Group 1 - The US non-farm payrolls for May exceeded expectations, leading to a stronger dollar and a decline in gold prices [1] - Chinese central bank's gold reserves increased to 73.83 million ounces by the end of May, marking the seventh consecutive month of gold accumulation [1] - The World Gold Council (WGC) maintains a bullish outlook on gold, citing potential price increases due to inflation eroding real yields and economic slowdown impacting equities and cyclical commodities [1] Group 2 - Despite a slowdown in the US economy, non-farm employment and unemployment rates remain stable, indicating that a recession has not yet occurred [2] - The pressure on the dollar is easing, but geopolitical factors and a weak dollar may still lead to a challenging environment for gold prices [2] - The recent slight pullback in gold prices is influenced by tariff uncertainties, but the overall price trend is expected to rise [1][2]

一、非农摘要——总数据分析 美国劳工部6月6日公布的5月非农就业数据显示，新增就业人数13.9万人，略高于市场预期的13万人，但较4月修正后的14.7万人有所放缓。失业率连续第三 个月稳定在4.2%，符合预期。薪资增速超预期，平均时薪同比增长3.9%，环比上升0.4%，显示劳动力成本压力仍存。 | | 近期数据 前次数据 最高 最低 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 失业率 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 14.9 2.5 | % | | 非农就业数据 | 139 | 147 | 4631 | -20471 千 | 从行业结构看，医疗保健、休闲酒店业贡献了主要新增岗位（12.6万个），而制造业和零售业分别减少8000和6500个职位，反映出贸易政策不确定性对实体 经济的冲击。值得注意的是，3月和4月非农数据被大幅下修，合计减少9.5万人，抵消了5月数据的积极面，显示就业市场动能边际减弱。整体而言，就业市 场仍具韧性，但增速放缓和行业分化加剧了市场对经济前景的担忧。 二、小非农ADP数据公布后，对大非农的行情影响 5月ADP私营部门就业仅增3.7万人，为两年多来最低 ...

Group 1 - As of the end of May 2025, China's foreign exchange reserves reached $328.53 billion, an increase of $3.6 billion from the end of April, marking a 0.11% rise and a continuous growth since the beginning of 2025 [1] - The increase in foreign exchange reserves is attributed to the impact of major economies' policies and growth prospects, with the dollar index experiencing slight fluctuations and global financial asset prices showing mixed trends [1] - The current level of foreign exchange reserves is considered moderately sufficient, providing a buffer against external shocks, with expectations for stability in the short term [1] Group 2 - As of the end of May 2025, the central bank's gold reserves stood at 7.383 million ounces (approximately 2,296.37 tons), with a month-on-month increase of 60,000 ounces, marking seven consecutive months of accumulation [3] - The total increase in gold reserves amounts to 1.03 million ounces, with an estimated cumulative increase value of approximately $341 million (around 2.45 billion yuan) based on the latest gold prices, although the pace of increase has slowed in May [3] - The central bank's strategy to increase gold reserves is seen as a long-term direction to enhance the credibility of the sovereign currency and facilitate the internationalization of the renminbi [3]

Group 1 - The article highlights the anticipation surrounding the upcoming non-farm payroll report and its potential impact on market expectations, particularly regarding gold prices [1] - There is speculation on whether gold can rebound to the 3400 level, indicating a focus on commodity market trends [1] - The mention of a live broadcast featuring expert analysis suggests a proactive approach to understanding market movements and investment opportunities [1]

作 者丨见习记者李益文 编 辑丨曾静娇 金珊 5月30日，国际黄金市场再度剧烈震荡，现货黄金跌破3300美元，截至10时45分，现货黄金跌0.52%，报3299.88美元/盎司。COMEX黄金主力 合约同步下挫，报3323.9美元/盎司，跌0.60%。 | < W | 伦敦金现 | | | | Q | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | SPTAUUSDOZ.IDC | | | | | | 3299.880 FF | | 3317.190 | 总量 | | 0 | | -17.310 | -0.52% 开盘 | 3317.898 | 现手 | | 0 | | 最高价 | 3322.700 持 仓 | 0 | 外盘 | | 0 | | 最低价 | 3298.248 增 仓 | 0 | 内 盘 | | 0 | | 分时 | モ日 日K | 周Ｋ | 月K | 更多 | (0) | | 叠加 | | | | | 均价:0.000 | | 3336.132 | | | | | 0.57% | | | | | | | 0.00% | | 3298.248 | | | | ...

Group 1 - The international gold price has retreated from a historical high of $3,500 per ounce, and experts predict three potential scenarios for future price movements: stability, decline, or increase [1][3] - A critical date to watch is June 17, when the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision will be announced, with a low probability of rate adjustment (5.6%) according to the Chicago Mercantile Exchange's FedWatch tool, suggesting a likely stable gold price [3] - If the Federal Reserve raises interest rates, it could lead to a decrease in gold prices due to reduced attractiveness of non-yielding assets like gold [5] Group 2 - Conversely, if the Federal Reserve announces a rate cut amid weak economic data and ongoing trade tensions, gold prices may experience a new upward trend [7] - A weaker US dollar could stimulate demand for gold, with the potential for prices to reach new highs [8] - Key factors to monitor include the Federal Reserve's statements regarding US inflation and employment, as well as the status of the US dollar index and treasury yields, which are closely linked to the gold market [8]

Group 1 - The international gold market experienced significant fluctuations, with spot gold dropping over 1% to $3270.1 per ounce, and COMEX gold futures down 0.85% to $3294.4 per ounce [1] - Domestic gold jewelry prices also fell in response, with major brands like Chow Tai Fook, Lao Feng Xiang, and others reporting prices around 1000 yuan per gram, reflecting daily declines of 0.59% to 1% [1] Group 2 - The sharp decline in gold prices is attributed to the easing of geopolitical tensions, which reduced the negative impact on the market. Gold, typically a safe-haven asset, saw sell-offs as conflicts de-escalated [3] - Recent gold price fluctuations have shown a high of $3400 and a low of $3120, indicating a downward trend in both peaks and troughs compared to previous levels. The short-term outlook suggests a triangular price pattern, with a focus on June's low price situation [3] - If the price does not break below the $3120 low, there may be a potential for a rebound in the second half of the year. Conversely, if it breaks below this level, further analysis based on fundamentals will be necessary [3]

Group 1 - The international gold market experienced significant volatility on May 29, with spot gold prices dropping over 1% to $3252.19 per ounce, while COMEX gold futures fell by 1.40% to $3276 per ounce [1][2] - Domestic gold jewelry prices in China also declined in response to international market fluctuations, with major brands like Chow Tai Fook and Lao Feng Xiang seeing prices drop to around 1000 yuan per gram [3][4] - The recent drop in gold prices is attributed to a easing of geopolitical tensions, which reduced the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [4][5] Group 2 - Recent gold price movements have shown a range between a high of $3400 and a low of $3120, indicating a downward shift in both the high and low points compared to previous levels [5] - Analysts suggest that if gold prices do not fall below the $3120 mark, there may be a potential for a rebound in the second half of the year, contingent on fundamental market conditions [5] - A recent U.S. court ruling has blocked President Trump's tariff policy, which may have implications for the broader economic environment and consequently affect gold prices [5][6]

花旗将黄金0-3个月目标价上调至3500美元/盎司，预计金价将在3100美元/盎司至3500美元/盎司之间盘 整。 ...

ETF Industry News - The three major indices collectively rose, with gold-related ETFs leading the gains. The gold stock ETF (159562.SZ) increased by 4.85%, while the gold stock ETF (517520.SH) rose by 4.63%, and the gold stock ETF fund (159322.SZ) gained 4.51% [1][10]. - The semiconductor sector saw declines, with the semiconductor leader ETF (159665.SZ) down by 1.19%, the semiconductor ETF (159813.SZ) down by 1.15%, and the chip 50 ETF (159560.SZ) down by 1.10% [1]. Bond ETF Growth - Bond ETFs have surged by over 90 billion yuan this year, with the total scale reaching 2664.75 billion yuan as of May 21. This marks a significant increase compared to the end of 2024 [2]. - Among the 29 bond ETFs, the 30-year treasury bond ETF showed the highest growth. The eight newly listed credit bond ETFs have doubled in size, reaching a total of 467.35 billion yuan from an initial 217 billion yuan [2]. Market Overview - On May 21, the A-share market saw all three major indices rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.21% to 3387.57 points, the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.44% to 10294.22 points, and the ChiNext Index up 0.83% to 2065.39 points [3]. - The recent five-day performance showed the North Stock 50 and Hang Seng Index leading with gains of 4.14% and 0.79%, respectively [3]. Sector Performance - In the sector performance, coal, non-ferrous metals, and electric power equipment led the gains with daily increases of 2.55%, 2.05%, and 1.11%, respectively. Conversely, beauty care, electronics, and media sectors lagged behind with declines of -1.09%, -0.93%, and -0.87% [5]. ETF Market Performance - The average daily increase for commodity ETFs was the highest at 2.86%, while currency ETFs showed no change [8]. - The top-performing ETFs included gold stock ETFs, with the highest daily returns being 4.85%, 4.63%, and 4.51% for the respective gold stock ETFs [10][11]. Trading Volume - The top three ETFs by trading volume were the A500 ETF fund (512050.SH) with 3.198 billion yuan, the A500 index ETF (159351.SZ) with 2.411 billion yuan, and the CSI 300 ETF (510300.SH) with 2.254 billion yuan [13][14]. - In the bond ETF category, the government bond ETF (511520.SH) led with a trading volume of 10.127 billion yuan [14].