金十数据整理：每日全球外汇市场要闻速递（5月8日） 1. 美联储连续第三次维持利率不变，声明中强调通胀和失业率上升的风险走高。鲍威尔高呼不确定性因 素以及继续观望等待的成本很低，表示不急于降息。鲍威尔还称无意主动与特朗普会晤，后者的降息呼 吁无碍美联储的工作。 2. 美国主权财富基金迎进展 贝森特已向特朗普提交计划。 3. 乌克兰央行行长：乌克兰正在开始审议是否应该把欧元而不是美元作为参考货币。 4. 特朗普称今晚十点将宣布大消息，美媒称美国将宣布与英国达成贸易协议。 5. 韩国4月底外汇储备降至五年来最低，受当局稳市措施影响。 6. 香港金管局维持基准利率在4.75%不变。 7. 韩国央行委员：由于经济放缓，预计今年的经济增长将低于此前的预测，先发制人降息的必要性正在 增加。 8. 波兰央行重申可能会干预外汇市场，进一步的决策取决于数据。 13. 菲律宾经济官员：还有空间进一步放宽政策。 9. 捷克央行行长：捷克的货币政策将保持紧缩。 10. 墨西哥央行行长：央行很有可能继续降低基准利率。 11. 印尼表示不会在关税谈判中与美国讨论汇率问题。 12. 巴西央行加息50个基点至14.75%，符合市场预期。 ...

欧元/美元 -0.02% 1.137 EURUSD 英镑/美元 1.335 -0.16% GBPUSD 美元/日元 In +0.60% 143.252 USDJPY 澳元/美元 -0.25% 0.648 AUDUSD 美元/瑞郎 0.823 +0.16% USDCHF | | 纽元/美元 NZDUSD | 0.599 | | -0.22% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 元 | 英镑/日元 GBPJPY | 191.180 | | +0.44% | | | | 虚拟货币 VIRTUAL CURRENCY | | | | D | 比特币 11 BTC | 97030.010 +200.390 | | +0.21% | | 1 | 菜特币 LTC | 91.990 +0.390 | | +0.43% | | | 以太坊 ETH | 1833.710 | +16.710 | +0.92% | | | 瑞波币 XRP | 2.143 -0.012 | | -0.55% | TREASURY BONDS 金十图示：2025年05月07日（周三）欧盘市场行情一览 | 现货铂金 XP ...

Group 1 - The Kansas City Fed President, Esther George, will be absent from the FOMC meeting, with Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari voting in her place [1] - Over 55% of respondents in a Reuters survey expressed concerns about the dollar's safe-haven status, a significant increase from about one-third in the April survey [1] - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) has been reducing the duration of its U.S. Treasury holdings and diversifying investments into non-U.S. assets to manage risk [1] Group 2 - The Bank of England's interest rate decision announcement will be delayed by two minutes [2] - The U.S. Senate committee is advancing the nomination of Bowman as the Fed's Vice Chair for Supervision [2] - The Bank of Japan plans to conduct its own wage survey, which could serve as a reference for policy decisions [2] - The Swiss National Bank is prepared to intervene in the foreign exchange market if necessary and has not ruled out the possibility of negative interest rates [2] - According to ING, the decline of the Norwegian krone may be limited, with a target of 11.50 for the euro against the krone by year-end [2] - A Reuters survey predicts the euro to dollar exchange rate will be 1.13 in three months, 1.14 in six months, and 1.16 in one year [2] - The majority of emerging market currencies are expected to weaken against the dollar in the next three months according to a Reuters survey [2] - JPMorgan recommends going long on the euro against the Romanian leu, stating that the Romanian currency is "clearly moving out of intervention range" [2] - The European Commission Vice President, Šefčovič, stated that the EU is prepared to respond to U.S. tariffs, with all options on the table [2]

Group 1 - The central bank of Indonesia will maintain its presence in the foreign exchange market to uphold confidence in the rupiah [1]

欧元兑美元涨0.52%，英镑兑美元涨0.54%，美元兑瑞郎跌0.07%。 周二（5月6日）纽约尾盘，美元兑日元跌0.89%，报142.41日元，逼近北京时间21:51（美股盘初）刷新 的日低142.36日元，全天持续震荡下行。 欧元兑日元跌0.39%，报161.96日元；英镑兑日元跌0.35%，报190.377日元。 商品货币对中，澳元兑美元涨0.40%，纽元兑美元涨0.64%，美元兑加元跌0.36%——交易员看涨加元的 情绪创2009年以来新高。 ...

欧元兑日元涨1.35%，报164.19日元；英镑兑日元涨1.29%，报193.132日元。 周四（5月1日）纽约尾盘，美元兑日元上涨1.65%，报145.42日元，日内至日本央行在北京时间11:00后 不久宣布利率决议声明那段时间，持续横盘震荡于143日元一线，随后持续震荡上行，02:27刷新日高至 145.73日元。 日本财务大臣加藤胜信称，没有和美国讨论控制外汇走势的目标、框架，与美国讨论了是否需要就外汇 问题进行建设性讨论。 ...

Core Points - The central viewpoint of the article is the fluctuation of the Renminbi (RMB) exchange rates against various currencies as of April 30, 2025, indicating a general appreciation of the RMB against most currencies [1] Exchange Rate Summary - USD/RMB is reported at 7.2014, down by 15 points, indicating an appreciation of the RMB [1] - EUR/RMB is reported at 8.2250, down by 120 points [1] - HKD/RMB is reported at 0.92813, down by 4 points [1] - GBP/RMB is reported at 9.6867, down by 149 points [1] - AUD/RMB is reported at 4.6177, down by 290 points [1] - CAD/RMB is reported at 5.2298, up by 1 point [1] - JPY/RMB is reported at 5.0872, down by 25 points [1] - RMB/RUB is reported at 11.2833, down by 679 points [1] - NZD/RMB is reported at 4.2996, down by 229 points [1] - RMB/MYR is reported at 0.59837, down by 33.1 points [1] - CHF/RMB is reported at 8.7640, down by 231 points [1] - SGD/RMB is reported at 5.5219, up by 40 points [1]

Group 1 - The demand for safe-haven assets like the Japanese yen has increased due to investor concerns about the global economic outlook, prompting a reassessment of major currency trends [1][2] - Between April 15 and 22, speculative net short positions in the US dollar significantly increased among G10 currencies, influenced by uncertainties surrounding Federal Reserve policies and tariff issues, leading to a 1.72% decline in the dollar index during this period [1] - The euro appreciated by 1.21% against the dollar during the same period, although speculative positions decreased by 4.3 thousand contracts, indicating a reduction in market confidence for further euro appreciation in the short term [1] Group 2 - The Japanese yen experienced a 1.08% decline against the dollar, but speculative positions increased by 6 thousand contracts, reaching a historical high of 188.1 thousand contracts, reflecting its status as a safe-haven asset amid escalating global trade tensions [1] - The British pound rose by 0.75% against the dollar, with speculative positions increasing by 14 thousand contracts, suggesting a cautiously optimistic market outlook for the pound's future performance [1] - The Canadian dollar fell by 1.04% against the dollar, while speculative positions increased by 17 thousand contracts, indicating a market expectation of a short-term rebound in the dollar [2]

Group 1 - As of April 25, 2025, the Shanghai Export Container Freight Index reported 1347.84 points, a decrease of 22.74 points from the previous period; the China Export Container Freight Index was at 1122.40 points, reflecting a 1% increase [1] - In the Xingtai market, plans to raise coke prices have been announced, with wet quenching coke up by 50 yuan/ton and dry quenching coke up by 55 yuan/ton, effective from April 27 [1] - Vale's CFO indicated that iron ore prices are expected to stabilize around $100 per ton, but it is too early to assess the impact of trade wars on iron ore prices [1] Group 2 - Malaysia's palm oil export volume from April 1-25 reached 923,893 tons, a 14.75% increase compared to 805,130 tons in the same period last month; SGS estimates the export volume at 703,169 tons, a 3.6% increase from 678,698 tons [2] - As of April 24, methanol inventory at East China ports was 22.92 million tons, down from 29.90 million tons on April 17, a decrease of 6.98 million tons [2] - A company responded to inquiries regarding its low-cost soda ash production, stating there are no planned maintenance schedules for the Alashan natural soda project and that it has not received notifications about any price increase meetings [2]

4月以来，跨境资金延续净流入。 国家外汇管理局4月22日公布的2025年3月银行结售汇和银行代客涉外收付款数据显示，一季度外汇市场交易理性有序，跨境资金呈现净流入；企业、个人等非银行 部门跨境资金净流入517亿美元，处于同期较高水平。 国家外汇管理局副局长、新闻发言人李斌表示，下一步，外汇管理部门将持续强化外汇形势监测，保持汇率弹性，同时不断丰富跨境资金流动宏观审慎管理工具 箱，坚决对市场顺周期行为进行纠偏，防止汇率超调风险，防范跨境资金异常流动风险。 一季度外汇市场理性有序 跨境资金净流入 今年一季度，外汇市场交易理性有序，跨境资金呈现净流入。当季银行累计结汇5290亿美元，累计售汇5866亿美元；银行代客累计涉外收入18871亿美元，累计对 外付款18354亿美元。 银行结售汇逆差反映外汇市场情绪和预期。今年3月，银行结汇1896亿美元，售汇1916亿美元，逆差为20亿美元，前值为104亿美元，逆差明显收窄。 今年1至3月，银行结售汇逆差逐月收窄、趋向均衡，显示外汇市场交易理性有序。从市场购汇结汇看，3月企业等主体购汇需求回落，当月衡量购汇意愿的购汇率 （银行代客购汇与涉外外汇支出之比）为64.4%，较1 ...