Group 1: Company Overview - The company focuses on green energy, with main businesses including renewable energy generation and lithium battery operations [2] - Total installed capacity for renewable energy is approximately 1.45 million kW, with wind and solar power accounting for 1.2977 million kW [3] - The company has a waste-to-energy capacity of 156,500 kW, processing over 6,800 tons daily, with an expected generation of 1.064 billion kWh in 2024 [3] Group 2: Lithium Operations - The company holds mining rights for the Li Jiagou lithium mine, with proven reserves of 38.812 million tons and an average grade of 1.30% [3] - Annual production capacity is projected at 1.05 million tons of raw ore and approximately 180,000 tons of concentrate [3] - The company aims to produce 11,300 tons of lithium salt in 2024 through a combination of processing and self-production [3] Group 3: Future Plans and Capacity Expansion - In 2025, the company plans to increase its installed capacity for wind and solar power to 2.0708 million kW, with seven projects already under construction [3] - There are no current upgrade plans for existing wind and solar facilities [3] Group 4: Market and Policy Environment - The settlement method with the grid company remains unchanged, with no immediate impact on sales revenue [4] - Future electricity prices for renewable energy will undergo market reforms as per the National Development and Reform Commission's 2025 guidelines [4] - The policy environment for lithium resource development is stable, but market prices significantly affect sales [5] Group 5: Financial Management - The company has previously facilitated a share buyback by the controlling shareholder amounting to approximately 300 million yuan [5] - A cash dividend of 295 million yuan was distributed to all shareholders in 2024 [5] - The company will continue to implement market value management measures in line with state-owned asset supervision policies [5]

Report 1: Natural Rubber Industry Spot and Futures Daily Report 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Report's Core View In the context of expected increase in supply and weakening demand, it is predicted that the subsequent rubber price will show a weakening and fluctuating trend. Short positions should be held, and attention should be paid to the performance at the 13,000 level, as well as the raw material volume in the producing areas and macro - event disturbances [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Spot Price and Basis - Yunnan state - owned standard rubber (SCRWF) in Shanghai rose from 13,350 yuan/ton on June 3 to 13,400 yuan/ton on June 4, an increase of 50 yuan/ton or 0.37% [1]. - The basis of whole - milk rubber (switched to the 2509 contract) decreased from - 100 yuan/ton on June 3 to - 255 yuan/ton on June 4, a decrease of 155 yuan/ton or 155.00% [1]. Monthly Spread - The 9 - 1 spread decreased from - 810 yuan/ton on June 3 to - 832 yuan/ton on June 4, a decrease of 25 yuan/ton or 3.09% [1]. Fundamental Data - In April, Thailand's natural rubber production decreased from 149.2 ten - tons to 105.7 ten - tons, a decrease of 43.5 ten - tons or 29.16% [1]. - In April, China's natural rubber production increased from 15.8 ten - tons to 58.1 ten - tons, an increase of 42.3 ten - tons [1]. Inventory Change - The bonded area inventory (bonded + general trade inventory) increased from 614,189 tons on the previous day to 614,584 tons, an increase of 385 tons or 0.06% [1]. - The factory - warehouse futures inventory of natural rubber on the SHFE decreased from 43,544 tons to 17,641 tons, a decrease of 25,903 tons or 59.49% [1]. Report 2: Glass and Soda Ash Spot and Futures Daily Report 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Report's Core View - Glass: It will continue to be under pressure, fluctuate weakly, and should be treated bearishly [2]. - Soda Ash: The spot market is average, the market sentiment is still pessimistic. In the short - term, during the rainy season, the glass price may stop falling. For the 09 contract, a long - short spread trade between the 7th and 9th contracts can be considered, and short - term short - selling operations on the far - month contracts during rebounds are recommended [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Glass - related Prices and Spreads - The central China glass price decreased from 1,110 yuan/ton to 1,070 yuan/ton, a decrease of 40 yuan/ton or 3.60% [2]. - The basis of the glass 2505 contract decreased from 91 yuan/ton to 62 yuan/ton, a decrease of 29 yuan/ton or 31.87% [2]. Soda Ash - related Prices and Spreads - The soda ash 2509 contract price increased from 1,185 yuan/ton to 1,225 yuan/ton, an increase of 40 yuan/ton or 3.28% [2]. - The basis of the 05 contract decreased from 197 yuan/ton to 165 yuan/ton, a decrease of 32 yuan/ton or 13.97% [2]. Supply - Soda ash weekly output increased from 67.77 tons to 68.50 tons, an increase of 0.73 tons or 1.08% [2]. - Float glass daily melting volume increased from 15.67 tons to 15.77 tons, an increase of 0.1 tons or 0.64% [2]. Inventory - Soda ash 2505 contract inventory increased from 1,221 tons to 1,253 tons, an increase of 32 tons or 2.62% [2]. - Glass factory inventory decreased from 6,776.90 ten - thousand standard boxes to 6,776.20 ten - thousand standard boxes, a decrease of 0.7 ten - thousand standard boxes [2]. Report 3: Industrial Silicon Spot and Futures Daily Report 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Report's Core View The industrial silicon price is still under pressure due to high supply and high warehouse receipts in the fundamentals. Although demand may recover to some extent, it is difficult to digest the relatively high supply increase. However, rising raw material prices can strengthen cost support, and concentrated short - position closing may lead to a price increase [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Spot Price and Main Contract Basis - The price of East China oxygen - passed SI5530 industrial silicon decreased from 8,200 yuan/ton on June 3 to 8,150 yuan/ton on June 4, a decrease of 50 yuan/ton or 0.61% [3]. - The basis of SI4210 industrial silicon increased from 890 yuan/ton on June 3 to 980 yuan/ton on June 4, an increase of 90 yuan/ton or 10.11% [3]. Monthly Spread - The 2506 - 2507 spread decreased from 10 yuan/ton on June 3 to - 260 yuan/ton on June 4, a decrease of 270 yuan/ton or 2700.00% [3]. Fundamental Data (Monthly) - In April, the national industrial silicon production decreased from 34.22 tons to 30.08 tons, a decrease of 4.14 tons or 12.10% [3]. - In April, the Xinjiang industrial silicon production decreased from 21.08 tons to 16.75 tons, a decrease of 4.33 tons or 20.55% [3]. Inventory Change - Xinjiang factory - warehouse inventory increased from 18.74 tons to 19.01 tons, an increase of 0.27 tons or 1.44% [3]. - Social inventory increased from 58.20 tons to 58.90 tons, an increase of 0.7 tons or 1.20% [3]. Report 4: Polysilicon Spot and Futures Daily Report 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Report's Core View In June, the polysilicon market is expected to remain in a situation of weak supply and demand. If there is no further production cut, there is a risk of inventory accumulation. Currently, there is an expectation of supply - side contraction in the polysilicon industry. Attention should be paid to the support at the 33,000 - 34,000 range [4]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Spot Price and Basis - The average price of single - crystal PERC battery slices (182mm) decreased from 0.285 yuan/piece on June 3 to 0.275 yuan/piece on June 4, a decrease of 0.01 yuan/piece or 3.51% [4]. - The N - type material basis (average price) decreased from 2,140 yuan/ton on June 3 to 1,445 yuan/ton on June 4, a decrease of 695 yuan/ton or 32.48% [4]. Futures Price and Monthly Spread - The PS2506 contract price increased from 34,360 yuan/ton on June 3 to 35,055 yuan/ton on June 4, an increase of 895 yuan/ton or 2.02% [4]. - The PS2506 - PS2507 spread increased from 1,940 yuan/ton on June 3 to 2,935 yuan/ton on June 4, an increase of 995 yuan/ton or 51.29% [4]. Fundamental Data (Weekly and Monthly) - Weekly silicon wafer production increased from 13.3 GW to 13.4 GW, an increase of 0.1 GW or 0.75% [4]. - In May, polysilicon production increased from 9.54 tons to 9.61 tons, an increase of 0.07 tons or 0.73% [4]. Inventory Change - Polysilicon inventory increased from 26.00 tons to 27.00 tons, an increase of 1.00 tons or 3.85% [4]. - Silicon wafer inventory decreased from 18.95 GW to 18.57 GW, a decrease of 0.38 GW or 2.01% [4].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint highlights the significant growth of the green power ETF, with a trading volume of 6.1863 million yuan and a 1.81% turnover rate, indicating strong market interest [1] - Over the past three months, the green power ETF has seen an increase in scale by 68.9715 million yuan, ranking first among comparable funds [1] - The ETF's share count has grown by 49.2 million shares in the last three months, also leading among comparable funds [1] Group 2 - The current price-to-earnings ratio (PE-TTM) of the index tracked by the green power ETF is 18.67, which is below 85.57% of the historical data over the past three years, indicating a low valuation [1] - The top ten weighted stocks in the index account for 58.12% of the total, with major companies including Changjiang Electric Power and China Nuclear Power [1] - Recent government initiatives aim to enhance the electricity service environment, promoting energy efficiency and the use of green electricity, which may benefit companies in the sector [1] Group 3 - In 2024, multiple policies are expected to create a stable market environment for renewable energy operators, leading to a stabilization in the industry [2] - The upcoming national energy work conference in 2025 is anticipated to further integrate renewable energy into the electricity market [2] - The market has likely priced in expectations for electricity volume and pricing in the renewable energy sector, with potential positive changes from green certificates and subsidies [2]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to Huaneng International, with a target price of HKD 6.12 per share, indicating a potential upside of 24% from the current price of HKD 4.93 [6][11]. Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from declining coal prices, leading to sustained growth in thermal power performance. In Q1 2025, the company reported a net profit of RMB 4.973 billion, an increase of 8.19% year-on-year, despite a 7.70% decline in revenue [3][4][8]. - The company plans to add approximately 10 GW of new renewable energy capacity in 2025, with a focus on solar and wind energy, which is expected to enhance its low-carbon energy portfolio [5][10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Huaneng International's total electricity generation was 106.633 billion kWh, a decrease of 5.66% year-on-year. The average settlement price for electricity was RMB 488.19 per MWh, down 1.96% year-on-year. The company's revenue for the quarter was RMB 60.335 billion, a decline of 7.70% year-on-year, while net profit increased by 8.19% to RMB 4.973 billion [3][8]. Coal Price Impact - The report highlights that the company is benefiting from lower coal prices, with the average coal price for Q1 2025 at RMB 888 per ton, down 9% year-on-year. The fuel cost was RMB 259 per MWh, a decrease of 10% year-on-year. The coal segment achieved a pre-tax profit of RMB 3.982 billion, up 41% from the previous year [4][9]. Renewable Energy Expansion - Huaneng International's renewable energy capacity is projected to grow significantly, with plans for 10 GW of new installations in 2025, including approximately 7 GW from solar energy. The company reported a year-on-year increase in electricity generation from wind and solar of 8.81% and 51.21%, respectively [5][10]. Valuation Metrics - The report provides a financial forecast for the company, projecting revenues of RMB 246.931 billion for 2025, with a net profit of RMB 11.693 billion. The price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is expected to be 7.5 times for 2025, indicating a favorable valuation compared to peers [7][14].

Group 1: Financial Performance and Projections - The company's investment return rate for the "large to small" project has reached approximately 10% [1] - In 2024, the company aims to accelerate the construction of distributed photovoltaic projects, with 9 out of 18 projects already connected to the grid [1] - The first quarter performance showed a year-on-year increase, primarily due to ongoing equipment upgrades and favorable wind resource conditions [2] Group 2: Market Strategy and Competition - The company is focusing on differentiated services, such as customized comprehensive energy solutions, to enhance competitiveness amid increasing market competition [2] - The company plans to closely monitor changes in electricity trading policies to optimize project investment and marketing strategies [2] - The company is exploring non-subsidy business growth points as the subsidy period for existing projects approaches its end [12] Group 3: Technological Advancements and Operational Efficiency - The establishment of a smart operation and maintenance center aims to enhance the management of wind farms through intelligent diagnostics and predictive maintenance [3] - The company has implemented a smart management platform to reduce operational costs and improve fault response efficiency [14] - The company is actively collaborating with universities for R&D projects to align technology with actual power station needs [5] Group 4: Regulatory and Environmental Considerations - The participation in the carbon trading market is not expected to incur additional compliance costs for the company [4] - The company adheres to strict environmental policies during project construction, ensuring that green construction standards do not increase costs [10] - The company is preparing for potential impacts from regional policy adjustments, such as subsidy reductions and stricter approvals [12] Group 5: Future Developments and Strategic Focus - The company has no current plans to develop data center businesses but will continue to focus on enhancing profitability through existing projects [4] - Future strategies will include the gradual implementation of large-to-small transformation projects to improve efficiency [4] - The company is committed to sustainable development and aims to align with the carbon neutrality goals set by its parent group, China Aluminum [4]

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No specific industry investment ratings are provided in the report. 2. Core Views - The report provides daily views and strategies for various commodities in the futures market, including precious metals, base metals, energy, agricultural products, and chemical products. Each commodity is given a short - term trend outlook, such as "oscillating", "rising", "falling", etc. [2][4] 3. Summary by Commodity Precious Metals - **Gold**: Expected to oscillate and decline. The trend strength is 1, indicating a relatively weak upward trend. Yesterday, the prices of domestic and international gold futures and spot showed different degrees of decline, and the trading volume and positions also changed. [2][6][9] - **Silver**: Expected to follow gold and rise. The trend strength is 0, indicating a neutral trend. The prices of domestic and international silver futures and spot also had corresponding changes, and the trading volume and positions were adjusted. [2][6][9] Base Metals - **Copper**: Due to mine - end disturbances, the price is expected to rise. The trend strength is 1. Yesterday, the prices of domestic and international copper futures increased, and the inventory decreased. The spot price also rose, and the spread changed. [2][11][13] - **Aluminum**: Expected to oscillate within a range. The trend strength is 0. The prices of domestic and international aluminum futures and spot, trading volume, positions, and inventory all had different degrees of change. [2][14][16] - **Alumina**: Expected to continue to decline. The trend strength is 0. The price of alumina futures decreased, and the trading volume and positions changed. [2][14][16] - **Zinc**: The price is expected to rise due to refinery disturbances, but the sustainability may be limited. The trend strength is 0. The prices of domestic and international zinc futures and spot, trading volume, positions, and inventory all had corresponding changes. [2][17][18] - **Lead**: Expected to oscillate within a range. The trend strength is 0. The prices of domestic and international lead futures and spot, trading volume, positions, and inventory all had different degrees of change. [2][20][21] - **Tin**: Expected to oscillate in a narrow range. The trend strength is - 1, indicating a relatively weak downward trend. The prices of domestic and international tin futures and spot decreased, and the trading volume and positions changed. [2][23][26] - **Nickel**: The price is suppressed by weak expectations but supported by real - world costs. The trend strength is 0. The prices of domestic and international nickel futures and spot, trading volume, positions, and inventory all had corresponding changes. [2][28][33] - **Stainless Steel**: With both supply and demand weakening marginally, the steel price is expected to oscillate. The trend strength is 0. The price of stainless - steel futures, trading volume, and positions changed. [2][28][33] Energy - **Iron Ore**: The downstream demand has reached a phased peak, and the price is expected to oscillate weakly. The trend strength is - 1. The price of iron - ore futures decreased, and the spot price also declined. [2][40] - **Coke**: Expected to oscillate at the bottom. The trend strength is 0. The price of coke futures and spot, trading volume, positions, and inventory all had different degrees of change. [2][50][52] - **Coking Coal**: With the arrival of environmental protection supervision teams, the price is expected to oscillate at the bottom. The trend strength is 0. The price of coking - coal futures and spot, trading volume, positions, and inventory all had corresponding changes. [2][50][52] - **Thermal Coal**: With the increase in coal mine inventory, the price is expected to oscillate weakly. The trend strength is 0. The price of thermal - coal futures and spot, trading volume, positions, and inventory all had different degrees of change. [2][53][55] Chemical Products - **Carbonate Lithium**: Under strong supply pressure, the price is expected to be under pressure. The trend strength is 0. The price of carbonate - lithium futures and spot decreased, and the trading volume and positions changed. [2][34][36] - **Industrial Silicon**: The futures price has dropped significantly, and attention should be paid to supply changes. The trend strength is - 1. The price of industrial - silicon futures and spot decreased, and the trading volume and positions changed. [2][37][39] - **Polysilicon**: The monthly spread is widening, and it is recommended to short at high prices. The trend strength is - 1. The price of polysilicon futures decreased, and the trading volume and positions changed. [2][37][39] Others - **Log**: Expected to oscillate weakly. The trend strength is - 1. The price of log futures decreased, and the trading volume and positions increased. [2][56][60]

Financial Performance - The company's overall loss has expanded by 23% compared to the previous year, primarily due to non-recurring losses totaling -15.99 million yuan, with financial instrument losses amounting to -29.92 million yuan attributed to impairment of equity investments [2][4] - Regular profit losses have narrowed by 43% compared to the previous year [2][4] Future Growth Drivers - Future profit growth will be driven by expanding product sales, particularly in the renewable energy sector, shifting focus from building electric vehicle charging stations to selling charging equipment [3][4] - The company has developed a megawatt-level flexible charging pile that has passed CE and UL certifications, facilitating expansion into overseas markets, especially the U.S. [3][4] Industry Context - The company operates in a favorable environment with the rise of renewable energy and the acceleration of digital transformation in the power grid, creating new growth points and significant market demand [4][5] - Despite recent poor performance, the company has been investing heavily since 2021 in charging infrastructure, leading to its first operational loss and four consecutive years of losses [4][5] Market Outlook - The current phase of China's power system development presents broad opportunities for the power equipment industry, driven by increased investment in infrastructure and energy structure optimization [5] - The market for electric vehicle charging infrastructure is expected to grow significantly, with the penetration rate of new energy vehicles reaching 51.5% by April 2025, marking a transition to a predominantly electric phase [5]

2025 年 05 月 27 日 工业硅：盘面大幅下跌，关注供应变化 多晶硅：月差走阔，逢高布空为主 张 航 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0018008 zhanghang2@gtht.com 【基本面跟踪】 工业硅、多晶硅基本面数据 | | 指标名称 | T | T-1 | T-5 | T-22 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | Si2507收盘价（元/吨） Si2507成交量（手） | 7,610 | -305 | -520 | -1,250 | | | | 276,011 | -8,144 | 66,503 | 91,936 | | | Si2507持仓量（手） | 206,212 | 27,828 | 51,174 | 126,083 | | 工业硅、多晶硅期货市场 | PS2507收盘价（元/吨） | 34,885 | -1,205 | -2,265 | - | | | PS2507成交量（手） | 158,450 | -10,772 | 85,464 | - | | | PS2507持仓量（手） | 78,351 | 3,922 | 49,663 | ...

Financial Performance - The company's total assets increased by 150% to RMB 3123637 million as of December 31, 2023[6] - Net assets increased by 42% to RMB 843541 million[6] - Revenue from continuing operations increased by 78% to RMB 258865 million[6] - Profit attributable to owners of the company increased by 105% to RMB 96377 million[6] - Fully diluted EPS increased by 155% to 1139 cents[6] - The company's share of profits attributable to equity holders reached RMB 964 million in 2023, with a 5-year compound growth rate of 124%[7] Operational Performance - Newly added installed capacity in 2023 was 512 MW, with an attributable installed capacity of 4050 MW by year end[18] - Attributable power generation increased by 172% to 7824 GWh[14] - Weighted average utilization hours for wind (attributable installed) were 2449 hours, a decrease of 37%[22] - Weighted average utilization hours for solar PV (attributable installed) were 1455 hours, a decrease of 59%[22] - The curtailment rate for wind (attributable installed) was 37%, an increase of 11 percentage points[22] - The curtailment rate for solar PV (attributable installed) was 59%, an increase of 21 percentage points[22] Green Energy Initiatives - Trading volume of green electricity increased by 117%[30] - Sale revenue of green certificates increased by 78% to RMB 4546 million[31] - Green electricity revenue additionally increased by 135% to RMB 3075 million[32] Installed Capacity Composition - Subsidiary-owned wind capacity is 2701 MW, representing 667% of the total attributable installed capacity[19] - Subsidiary-owned solar PV capacity is 576 MW, representing 142% of the total attributable installed capacity[19] - JV&Asso capacity is 773 MW, representing 191% of the total attributable installed capacity[19]

申万宏源：新疆电力供需发展空间广阔 金十数据5月26日讯，申万宏源发布研报称，"十五五"期间，风光装机规模快速成长，叠加火电机组装 机仍有增长空间，预计十五五末期新疆年发电量有望达9000亿千瓦时，其中风光发电量有望达3700亿千 瓦时，新能源发电占比有望超过40%。随着疆内产业园区发展及外省产能迁入，"十五五"期间新疆用电 量预计将保持高单位数或双位数增速。同时随着疆电外送通道的建成投产，至2030年新疆外年送电规模 有望达2400亿千瓦时，较2024年底接近翻倍。 ...