuan in assets, with Industrial and Commercial Bank of China leading at 51.55 trillion yuan [7] - Regional banks demonstrated strong growth, with Jiangsu Bank leading at a 21.52% year-on-year increase in total assets [7] Income Sources and Trends - Net interest income, a primary revenue source for banks, has declined, with 19 banks reporting a decrease in this area [5] - Non-interest income showed mixed results, with half of the banks reporting growth and the other half experiencing declines [5][6] - The decline in net interest income is attributed to factors such as delayed adjustments to the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) and a shift towards fixed-term deposits [5] Asset Quality - The asset quality of listed banks remains stable, with most banks reporting a decrease or stability in non-performing loan ratios compared to the end of the previous year [9]