大炼化

Search documents
行业研究——周报:大炼化周报:化工品价格跌幅不及成本,价差整体走阔
Xinda Securities· 2025-04-13 08:23
证券研究报告 行业研究——周报 [Table_ReportType] [Table_StockAndRank] 石油加工行业 [Table_Author] 左前明 能源行业首席分析师 执业编号:S1500518070001 联系电话:010-83326712 邮箱:zuoqianming@cindasc.com [Table_Summary] ➢ 国内外重点炼化项目价差跟踪:截至 4 月 11 日当周,国内重点大炼化 项目价差为 2379.29 元/吨,环比变化+63.56 元/吨(+2.74%);国外重 点大炼化项目价差为 936.99 元/吨,环比变化-75.71 元/吨(-7.48%)。 截至 4 月 11 日当周,布伦特原油周均价为 64.15 美元/桶,环比变化- 11.85%。 ➢ 【炼油板块】近期欧佩克+八大产油国达成协议,将从 5 月起"加速增产", 加之美国加征对等关税引发全球经济衰退担忧,从而减少能源需求,双 重打压下,国际原油价格下跌。本周特朗普宣布暂缓部分关税,国际原 油价格反弹上涨,抵消了小部分跌幅,但反弹上涨有限,国际油价本周 整体下跌。2025 年 4 月 11 日布伦特、WTI ...
行业研究——周报:大炼化周报:询单气氛略有改善,部分长丝产品盈利提升
Xinda Securities· 2025-03-16 04:36
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Neutral" based on the performance of the industry index relative to the benchmark [98]. Core Insights - The report indicates a slight improvement in the inquiry atmosphere for certain long filament products, leading to a marginal increase in profitability [1]. - The Brent crude oil average price for the week ending March 14, 2025, was $69.83 per barrel, reflecting a decrease of 1.25% from the previous week [1][2]. - Domestic and international refining project price differentials have shown a decline, with domestic key refining project price differential at 2413.42 CNY/ton, down 1.37% week-on-week [2]. Summary by Sections Refining Sector - The international oil price experienced fluctuations due to geopolitical tensions and changes in U.S. tariff policies, with Brent and WTI prices at $70.58 and $67.18 per barrel respectively as of March 14, 2025 [1][11]. - Domestic refined oil prices have decreased across the board, with diesel, gasoline, and aviation kerosene averaging 7188.00 CNY/ton, 8340.14 CNY/ton, and 6259.87 CNY/ton respectively [11]. Chemical Sector - The overall average price of chemical products has declined, with polyethylene prices slightly down and polypropylene prices increasing for some products [1][38]. - The price of pure benzene has dropped significantly due to reduced downstream demand, averaging 7135.71 CNY/ton [43]. - Styrene prices continue to fall under pressure from high inventory levels and weak demand, averaging 8150.00 CNY/ton [43]. Polyester Sector - The prices of polyester raw materials have continued to decline, with some long filament products showing slight improvements in profitability [1][56]. - The average price of PTA has decreased to 4785.71 CNY/ton, with an average net profit of -168.80 CNY/ton [64]. - The inquiry atmosphere for spring and summer lightweight fabrics has improved, although overall order volumes have not seen significant increases [63]. Market Performance of Major Refining Companies - As of March 14, 2025, the stock price changes for six major private refining companies were mixed, with Rongsheng Petrochemical down 0.23% and Hengli Petrochemical up 0.06% over the past week [83][84]. - The overall performance of the refining index has increased by 22.42% since September 4, 2017, outperforming the oil and petrochemical industry index [86].