贸易战将扩展到娱乐产业 2025 年五一假期期间，全球风险资产延续修复行情，其中中国资产领涨 。 美股纳指累计上涨 3.05% ，恒生科技指数飙升 3.08% ， A50 期指 小幅上扬 1% ，离岸人民币兑美元升值至 7.2 关口 。 科技股引领全球反弹 。 微软财报超预期带动纳斯达克"科技七巨头"集体走强，半导体、云计算板块领涨。腾讯、阿里巴巴受益美科技股涨势，恒 生科技指数单日涨幅创三个月新高，短视频、跨境电商概念活跃。对于 A 股，业内人士认为明 日或高开后分化，看好银行、高速公路等红利资 产。 美方主动向中方传递信息希望谈起来 中方回应：正在评估 中方注意到美方高层多次表态，表示愿与中方就关税问题进行谈判。同时，美方近期通过相关方面多次主动向中方传递信息，希望与中方谈起来。对此， 中方正在进行评估。中方立场始终如一，打，奉陪到底；谈，大门敞开。关税战、贸易战是由美方单方发起的，美方想谈就应拿出谈的诚意，要在纠正错 误做法、取消单边加征关税等问题上做好准备，拿出行动。 特朗普宣布对进口电影征收 100% 关税 美国总统特朗普于 5 月 5 日宣布， 将授权美国商务部和美国贸易代表立即启动程序，对所有进 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has entered a new era of normalized cash dividends, with the total cash dividends for 2024 reaching a historical record, indicating a shift towards a more mature capital market focused on high-dividend assets [1][2]. Group 1: Dividend Normalization - The total cash dividends of A-share listed companies for 2024 have set a historical record, marking the formal entry into a new era of normalized dividends in the Chinese capital market [1]. - This transformation is driven by both policy and market forces, suggesting that high-dividend assets are reshaping the valuation logic of the capital market [1][2]. - Over 100 listed companies have established a stable dividend group with a dividend yield of no less than 3% for three consecutive years, indicating a more mature capital market [1]. Group 2: Investment Value of High-Dividend Stocks - High-dividend stocks are showing strong anti-cyclical capabilities, making them core assets for long-term funds due to their combination of high dividends and low volatility [2]. - The trend of dividend index investment is experiencing explosive growth, with a positive cycle expected to form around high dividends, high ratings, and low-cost financing [2]. - The low-risk, moderate-return characteristics of dividend assets are increasingly appealing to long-term funds such as insurance and pension funds, especially as deposit rates and government bond yields decline [2]. Group 3: Changes in Dividend Structure - The frequency of dividends is shifting from annual to quarterly, with multiple dividends per year becoming the norm [2]. - The structure of dividends is evolving from cash dividends to a combination of cash dividends and share buybacks, enhancing the overall quality of dividends [2]. - Regulatory requirements are pushing companies to disclose the alignment between dividends and free cash flow, fostering a stable dividend expectation and improving valuation premiums [2][3]. Group 4: Investment Strategy Transformation - Investors are encouraged to adopt a quasi-fixed income mindset, transitioning from capital gains to cash flow returns, as high-dividend assets provide both safety and growth potential [3]. - The deepening of the registration system and the acceleration of institutionalization in the A-share market are expected to lead to more "cash cow" companies that generate free cash flow and allocate profits reasonably [3].

行业研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师：林宛慧 邮箱：linwanhui@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360524110001 证券分析师：徐康 电话：021-20572556 邮箱：xukang@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360518060005 联系人：陈海椰 邮箱：chenhaiye@hcyjs.com 华创金融|红利资产 4 月报 险资 FVOCI 类资产占比提升，银行平均股 推荐（维持） 息率仍有 4.6% 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：贾靖 邮箱：jiajing@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523040004 行业基本数据 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数(只) | 42 | 0.01 | | 总市值(亿元) | 137,485.87 | 14.22 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 94,380.64 | 12.30 | 相对指数表现 | % | 1M | 6M | 12M | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 绝对表现 | 0.3% | 10.8% | 26.5% | | 相对表现 | 3.9% | 1 ...

Group 1 - Global stock markets surged during the "May Day" holiday, with the Nasdaq rising by 3.05% and the Dow Jones increasing by 1.59%. The Hang Seng Tech Index also saw a significant rise of 3.08% [1][2] - Microsoft reported better-than-expected earnings, particularly in its cloud computing segment, which contributed to the rise of major tech stocks in the U.S. and Hong Kong [2][4] - The S&P 500 index has rebounded to its 250-day moving average, while the Dow and Nasdaq are approaching this level, indicating potential market trends [4] Group 2 - The U.S. non-farm payroll data for April exceeded expectations, with the unemployment rate remaining stable compared to March. However, there are concerns about the impact of tariffs on employment in retail and leisure sectors [5] - Some participants in the stock competition foresee a likely high opening for the A-share market post-holiday, with resistance at 3320 points and significant pressure around 3350 points [5] - There is optimism regarding investment opportunities in sectors such as banking, highways, and nuclear power among competition participants [6] Group 3 - The 59th simulated stock trading competition is set to begin, with registration open from May 1 to May 16, and the competition running from May 6 to May 16. Participants can win cash rewards based on their performance [7][8] - Weekly cash rewards are structured based on performance, with the first-place winner receiving 688 yuan and additional prizes for other top performers [7][8] - Participants who register will gain access to insights from top competitors and exclusive content from the Daily Economic News app [9]

截至5月1日，16家券商共推荐115只金股。配置方面， 内需消费、成长科技、自主可控、红利资产等受青睐 ；4家券商同时推荐海大集团、东鹏饮 料，3家券商同时推荐恺英网络、兆易创新、格力电器、珀莱雅。 // 4月万辰集团涨超80% // 券商金股是券商研究所通过研究给出月度最佳的行业标的组合，经过研究员层层筛选以后得出的精髓，值得研究和跟踪。 回顾4月，券商金股展现出较强的超额收益能力。 表现最好的是信达证券、东北证券共同推荐的万辰集团，4月公司股价涨约82% 。 业绩方面， 万辰集团2025年一季度实现净利润2.15亿元，同比增3344.13% ，得益于量贩零食业务规模优势增强和经营效率提升，该股近期持续创新 高。万辰集团重点引入了IP品类，在报告期内持续强化品牌营销能力建设。 医美板块多只股票人气高涨。珀莱雅获得西部证券、东兴证券、开源证券青睐；推荐理由包括 美妆市场国货替代加速，新品放量及旺季驱动 等。爱美 客获得中泰证券、华龙证券共同推荐，推荐理由为 爱美客近期收购韩国医美公司REGEN，管线布局有望继续扩充等 。 华泰证券4月30日发布评级报告 称，维持万辰集团"买入"评级，最高目标价为182.22元 ...

随着4月股市交易收官，各券商新一期的月度金股也陆续出炉。 回顾4月，券商金股展现出较强的超额收益能力，最牛金股4月大涨83%，由3家券商共同推荐。近四成券商的 金股组合4月收益率为正，东北证券、华西证券收益率超10%。 展望5月市场，券商分析师普遍认为市场将震荡，有首席直言"调整即是布局良机"；板块上，内需消费、红利、 科技受到青睐。 4月最牛金股大涨83% 4月，A股三大指数月线集体收跌，其中创业板指跌逾7%。券商金股却整体表现出较强的超额收益能力，牛股 频现。 每市APP显示，东北证券金股组合以13.28%的月收益率拔得头筹，东北证券在4月推中数只大牛股，例如推荐 的万辰集团、先达股份4月分别大涨83%、61%。 华西证券则以10.57%的月收益率排名第二，华西证券推荐的牛股包括万辰集团、聚光科技，4月分别上涨 83%、26%。第三至第五名分别为东兴证券、华鑫证券、华源证券，其金股组合的4月收益率均超7%。排名靠 后的则是国投证券，4月金股组合收益率为-8%，西南证券、浙商证券收益率也在-5%以下。 5月金股扎堆消费内需板块 与此同时，券商5月金股也在密集披露中。目前，已有多只热门股票获得不少于2家券商推 ...

但另一方面，红利资产正获得养老金资金的青睐。一季度，不少红利策略基金在规模增量上位列个人养 老基金Y份额前列。此外，截至今年一季度末，红利基金总规模达2513.67亿元，较去年四季度末增加约 270亿元。 面对红利资金的"降温"，投资者有不同的看法。4月29日，上海招商银行投资经理张女士对《华夏时 报》记者表示，红利主题基金主要投资分红能力强的优质企业，同国家倡导价值投资理念相一致，更适 合投资者长期持有。前段时间，科技、机器人等板块引领股市，随着风格轮动，资金流向了确定性高的 板块，低波红利就遭到部分投资者抛售。 "目前，红利主题基金处于下跌状态，有的价值投资者根据自身风格情况和投资倾向，选择低位分批买 入。但也有投资者延续第一季度继续抛售，转向购买人工智能等科技股。"张女士称。 "五一"假期即将到来，红利主题基金如何配置？ 公募基金对红利热情"降温" 今年第一季度，公募基金对红利配置热情"降温"。兴业证券经济与金融研究院数据显示，偏股基金持有 红利低波指数和中证红利指数配置比例均小幅下降。一季度，偏股基金重仓股持有红利低波指数下降 0.62pct至4.73%，持有中证红利指数成分股仓位下降1.14pct至 ...

数据显示，截至2025年3月31日，中证港股通高股息投资指数前十大权重股分别为中远海控、兖煤澳大 利亚、东方海外国际、国泰君安、中国海洋石油、民生银行、中信银行、中国石油股份、中国银行、海 丰国际，前十大权重股合计占比46.02%。 华泰证券表示，往前看，对等关税扰动发生后，坚定看好港股相对收益表现；南向持仓占比高、受外资 变动影响小、盈利预期稳定的红利方向，仍可作为底仓配置 。 截至2025年4月30日 13:13，中证港股通高股息投资指数下跌0.72%。成分股方面涨跌互现，中国财险领 涨2.74%，中国石油股份上涨2.59%，中国人民保险集团上涨2.47%；建设银行领跌，工商银行、农业银 行跟跌。港股红利ETF(513830)下修调整。流动性方面，港股红利ETF盘中换手1.49%，成交561.73万 元。 港股红利ETF紧密跟踪中证港股通高股息投资指数，中证港股通高股息投资指数从符合港股通条件的香 港上市公司证券中选取30只流动性好、连续分红、股息率高的上市公司证券作为指数样本，采用股息率 加权，以反映港股通范围内连续分红且股息率较高的上市公司证券的整体表现。 国泰海通证券表示，低利率环境下，资金对红利资 ...

Group 1 - The first dividend value ETF in the market, E Fund CSI Dividend Value ETF (code: 563700), has been launched, providing investors with a convenient tool for allocating dividend assets [1] - The CSI Dividend Value Index focuses on high dividend yield and value characteristics, selecting 50 stocks from the A-share market that exhibit sustainable and growing dividends [1] - As of April 25, 2025, the CSI Dividend Value Index has a dividend yield of 6.5%, with relatively low valuation levels such as price-to-earnings and price-to-book ratios, potentially offering higher safety margins for investors [1] Group 2 - E Fund's dividend-related product lineup is expanding, now covering various indices including CSI Dividend, CSI Low Volatility Dividend, and Hang Seng High Dividend Low Volatility, among others [2] - With the new launch of the Dividend Value ETF, E Fund now has a total of 8 dividend-related index funds, all with a low management fee rate of 0.15% per year, aiding investors in low-cost allocation to high dividend assets [2]

随着五一长假临近，A 股市场似乎进入了平淡期，整体呈现缩量、横盘震荡的态势。回顾整个 4 月，在美国对等关税以及上市公司业绩披露等多重因素的交 织影响下，市场风格逐渐向红利板块倾斜，四大行等部分股票还创出了新高。而从宏观层面来看，随着国债收益率的进一步走低，降准降息预期也在不断增 强，资金也开启了新一轮抱团红利的迹象。 综合来看，当传统增长模式承压、利率长期下行成为新常态，能够提供稳定现金流且估值合理的资产将成为稀缺品。随着险资增配高股息资产从"可选项"变 为"必选项"，红利板块的估值中枢有望系统性抬升。对于投资者而言，与其在题材轮动中疲于奔命，不如锚定"高股息+低波动+现金流"三重护盾，借道三大 ETF布局新一轮红利周期。 板块相关基金： 今天早盘港股红利ETF博时（513690）下跌0.65%，红利低波100ETF（159307）下跌0.58%。出现调整可能是受港股和大盘疲软的拖累，加上资金短期获利 了结，但两只ETF近5日资金净流入，说明部分资金逢低布局，市场对高股息板块仍有长期配置需求。短期波动属于正常市场情绪反应，未改整体趋势。 机构指出，从历史规律和当前市场环境来看，当宏观经济预期偏弱、题材股缺乏 ...