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近15万亿元新增贷款投向哪里?——透视我国前10个月金融数据
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-13 16:44
从新增信贷的结构来看,企业贷款增长呈现出一些亮点。 今年以来,企业贷款特别是企业中长期贷款新增较多,为企业投资提供了较为充足的资金支持。数据显 示,前10个月,我国企(事)业单位贷款增加13.79万亿元,是贷款增加的主力军。其中,中长期贷款 增加8.32万亿元,占比超六成。 具体来看,信贷资金流向了哪里? 记者从中国人民银行了解到,10月末,普惠小微贷款余额为35.77万亿元,同比增长11.6%;制造业中长 期贷款余额为14.97万亿元,同比增长7.9%。这些贷款增速均高于同期各项贷款增速。 11月13日,中国人民银行发布的金融统计数据显示,今年前10个月我国新增人民币贷款近15万亿元。新 增贷款投向了哪些领域?信贷结构出现哪些亮点? 中国人民银行当日发布的金融统计数据显示,10月末,我国人民币贷款余额270.61万亿元,同比增长 6.5%;社会融资规模存量为437.72万亿元,同比增长8.5%。 "今年以来,金融总量保持合理增长,为实体经济提供了有力的金融支持。"西南财经大学中国金融研究 院副教授万晓莉认为,今年以来,各家银行积极运用各类结构性货币政策工具,加力支持科技创新、提 振消费、小微企业、稳定外贸等 ...
(经济观察)中国金融数据三个“高增长”,意味着什么?
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-11-13 16:32
据市场人士测算,今年1至10月,政府债券累计发行规模约22万亿元,比去年同期多近4万亿元,企业发 债融资也高于去年同期。 中新社北京11月13日电 (记者夏宾)中国央行13日公布10月金融统计数据,三个关键指标的同比数据均有 提升。 具体看,2025年10月末,M2(广义货币)余额335.13万亿元(人民币,下同),同比增长8.2%,比上年同期 高0.8个百分点,在上年同期基数提高的背景下,仍保持较高增速;社会融资规模存量437.72万亿元,同 比增长8.5%,比上年同期高0.7个百分点;今年1至10月,社会融资规模增量为30.9万亿元,同比多增 3.83万亿元。 金融数据三个"高增长",意味着什么? 一是发债热助社融增长。10月末,社会融资规模存量同比增长8.5%,业内专家认为,国债和特殊再融 资债券等政府债券发行进度较快、企业债券发行热度较高,均对社会融资规模增长形成重要支撑。 市场人士指出,货币政策虽然还有一定空间,但边际效率已明显下降。过度放松货币金融条件可能产生 的一些负面效果也需要关注。如,资金空转、资本市场波动加大等。未来要继续实施好适度宽松的货币 政策,把握好力度和节奏,保持对实体经济的较强支 ...
前10个月人民币贷款增加14.97万亿元
Qi Huo Ri Bao Wang· 2025-11-13 16:27
Core Insights - The People's Bank of China reported an increase of 14.97 trillion yuan in RMB loans in the first ten months of the year, with corporate loans accounting for 13.79 trillion yuan [1] - As of the end of October, the total RMB loan balance reached 270.61 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.5% [1] - The total social financing scale increased by 30.9 trillion yuan in the first ten months, surpassing the previous year's figure by 3.83 trillion yuan [1] Loan and Deposit Trends - In the first ten months, household loans increased by 739.6 billion yuan, while corporate loans rose by 13.79 trillion yuan, with medium to long-term loans contributing 8.32 trillion yuan [1] - The total deposits in RMB increased by 23.32 trillion yuan, with household deposits accounting for 11.39 trillion yuan [1] Monetary Supply and Economic Support - As of the end of October, the broad money supply (M2) stood at 335.13 trillion yuan, growing by 8.2% year-on-year, while the narrow money supply (M1) was 112 trillion yuan, up by 6.2% [1] - The monetary supply growth and social financing scale indicate strong financial support for the real economy, despite a seasonal decline in credit growth [2][3] Credit Demand and Economic Transition - The demand for RMB loans is currently weak, influenced by seasonal factors and uncertainties such as the "dual festival" holiday and US-China trade tensions [2] - The shift in economic growth drivers from traditional sectors like infrastructure and real estate to emerging fields such as technology innovation and green economy is expected to sustain loan demand in these new areas [3] Future Monetary Policy Outlook - The monetary policy is expected to maintain a supportive stance until the end of the year, focusing on reducing financing costs for enterprises and households to boost domestic demand [3]
M2增速8.2% 金融总量保持合理增长
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-11-13 15:45
Core Insights - The People's Bank of China reported that the cumulative social financing scale increased by 30.9 trillion yuan in the first ten months of 2025, which is 3.83 trillion yuan more than the same period last year [1] - The growth rate of social financing stock was 8.5% year-on-year as of the end of October, while the M2 money supply growth rate was 8.2%, both showing a slight decrease of 0.2 percentage points month-on-month [1][6] - The overall financial volume remains reasonably stable, reflecting a shift towards high-quality economic development rather than high-speed growth [1][7] Loan Data Analysis - As of the end of October, the balance of RMB loans reached 270.61 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 6.5% [3] - In the first ten months, RMB loans increased by 14.97 trillion yuan, with a monthly increase of 220 billion yuan in October, which is a seasonal decrease [3] - Household loans increased by 739.6 billion yuan, while corporate loans increased by 13.79 trillion yuan, indicating a mixed demand across sectors [3][5] Government Bond Impact - The net financing scale of government bonds accounted for 21.3% of the social financing scale in the first ten months, which is a 2 percentage point increase year-on-year [4] - The issuance of government bonds is aimed at supporting major projects and national strategies, thereby expanding demand and stabilizing the economy [4][5] Financing Structure Changes - The balance of inclusive small and micro loans reached 35.77 trillion yuan, growing by 11.6% year-on-year, while medium to long-term loans in the manufacturing sector reached 14.97 trillion yuan, growing by 7.9% [5] - The financing channels for enterprises have diversified, moving from reliance on bank loans to utilizing bonds and stocks, with non-loan financing methods now accounting for over half of the social financing scale increase [7] Monetary Policy Context - The average interest rate for newly issued corporate loans was 3.1%, down approximately 40 basis points from the previous year, indicating a supportive monetary environment [5] - Despite the low financing costs, the marginal efficiency of monetary policy has declined, suggesting a need for careful management of monetary conditions to avoid negative effects such as capital market volatility [8][9]
社融重要信号!新增贷款占比不到一半 政府债替代效应明显
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-11-13 15:24
Core Viewpoint - The report from the People's Bank of China indicates that the rapid issuance of government bonds is increasingly substituting for loans, reflecting a shift in financing dynamics within the economy [1][2]. Financing Structure - As of the end of October 2025, the total social financing scale was 437.72 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 8.5%. The balance of RMB loans to the real economy was 267.01 trillion yuan, growing by 6.3% year-on-year, while government bonds increased by 19.2% to 93.03 trillion yuan [1]. - The proportion of RMB loans to the real economy in the total social financing scale was 61%, down by 1.3 percentage points year-on-year. Government bonds accounted for 21.3%, up by 2 percentage points [1]. Economic Indicators - By the end of October, the broad money supply (M2) was 335.13 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 8.2%. The narrow money supply (M1) was 112 trillion yuan, up 6.2% year-on-year, indicating a recovery in business activity and consumer demand [3]. - The October PMI output index was at 50.0%, signaling a stable economic environment, while the non-manufacturing business activity index was at 50.1%, indicating expansion [3]. Government Debt and Leverage - The government leverage ratio increased by 8.8 percentage points year-on-year to 67.5%, while non-financial corporate and household leverage ratios rose by 4.5 percentage points and slightly decreased by 1.2 percentage points, respectively [2]. - The issuance of government bonds is being used to support major projects and alleviate corporate debt burdens, contributing to a more sustainable economic development [2]. Monetary Policy and Inflation - The central bank's monetary policy remains supportive, with M2 growth consistently above 8%, outpacing nominal GDP growth by about 4 percentage points [6]. - The CPI turned positive at 0.2% year-on-year in October, while the core CPI rose by 1.2%, indicating signs of stabilization in price levels [5]. Future Outlook - The economic growth target for the year is set at around 5%, supported by ongoing macroeconomic policies and a favorable external environment [4]. - The government is expected to continue implementing policies that promote consumption and improve living standards, which will be crucial for enhancing consumer confidence and spending [7].
本轮AI投资热“浇不灭”!蔡昉、王一鸣、孙学工最新发声
券商中国· 2025-11-13 14:40
Core Viewpoint - The current AI investment boom is seen as both a revolutionary opportunity and a potential bubble, but it is unlikely to diminish due to its critical role in addressing major challenges like climate change and aging populations, as well as its importance in national competitiveness [2]. Group 1: AI Investment Insights - The AI investment wave is characterized by a strong expectation for future productivity, leading companies to avoid the risk of falling behind [2]. - AI is described as "creative destruction," necessitating a balance between its creative and destructive aspects through institutional frameworks [2]. - There is a call for the establishment of an inclusive social security system powered by AI to create new jobs and improve employment quality, thereby reducing income inequality [2]. Group 2: Financial Support for Innovation - The current financial support system for technology innovation should transition from debt-based to equity-based, enhancing the role of capital markets in supporting innovation [3][4]. - There is a need to expand financial services for high-tech enterprises and specialized small and medium-sized enterprises, optimizing the linkage between loans and equity investments [3]. - Encouragement of venture capital development and maintaining a stable environment for IPOs and refinancing are essential for fostering innovation [4][5]. Group 3: Macroeconomic Trends and Policy Recommendations - China's GDP growth for the first three quarters of the year was 5.2%, with expectations for a slight decrease in the fourth quarter due to high base effects, but an overall target of around 5% growth for the year remains achievable [6][7]. - Recommendations include increasing the budget deficit rate to 4.5% and enhancing government spending to support economic stability and growth [7]. - A call for more proactive fiscal and monetary policies to ensure a supportive macroeconomic environment as the country enters the new five-year plan period [7].
央行 重磅发布!
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2025-11-13 14:28
Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has reported that M2 and social financing growth rates remain high, creating a favorable monetary environment for economic recovery. The current monetary policy stance is supportive, aiming to promote reasonable price recovery and maintain strong support for the real economy [1][12]. Monetary Supply and Financing - As of October 2025, the M2 balance reached 335.13 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 8.2% [4]. - The social financing scale stood at 437.72 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 8.5% [5]. - From January to October, the incremental social financing was 30.9 trillion yuan, which is 3.83 trillion yuan more than the same period last year [6]. - The balance of various loans in renminbi was 270.61 trillion yuan at the end of October, showing a year-on-year growth of 6.5% [7]. Loan Rates and Structure - The average interest rate for newly issued corporate loans (in both domestic and foreign currencies) in October was 3.1%, approximately 40 basis points lower than the same period last year [7]. - The structure of loans is continuously optimizing, with inclusive small and micro loans growing by 11.6% year-on-year, and medium to long-term loans for the manufacturing sector increasing by 7.9% [11]. Government Bonds and Financing Channels - The issuance of government bonds and special refinancing bonds has accelerated, significantly supporting the growth of social financing. In 2025, the issuance of ultra-long special government bonds increased from 1 trillion yuan to 1.3 trillion yuan [8]. - The financial system has become more diversified, with enterprises increasingly utilizing bonds and stocks for financing rather than relying solely on bank loans [8]. Economic Indicators and Price Trends - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) turned positive in October, rising by 0.2% year-on-year, while the core CPI (excluding food and energy) increased by 1.2%, marking the highest growth since March 2024 [12]. - The Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 2.1% year-on-year, with the rate of decline narrowing for three consecutive months [12]. Future Monetary Policy Outlook - The current monetary policy is deemed supportive, with expectations for continued implementation of moderately loose monetary policies to maintain strong support for the real economy [12].
财经聚焦丨近15万亿元新增贷款投向哪里?——透视我国前10个月金融数据
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-11-13 14:25
中国人民银行当日发布的金融统计数据显示,10月末,我国人民币贷款余额270.61万亿元,同比增长6.5%;社会融资规模存量为437.72万亿 元,同比增长8.5%。 "今年以来,金融总量保持合理增长,为实体经济提供了有力的金融支持。"西南财经大学中国金融研究院副教授万晓莉认为,今年以来, 各家银行积极运用各类结构性货币政策工具,加力支持科技创新、提振消费、小微企业、稳定外贸等重点方向。 从新增信贷的结构来看,企业贷款增长呈现出一些亮点。 今年以来,企业贷款特别是企业中长期贷款新增较多,为企业投资提供了较为充足的资金支持。数据显示,前10个月,我国企(事)业单 位贷款增加13.79万亿元,是贷款增加的主力军。其中,中长期贷款增加8.32万亿元,占比超六成。 具体来看,信贷资金流向了哪里? 记者从中国人民银行了解到,10月末,普惠小微贷款余额为35.77万亿元,同比增长11.6%;制造业中长期贷款余额为14.97万亿元,同比增 长7.9%。这些贷款增速均高于同期各项贷款增速。 "10月建行发布了支持新型工业化的服务方案,推出六大专项行动,力争未来三年制造业融资规模突破5万亿元。"中国建设银行公司业务部 总经理尚朝 ...
央行:社会融资已发生结构性变迁,贷款增速略低一些也合理
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-11-13 14:11
21世纪经济报道记者唐婧 伴随经济金融结构变迁,当前企业融资渠道已从过去更多依赖于银行贷款, 转变为综合运用债券、股票等更丰富的市场化融资方式。 11月13日,中国人民银行发布《2025年10月金融统计数据报告》,2025年前十个月社会融资规模增量累 计为30.9万亿元,比上年同期多3.83万亿元。其中,对实体经济发放的人民币贷款增加14.52万亿元,同 比少增1.16万亿元;企业债券净融资1.82万亿元,同比多1361亿元;政府债券净融资11.95万亿元,同比 多3.72万亿元。 可以看出,在今年以来的社会融资规模增量中,除贷款外的其他融资方式已经占比超过一半,政府债券 净融资占比已经接近四成。今年以来,国债、地方债和特殊再融资债券等政府债券发行进度较快、企业 债券发行热度较高,在对社融增长形成重要支撑的同时,也对扩内需、保民生、促发展发挥了积极作 用。 中国民生银行首席经济学家温彬告诉记者,社会融资规模的结构正在逐渐发生变化,单一的贷款指标, 已很难完整反映金融支持实体经济的全貌。特别是近两年,地方专项债置换融资平台贷款、中小银行改 革化险与中长期经济结构演变的趋势叠加,进一步阶段性下拉了贷款增长。因此, ...
10月末社融存量同比增长8.5% 专家:更多资金转化为活期存款,企业生产经营活跃度提升
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-13 13:52
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the financial statistics for October 2025 show a reasonable growth in social financing and monetary supply, which supports the real economy [1][2] - As of the end of October, the total social financing scale reached 437.72 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 8.5%, while the broad money (M2) balance was 335.13 trillion yuan, growing by 8.2% [1][2] - The issuance of government bonds, including special refinancing bonds, has significantly contributed to the growth of social financing, with net financing from government bonds reaching 11.95 trillion yuan in the first ten months of the year, an increase of 3.72 trillion yuan year-on-year [2] Group 2 - The weighted average interest rate for newly issued corporate loans in October was 3.1%, down approximately 40 basis points from the previous year, indicating a favorable financing environment [3] - The total loan balance reached 274.54 trillion yuan by the end of October, with a year-on-year growth of 6.3%, reflecting a shift in credit structure towards high-quality development [4] - Loans to technology-oriented small and medium-sized enterprises, inclusive small and micro loans, and green loans grew by 22.3%, 12.2%, and 17.5% respectively, all exceeding the overall loan growth rate [4]