泰国央行：若经济增长低于预期，将考虑降息。 ...

瑞典央行行长特登：瑞典通胀和经济增长的前景仍难以评估，存在发展情况与我们预期存在显著偏离的 风险。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Governor of the Swedish Central Bank, Stefan Ingves, indicated that economic growth appears to be weakening, although he does not believe that the current economic downturn will be particularly severe [1] Group 1 - The Swedish economy is experiencing signs of reduced growth [1] - The central bank does not anticipate a significant severity in the current economic downturn [1]

泰国央行：预计2025年经济增长将达到2.3%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state of the COMEX gold market and the economic outlook provided by Federal Reserve official John Williams, highlighting the expected slowdown in U.S. economic growth and rising inflation due to trade tariffs [2]. Group 1: COMEX Gold Market Analysis - As of June 25, the COMEX gold price has slightly increased to $3344.50 per ounce, reflecting a 0.18% rise [1]. - The gold price opened at $3338.10 per ounce, reached a high of $3349.50, and a low of $3334.60 during the trading session [1]. - Short-term resistance levels for gold are identified between $3420 and $3430, while support levels are noted between $3290 and $3300 [2]. Group 2: Economic Outlook - John Williams from the Federal Reserve anticipates a significant slowdown in U.S. economic growth to around 1% this year, influenced by uncertainties and trade tariffs [2]. - The unemployment rate is projected to rise from 4.2% to 4.5% by the end of the year [2]. - Inflation is expected to increase to 3% due to Trump's tariff policies, before gradually returning to the 2% target over the next two years [2]. - Williams emphasized the appropriateness of maintaining a moderately restrictive monetary policy stance to achieve maximum employment and price stability [2].

世界贸易组织前首席经济学家库普曼（Robert Koopman）则强调，若高关税政策持续，将引发双重负面 效应，一方面，这将降低外资对美投资吸引力，减少资本净流入；同时，还会扭曲资源配置，促使劳动 力和资本从高附加值产业向低效的传统制造业回流。"（关税政策）会造成长期损失，减少创新，缩小 资本存量，并降低资本分配效率。"他称。 长期来看，关税将渐进性地削弱消费意愿、投资活动和并购交易。 在美国政府关税政策及其衍生不确定性的持续影响下，美国经济如何了？ 当地时间6月24日，美联储主席鲍威尔在国会听证会上表示，美联储有条件在"观望"进一步经济走势预 测后，再考虑对政策立场进行调整，他同时预警夏季通胀可能回升。同日，美国谘商会发布的数据则加 剧了市场忧虑，消费者信心指数从5月修正后的98.4骤降至6月的93.0，消费者对收入前景的预期也明显 恶化。 这一经济图景在天津举行的夏季达沃斯论坛上引发讨论。哈佛大学肯尼迪政府学院创始院长、"修昔底 德陷阱"理论提出者艾利森（Graham Allison）表示，美国经济增长预期已出现显著下调，从年初近3% 的增速预测现已腰斩至约1.5%。这种经济动能减弱也已反映在民调中，最新 ...

日本央行审议摘要：一位成员表示，由于美国、欧洲和新兴经济体倾向于宽松政策，日本经济可能会出 现意外增长，或面临通胀压力。 ...

美联储威廉姆斯：今年经济将以较慢的速度增长，就业市场将保持稳健。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve's Williams predicts a slowdown in U.S. economic growth and an increase in inflation this year, primarily due to the impact of trade tariffs [1] Economic Growth - U.S. economic growth is expected to slow significantly to around 1% this year [1] - The unemployment rate is projected to rise from the current 4.2% to 4.5% by the end of the year [1] Inflation - Inflation rate is anticipated to rise to 3% as a result of Trump's tariff policies, before gradually easing to the 2% target over the next two years [1] Monetary Policy - Williams emphasizes that maintaining a moderately restrictive monetary policy stance is appropriate for achieving maximum employment and price stability [1] - The current interest rate stance allows the Federal Reserve to closely analyze new data and assess the evolving economic outlook [1]

美联储威廉姆斯：今年美国经济可能增长约1%。不确定性、关税措施以及移民减少将放缓经济增长。 ...