大类资产
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大类资产早报-20260106
Yong An Qi Huo· 2026-01-06 01:17
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided. 2. Core View - No clear core view is presented in the given content. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Global Asset Market Performance - The report lists the latest data of 10 - year and 2 - year government bonds of major economies, dollar - to - major emerging - economy currency exchange rates, on - shore and off - shore RMB, major economy stock indices, and credit - bond indices. However, all the latest values are marked as "-" [2]. Stock Index Futures Trading Data - Index performance: A股 closed at 4023.42 with a 1.38% increase,沪深300 at 4717.75 with a 1.90% increase,上证50 at 3099.75 with a 2.26% increase,创业板 at 3294.55 with a 2.85% increase, and中证500 at 7651.20 with a 2.49% increase [3]. - Valuation: PE(TTM) of沪深300 is 14.33 with a 0.16环比 change,上证50 is 11.98 with a 0.13环比 change, and中证500 is 34.67 with a 0.87环比 change [3]. - Risk premium: No valid data provided for 1/PE - 10利率 and its环比 change [3]. - Fund flow: The latest value of A股 fund flow is 778.45,主板 is 177.68,创业板 is 398.72, and沪深300 is 368.04. The 5 - day average is - 258.09 for A股, - 275.95 for主板, 4.23 for创业板, and 48.13 for沪深300 [3]. Transaction Amount and Other Data - Transaction amount: The latest values of沪深两市,沪深300,上证50,中小板, and创业板 are 25462.71, 6305.77, 1695.62, 5236.93, and 6962.18 respectively, with环比 changes of 5011.29, 1860.85, 618.94, 834.18, and 1525.26 [4]. - Main contract basis: The basis of IF is - 20.75 (- 0.44%), IH is - 0.95 (- 0.03%), and IC is - 55.20 (- 0.72%) [4]. Treasury Futures Trading Data - Treasury futures: T2303 closed at 107.86 with a 0.00% change, TF2303 at 105.71 with a - 0.05% change, T2306 at 107.85 with a - 0.03% change, and TF2306 at 105.72 with a - 0.02% change [4]. Money Market - Fund rates: R001 is 1.3315% with a - 83.00 BP daily change, R007 is 1.4861% with a - 67.00 BP daily change, and SHIBOR - 3M is 1.5960% with a 0.00 BP daily change [4].
永安期货大类资产早报-20260105
Yong An Qi Huo· 2026-01-05 03:15
Group 1: Global Asset Market Performance - The latest yields of 10 - year government bonds in major economies: US 4.169, UK 4.476, France 3.562, Germany 2.854, Italy 3.548, Spain 3.286, Switzerland 0.277, Greece 3.439, Japan 2.059, Brazil 6.209, China 1.843, Australia 4.741, New Zealand 4.397 [3] - The latest yields of 2 - year government bonds in major economies: US 3.475, UK 3.714, Germany 2.120, Japan 1.168, Italy 2.194, China (1Y yield) 1.342, Australia 4.056 [3] - The latest exchange rates of the US dollar against major emerging - economy currencies: Brazil (not fully shown), Russia (not fully shown), South Africa zar 16.561, South Korean won (not fully shown), Thai baht (not fully shown), Malaysian ringgit 4.060 [3] - The latest exchange rates of the RMB: on - shore RMB 6.988, off - shore RMB 6.976, RMB central parity rate 7.029, RMB 12 - month NDF 6.862 [3] - The latest values of major economies' stock indexes: S&P 500 6845.500, Dow Jones Industrial Average 48063.290, Nasdaq 23241.990, Mexican Index 64308.290, UK Index 9931.380, France CAC 8149.500, German DAX (not fully shown), Spanish Index 17307.800, Russian Index (not fully shown), Nikkei (not fully shown), Hang Seng Index 25630.540, Shanghai Composite Index 3968.840, Taiwan Index (not fully shown), South Korean Index (not fully shown), Indian Index (not fully shown), Thai Index (not fully shown), Malaysian Index 1680.110, Australian Index 9018.786, Emerging - economy Index 1404.370 [3] - The latest values of credit - bond indexes: US investment - grade credit - bond index 3545.180, Eurozone investment - grade credit - bond index 265.782, Emerging - economy investment - grade credit - bond index 290.360, US high - yield credit - bond index 2914.490, Eurozone high - yield credit - bond index 410.300, Emerging - economy high - yield credit - bond index 1824.631 [3] Group 2: Stock Index Futures Trading Data - Index performance: A - shares' closing price is 3968.84 with a 0.09% increase; CSI 300's closing price is 4629.94 with a - 0.46% decrease; SSE 50's closing price is 3031.13 with a - 0.18% decrease; ChiNext's closing price is 3203.17 with a - 1.23% decrease; CSI 500's closing price is 7465.57 with a 0.09% increase [4] - Valuation: PE (TTM) of CSI 300 is 14.17 with a - 0.02 change; SSE 50 is 11.85 with a 0.02 change; CSI 500 is 33.80 with a 0.01 change; S&P 500 is 27.34 with a - 0.21 change; German DAX is 18.95 with a 0.00 change [4] - Risk premium: 1/PE - 10 - year interest rate of S&P 500 is - 0.51 with a - 0.02 change; German DAX is 2.42 with a 0.00 change [4] - Fund flow: The latest values for A - shares are - 601.31, for the main board - 430.72, for the ChiNext - 108.75, for CSI 300 - 177.02; the 5 - day average values for A - shares are - 401.18, for the main board - 313.35, for the ChiNext - 66.25, for CSI 300 - 21.09 [4] - Transaction amount: The latest values for the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets are 20451.42 with a - 971.84 change; for CSI 300 are 4444.92 with a - 126.93 change; for SSE 50 are 1076.68 with a - 55.07 change; for the small - and - medium - sized board are 4402.75 with a - 233.99 change; for the ChiNext are 5436.92 with a - 158.03 change [5] - Main contract basis and spread: For IF, the basis is - 30.14 with a - 0.65% spread; for IH, the basis is - 6.13 with a - 0.20% spread; for IC, the basis is - 102.77 with a - 1.38% spread [5] Group 3: Treasury Bond Futures Trading Data - Closing prices of treasury bond futures: T2303 is 107.86 with a - 0.07% change; TF2303 is 105.76 with a - 0.05% change; T2306 is 107.88 with a - 0.06% change; TF2306 is 105.75 with a - 0.07% change [5] - Fund interest rates: R001 is 1.4568% with a - 60.00 BP change; R007 is 2.1559% with a 10.00 BP change; SHIBOR - 3M is 1.6000% with a 0.00 BP change [5]
大类资产早报-20251231
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-12-31 01:12
Global Asset Market Performance - The latest yields of 10 - year government bonds in major economies: 4.123% in the US, 4.497% in the UK, 3.562% in France, 2.854% in Germany, 3.548% in Italy, 3.286% in Spain, 0.276% in Switzerland, 3.439% in Greece, 2.059% in Japan, 6.197% in Brazil, 1.851% in China, 4.746% in Australia, 4.381% in New Zealand [1] - The latest yields of 2 - year government bonds in major economies: 3.449% in the US, 3.721% in the UK, 2.119% in Germany, 1.168% in Japan, 2.193% in Italy, 1.332% in China (1Y yield), 4.041% in Australia [1] - The exchange rates of the US dollar against major emerging - economy currencies: 16.593 against the South African rand, 1439.750 against the South Korean won, 31.505 against the Thai baht, 4.049 against the Malaysian ringgit. The latest on - shore RMB exchange rate is 6.996, and the offshore RMB exchange rate is 6.992 [1] - The latest values of major economies' stock indices: 6896.240 for the Dow Jones, 48367.060 for the S&P 500, 23419.080 for the Industrial Index, 64366.700 for the Nasdaq, 9940.710 for the Mexican stock index, 8168.150 for the UK stock index, 24490.410 for the French CAC, 17354.900 for the German DAX, etc [1] - The latest value of the US investment - grade credit bond index is 5.475 [1] Stock Index Futures Trading Data - Index performance: The closing prices of A - shares, CSI 300, SSE 50, ChiNext, and CSI 500 are 3965.12, 4651.28, 3036.55, 3242.90, and 7458.94 respectively. The percentage changes are - 0.00%, 0.26%, 0.06%, 0.63%, and 0.38% respectively [2] - Valuation: The PE (TTM) of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, S&P 500, and German DAX are 14.19, 11.83, 33.79, 27.55, and 18.95 respectively. The环比 changes are 0.03, 0.02, 0.09, - 0.03, and 0.10 respectively [2] - Risk premium: The 1/PE - 10 - year interest rate of S&P 500 is - 0.49, and that of German DAX is 2.42. The环比 changes are 0.00 and - 0.06 respectively [2] - Fund flow: The latest values of A - shares, the main board, the small and medium - sized enterprise board, ChiNext, and CSI 300 are - 279.78, - 268.14, N/A, - 0.27, and 84.86 respectively. The 5 - day average values are - 155.53, - 161.57, N/A, 5.04, and 31.34 respectively [2] Other Trading Data - Transaction amount: The latest values of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, CSI 300, SSE 50, the small and medium - sized board, and ChiNext are 21423.26, 4571.85, 1131.75, 4636.74, and 5594.95 respectively. The环比 changes are 29.88, - 254.29, - 39.45, 7.14, and 215.29 respectively [3] - Main contract's premium or discount: The basis of IF, IH, and IC are - 29.08, - 1.15, and - 77.94 respectively. The amplitudes are - 0.63%, - 0.04%, and - 1.04% respectively [3] - Treasury futures trading data: The closing prices of T2303, TF2303, T2306, and TF2306 are 107.94, 105.82, 107.95, and 105.82 respectively. The percentage changes are - 0.03%, - 0.02%, - 0.04%, and - 0.02% respectively [3] - Fund interest rates: The R001, R007, and SHIBOR - 3M are 1.3782%, 2.0620%, and 1.6000% respectively. The daily changes are - 56.00BP, 12.00BP, and 0.00BP respectively [3]
大类资产早报-20251230
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-12-30 00:52
Group 1: Global Asset Market Performance - The latest yields of 10 - year government bonds in major economies: US 4.111, UK 4.486, France 3.524, Germany 2.828, Italy 3.503, Spain 3.249, Switzerland 0.263, Greece 3.393, Japan 2.045, Brazil 6.156, China 1.854, Australia 4.755, New Zealand 4.439 [3] - The latest yields of 2 - year government bonds in major economies: US 3.456, UK 3.715, Germany 2.114, Japan 1.151, Italy 2.205, China (1Y yield) 1.324, Australia 4.049 [3] - The latest exchange rates of the US dollar against major emerging - economy currencies: Brazil 5.573, South Africa zar 16.678, Korean won 1434.000, Thai baht 31.448, Malaysian ringgit 4.060 [3] - The latest exchange rates of the RMB: on - shore RMB 7.006, off - shore RMB 6.997, RMB central parity rate 7.033, RMB 12 - month NDF 6.871 [3] - The latest values of major economies' stock indices: S&P 500 6905.740, Dow Jones Industrial Average 48461.930, Nasdaq 23474.350, Mexican stock index 65347.080, UK stock index 9866.530, France CAC 8112.020, Germany DAX 24351.120, Spanish stock index 17195.800, Japanese Nikkei 50526.920, Hong Kong Hang Seng Index 25635.230, Shanghai Composite Index 3965.280, Taiwan stock index 28810.890, South Korean stock index 4220.560, Indian stock index 8644.256, Thai stock index 1254.030, Malaysian stock index 1680.990, Australian stock index 9032.046, emerging - economy stock index 1401.660 [3] - The latest values of credit - bond indices: Eurozone investment - grade credit - bond index 265.878, Eurozone high - yield credit - bond index 410.230 [3] Group 2: Stock Index Futures Trading Data - Index performance: A - share closing price 3965.28, up 0.04%; CSI 300 closing price 4639.37, down 0.38%; SSE 50 closing price 3034.63, down 0.35%; ChiNext closing price 3222.61, down 0.66%; CSI 500 closing price 7430.61, down 0.38% [4] - Valuation: PE (TTM) of CSI 300 is 14.16 (up 0.01), SSE 50 is 11.81 (up 0.03), CSI 500 is 33.70 (down 0.13), S&P 500 is 27.59 (down 0.09), Germany DAX is 18.85 (up 0.01) [4] - Risk premium: 1/PE - 10 - year interest rate of S&P 500 is - 0.49 (up 0.03), Germany DAX is 2.48 [4] - Fund flow: A - shares' latest value is - 858.51, 5 - day average is - 242.00; Main - board's latest value is - 675.82, 5 - day average is - 229.00; ChiNext's latest value is - 163.63, 5 - day average is - 17.01; CSI 300's latest value is - 150.77, 5 - day average is 25.26 [4] Group 3: Other Trading Data - Transaction amount: The latest value of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets is 21393.38 (down 208.53), CSI 300 is 4826.14 (up 221.87), SSE 50 is 1171.20 (up 162.03), small and medium - sized board is 4629.60 (down 42.78), ChiNext is 5379.66 (down 333.48) [5] - Main contract basis and spread: IF basis is - 29.17 (- 0.63%), IH basis is 3.37 (0.11%), IC basis is - 94.01 (- 1.27%) [5] - Treasury - bond futures: T2303 closing price is 107.98 (down 0.30%), TF2303 closing price is 105.84 (down 0.20%), T2306 closing price is 107.99 (down 0.30%), TF2306 closing price is 105.85 (down 0.17%) [5] - Fund interest rates: R001 is 1.3376% (down 19.00 BP), R007 is 1.9360% (up 41.00 BP), SHIBOR - 3M is 1.6000% (no change) [5]
市场偏好有所回升风险资产价格上涨:大类资产运行周报(20251222-20251226)-20251229
Guo Tou Qi Huo· 2025-12-29 13:24
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. 2. Core View of the Report - From December 22 to December 26, 2025, market sentiment improved, and risk - asset prices rose. In the global market, the U.S. Q3 real GDP annualized quarterly - on - quarterly rate was 4.3%, higher than the previous value and expectations, with the U.S. dollar index falling weekly, and stocks, bonds, and commodities rising. In the domestic market, the year - on - year growth rate of the profits of industrial enterprises above designated size in November narrowed, and stocks and commodities rose weekly, while the bond market was strong. Overall, in terms of price performance, commodities > stocks > bonds both globally and domestically. In the short term, attention should be paid to changes in geopolitical factors as year - end geopolitical risks have increased, affecting short - term price fluctuations of major assets [3][6][19]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Global Major Asset Overall Performance: U.S. Dollar Index Drops, Stocks, Bonds, and Commodities Rise - **Global Stock Market**: The short - term risk appetite improved, and major global stock markets generally rose. The Asia - Pacific region had the highest increase, and emerging markets outperformed developed markets. The VIX index continued to decline at a low level. For example, the MSCI Asia - Pacific region rose 2.20% in a week, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 1.88%, etc. [8][11] - **Global Bond Market**: Fed officials showed differences in their stances on the January 2026 monetary policy. Medium - and long - term U.S. bond yields generally declined, with the yield of the 10 - year U.S. bond falling 2BP to 4.14% weekly. The bond market rose weekly, and globally, government bonds > credit bonds > high - yield bonds [15]. - **Global Foreign Exchange Market**: Recent data showed the resilience of the U.S. economy, and there were differences in the policy expectations of major global central banks. The U.S. dollar index fell weekly by 0.69%, and major non - U.S. currencies generally appreciated against the U.S. dollar. The RMB exchange rate was strong [16]. - **Global Commodity Market**: The price - driving factors were not obvious, and international oil prices fluctuated strongly weekly. Affected by supply - demand factors and the weakening of the U.S. dollar index, international silver prices rose significantly. Most major agricultural products and non - ferrous metals prices rose [17]. 3.2 Domestic Major Asset Performance: Stocks and Commodities Rise, Bond Market Runs Strongly - **Domestic Stock Market**: Market sentiment warmed up, and major A - share broad - based indexes rose. The average daily trading volume of the two markets increased compared with the previous week. In terms of style, the growth style had the highest increase. In terms of sectors, non - ferrous metals and military industries led the increase, while the commercial retail and banking sectors performed poorly. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 1.88% weekly [20]. - **Domestic Bond Market**: The central bank's net investment in the open - market operations was 1.552 billion yuan, and the capital market remained generally stable. The bond market was strong weekly, with government bonds > credit bonds > corporate bonds [24]. - **Domestic Commodity Market**: The domestic commodity market rose as a whole. Among the major commodity sectors, precious metals led the increase [26]. 3.3 Major Asset Price Outlook: Pay Attention to Geopolitical Factor Changes in the Short Term - At the end of the year, geopolitical risks have increased, which will have a certain impact on the short - term price fluctuations of major assets. Therefore, close attention should be paid to changes in major global geopolitical factors [27].
大类资产早报-20251229
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-12-29 01:06
Global Asset Market Performance - 10-year Treasury yields: US at 4.129, Japan at 2.034, Brazil at 6.191, China at 1.833, South Korea at 3.371 [1] - 2-year Treasury yields: US at 3.480, Japan at 1.102, China (1Y yield) at 1.293, South Korea at 2.797 [1] - USD exchange rates against major emerging economies: Brazil at 5.544, South Africa (zar) at 16.661, South Korea (won) at 1442.300, Thailand (baht) at 31.068, Malaysia (ringgit) at 4.049 [1] - RMB exchange rates: Onshore at 7.005, offshore at 7.005, mid - price at 7.036, 12 - month NDF at 6.886 [1] - Major stock indices: S&P 500 at 6929.940, Dow Jones Industrial Average at 48710.970, NASDAQ at 23593.100, Nikkei at 50750.390, Shanghai Composite Index at 3963.679 [1] - Credit bond indices: US investment - grade at 3546.540, Eurozone investment - grade at 265.380, emerging economies investment - grade at 290.230, US high - yield at 2908.630, Eurozone high - yield at 409.840, emerging economies high - yield at 1822.849 [1] Stock Index Futures Trading Data - Index closing prices: A - shares at 3963.68, CSI 300 at 4657.24, SSE 50 at 3045.40, ChiNext at 3243.88, CSI 500 at 7458.84 [2] - Index price changes (%): A - shares at 0.10, CSI 300 at 0.32, SSE 50 at 0.41, ChiNext at 0.14, CSI 500 at 0.65 [2] - Index valuations (PE(TTM)): CSI 300 at 14.13, SSE 50 at 11.78, CSI 500 at 33.61, S&P 500 at 27.68, Germany DAX at 18.84 [2] - Index valuation环比 changes: CSI 300 at 0.00, SSE 50 at 0.00, CSI 500 at 0.00, S&P 500 at - 0.01, Germany DAX at 0.00 [2] - Index risk premiums (1/PE - 10 - year interest rate): S&P 500 at - 0.52 [2] - Index risk premium环比 changes: S&P 500 at 0.00 [2] Transaction Amount and Basis Data - Transaction amounts: Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets at 21601.91, CSI 300 at 4604.27, SSE 50 at 1009.17, SME board at 4672.38, ChiNext at 5713.14 [3] - Transaction amount环比 changes: Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets at 2356.68, CSI 300 at 750.71, SSE 50 at 188.41, SME board at 520.91, ChiNext at 450.21 [3] - Futures basis: IF at - 18.84, IH at 6.00, IC at - 70.84 [3] - Futures basis amplitude (%): IF at - 0.40, IH at 0.20, IC at - 0.95 [3] Treasury Futures Trading Data - Treasury futures closing prices: T2303 at 108.30, TF2303 at 106.05, T2306 at 108.32, TF2306 at 106.03 [3] - Treasury futures price changes (%): T2303 at 0.10, TF2303 at 0.06, T2306 at 0.10, TF2306 at 0.04 [3] Money Market Data - Money market interest rates: R001 at 1.3450%, R007 at 1.5264%, SHIBOR - 3M at 1.6000% [3] - Money market interest rate daily changes (BP): R001 at - 17.00, R007 at 1.00, SHIBOR - 3M at 0.00 [3]
大类资产早报-20251225
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-12-25 01:15
1. Report Information - Report title: "Big Asset Morning Report" - Report date: December 25, 2025 - Report team: Macro Team of the Research Center [1] 2. Global Asset Market Performance 2.1 Bond Market - **10 - year Treasury Bonds**: The latest yields of 10 - year Treasury bonds in major economies are as follows: US 4.136%, UK 4.504%, France 3.561%, Germany 2.861%, Italy 3.550%, Spain 3.286%, Switzerland 0.293%, Greece 3.444%, Japan 2.042%, Brazil 6.159%, China 1.835%, Australia 4.740%, New Zealand 4.448% [2] - **2 - year Treasury Bonds**: The latest yields of 2 - year Treasury bonds in major economies are: US 3.506%, UK 3.721%, Germany 2.140%, Japan 1.098%, Italy 2.261%, China (1 - year yield) 1.336%, Australia 4.031% [2] 2.2 Exchange - rate Market - **USD against Major Emerging - economy Currencies**: The latest exchange rates of the US dollar against major emerging - economy currencies are: Brazil 5.540, South Africa (zar) 16.665, South Korea (won) 1446.900, Thailand (baht) 31.022, Malaysia (ringgit) 4.047. The latest rates of on - shore RMB, off - shore RMB, RMB central parity rate, and RMB 12 - month NDF are 7.016, 7.007, 7.047, and 6.886 respectively [2] 2.3 Stock Market - **Major Economies' Stock Indexes**: The latest values of major economies' stock indexes are: S&P 500 6932.050, Dow Jones Industrial Average 48731.160, NASDAQ 23613.310, Mexico Stock Index 65616.430, UK Stock Index 9870.680, France CAC 8103.580, Spain Stock Index 17172.900, Russia Stock Index (not available), Nikkei 50344.100, Hang Seng Index 25818.930, Shanghai Composite Index 3940.947, Taiwan Stock Index 28371.980, South Korea Stock Index 4108.620, India Stock Index 8537.911, Thailand Stock Index 1275.330, Malaysia Stock Index 1678.310, Australia Stock Index 9068.961, Emerging - economy Stock Index 1392.070 [2] 2.4 Credit - bond Market - **Credit - bond Indexes**: The latest values of credit - bond indexes are: US investment - grade credit - bond index 3545.840, Euro - zone investment - grade credit - bond index 265.380, emerging - economy investment - grade credit - bond index 290.210, US high - yield credit - bond index 2909.190, Euro - zone high - yield credit - bond index 409.840, emerging - economy high - yield credit - bond index 1822.849 [2] 3. Stock - index Futures Trading Data 3.1 Index Performance - The closing prices of A - share, CSI 300, SSE 50, ChiNext, and CSI 500 are 3940.95, 4634.06, 3025.18, 3229.58, and 7352.04 respectively. The percentage changes are 0.53%, 0.29%, - 0.08%, 0.77%, and 1.31% respectively [3] 3.2 Valuation - The PE (TTM) of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, S&P 500, and Germany DAX are 14.11, 11.78, 33.37, 27.69, and 18.84 respectively. The环比changes are 0.02, - 0.02, 0.41, 0.09, and 0.00 respectively [3] 3.3 Risk Premium - The risk premiums (1/PE - 10 - year interest rate) of S&P 500 and Germany DAX are - 0.52 and 2.45 respectively. The环比changes are 0.02 and 0.00 respectively [3] 3.4 Fund Flow - The latest values of fund flow in A - share, main board, ChiNext, and CSI 300 are 626.94, 328.21, 247.71, and 85.15 respectively. The 5 - day average values are - 22.94, - 42.38, 19.99, and 73.46 respectively [3] 3.5 Transaction Amount and Basis - The latest transaction amounts of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, CSI 300, SSE 50, small - and medium - sized board, and ChiNext are 18802.68, 4063.76, 912.64, 3992.53, and 5025.69 respectively. The环比changes are - 195.73, - 267.65, - 192.06, 102.09, and 88.86 respectively. The basis of IF, IH, and IC are - 39.06, 1.82, and - 111.64 respectively, with the corresponding basis spreads of - 0.84%, 0.06%, and - 1.52% [4] 4. Treasury - futures Trading Data - The closing prices of T2303, TF2303, T2306, and TF2306 are 108.23, 106.03, 108.23, and 106.02 respectively. The percentage changes are 0.01%, 0.00%, 0.01%, and - 0.01% respectively. The funding rates of R001, R007, and SHIBOR - 3M are 1.3568%, 1.5198%, and 1.6000% respectively, with the daily changes of - 14.00 BP, 2.00 BP, and 0.00 BP [4]
大类资产早报-20251223
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-12-23 01:11
Group 1: Global Asset Market Performance - The latest yields of 10 - year treasury bonds in major economies: US 4.165%, UK 4.535%, France 3.611%, Germany 2.897%, Italy 3.598%, Spain 3.332%, Switzerland 0.307%, Greece 3.482%, Japan 2.077%, Brazil 6.184%, China 1.835%, Australia 4.794%, New Zealand 4.475% [3] - The latest yields of 2 - year treasury bonds in major economies: US 3.508%, UK 3.736%, Germany 2.147%, Japan 1.113%, Italy 2.262%, China (1Y yield) 1.356%, Australia 4.075% [3] - The latest exchange rates of the US dollar against major emerging - economy currencies: Brazil 5.592, South Africa zar 16.711, South Korean won 1480.700, Thai baht 31.180, Malaysian ringgit 4.078. The latest on - shore RMB is 7.037, offshore RMB is 7.031, RMB central parity is 7.057, and RMB 12 - month NDF is 6.902 [3] - The latest values of major economies' stock indices: S&P 500 6878.490, Dow Jones Industrial Average 48362.680, Nasdaq 23428.830, Mexican stock index 64778.180, UK stock index 9865.970, French CAC 8121.070, German DAX 24283.970, Spanish stock index 17158.000, Russian stock index (not available), Nikkei 50402.390, Hang Seng Index 25801.770, Shanghai Composite Index 3917.364, Taiwan stock index 28149.640, South Korean stock index 4105.930, Indian stock index 8645.844, Thai stock index 1269.680, Malaysian stock index 1671.290, Australian stock index 9000.726, emerging - economy stock index 1383.830 [3] - The latest values of credit - bond indices: Eurozone investment - grade credit - bond index 264.992, Eurozone high - yield credit - bond index 409.720 [3] Group 2: Stock Index Futures Trading Data - Index performance: A - share closing price is 3917.36 with a 0.69% increase, CSI 300 closing price is 4611.62 with a 0.95% increase, SSE 50 closing price is 3020.23 with a 0.53% increase, ChiNext closing price is 3191.98 with a 2.23% increase, and CSI 500 closing price is 7255.66 with a 1.20% increase [4] - Valuation: PE(TTM) of CSI 300 is 14.05 with a 0.08环比 change, SSE 50 is 11.76 with a 0.06环比 change, CSI 500 is 32.95 with a 0.37环比 change, S&P 500 is 27.48 with a 0.18环比 change, and German DAX is 18.79 with a - 0.01环比 change [4] - Risk premium: 1/PE - 10 - year interest rate of S&P 500 is - 0.53 with a - 0.04环比 change, German DAX is 2.42 with a - 0.01环比 change [4] - Fund flow: The latest value of A - share fund flow is 58.51, main - board is - 112.17, ChiNext is 108.59, and CSI 300 is 222.28. The 5 - day average values are - 66.43 for A - shares, - 50.91 for the main board, - 1.48 for ChiNext, and 131.41 for CSI 300 [4] Group 3: Other Trading Data - Transaction amount: The latest transaction amount of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets is 18619.40 with a 1360.25环比 change, CSI 300 is 4482.41 with a 766.64环比 change, SSE 50 is 1067.35 with a 117.95环比 change, small - and - medium - sized board is 3801.25 with a 289.02环比 change, and ChiNext is 4826.42 with a 443.70环比 change [5] - Main contract basis and spread: IF basis is - 46.82 with a - 1.02% spread, IH basis is - 1.83 with a - 0.06% spread, IC basis is - 132.46 with a - 1.83% spread [5] - Treasury futures: T2303 closing price is 107.98 with a - 0.16% change, TF2303 closing price is 105.86 with a - 0.10% change, T2306 closing price is 108.01 with a - 0.16% change, TF2306 closing price is 105.86 with a - 0.10% change [5] - Fund rates: R001 is 1.3547% with a - 16.00 BP daily change, R007 is 1.5063% with a 0.00 BP daily change, SHIBOR - 3M is 1.6010% with a 0.00 BP daily change [5]
大类资产早报-20251222
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-12-22 01:12
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information found. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The report presents the performance of global asset markets, including the latest yields of 10 - year and 2 - year government bonds in major economies, exchange rates of the US dollar against major emerging - economy currencies, and the latest values of major economies' stock indices and credit bond indices. It also provides stock index futures trading data such as closing prices, price changes, valuations, risk premiums, and fund flows. Additionally, it includes trading data for treasury bond futures, money market interest rates, and trading volume and price changes of the stock market [3][4][5]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Global Asset Market Performance - **Government Bond Yields**: The latest 10 - year government bond yields are 4.148% in the US, 4.523% in the UK, 3.611% in France, etc.; 2 - year government bond yields are 3.484% in the US, 3.746% in the UK, etc. [3] - **Exchange Rates**: The US dollar to Brazilian real exchange rate is 5.543, to South African rand is 16.776, etc. The on - shore RMB exchange rate is 7.041, the off - shore RMB is 7.034, etc. [3] - **Stock Indices**: The latest values of major stock indices are 6834.500 for the S&P 500, 48134.890 for the Dow Jones Industrial Index, etc. [3] - **Credit Bond Indices**: The latest values of credit bond indices are 3534.890 for the US investment - grade credit bond index, 265.100 for the euro - zone investment - grade credit bond index, etc. [3] Stock Index Futures Trading Data - **Index Performance**: The closing prices of A - shares, CSI 300, SSE 50, ChiNext, and CSI 500 are 3890.45, 4568.18, 3004.34, 3122.24, and 7169.55 respectively, with price changes of 0.36%, 0.34%, 0.19%, 0.49%, and 0.97% respectively. [4] - **Valuation**: The PE(TTM) of the CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, S&P 500, and German DAX are 13.97, 11.70, 32.58, 27.30, and 18.80 respectively, with环比 changes of 0.01, - 0.02, 0.29, 0.24, and 0.07 respectively. [4] - **Risk Premium**: The risk premium (1/PE - 10 - year interest rate) of the S&P 500 is - 0.49 with a环比 change of - 0.06, and that of the German DAX is 2.43 with a环比 change of - 0.06. [4] - **Fund Flows**: The latest fund flow values for A - shares, the main board, small - and medium - sized enterprise board, ChiNext, and CSI 300 are 369.45, 489.44, N/A, - 38.03, and 163.95 respectively, and the 5 - day average values are - 208.57, - 96.34, N/A, - 61.15, and 54.52 respectively. [4] Other Trading Data - **Stock Market Transaction Amount**: The latest transaction amounts of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, CSI 300, SSE 50, small - and medium - sized board, and ChiNext are 17259.15, 3715.77, 949.40, 3512.23, and 4382.72 respectively, with环比 changes of 704.32, - 105.25, 122.23, 197.55, and - 61.24 respectively. [5] - **Stock Index Futures Basis**: The basis of IF, IH, and IC are - 41.18, 2.06, and - 114.15 respectively, with basis spreads of - 0.90%, 0.07%, and - 1.59% respectively. [5] - **Treasury Bond Futures Trading**: The closing prices of T2303, TF2303, T2306, and TF2306 are 108.15, 105.97, 108.18, and 105.97 respectively, with price changes of 0.13%, 0.11%, 0.12%, and 0.10% respectively. [5] - **Money Market Interest Rates**: The interest rates of R001, R007, and SHIBOR - 3M are 1.3517%, 1.5148%, and 1.6022% respectively, with daily changes of - 17.00BP, - 1.00BP, and 0.00BP respectively. [5]
大类资产早报-20251217
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-12-17 01:25
Group 1: Global Asset Market Performance - Latest yields of 10 - year government bonds in major economies: US 4.146, UK 4.518, France 3.547, Germany 2.844, Italy 3.542, Spain 3.280, Switzerland 0.277, Greece 3.422, Japan 1.952, Brazil 6.168, China 1.844, South Korea (not available), Australia 4.727, New Zealand 4.452 [1] - Latest yields of 2 - year government bonds in major economies: US 3.488, UK 3.759, Germany 2.132, Japan 1.059, Italy 2.248, China (1Y yield) 1.380, South Korea (not available), Australia 4.019 [1] - Latest exchange rates of the US dollar against major emerging - economy currencies: Brazil 5.468, Russia (not available), South Africa zar 16.759, South Korean won 1473.200, Thai baht 31.522, Malaysian ringgit 4.086 [1] - Latest exchange rates of the Chinese yuan: on - shore 7.043, off - shore 7.036, mid - price 7.060, 12 - month NDF 6.909 [1] - Latest stock indices of major economies: S&P 500 6800.260, Dow Jones Industrial Average 48114.260, Nasdaq 23111.460, Mexican index 63230.870, UK index 9684.790, French CAC 8106.160, German DAX 24076.870, Spanish index 16921.900, Russian index (not available), Nikkei 49383.290, Hang Seng Index 25235.410, Shanghai Composite Index 3824.812, Taiwan index 27536.660, South Korean index 3999.130, Indian index 8686.469, Thai index 1260.680, Malaysian index 1648.310, Australian index 8880.633, emerging - economy index 1352.660 [1] - Latest credit - bond indices: US investment - grade 3533.650, euro - zone investment - grade 265.441, emerging - economy investment - grade 290.080, US high - yield 2898.000, euro - zone high - yield 409.250, emerging - economy high - yield 1817.098 [1] Group 2: Stock Index Futures Trading Data - Index performance: A - share closing price 3824.81, down 1.11%; CSI 300 closing price 4497.55, down 1.20%; SSE 50 closing price 2954.79, down 1.08%; ChiNext closing price 3071.76, down 2.10%; CSI 500 closing price 7001.32, down 1.58% [2] - Valuation: PE (TTM) of CSI 300 13.77 (down 0.12), SSE 50 11.52 (down 0.09), CSI 500 31.86 (down 0.49), S&P 500 27.16 (down 0.09), German DAX 18.65 (down 0.12) [2] - Risk premium: 1/PE - 10 - year interest rate of S&P 500 - 0.46 (up 0.04), German DAX 2.52 (up 0.04) [2] - Fund flow: A - share latest value - 1087.65, 5 - day average - 674.95; main board latest value - 777.32, 5 - day average - 496.24; small - and - medium - sized enterprise board (not available); ChiNext latest value - 214.64, 5 - day average - 136.24; CSI 300 latest value - 147.68, 5 - day average - 96.94 [2] Group 3: Transaction Data and Other Market Information - Transaction amount: Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets latest value 17241.73, down 492.66; CSI 300 latest value 3905.00, down 338.83; SSE 50 latest value 1033.24, down 78.10; small - cap board latest value 3381.18, down 25.44; ChiNext latest value 4461.76, down 206.17 [3] - Main contract basis and basis ratio: IF basis 1.85, basis ratio 0.04%; IH basis - 3.39, basis ratio - 0.11%; IC basis 8.88, basis ratio 0.13% [3] - Treasury futures closing prices: T2303 107.91, up 0.03%; TF2303 105.80, up 0.01%; T2306 107.92, up 0.02%; TF2306 105.80, up 0.01% [3] - Fund interest rates: R001 1.3448%, down 17.00 BP; R007 1.5003%, down 1.00 BP; SHIBOR - 3M 1.5950%, up 1.00 BP [3]