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体系化学理化研究阐释 | 经济运行理论的创新和突破
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-17 05:59
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of maintaining stable economic operation in China, highlighting the innovative economic operation theory proposed by Xi Jinping, which aims to guide the country towards sustainable and healthy economic development in the face of complex domestic and international challenges [1][2]. Group 1: Economic Stability and Growth - Economic stability is a crucial indicator of a country's healthy development, and ensuring long-term stability through scientific macroeconomic regulation is a significant challenge for all nations [1]. - Since the 18th National Congress, China has established a macroeconomic regulation system that has effectively supported long-term high-speed growth, despite occasional fluctuations [2]. - The current economic environment presents unprecedented challenges, requiring a balance between maintaining stable growth and transitioning development methods [2]. Group 2: Policy Framework - The "stability and progress" principle is essential for economic work, where stability serves as the foundation for development, and policies should focus on stabilizing expectations, growth, and employment [4]. - Major policy deployments such as "six stabilities" and "six guarantees" have been introduced to create a favorable macroeconomic environment for high-quality development [4]. - The emphasis on innovation-driven development and structural optimization is crucial for enhancing economic quality and efficiency [4]. Group 3: Supply and Demand Dynamics - Coordinating supply and demand is vital for achieving dynamic balance in the economy, as imbalances can lead to economic disruptions [5]. - The shift in focus from demand management to a dual emphasis on both supply and demand reflects the changing economic landscape and the need for a more comprehensive approach to macroeconomic policy [5]. Group 4: Macroeconomic Regulation - The article discusses the need for innovative and adaptive macroeconomic regulation to address the complexities of the current economic environment [6]. - Key features of the new regulatory approach include long-term strategic planning, counter-cyclical adjustments, and precise policy implementation to enhance effectiveness [6]. Group 5: International Cooperation - The article highlights the importance of balancing domestic and international dynamics, advocating for a new development pattern that emphasizes domestic circulation while engaging in international cooperation [7][8]. - China's commitment to expanding high-level openness and fostering a cooperative international economic environment is underscored as a means to enhance resilience against external shocks [8]. Group 6: Economic Performance - China's GDP growth from 2012 to 2024 is projected to average 6%, significantly higher than the global average of 3.1%, indicating robust economic performance despite external challenges [11]. - The article attributes China's sustained economic stability to its scientific economic operation theory, which effectively addresses challenges that Western economic theories struggle to explain [12][14].
朱光耀:以中国发展的确定性战胜外部环境的不确定性
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2025-12-17 00:58
中央经济工作会议提出深化外商投资促进体制机制改革,这是扩大高水平对外开放的重要抓手。朱光耀 指出,目前我国已经全面取消制造业领域外资准入限制措施,服务业外资准入负面清单持续缩减。接下 来的工作重心,是推动外资企业在已开放领域实现"既准入又准营",持续打造市场化、法治化、国际化 的一流营商环境。"在这种条件下,我们欢迎国外投资,同时也鼓励中国企业'走出去'。" 朱光耀表示,外商对中国人工智能和绿色经济领域的投资热情很高,美国华尔街近期不断调高对中国人 工智能领域的投资预期,正是看中了中国庞大的应用场景与发展潜力,也是国际资本对中国经济投下 的"信任票"。 尽管经济全球化遭遇逆流冲击,但大趋势从未改变。朱光耀强调,外商"引进来"与中国企业"走出去", 仍是我国对外开放的基本态势。在此过程中,必须统筹好发展和安全,平衡好开放和安全,加强国际政 策协调,加快推动形成国际治理新框架。唯有如此,才能在风云变幻的国际经贸格局中站稳脚跟,以高 水平开放护航中国经济行稳致远,为构建人类命运共同体贡献更多中国力量。 "面向未来,中美两国作为全球两个最大经济体,应在两国元首的战略指引下,让中美关系这艘'大 船'沿着正确的航向前行, ...
以中国发展的确定性战胜外部环境的不确定性
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2025-12-17 00:54
中国经济网北京12月17日讯(记者 马常艳)中央经济工作会议提出要"更好统筹国内经济工作和国际经贸 斗争",该如何发力?财政部原副部长朱光耀12日在做客中国经济网《深谈》时进行了深入解读。 谈及2025年中国经济发展成绩,朱光耀说,我们有效应对各种冲击挑战,全年将顺利实现5%左右的增 长目标,经济总量预计达到140万亿元,在全球主要经济体中继续名列前茅。中国以约占世界17%的经 济体量,对全球经济增长的年均贡献率持续保持在30%左右,成为推动世界经济增长的关键动力源。 美国政府从2025年4月推出所谓"对等关税",对多个贸易伙伴加征关税。对此,中国坚定捍卫自身发展 权益,采取了有力反制措施。朱光耀说,中国没有屈服,坚定地站在公平、公正和历史正确的一边。实 践证明,只有坚定捍卫原则立场,才能真正维护自身合法权益。 "面向未来,中美两国作为全球两个最大经济体,应在两国元首的战略指引下,让中美关系这艘'大 船'沿着正确的航向前行,携手成为世界和平与发展事业的中流砥柱。"朱光耀说。 展望2026年,全球贸易发展的复杂性与不确定性显著上升。世界贸易组织发布全球贸易展望报告称,受 全球经济复苏乏力和美国关税政策等因素影响 ...
高水平对外开放动能澎湃
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-12-16 22:24
Group 1: High-Level Opening Up - High-level opening up is a strategic choice to respond to external uncertainties and enhance national security capabilities [1] - The focus is on improving customs facilitation, stabilizing foreign investment and trade, and encouraging enterprises to expand internationally [1] - The proactive approach to opening up aims to enhance domestic circulation and improve the quality of international circulation, thereby gaining an advantage in economic development and international competition [1] Group 2: Customs Efficiency - Shanghai's Waigaoqiao Port is the largest port for automobile imports and exports in China, with a throughput of 3.63 million vehicles in 2024, ranking first globally [2] - The customs process has been optimized through a seamless logistics coordination mechanism, ensuring efficient and safe automobile exports [2] - The port operates 15 international automobile roll-on/roll-off shipping routes, connecting to 289 ports in 131 countries and regions [2] Group 3: Investment Quality - Lujiazui Financial City in Shanghai attracts significant foreign investment, housing 70% of the country's foreign asset management institutions and 40% of foreign banks and securities firms [4] - Since the 14th Five-Year Plan, Shanghai has utilized over $98 billion in foreign investment, with an annual average of over 5,700 new foreign enterprises established [4] - The proportion of foreign investment in Shanghai increased from 14% in 2020 to 15.2% in 2024 [4] Group 4: International Expansion - Shanghai's total import and export value reached 11.07 trillion yuan in 2024, a 26.5% increase from 2020, with a compound annual growth rate exceeding 4% [7] - Cross-border e-commerce has seen an annual growth rate of over 35% since the 14th Five-Year Plan, with 636 enterprises participating in offshore trade by 2024 [7] - Wujiang Minsk Trading Co. reported a 190% year-on-year increase in exports in the first seven months of the year, driven by local government initiatives [7] Group 5: Digital Trade Growth - Hainan's digital trade volume reached 28.79 billion yuan in 2024, a 44.5% year-on-year increase, with computer service exports growing by 1.3 times [10] - The establishment of the Hainan University of Applied Sciences reflects the recognition of China's educational innovation policies and the integration of international talent cultivation [6] - The Shanghai Hongqiao Overseas Development Service Center has organized 122 outbound activities this year, attracting around 3,500 enterprises [10]
《求是》杂志发表习近平总书记重要文章《扩大内需是战略之举》
国家能源局· 2025-12-16 08:00
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that expanding domestic demand is a strategic move essential for economic stability and security, aiming for long-term sustainable development and meeting the growing needs of the population [2][32]. Summary by Sections Economic Context - Current economic challenges include insufficient total demand, necessitating the implementation of a comprehensive domestic demand system to boost consumption and investment [3][27]. - The article highlights that consumption is a crucial engine for economic growth, with a focus on promoting employment, improving social security, and optimizing income distribution to expand the middle-income group [3][10]. Domestic Demand Strategy - The strategy to expand domestic demand involves enhancing consumption capabilities, improving consumption conditions, and innovating consumption scenarios to fully unleash consumption potential [27][31]. - It is essential to establish a long-term mechanism for increasing residents' consumption, ensuring stable income, and creating a favorable consumption environment [31][18]. Investment and Infrastructure - The article calls for optimizing investment mechanisms and expanding effective investment space, particularly in new infrastructure and high-tech industries, to stimulate private investment [3][31]. - Government investment should play a guiding role, focusing on long-term benefits and addressing structural issues in the economy [28][19]. Supply-Side Structural Reform - There is a need to deepen supply-side structural reforms to enhance the competitiveness and security of the industrial and supply chains, ensuring that supply meets existing demand and creates new demand [3][31]. - The article stresses the importance of balancing supply and demand, with a focus on achieving a dynamic equilibrium that fosters economic circulation [30][32]. Global and Domestic Interaction - Expanding domestic demand and opening up to international markets are not contradictory; a smooth domestic cycle can attract global resources and enhance international competitiveness [2][10]. - The article suggests that the domestic market's potential is significant, with a large middle-income population that can drive consumption growth [10][9].
《求是》杂志发表习近平总书记重要文章扩大内需是战略之举
Xin Hua She· 2025-12-16 00:43
文章强调,大国经济的优势就是内部可循环。要牢牢把握扩大内需这一战略基点,使生产、分配、 流通、消费各环节更多依托国内市场实现良性循环。扩大内需和扩大开放并不矛盾。国内循环越顺畅, 越能形成对全球资源要素的引力场,越有利于构建以国内大循环为主体、国内国际双循环相互促进的新 发展格局,越有利于形成参与国际竞争和合作新优势。要把扩大内需战略同深化供给侧结构性改革有机 结合起来,供需两端同时发力、协调配合,形成需求牵引供给、供给创造需求的更高水平动态平衡。 文章指出,总需求不足是当前经济运行面临的突出矛盾。要坚决贯彻落实扩大内需战略规划纲要, 尽快形成完整内需体系,着力扩大有收入支撑的消费需求、有合理回报的投资需求、有本金和债务约束 的金融需求。消费是我国经济增长的重要引擎,扩大消费最根本的是促进就业,完善社保,优化收入分 配结构,扩大中等收入群体,扎实推进共同富裕。要建立和完善扩大居民消费的长效机制,使居民有稳 定收入能消费、没有后顾之忧敢消费、消费环境优获得感强愿消费。要完善扩大投资机制,拓展有效投 资空间,适度超前部署新型基础设施建设,扩大高技术产业和战略性新兴产业投资,持续激发民间投资 活力。要继续深化供给侧 ...
海南自贸港全岛封关在即 河南如何借东风
He Nan Ri Bao· 2025-12-15 23:39
Group 1 - The Hainan Free Trade Port will officially start its full island closure operation on December 18, marking a significant milestone in China's reform and opening-up history [1][9] - The cumulative number of enterprises in the China (Henan) Pilot Free Trade Zone has reached 153,000, which is 5.7 times the number before its establishment [3] - Hainan's new trade model of "first-line liberalization, second-line control, and free trade within the island" is expected to enhance its role as a key hub for domestic and international dual circulation [3][4] Group 2 - Policies such as "zero tariffs" and "exemption from tariffs for processing value-added over 30%" are expected to significantly lower import costs for enterprises in Hainan, enhancing their competitiveness [4][5] - Companies from Henan, such as China Henan International Group, have already established subsidiaries in Hainan to take advantage of these new policies [4] - The processing value-added tax exemption will benefit industries like food processing and biomedicine, allowing for cost reductions that can be passed on to consumers [5] Group 3 - The logistics connection between Henan and Hainan is crucial for leveraging the benefits of the Hainan Free Trade Port, with new transportation routes being developed [9][10] - The opening of the Zhoukou Port has expanded the transportation radius for Henan's agricultural products and fertilizers, facilitating trade with Hainan and beyond [10][12] - The Zhengzhou International Port is also exploring business opportunities in Hainan, aiming to establish new international logistics channels [12] Group 4 - The collaboration between Henan and Hainan extends beyond trade and logistics, with potential for joint development in various industries [13][14] - Hainan's focus on tourism, modern services, and high-tech industries complements Henan's strong industrial base, creating opportunities for cross-border cooperation [14] - The establishment of the Henan-Hainan Food Industry Park aims to support Henan food enterprises in accessing international markets [14] Group 5 - Henan is actively promoting its own high-level institutional opening-up measures to better integrate into global resource allocation [15] - The Henan Free Trade Zone is implementing 82 measures to enhance its openness and align with international trade rules [15] - The Zhengzhou area is facilitating connections between local enterprises and Hainan's free trade policies to maximize resource utilization [15]
《求是》杂志发表习近平总书记重要文章 《扩大内需是战略之举》
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-12-15 22:07
文章强调,大国经济的优势就是内部可循环。要牢牢把握扩大内需这一战略基点,使生产、分配、流 通、消费各环节更多依托国内市场实现良性循环。扩大内需和扩大开放并不矛盾。国内循环越顺畅,越 能形成对全球资源要素的引力场,越有利于构建以国内大循环为主体、国内国际双循环相互促进的新发 展格局,越有利于形成参与国际竞争和合作新优势。要把扩大内需战略同深化供给侧结构性改革有机结 合起来,供需两端同时发力、协调配合,形成需求牵引供给、供给创造需求的更高水平动态平衡。 文章指出,总需求不足是当前经济运行面临的突出矛盾。要坚决贯彻落实扩大内需战略规划纲要,尽快 形成完整内需体系,着力扩大有收入支撑的消费需求、有合理回报的投资需求、有本金和债务约束的金 融需求。消费是我国经济增长的重要引擎,扩大消费最根本的是促进就业,完善社保,优化收入分配结 构,扩大中等收入群体,扎实推进共同富裕。要建立和完善扩大居民消费的长效机制,使居民有稳定收 入能消费、没有后顾之忧敢消费、消费环境优获得感强愿消费。要完善扩大投资机制,拓展有效投资空 间,适度超前部署新型基础设施建设,扩大高技术产业和战略性新兴产业投资,持续激发民间投资活 力。要继续深化供给侧 ...
11月份国民经济延续稳中有进发展良好之态势
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-12-15 16:16
Economic Performance - In November, the industrial added value above designated size increased by 4.8% year-on-year, maintaining the growth rate from October [1] - The added value of the equipment manufacturing industry grew by 7.7%, contributing 59.4% to the overall industrial growth [1] - The service production index rose by 4.2% year-on-year, with significant growth in information transmission and software services (12.9%) and leasing and business services (8.4%) [1] Market Sales and Consumption - The total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 1.3% year-on-year in November, with cosmetics and gold and silver jewelry retail sales growing by 6.1% and 8.5%, respectively [1] - From January to November, service retail sales grew by 5.4%, with a slight acceleration of 0.1 percentage points compared to the previous ten months [1][2] Foreign Trade - In November, China's total goods import and export value increased by 4.1% year-on-year, with exports growing by 5.7%, reversing the decline seen in October [2] - For the first eleven months, trade with Belt and Road Initiative countries saw a 6% year-on-year increase, outpacing overall foreign trade growth [2] Policy Impact - The implementation of proactive macro policies has significantly contributed to the stable economic growth observed this year [3] - Recent policies aimed at promoting consumption and expanding effective investment are expected to enhance economic growth momentum [3][4] - The Central Economic Work Conference has outlined the direction for economic work in the coming year, emphasizing the need for sustained efforts in domestic circulation and effective demand expansion [4]
晶采观察丨明年八大重点任务 为何它居首位?
Yang Guang Wang· 2025-12-15 13:14
Group 1 - The core message of the article emphasizes the importance of "domestic demand as the main driver" for China's economic growth, particularly in light of the changing international environment and the need to address the imbalance between strong supply and weak demand [2][3] - The Central Economic Work Conference highlighted the implementation of specific actions to boost consumption and the formulation of plans to increase income for urban and rural residents, indicating a commitment to expanding domestic demand [2][3] - The meeting also stressed the need to enhance the supply of quality goods and services, aligning with consumer demand to stimulate robust consumption, and set strategic goals for significant consumption sectors by 2027 [4][5] Group 2 - The article outlines a dual approach to encourage consumer spending: increasing income and reducing burdens on consumers, including the introduction of annual childcare subsidies and tax exemptions for these subsidies [3][4] - It mentions the establishment of a consumption growth matrix focusing on diverse and personalized consumption scenarios, with specific sectors identified for growth, such as elderly products and smart connected vehicles [5] - The overall strategy of prioritizing domestic demand is presented as a pragmatic response to current challenges while also being a long-term strategic layout for sustainable economic development [5]