⚫ 根据公司年报，我们调整 FY26-27 的盈利预测，并引入 FY28 年的盈利预测，预测 FY26-28年每股收益分别为0.21、0.25和0.30元（原FY26-27为0.26和0.30元）， 参考可比公司，给予 FY26 年 15 倍 PE 估值，对应目标价 3.45 港币（1 人民币=1.09 港币），维持"增持"评级。 ⚫ 风险提示：主力品牌终端需求的波动，去库存进度低于预期等 公司主要财务信息 滔搏 06110.HK 公司研究 | 年报点评 FY25 业绩承压，分红超预期 核心观点 盈利预测与投资建议 | | FY24A | FY25A | FY26E | FY27E | FY28E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 28,933 | 27,013 | 26,428 | 27,892 | 29,361 | | 同比增长 (%) | 6.9% | -6.6% | -2.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | | 营业利润(百万元) | 2,748 | 1,593 | 1,775 | 2,049 | 2,443 | | 同比增长 ...

Group 1 - Morgan Stanley reported that Home Depot raised its earnings per share forecasts for fiscal years 2025 and 2026 by approximately 0.4% and 0.6% respectively after the release of its first-quarter financial results [1] - Morgan Stanley increased the target price for Home Depot from $410 to $415, maintaining an "Overweight" rating, indicating a positive risk-reward profile for the company [1] - The new target price is based on a valuation of approximately 25 times the projected earnings per share of $16.65 for 2026, which is considered reasonable given the stock's status as a preferred choice among cyclical stocks covered by the firm [1]

Oatly Group AB Sponsored ADR (OTLY) closed the last trading session at $10.26, gaining 18.2% over the past four weeks, but there could be plenty of upside left in the stock if short-term price targets set by Wall Street analysts are any guide. The mean price target of $18.74 indicates an 82.7% upside potential.The average comprises seven short-term price targets ranging from a low of $10.20 to a high of $40, with a standard deviation of $10.52. While the lowest estimate indicates a decline of 0.6% from the ...

Group 1 - Shift4 Payments (FOUR) shares have increased by 17.2% over the past four weeks, closing at $90.26, with a mean price target of $114.83 indicating a potential upside of 27.2% [1] - The average of 23 short-term price targets ranges from a low of $80 to a high of $150, with a standard deviation of $15.53, suggesting variability in analyst estimates [2] - Analysts show strong agreement in revising earnings estimates higher, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year increasing by 20.2% over the past month [11][12] Group 2 - FOUR holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimates [13] - The correlation between earnings estimate revisions and near-term stock price movements supports the expectation of an upside in FOUR [11] - While price targets are often viewed skeptically, the direction implied by the consensus price target may serve as a useful guide for potential price movement [10][13]

Group 1 - Septerna, Inc. (SEPN) shares have increased by 57.8% over the past four weeks, closing at $9.42, with a mean price target of $23.67 indicating a potential upside of 151.3% [1] - The average price targets range from a low of $18 to a high of $28, with a standard deviation of $5.13, suggesting a high degree of agreement among analysts [2] - Analysts show strong optimism regarding SEPN's earnings prospects, as indicated by a 63.2% increase in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year, with no negative revisions [12][11] Group 2 - SEPN holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimates [13] - The consensus price target may not be a reliable indicator of the stock's potential gain, but the direction of price movement implied by it appears to be a good guide [13][10]

SharkNinja, Inc. (SN) closed the last trading session at $100.59, gaining 35.1% over the past four weeks, but there could be plenty of upside left in the stock if short-term price targets set by Wall Street analysts are any guide. The mean price target of $126.06 indicates a 25.3% upside potential.The average comprises nine short-term price targets ranging from a low of $101 to a high of $175, with a standard deviation of $21.94. While the lowest estimate indicates an increase of 0.4% from the current price ...

Core Viewpoint - BILL Holdings (BILL) has seen a 16.3% increase in share price over the past four weeks, closing at $46.37, with a potential upside of 47.8% based on Wall Street analysts' mean price target of $68.52 [1] Price Targets and Analyst Estimates - The mean estimate consists of 23 short-term price targets with a standard deviation of $20.64, indicating variability among analysts; the lowest estimate is $40 (13.7% decline), while the highest is $120 (158.8% increase) [2] - A low standard deviation suggests a strong agreement among analysts regarding the stock's price movement direction, which can be a starting point for further research [9] Earnings Estimates and Analyst Sentiment - Analysts have shown increasing optimism about BILL's earnings prospects, as evidenced by a strong consensus in revising EPS estimates higher, which correlates with potential stock price increases [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year has risen by 103.8% over the past month, with six estimates increasing and no negative revisions [12] - BILL holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), placing it in the top 5% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimate factors, indicating strong potential for near-term upside [13]

Group 1 - Nova Ltd. (NVMI) closed at $190.17, with a 10% gain over the past four weeks, and a mean price target of $255.83 suggests a 34.5% upside potential [1] - The mean estimate includes six short-term price targets with a standard deviation of $19.60, indicating variability among analysts; the lowest estimate is $235 (23.6% increase), while the highest is $280 (47.2% increase) [2] - Analysts show strong agreement on NVMI's ability to report better earnings, with a positive trend in earnings estimate revisions correlating with potential stock upside [4][11] Group 2 - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for NVMI has increased by 3.6% due to two upward revisions in earnings estimates over the last 30 days, with no negative revisions [12] - NVMI holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimates, indicating strong potential for near-term upside [13] - While consensus price targets may not be reliable for predicting exact gains, they can provide a directional guide for price movement [13]

Group 1 - Shares of Marcus (MCS) have increased by 5.5% over the past four weeks, closing at $16.87, with a mean price target of $24.67 indicating a potential upside of 46.2% [1] - The mean estimate includes three short-term price targets with a standard deviation of $0.58, where the lowest estimate suggests a 42.3% increase and the highest a 48.2% increase [2] - Analysts show strong agreement in revising earnings estimates higher, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate increasing by 19.7% over the last 30 days [11][12] Group 2 - The Zacks Rank for MCS is 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimates [13] - A tight clustering of price targets, indicated by a low standard deviation, suggests a high degree of agreement among analysts regarding the stock's price movement [9] - While price targets can be misleading, the direction they imply may serve as a useful guide for potential price movements [10][11]

Group 1 - PAR Technology (PAR) shares have increased by 26.2% over the past four weeks, closing at $69.21, with a mean price target of $87.38 indicating a potential upside of 26.3% [1] - The average price targets from analysts range from a low of $65 to a high of $100, with a standard deviation of $10.27, suggesting variability in estimates [2] - Analysts show strong agreement on PAR's ability to report better earnings than previously predicted, which supports the potential for stock upside [4][11] Group 2 - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PAR has increased by 15% due to one upward revision in earnings estimates over the last 30 days, with no negative revisions [12] - PAR holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimate factors, indicating strong potential for near-term upside [13]