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申万宏源:明年年中或迎全面行情 看好科技和制造业板块
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-11-18 23:21
11月18日,申万宏源在上海举办2026资本市场投资年会。申万宏源认为,2026年将是改革与发展全 面发力的一年,2026年年中A股行情可能全面启动,科技产业趋势和我国制造业全球影响力提升将是市 场主线。 与会人士认为,2026年是"十五五"开启之年,中国经济和资本市场都将进入高质量发展的新阶段。 正成为经济增长的新动力 申万宏源党委书记、董事长刘健在致辞中表示,过去依靠投资和出口为双引擎,我国经济实现快速 赶超和发展。党的十八大以来,我国经济发展进入新常态,在科创驱动下,以知识、技术、数据、算 力、人才等为代表的新要素和新资产正成为推动我国经济增长的新动力。"未来中国经济的增长不再是 旧动能的延伸,而是新要素动能的拓展,这将为资本市场投资打开全新空间。" 在申万宏源证券首席经济学家赵伟看来,"十五五"时期或将是全面深化改革的攻坚突破期,2026年 或将是党的二十届三中全会以来改革全面加速的开始。随着扩内需政策持续深化,2026年名义GDP修复 过程中将带动企业盈利改善;消费需求中服务需求弹性更大,投资增速更容易"前低后高"。 从资本市场发展的角度来看,刘健认为,"十五五"规划强调坚持有效市场和有为政府相结合 ...
数据复盘丨传媒、计算机等行业走强 57股获主力资金净流入超1亿元
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-11-18 10:40
沪深两市主力资金净流出633.91亿元 4个行业主力资金呈现净流入 (原标题:数据复盘丨传媒、计算机等行业走强 57股获主力资金净流入超1亿元) 11月18日,上证指数全天震荡走低;深证成指、创业板指早盘窄幅震荡,午后震荡下探,尾盘有所回升;科创50指数早盘冲高回落,午后持续回 落,尾盘有所回升。截至收盘,上证指数报3939.81点,跌0.81%,成交额7909亿元;深证成指报13080.49点,跌0.92%,成交额11351.19亿元;创 业板指报3069.22点,跌1.16%,成交额5088.41亿元;科创50指数报1357.93点,涨0.29%,成交额612亿元。沪深两市合计成交19260.19亿元,成交 额较上一交易日增加152.61亿元。 传媒、计算机等行业走强 ST中迪20连板 盘面上来看,行业板块、概念跌多涨少。其中,传媒、计算机、教育、电子等行业涨幅靠前;Kimi、AI语料、拼多多、盲盒经济、短剧互动游戏 等概念走势活跃。电力设备、煤炭、有色金属、钢铁、化工、房地产、环保、石油石化等行业跌幅居前;钛白粉、刀片电池、有机硅、氟化工、 固态电池、低碳冶金、统一大市场、黄金、复合集流体等概念走势较弱 ...
海通发展跌停,成交额6.21亿元,近5日主力净流入3485.38万
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-18 10:19
Core Viewpoint - The company, Haitong Development, experienced a significant drop in stock price, reaching the daily limit down, with a trading volume of 621 million yuan and a turnover rate of 18.35% [1] Company Overview - Haitong Development is located at 42nd floor, Shenglong Global Building, No. 23 Changting Street, Taijiang District, Fuzhou, Fujian Province, and was established on March 19, 2009, with its stock listed on March 29, 2023 [3][8] - The company primarily engages in domestic coastal and international ocean dry bulk transportation, with shipping revenue accounting for 90.84% of total income [8] - As of September 30, 2025, the company reported a revenue of 3.009 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.32%, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 38.47% to 253 million yuan [8] Business Performance - The company has developed into a leading player in the domestic private dry bulk shipping sector, particularly in coal transportation, becoming the largest private shipping company in terms of coal transport volume from the Bohai Bay to the Yangtze River estuary [3][4] - The overseas revenue accounted for 65.04% of total revenue, benefiting from the depreciation of the RMB [4] Market Activity - The stock has seen a net outflow of 39.67 million yuan from major investors today, with a lack of clear trend in major holdings [5][6] - The average trading cost of the stock is 11.86 yuan, with the current price approaching a resistance level of 11.95 yuan, indicating potential for a price correction if this level is not surpassed [7]
资管巨头发声,看多亚洲尤其是中国
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2025-11-18 09:12
Core Viewpoint - Allianz Investment emphasizes that Asian markets, particularly the Chinese stock market, are key diversification choices for investors who are currently overexposed to US equities [1][4]. Group 1: US Federal Reserve and Interest Rates - Allianz's Chief Investment Officer for Fixed Income, Zeng Zheng, predicts further interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve, with a terminal rate of around 3.5% by mid-2026 [2]. - Zeng notes that the likelihood of the Fed choosing to cut rates is greater than maintaining the current rates, although the exact timing remains uncertain [2]. - Fixed income is highlighted as a core tool for capital preservation amid macroeconomic volatility, with a shift in return drivers expected from credit spreads to interest rate spreads by 2026 [2][3]. Group 2: Investment Opportunities in Asia - Zeng Yonghui, Chief Investment Officer for Asia Pacific equities, points out that many investors are overly concentrated in US stocks, particularly in large tech sectors, and are now reallocating to Asian assets [4]. - The current low allocation of global investors to Asian stocks presents a significant opportunity, especially as Asian stocks have a low correlation with US stocks [4]. - Four key themes driving investment opportunities in Asian stocks include innovation in technology, corporate reforms in major Asian economies, supply chain diversification, and emerging consumer trends [5]. Group 3: China's Economic Strategy - Allianz's Senior Economist, Tang Jicheng, identifies two main focuses of China's economic strategy: continued investment in advanced manufacturing and boosting domestic consumption [7]. - The "14th Five-Year Plan" outlines five strategic areas for attention, including modern industrial systems, technological breakthroughs, a unified domestic market, human-centered urbanization, and international cooperation [8]. Group 4: Multi-Asset Investment Strategies - Allianz's Head of Growth Multi-Asset, Hartwig Kos, notes that risk assets remain attractive, with a shift towards more diversified global allocations beyond US equities [10]. - The traditional "60/40" stock-bond portfolio remains viable, but flexibility and inclusion of non-core risk exposures like emerging market bonds and gold are essential for resilience [10]. - Gold is reaffirmed as a strategic asset, increasingly driven by geopolitical uncertainties and de-dollarization, making it a crucial component of a diversified investment portfolio [10]. Group 5: Sustainable Investment Trends - Allianz's Head of Sustainable and Impact Investing, Matt Christensen, indicates that sustainable investment regulation is entering a new phase, with a shift from mere disclosure to clearer product classifications in the EU [11]. - Impact investing is maturing, with growing recognition of achieving market-level returns, particularly in private markets, supported by clearer standards for outcomes and reporting [12].
资管巨头发声,看多亚洲尤其是中国
中国基金报· 2025-11-18 09:02
Core Viewpoint - Allianz Investment emphasizes that the Asian market, particularly the Chinese stock market, is a key diversification choice for investors who are currently overexposed to the US stock market [10][11]. Group 1: Market Outlook - Allianz Investment's Chief Investment Officer for Fixed Income, Zeng Zheng, predicts that the Federal Reserve will further cut interest rates, with the terminal rate expected to be around 3.5% by mid-2026 [5][7]. - Zeng notes that recent US policy signals suggest a potential stabilization in inflation data, although employment data may weaken [6][7]. - The investment return drivers are shifting, with 2025 returns driven by credit spread narrowing, while 2026 returns are likely to be primarily driven by spreads [8]. Group 2: Investment Opportunities in Asia - Zeng highlights that many investors are overly concentrated in US stocks, particularly in large tech sectors, and there is a trend of Asian investors reallocating funds back to Asian assets [11]. - Four key themes driving investment opportunities in Asian stocks include: 1. Innovation in technology manufacturing, especially in semiconductors, AI, and biotechnology [12]. 2. Corporate reforms in China, Korea, Japan, and Singapore aimed at enhancing shareholder value [12]. 3. Supply chain diversification benefiting markets like India due to reduced geopolitical concentration [12]. 4. Emerging consumer trends driven by domestic consumption and digital infrastructure, particularly in China and India [12]. Group 3: China's Economic Strategy - Allianz Investment's Senior Economist, Tang Jicheng, identifies two main focuses of China's economic strategy: continued investment in advanced manufacturing and boosting domestic consumption [14]. - The "14th Five-Year Plan" suggests five strategic areas to watch: 1. Building a modern industrial system with a focus on advanced manufacturing and green transformation [15]. 2. Achieving substantial technological breakthroughs to enhance innovation capabilities [15]. 3. Establishing a strong domestic market to promote free flow of production factors [15]. 4. Promoting human-centered urbanization for balanced regional development [15]. 5. Strengthening international cooperation to enhance bilateral investments [15]. Group 4: Asset Allocation and Gold - Allianz Investment's Head of Multi-Asset Growth, Hartwig Kos, notes that risk assets remain attractive, with a shift towards more diversified global allocations beyond the US stock market [19]. - Gold has reestablished its status as a strategic asset, increasingly driven by geopolitical uncertainties and de-dollarization, making it a crucial component of a diversified investment portfolio [20]. - Hartwig Kos anticipates that the trend of investing in gold will continue until 2026, supported by retail investment flows and geopolitical tensions [20]. Group 5: Sustainable Investment Trends - Allianz Investment's Head of Sustainable and Impact Investing, Matt Christensen, indicates that sustainable investment regulation is entering a new phase, with a shift from mere disclosure to clearer product classifications in the EU [21]. - Impact investing is maturing, with growing recognition of achieving market-level returns, particularly in private markets [21]. - Allianz has developed proprietary tools to integrate ESG and impact risk analysis into portfolio construction, enabling scenario testing and risk mitigation strategies across asset classes [22].
辽港股份跌3.41%,成交额3.51亿元,今日主力净流入-2574.80万
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-18 07:32
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent performance and operational aspects of Liaoport Co., highlighting its role in the shipping and logistics sector, particularly in the context of the China-South Korea Free Trade Agreement and its strategic initiatives in expanding shipping routes and services [2][3]. Company Overview - Liaoport Co. is primarily engaged in port logistics, offering services for oil products, container handling, automotive logistics, bulk cargo, and passenger roll-on/roll-off services, making it a key player in Northeast Asia's maritime access [3][9]. - The company operates as a unified logistics platform for Dalian's port operations, leveraging its advantageous natural conditions and management strengths to support the development of the Liaoning coastal economic belt [3][4]. Business Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Liaoport Co. reported a revenue of 8.426 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.99%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.3 billion yuan, which is a 37.51% increase compared to the previous year [9]. - The company has a diverse revenue structure, with 96.37% coming from services, 3.06% from other sources, and 0.57% from goods [9]. Strategic Initiatives - The company has been actively expanding its shipping routes, adding 10 new routes throughout the year, and is focusing on integrating into national strategies such as the Belt and Road Initiative and the development of the Liaoning Free Trade Zone [4]. - Liaoport Co. has also initiated a blockchain project through its wholly-owned subsidiary, which has received regulatory approval, indicating a commitment to technological advancement in logistics [4]. Market Activity - On November 18, Liaoport Co.'s stock fell by 3.41%, with a trading volume of 351 million yuan and a market capitalization of 40.072 billion yuan [1]. - The stock has seen a net outflow of 25.748 million yuan from major investors, indicating a trend of reduced investment interest over the past two days [5][6].
盐田港跌1.30%,成交额1.56亿元,近5日主力净流入-4193.63万
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-18 07:09
异动分析 航运概念+统一大市场+深圳国企改革+粤港澳大湾区+雄安新区 1、深圳市盐田港股份有限公司的主营业务包括码头的开发与经营;货物装卸与运输;港口配套交通设 施建设与经营;港口配套仓储及工业设施建设与经营等。公司的主要产品或提供的劳务:高速公路收 费、港口货物装卸运输、仓储及其他服务。 2、公司的主要业务包括:投资港口货物装卸与运输业务,码头建设工程管理,收费高速公路经营管 理,海关监管仓和其他港口配套仓储经营。公司从事的港口行业属于国民经济基础产业,行业的发展水 平与国家及区域经济贸易发展状况密切相关。在"双循环"新发展格局下,港口作为连接国内与国际的交 通枢纽,具备放大汇聚物流、资金、贸易、数据的价值;港口主业与以港口为核心的港口供应链成为连 接国内国际两个市场的重要手段。 来源:新浪证券-红岸工作室 11月18日,盐田港跌1.30%,成交额1.56亿元,换手率1.08%,总市值237.62亿元。 主力没有控盘,筹码分布非常分散,主力成交额8267.05万,占总成交额的4.51%。 技术面:筹码平均交易成本为4.60元 该股筹码平均交易成本为4.60元,近期筹码关注程度减弱;目前股价在压力位4.60和 ...
万林物流跌2.00%,成交额1056.57万元,主力资金净流出152.36万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-18 02:13
Core Viewpoint - Wanlin Logistics has experienced a decline in stock price and financial performance, indicating potential challenges in its operations and market position [1][2]. Financial Performance - As of September 30, Wanlin Logistics reported a revenue of 185 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 14.78% [2]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 14.08 million yuan, down 32.13% year-on-year [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 206 million yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with no dividends paid in the last three years [3]. Stock Market Activity - On November 18, Wanlin Logistics' stock price fell by 2.00%, trading at 5.38 yuan per share, with a total market capitalization of 3.224 billion yuan [1]. - The stock has declined by 11.95% year-to-date, with a slight decrease of 0.55% over the last five trading days [1]. - The company has seen a net outflow of 1.52 million yuan in principal funds, with large orders accounting for 13.80% of purchases and 28.22% of sales [1]. Company Overview - Wanlin Logistics, established on November 12, 2007, and listed on June 29, 2015, is based in Jiangsu Province and specializes in comprehensive logistics services for imported timber supply chain management [1]. - The company's main business revenue composition includes 83.16% from loading and unloading services, 10.33% from basic logistics, and 6.52% from other services [1]. - Wanlin Logistics is categorized under the transportation and logistics industry, specifically in cross-border logistics, and is associated with concepts such as small-cap, express delivery, and the Yangtze River Delta integration [1].
飞力达跌2.03%,成交额2424.86万元,主力资金净流入136.60万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-18 02:10
11月18日,飞力达盘中下跌2.03%,截至09:53,报8.19元/股,成交2424.86万元,换手率0.81%,总市值 30.43亿元。 飞力达所属申万行业为:交通运输-物流-中间产品及消费品供应链服务。所属概念板块包括:中俄贸易 概念、统一大市场、小盘、一带一路、快递概念等。 截至9月30日,飞力达股东户数2.84万,较上期减少13.53%;人均流通股12804股,较上期增加15.65%。 2025年1月-9月,飞力达实现营业收入46.59亿元,同比减少6.81%;归母净利润3319.30万元,同比增长 49.10%。 分红方面,飞力达A股上市后累计派现1.60亿元。近三年,累计派现2406.60万元。 责任编辑:小浪快报 资金流向方面,主力资金净流入136.60万元,大单买入535.81万元,占比22.10%,卖出399.21万元,占 比16.46%。 飞力达今年以来股价涨24.66%,近5个交易日跌1.92%,近20日涨0.37%,近60日跌3.99%。 今年以来飞力达已经7次登上龙虎榜,最近一次登上龙虎榜为5月15日。 资料显示,江苏飞力达国际物流股份有限公司位于江苏省昆山开发区玫瑰路999号,成 ...
新宁物流跌2.17%,成交额2730.09万元,主力资金净流出328.56万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-18 02:08
Core Points - The stock price of Xinning Logistics has decreased by 2.17% to 4.50 CNY per share as of November 18, with a total market capitalization of 2.513 billion CNY [1] - The company has experienced a year-to-date stock price increase of 29.68%, but has seen a slight decline of 0.44% over the past five trading days [1] - Xinning Logistics reported a revenue of 391 million CNY for the first nine months of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.68% [2] Financial Performance - The company has a net profit of -5.0603 million CNY for the same period, showing a significant year-on-year improvement of 84.09% [2] - The company has cumulatively distributed dividends of 47.1968 million CNY since its A-share listing, with no dividends distributed in the last three years [3] Shareholder Information - As of November 10, the number of shareholders for Xinning Logistics is 24,600, a decrease of 3.45% from the previous period [2] - The average number of circulating shares per shareholder is 18,119, which has increased by 3.57% [2] Business Overview - Xinning Logistics, established on February 24, 1997, specializes in integrated logistics and supply chain management services, primarily focusing on electronic components bonded warehousing [2] - The company's main business revenue composition is 98.78% from warehousing and related logistics services, with only 1.22% from satellite navigation equipment sales and services [2]