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段永平投资问答:买股票就是买公司
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-05-07 13:59
Core Viewpoint - Investment is fundamentally about purchasing future cash flows, and understanding a company equates to understanding its future cash flows [2][10][12]. Group 1: Investment Philosophy - The essence of value investing lies in buying future cash flow discounted to present value [3][12]. - Many investors often base their stock purchases on factors unrelated to future cash flows, such as market sentiment or speculative trends [3][5]. - A strong business model is crucial, as it often correlates with a wide economic moat, ensuring good future cash flows [3][4][18]. Group 2: Understanding and Capability - Investors should remain within their circle of competence, as understanding a business typically requires years of experience [4][8]. - It is important to avoid expanding one's circle of competence too quickly, as this can lead to poor investment decisions [4][8]. - The market is generally perceived as intelligent, and investors should only act when they believe the market is wrong [4][8]. Group 3: Risk Consideration - Risk is the primary consideration in investment decisions, and understanding where the risks lie is essential [24][25]. - For those unfamiliar with business, the stock market is not a reliable way to make quick profits; long-term losses are more common [5][6]. - The importance of education and understanding in investment cannot be overstated, as it significantly influences decision-making [25].
股坛传奇退场:解码巴菲特跨越时代的财富思维密码
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-06 03:54
Core Insights - Warren Buffett's resignation as CEO of Berkshire Hathaway has drawn global investor attention, marking the end of an era for the investment giant [1] - Under Buffett's leadership, Berkshire Hathaway transformed from a struggling textile company into a massive conglomerate with a market value of $1.16 trillion by 2024, showcasing a remarkable growth trajectory [3] - The company's stock price has increased over 55,000 times over the past 60 years, with an annualized return of 19.9%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 10.4% during the same period [3] Investment Philosophy - Buffett's investment philosophy is characterized by several key principles: the "circle of competence" which emphasizes focusing on familiar sectors, a "contrarian investment" strategy that involves buying during market panic, and the "margin of safety" concept that prioritizes risk management [3] - His long-term holding strategy has led to enduring partnerships with high-quality companies like Coca-Cola and Wells Fargo, allowing him to witness the power of compounding returns [3] Learning Resources - Classic literature documenting Buffett's investment thoughts provides insights into the underlying logic of value investing, while biographies detailing his partnership with Charlie Munger reveal the human dynamics behind their strategies [5] - Professional stock analysis software can assist in tracking financial data, while investment portfolio management tools help investors maintain a balanced asset allocation [5] - Developing an investment mindset is crucial, with meditation tools aiding in maintaining composure during market fluctuations and efficiency manuals enhancing research and decision-making processes [5]
时报观察丨巴菲特留给投资界的珍贵启示
证券时报· 2025-05-06 00:20
Core Viewpoint - Warren Buffett announced his retirement as CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, passing the role to Greg Abel by the end of the year, which has garnered global investor attention [1][2] Group 1: Investment Philosophy - Buffett's investment philosophy can be summarized in four key concepts: circle of competence, contrarian investing, margin of safety, and long-term holding [2] - He emphasizes the importance of understanding one's investment area and being patient, which has become a universal wisdom in the investment community [2] Group 2: Company Achievements - Since taking over in 1965, Berkshire Hathaway's market value has grown from $4.7 million to $1.16 trillion, with over 80 subsidiaries across key sectors [1] - The company's stock price has increased by more than 55,000 times over the past 60 years, achieving an annualized return of 19.9%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 10.4% [1] Group 3: Legacy and Transition - Greg Abel will inherit not only the CEO position but also a well-honed business philosophy developed over more than half a century [2] - Buffett's teachings highlight the importance of maintaining rationality and patience in a noisy market, which is a valuable lesson for future investors [2]
巴菲特留给投资界的珍贵启示
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-05-05 17:26
Core Insights - Warren Buffett announced that he will hand over the CEO position of Berkshire Hathaway to Greg Abel by the end of the year, drawing global investor attention [1] - Buffett's investment career is marked by a remarkable wealth creation story, with Berkshire Hathaway's market value soaring from $4.7 million in 1965 to $1.16 trillion today, and a stock price increase of over 55,000 times over the past 60 years [1] - The investment philosophy of Buffett emphasizes value investing, focusing on "buying great companies at reasonable prices" and incorporating intangible assets into valuation frameworks [1][2] Investment Philosophy - Buffett's investment philosophy can be summarized in four key concepts: circle of competence, contrarian investing, margin of safety, and long-term holding [2] - He prefers to invest in areas he understands and maintains a disciplined approach, especially in the face of technological trends like AI, where he admits to not fully understanding the technology [2] - The transition of leadership to Greg Abel signifies the continuation of Buffett's well-honed business philosophy, which emphasizes rationality and patience in investing [2]
暴赚5.5万倍!刚刚,巴菲特最新洞见来了
Ge Long Hui· 2025-05-03 16:34
Core Insights - The 2025 Berkshire Hathaway annual meeting is considered one of the most significant, potentially marking Warren Buffett's last full participation [1][3] Group 1: Cash Reserves and Investment Strategy - Berkshire Hathaway's cash reserves have reached a record high of $347.7 billion, up from approximately $334 billion at the end of 2024, as Buffett remains cautious in waiting for suitable investment opportunities [3] - The company has been a net seller of stocks for ten consecutive quarters, with a net sale of $4.7 billion in the first quarter of this year [4] Group 2: Economic Concerns and Market Dynamics - Buffett expressed concerns about U.S. fiscal policy, stating it systematically undermines currency value, a phenomenon observed globally [4] - He noted that the current market volatility does not compare to historical crashes, emphasizing the importance of adapting investment philosophies to market realities [5] Group 3: Investment Philosophy and Historical Performance - Berkshire's stock price has seen a compound annual growth rate of 19.9% from 1965 to 2024, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 10.4% [8] - Buffett's investment strategy emphasizes the importance of patience and the need to wait for the right opportunities, as demonstrated by his historical investments in companies like Coca-Cola and Apple [12][14] Group 4: Personal Insights and Advice - Buffett highlighted the significance of working in a place one enjoys and surrounding oneself with capable individuals, which can influence personal and professional growth [7] - He reiterated that successful investing requires time, patience, and a focus on understanding businesses rather than reacting to market fluctuations [19][20]
一条读懂基金经理之姜诚篇
中泰证券资管· 2025-04-25 06:36
提问 请用一句话形容你是一个怎样的基金经理? 姜诚 我是一个致力于在股票二级市场实践价值投资的基金经理。 提问 你如何理解价值投资? 姜诚 顾名思义,价值投资的定义其实很简单,就是我们用自己付出的价格去交换资产背后创造的价值。 价值的定义是它能够给我们带来的长期的现金的回报, 我们衡量一笔投资好坏的标准也就很明确了—— 跟我们付出的成本相比较,我们能够获得的长期回报的内部收益率是什么样的水平? 在实践来看,就是 我们致力于以尽可能低的价格去买到尽可能好的资产,来提升我们的内部收益率。 提问 你如何定义好资产? 姜诚 我对好资产的定义是,它可以让我们比较放心地相信它在比较长的时间内能够带来有一定持续性的 现金回报。理论上满足这样标准的资产就是好资产,现实中能够满足这样标准的资产为数不多,所以我们 需要用一些办法、需要用一些定性的标准来去框它,尽可能提高我们找到好资产的概率。 大体上来讲,在一些长坡、厚雪、慢变的行业当中,持续的领先者更容易成为股市当中的长期的好资产, 当然最终还是需要一事一议。我们有一个模具、我们有一个筛子,但是通过模具和筛子筛选出来的标的, 它会有很大的偏差,最终我们落地到组合当中,还是要从商 ...
投资小知识:四个原则,帮你快速掌握价值投资的精髓
银行螺丝钉· 2025-04-19 12:32
文 | 银行螺丝钉 (转载请注明出处) 便宜,是不是值得买入。 (3) 市场先生 市场先生是一个狂躁的、精力旺盛的、喜 怒无常的人,他每天的工作,就是跑过来 给你报价格。 明白了这一点,我们在投资股票资产的时 候,关注的重点,就会从股价短期涨跌, 变成了背后公司的经营状况。 股票背后的公司赚了钱,时间拉长后,我 们投资的股票也是赚钱的。 (2) 要有安全边际的意识 安全边际用一句话来总结就是,用6毛钱, 买价值1块钱的东西。 如果是1块钱买价值1块钱的东西,那也没 有什么赚头。 那么,我们怎么知道公司值多少钱呢?这 就是我们常说的估值指标了。 市盈率是估值指标的一种。除此之外还有 市净率等其他指标;也有现金流折现等绝 对估值法。 估值可以帮助我们大概判断,现在是不是 很多时候,投资者亏了钱,往往是因为不 了解一个品种,只是看到短期大涨,就贸 然投入过多的资金。 换句话说,投资超出自己的能力圈范围。 在股票市场,想要建立自己的能力圈,确 实是需要花费很多精力的。 •有的时候他非常的乐观,给你报一个很高 的价格; ·有的时候他非常的悲观,给你报一个非常 低的价格。 当市场短期充满了非理性的贪婪或恐慌, 同时市场成 ...
个人投资清单
雪球· 2025-03-03 07:25
长按即可免费加入 风险提示:本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见,所涉及标的不作推荐,据此买卖,风险自负。 作者:老韭菜做梦想自由 来源:雪球 一直想写一个checklist(清单) , 因为自己总是会犯一些基本错误 , 这些基本错误实际上是可 以通过一个checklist来排除的 , 好记性不如烂笔头 。 以后通过持续的完善这个checklist来作为自 己买入卖出调仓变动的操作手册 , 只有通过了这个操作手册的checklist才能进行操作 , 减少自 己犯一些基本错误 , 同时随着完善 , 也能更好的让自己犯过的错误不要再犯 。 因为记忆的原因 , 有些一时也记不起来 , 只能等记起来了 , 或者看到球友的想法来添加 , 希 望有需求的球友可以一起来完善这份checklist , 谢谢 。 一 : 总原则 不懂不做 。 二 : 商业模式/企业文化/估值 商业模式是指企业长期赚钱的核心方式 , 企业文化是指管理层是不是一群靠谱的人 , 估值就是 指值多少钱 。 商业模式也可以用方丈的十字真言 : 赚的多 , 赚的久 , 赚的容易 。 或者也可以用长坡厚雪来 概述 。 其中赚的多是指总的营收/利润多 , 行业空 ...