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科学客观看待我国当前经济发展态势|宏观经济
清华金融评论· 2025-10-02 08:57
文/人民日报 钟才文 看经济要坚持两点论,用好辩证法。 总的看,我国经济形有分化、势在 向好、未来可期。 关于我国当前经济形势,主流是看好的,但也有唱衰的声音。我们认为,看经济要坚持两点论,用好辩证法。 总的看,我国经济形有分化、势在向好、 未来可期。 底盘很稳固,韧性在增强。 今年以来,在习近平新时代中国特色社会主义思想特别是习近平经济思想的科学指引下,全国上下攻坚克难、努力拼搏,我 国经济运行稳中有进、好于预期,高质量发展取得新成效,宏观经济四大指标即经济增长、就业、物价和国际收支等表现良好。数据反映经济。上半年, 我国经济增速明显高于绝大部分经济体,仍是世界经济增长的稳定锚。就业和物价总体稳定。 今年年初,中美网友在社交平台上展开生活成本"大对账",彰显我国商品和服务质优价廉,体现了人民群众生活水平的"货真价实"。外贸展现强大韧性, 出口竞争力持续提升,前8个月出口增速达6.9%,集成电路、新能源汽车等新动能产品出口增速超过20%。 社会信心增强,人民币汇率基本稳定,股市稳中有升,越来越多国际资本看好中国市场前景、"做多"中国资产。重点领域风险有力有效防范化解,守住了 不发生系统性风险的底线。中国经济是 ...
人民日报:科学客观看待我国当前经济发展态势
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-10-02 01:16
科学客观看待我国当前经济发展态势(习近平经济思想指引下的中国经济专论) 关于我国当前经济形势,主流是看好的,但也有唱衰的声音。我们认为,看经济要坚持两点论,用好辩 证法。总的看,我国经济形有分化、势在向好、未来可期。 底盘很稳固,韧性在增强。今年以来,在习近平新时代中国特色社会主义思想特别是习近平经济思想的 科学指引下,全国上下攻坚克难、努力拼搏,我国经济运行稳中有进、好于预期,高质量发展取得新成 效,宏观经济四大指标即经济增长、就业、物价和国际收支等表现良好。数据反映经济。上半年,我国 经济增速明显高于绝大部分经济体,仍是世界经济增长的稳定锚。就业和物价总体稳定。今年年初,中 美网友在社交平台上展开生活成本"大对账",彰显我国商品和服务质优价廉,体现了人民群众生活水平 的"货真价实"。外贸展现强大韧性,出口竞争力持续提升,前8个月出口增速达6.9%,集成电路、新能 源汽车等新动能产品出口增速超过20%。社会信心增强,人民币汇率基本稳定,股市稳中有升,越来越 多国际资本看好中国市场前景、"做多"中国资产。重点领域风险有力有效防范化解,守住了不发生系统 性风险的底线。中国经济是一片大海,而不是一个小池塘,能够经 ...
科学客观看待我国当前经济发展态势(习近平经济思想指引下的中国经济专论)
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-10-01 22:11
关于我国当前经济形势,主流是看好的,但也有唱衰的声音。我们认为,看经济要坚持两点论,用 好辩证法。总的看,我国经济形有分化、势在向好、未来可期。 前景有支撑,潜力在释放。展望未来,在科技、劳动力、资本等方面,我国经济发展仍然具有很大 潜力。我国研发人员总量连续多年保持世界第一,研发支出占国内生产总值的比重超过很多发达国家水 平,科技创新厚积薄发。人民勤劳智慧,企业敢闯敢拼,适应环境变化的能力强。我国产业体系完整、 配套能力强,消费和投资潜力巨大,供给和需求两侧能够支撑国内大循环。人类命运共同体理念得到国 际社会广泛认同,我国国际影响力、感召力、塑造力显著提升。最重要的是,我们有党的坚强领导和社 会主义制度集中力量办大事的优势,能够确保我国经济航船行稳致远。 《 人民日报 》( 2025年10月02日 02 版) 相关链接: 从全球视角看新时代中国经济的跨越与蝶变(习近平经济思想指引下的中国经济专论) 底盘很稳固,韧性在增强。今年以来,在习近平新时代中国特色社会主义思想特别是习近平经济思 想的科学指引下,全国上下攻坚克难、努力拼搏,我国经济运行稳中有进、好于预期,高质量发展取得 新成效,宏观经济四大指标即经济增 ...
滨化股份拟14.21亿元投建滨化集团北海滨华新材料源网荷储一体化项目
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-30 09:47
Core Viewpoint - The company aims to promote the utilization of land and renewable resources in the Binhai North Economic Development Zone and Wudi County, focusing on the development of a diversified and intelligent energy supply and consumption system, while accelerating its green and low-carbon transformation [1] Investment Project Summary - The company plans to invest in the Binhua New Materials Integrated Energy Storage Project through its subsidiary, Shandong Binhua New Energy Co., Ltd., with a total investment of 1.421 billion yuan [1] - The project includes the construction of a 160MW wind power plant, a 100MW photovoltaic power station, and a 130MW/260MWh energy storage facility, along with a 110kV booster station that features a smart energy comprehensive dispatch and control center [1]
四问5000亿新型政策性金融工具
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-09-30 07:38
Group 1: Policy Overview - The National Development and Reform Commission announced the establishment of a new policy financial tool with a scale of 500 billion yuan, aimed at supplementing project capital[1] - The timeline from April to September allows local governments 4-5 months to finalize project lists and funding matches, with projects expected to launch densely between October and December[2] - This initiative is projected to create a leverage effect of 2-3 times, corresponding to an additional investment scale of approximately 1-1.7 trillion yuan[7] Group 2: Economic Impact - The new financial tool is designed to stabilize growth and support economic development, especially as fixed asset investment growth has slowed to 0.5% year-on-year from January to August[4] - Infrastructure investment (excluding power, heat, gas, and water supply) grew by only 2.0% year-on-year, indicating a need for intervention[4] - The tool will focus on key areas such as digital economy, artificial intelligence, and green low-carbon transformation, emphasizing new productivity and technological upgrades[6] Group 3: Historical Context and Differences - Previous similar financial tools included a special construction fund of 2 trillion yuan in 2015 and 740 billion yuan in 2022, both of which had significant impacts on stabilizing growth[6] - The current tool differs by providing direct capital support of 500 billion yuan specifically for project capital, reducing uncertainty in funding allocation[6] - It also aligns with other policies, such as long-term special government bonds and a moderately loose monetary policy, enhancing its effectiveness[6]
信托业交年度社会责任答卷 去年16.68万亿资金流向实体经济
Core Insights - The trust industry in China has directed 16.68 trillion yuan towards the real economy as part of its social responsibility efforts, with a total of 22.25 trillion yuan in trust assets under management by the end of 2024 [1][2] Group 1: Financial Support to the Real Economy - 28.81% of the trust funds are directly invested in the real economy, while 46.17% are indirectly supporting it through capital markets, totaling 16.68 trillion yuan [2] - The trust industry has provided significant funding for national strategic projects, including 1.12 trillion yuan for the Belt and Road Initiative and 2.67 trillion yuan for the Yangtze River Economic Belt [2] Group 2: Social Welfare and Livelihood Support - In 2024, the trust industry allocated 1.6 trillion yuan to inclusive finance, established 1,148 pension service trust projects with an investment of 14.493 billion yuan, and funded 289 rural revitalization projects with 430.4 million yuan [3] Group 3: Green Trust Initiatives - The scale of green trust projects reached 325.3 billion yuan, with 390 new projects added in 2024, marking a 21.5% increase year-on-year [4] - Trust companies have implemented over 20 "dual carbon" target guidelines and conducted 46 training sessions on green trust, with 4,520 participants [5] Group 4: Charitable Trust Developments - By the end of 2024, the cumulative number of charitable trusts reached 2,244, with a total scale of 8.507 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 30.07% in new registrations [5]
绿色转型不可忽视“区域均衡”
中国能源报· 2025-09-30 00:05
▲图片由AI生成 "双碳"目标提出已五年,我国绿色低碳转型迈入攻坚阶段。近日,厦门大学"碳中和发展力"研究团队联合江苏大学碳中和发展研究院发 布" 2 025中国碳中和发展力指数",系统梳理五年来各地"双碳"实践成效,为"十五五"时期科学规划转型路径提供重要参考。指数显 示,全国碳中和发展力整体"稳中有进",但区域差异仍存,技术创新与市场化机制建设将成为下阶段突破重点。 在业内看来,2 0 25中国碳中和发展力指数不仅是对五年"双碳"实践的阶段性总结,更将为未来转型提供"导航仪"与"施工图"。 不均衡问题依然突出 然而,需要注意的是,区域发展不均衡问题依然突出。报告显示,内蒙古、新疆、吉林、西藏等省区,以及大庆、吴忠、吐鲁番、临汾 等城市得分相对较低,普遍面临能源效率低、产业结构转型压力大等挑战。例如,宁夏在成长力、转型力上存在短板,内蒙古的持续力 不足,反映出部分资源型地区对传统发展路径的依赖尚未根本扭转。 区域差异背后是产业结构、技术创新与资源配置的深层矛盾。孙传旺指出,追赶型地区普遍存在三大瓶颈:一是产业结构高度依赖化石 能源,新兴产业培育缓慢,经济韧性不足;二是绿色产业链协同不足,新能源资源开发与装备 ...
傅成玉:要在第四次工业革命中占先,中国亟待一个关键改变
财富FORTUNE· 2025-09-29 13:05
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the divergence in energy policies between China and the United States, highlighting China's advantages in the clean energy sector amidst the U.S. retreat from global climate agreements [1][6]. Group 1: Trends and Transformations - The future is characterized by two major trends: green low-carbon transformation and intelligentization, which are expected to dominate the coming decades [4]. - China is positioned to lead in these trends due to its advanced status in renewable energy and smart technologies, as well as its comprehensive industrial application scenarios [5]. Group 2: U.S. Policy Impact - The U.S. withdrawal from the Paris Agreement is viewed as a temporary and localized impact on global climate efforts, with the expectation that the U.S. will eventually need to re-engage in green and low-carbon economies [6][7]. - The article critiques the U.S. approach under Trump's administration as regressive, suggesting that the country has missed opportunities for industrial revitalization and sustainable development [7]. Group 3: Challenges in China's Energy Sector - Despite the clear path towards green transformation, China's renewable energy sector faces challenges such as price competition and overcapacity [7]. - The article identifies "opportunism" among Chinese enterprises as a root cause of overcapacity, where companies seize fleeting opportunities without long-term strategy [8]. - It also highlights the need for a shift from low-price competition to a focus on high quality and cost-effectiveness to avoid self-destructive practices in the industry [9]. Group 4: Infrastructure and Industrial Adjustment - The current industrial and infrastructure systems in China are based on the previous three industrial revolutions, which are inadequate for the demands of the fourth industrial revolution [9]. - The article argues for a change in mindset regarding energy infrastructure, advocating for distributed energy systems that align with modern energy consumption patterns rather than large centralized power plants [9].
勇担使命再出发——写在中国石油天然气集团有限公司成立75周年之际
中国能源报· 2025-09-29 11:32
Core Viewpoint - China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) celebrates its 75th anniversary, reflecting its significant role in the development of China's oil industry and its commitment to national energy security and innovation [4][28]. Historical Development - The foundation of China's oil industry was laid in 1949 with an initial crude oil production of 120,000 tons, which has since evolved into a major global player [5]. - Major milestones include the discovery of the first large oil field, the Daqing Oilfield, in 1959, and surpassing 10 million tons of crude oil production in 1978, positioning China among the world's leading oil producers [5][9]. Current Achievements - CNPC has established a new production pattern with domestic oil and gas output reaching 1 billion tons each for crude oil, natural gas, and overseas oil and gas rights, solidifying its position in the energy sector [9][10]. - The company has made significant advancements in deep earth exploration, achieving a breakthrough with the successful drilling of the TaKe 1 well, which reached a depth of over 10,000 meters [31][32]. Technological Innovation - CNPC has transitioned from being a technology user to an innovator, focusing on high-level technological self-reliance and integrating innovation with industrial development [14][33]. - The company has developed advanced drilling technologies and equipment, enhancing its capabilities in deep and ultra-deep oil and gas exploration [33][39]. International Expansion - CNPC has expanded its international presence, particularly in the Middle East, establishing strong partnerships and leading projects such as the West Qurna-1 oil field in Iraq [18][19]. - The company has successfully executed numerous overseas projects, contributing to its status as a key player in the global energy market [20]. Green Transition - CNPC is actively pursuing a green transformation, integrating renewable energy projects alongside traditional oil and gas operations, with a goal of achieving a balanced energy portfolio by 2035 [26][27]. - The company has made strides in developing renewable energy sources, including wind and solar power, and aims to enhance its role in the clean energy sector [21][25]. Future Goals - CNPC aims to become a world-class integrated international energy and chemical company, focusing on sustainable development and innovation in energy supply [28][40].
提前博弈10月行情,三条主线成资金共识!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-29 11:30
Market Overview - A-shares and Hong Kong stocks showed strong performance, driven by the financial sector and the renewable energy industry, reflecting a dual drive of growth and value, with policy benefits leading market sentiment [1] - The A-share ChiNext Index and Hong Kong Hang Seng Technology Index recorded significant gains of 2.74% and 2.08%, respectively, indicating active capital positioning ahead of the fourth quarter [1][2] - The market is expected to continue its upward trend before the National Day holiday, but profit-taking pressure may arise [1] Major Index Performance - A-share market saw a comprehensive rise in growth style, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing up 0.9% at 3862.53 points, and the Shenzhen Component Index rising 2.05% to 13479.43 points [2] - The total number of rising stocks reached 3576, while 1658 stocks declined, indicating a strong market breadth [2] - In the Hong Kong market, the Hang Seng Index rose 1.89% to 26622.88 points, with significant contributions from financial and technology sectors [2] Industry Highlights and Driving Logic - Non-bank financial sector surged, particularly brokerage stocks, stimulated by central bank policies [3] - The renewable energy sector, especially lithium battery electrolyte, saw a significant increase of 7.69%, driven by technological breakthroughs and government support [3] - Precious metals also experienced a notable rise, with international gold prices surpassing $3810 per ounce, marking a historical high [3] Underperforming Sectors and Driving Logic - Traditional defensive sectors in the A-share market, such as coal and education, showed weak performance due to valuation pressures and policy uncertainties [4] - In the Hong Kong market, defensive sectors like telecommunications and water utilities faced declines, reflecting a shift in capital towards growth stocks [4] Investment Strategy Recommendations - The market is currently in a critical window of policy and industry catalysts, with short-term policy benefits and liquidity expectations supporting risk appetite [5] - Short-term focus should be on non-bank financials, renewable energy sectors, and cyclical commodities like copper and gold, which are expected to maintain strength [6] - Long-term investment strategies should align with the "14th Five-Year Plan," emphasizing green transformation, technological innovation, and national security [6]