Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and profit for the year 2024 and Q1 2025, with a focus on maintaining brand strength and expanding direct sales channels despite industry challenges [1][3][6]. Financial Performance Summary - **2024 Full Year Results**: Revenue was 13.89 billion, down 14.7% YoY; gross profit was 2.89 billion, down 2.2% YoY; net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.01 billion, down 23.2% YoY. The company distributed a dividend of 0.95 per share, with a payout ratio of 102.1% [1]. - **Q4 2024 Results**: Revenue was 3.08 billion, down 18.8% YoY; gross profit was 0.67 billion, down 2.1% YoY; net profit attributable to shareholders was 0.16 billion, down 29.7% YoY [2]. - **Q1 2025 Results**: Revenue was 2.67 billion, down 47.3% YoY; gross profit was 0.70 billion, down 11.3% YoY; net profit attributable to shareholders was 0.25 billion, down 26.1% YoY [3]. Revenue Breakdown - **2024 Revenue by Product**: Solid gold products generated 11.44 billion, down 16.6%; embedded products generated 0.76 billion, down 17.4%; other jewelry (silver and jade) generated 0.60 billion, up 66.7%. By channel, self-operated offline revenue was 1.74 billion, up 7.8%; online revenue was 2.79 billion, up 11.4%; franchise revenue was 9.19 billion, down 23.3% [4]. - **Q1 2025 Revenue by Product**: Solid gold products generated 2.12 billion, down 53.2%; embedded products generated 0.13 billion, up 0.2%; other jewelry generated 0.15 billion, up 36.5%. By channel, self-operated offline revenue was 0.53 billion, down 16.3%; online revenue was 0.53 billion, down 6.7%; franchise revenue was 1.58 billion, down 58.6% [4]. Profitability Analysis - **Gross Margin**: The gross margin for 2024 was 20.8%, up 2.7 percentage points; for Q1 2025, it was 26.2%, up 10.6 percentage points, attributed to rising gold prices and changes in revenue structure [5]. - **Expense Ratios**: In 2024, the sales and management expense ratios were 8.4% and 0.8%, respectively, both up YoY. For Q1 2025, these ratios increased by 4.5 percentage points and 0.5 percentage points [5]. - **Net Profit Margin**: The net profit margin for 2024 was 7.3%, down 0.8 percentage points; for Q1 2025, it was 9.4%, up 2.7 percentage points [6]. Strategic Outlook - The company aims for a revenue and net profit growth of 5-15% in 2025. Profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 are 1.11 billion and 1.29 billion, respectively, with a P/E ratio of approximately 13x for 2025 and a dividend yield of about 7% [7].

Core Viewpoint - The company experienced significant revenue growth driven by rising gold prices and strong sales in precious metal investments and cultural products, although profit margins faced downward pressure due to changes in product mix [1][2][4] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 20.233 billion yuan (up 22.24% year-on-year) and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 719 million yuan (up 1.73%) [1] - For Q4 2024, revenue reached 4.887 billion yuan (up 16.84%) with a net profit of 165 million yuan (up 43.00%) [1] - In Q1 2025, revenue was 8.222 billion yuan (up 30.18%) and net profit was 320 million yuan (up 17.32%) [1] Product and Channel Analysis - In 2024, revenue from gold jewelry was 5.473 billion yuan (down 11.14%), while precious metal investment products generated 12.906 billion yuan (up 45.28%) and cultural products brought in 1.563 billion yuan (up 40.87%) [2] - The share of precious metal investment products increased to 64% (up 10 percentage points), while gold jewelry's share decreased to 27% (down 10 percentage points) [2] - Offline revenue was 15.095 billion yuan (up 13.40%), online revenue was 4.818 billion yuan (up 60.26%), and bank revenue was 301 million yuan (up 43.48%) [2] Profitability Metrics - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 8.94% (down 1.74 percentage points), and the net profit margin was 3.59% (down 0.71 percentage points) [2] - For Q1 2025, the gross profit margin was 8.34% (down 1.66 percentage points), and the net profit margin was 3.95% (down 0.38 percentage points) [3] Store Expansion - By the end of 2024, the company had 100 directly operated stores, with a net increase of 13 stores during the year [3] - In Q1 2025, the company added 4 new stores and closed 2, with plans to open 3 more in Q2 [3] Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendation - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 803 million yuan, 870 million yuan, and 930 million yuan for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth of 12%, 8%, and 7% respectively [4] - The company maintains a "strong buy" rating with a 2025 PE ratio of 13.1X and a 2026 PE ratio of 12.1X [4]

Core Insights - The World Gold Council's report indicates that global gold demand reached a historical high in Q1 2025, driven by significant inflows into gold ETFs, which were a key factor in the rise of gold prices [1][3]. Group 1: Gold Demand and Prices - In Q1 2025, the average gold price reached $2860 per ounce, a 38% increase year-on-year [3]. - Total global gold demand, including over-the-counter investments, grew by 1% year-on-year, marking the highest level for the same period since 2016 [3]. - Gold recycling decreased by 1% year-on-year as consumers opted to hold onto their gold in anticipation of further price increases [3]. Group 2: Investment Demand - Gold ETF inflows surged, leading to a 170% year-on-year increase in total gold investment demand, reaching 552 tons, the highest since Q1 2022 [4][7]. - Central banks globally purchased a net 244 tons of gold in Q1, aligning with the normal quarterly purchase levels over the past three years [7]. - Demand for gold bars and coins remained high at 325 tons, exceeding the five-year quarterly average by 15% [7]. Group 3: Jewelry Demand - Gold jewelry consumption in China fell to 125 tons in Q1, a 32% decline year-on-year, marking the weakest performance since 2020 [9]. - Despite the drop in volume, the monetary value of gold jewelry consumption increased by 9% year-on-year to $35 billion [7]. - The rising gold prices led consumers to shift towards smaller, more affordable gold products, while others chose to wait and see [9][11]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The report suggests that gold prices will continue to be a critical factor influencing jewelry sales in China, with potential further declines in demand expected if prices remain high [11]. - The ongoing geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties are likely to sustain strong investment demand for gold [16].

证 券 研 究 报 告 中金黄金（600489）2024 年报&2025 一季报点评 强推（维持） 金、铜价格上行带动业绩稳步增长 目标价：17.9 元 事项： 评论： 金、铜价格上行带动 24 年业绩稳步提升。2024 年，国内黄金、铜市场均价分 别同比+23.8%、+10%，其中四季度黄金、铜均价分别同比+30.6%、+11%，分 别环比+7.9%、+0.3%。受益金价上行，公司全年实现归母净利润 33.86 亿元， 同比增长 13.71%，其中四季度实现营业收入 195.11 亿元，同比+24.21%，环 比+11.41%，归母净利润 7.43 亿元，同比-17.98%，环比-17.5%。其中湖北三鑫 金铜净利润 10.2 亿元（+27.9%）、内蒙古矿业 22.8 亿元（-0.24%）、河南中原 黄金冶炼厂 5.6 亿元（-10.65%）。 公司研究 黄金 2025 年 04 月 30 日 当前价：13.97 元 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：马金龙 邮箱：majinlong@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360522120003 证券分析师：刘岗 邮箱：liugang@hcyjs.com 执业编号 ...

Group 1: Production and Supply - In Q1 2025, China's gold production reached 87.243 tons, a year-on-year increase of 1.49%, with gold mining contributing 61.772 tons and by-product gold from non-ferrous metals contributing 25.471 tons [1] - Total gold production, including imported raw gold of 53.587 tons, amounted to 140.83 tons, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.18% [1] - Major gold companies are adjusting production layouts and advancing the construction of smart and green mines, while also accelerating overseas acquisitions [1][4] Group 2: Consumption Trends - In Q1 2025, gold consumption in China was 290.492 tons, down 5.96% year-on-year, with gold jewelry consumption declining by 26.85% to 134.531 tons, while investment in gold bars and coins increased by 29.81% to 138.018 tons [2] - High gold prices have suppressed jewelry demand, while investment demand for gold bars and coins has surged due to their lower processing costs and strong investment attributes [2][4] Group 3: Market Activity - The trading volume and value in the gold market showed significant growth, with the Shanghai Gold Exchange reporting a trading volume of 16,000 tons, up 4.57%, and a trading value of 10.7 trillion yuan, up 42.85% [3] - The domestic gold ETF holdings increased by 23.47 tons, reaching 138.21 tons by the end of March 2025 [3] - New regulations allowing insurance funds to invest in gold have been introduced, with the first transaction completed under this framework [3] Group 4: Future Outlook - Rising gold prices are expected to lead to increased profits for mining companies, prompting higher exploration and extraction investments, although challenges such as declining resource grades and rising environmental costs remain [4] - The consumption structure is likely to shift further towards investment in gold bars and coins, with increased activity in gold ETFs and futures trading anticipated [4]

张尧浠：金价将上涨到你不敢想象的高度4000元/克、17000美元/盎司 种种因素和迹象都显示金价还有上涨空间，或者是还有一波牛市行情，国际黄金到达5000美元/盎司，国内大盘金价将到达1200元/克，都不在话下，更高的 位置将会涨到你不敢想象的高点，最终将创造出史诗级涨幅。当然这不是张口就来，随口一说的，我先来说说我的观点，欢迎补充和交流； 首先就是跟金价中长期趋势相反的美元； 以及在全球货币超发的情况下，黄金产量低，开采总量已定，开采成本高等等因素，已让黄金数据不足，并都将反应到黄金上面来。因为不是黄金值钱了， 是钱不值钱了，货币贬值了。全球央行最近几年不停的买入黄金已是强有力的证据。 同时，金价目前的上涨也只是自身价值的恢复，其价格仍是严重低估的。 截止2025年已开采的全球黄金总量约21万吨，而全球货币115万亿美元，按照目前的汇率7.3，换算过来，也就是每克4000元人民币，国际金价则是1万7美元/ 盎司，这还不算开采成本等等。 所以，综合而言，无论是哪方面，都是利好金价的，金价也是被严重低估的。未来目标将上涨到你不敢想象的位置。 目前美元指数日图和周图都运行在200周期线下方，代表后市趋势偏弱，前 ...

消费者观望，投资者套现 面对高昂的金价，不少消费者选择推迟购买计划。"原本打算给女儿买嫁妆，但现在这个价格实在太高 了，想再等等看。"一位消费者表示。 与此同时，部分早期购入黄金的投资者则选择在高点抛售。某黄金回收店负责人透露："最近来卖金 条、金饰的人明显增多，很多人是在2022年低价买入的，现在获利了结。" 未来走势如何？专家建议理性投资 近期，国内黄金价格持续攀升，多家珠宝品牌的金饰价格已逼近每克1000元大关，创下历史新高。这一 波金价上涨主要受国际金价走高、市场避险情绪升温以及国内消费需求增加等因素影响。面对高昂的金 价，消费者观望情绪浓厚，部分投资者则选择逢高套现。 多重因素推高金价 此轮金价上涨主要受以下因素影响： 国际金价走高：美联储降息预期增强，美元走弱，推动国际黄金价格突破2400美元/盎司，带动国内金 价跟涨。 避险需求增加：全球经济不确定性加剧，部分投资者转向黄金以规避风险。 国内消费需求旺盛：尽管价格高企，但黄金作为传统保值资产，仍受消费者青睐，尤其在婚庆、节日期 间需求旺盛。 对于金价未来走势，市场观点不一。部分分析师认为，若美联储如期降息，金价可能继续上行；但也有 机构提醒，短期 ...

国内金饰价格跟随国际金价上涨，部分足金饰品价格破千元 金十数据4月12日讯，截至4月12日，周生生足金饰品价格报1002元/克，前一日为991元/克；老庙足金饰品价格为988元/克，前 一日为983元/克；周大福足金（饰品、工艺品类）价格保持在990元/克不变。 @ 来源 日 网 菜百首饰足金999饰品 950 元/克 Black 990 元/克 潮宏基足金(首饰摆件) 990 元/克 金至尊足金999 全年尊 @ JIN10.COM 金十数据 | 一个交易工具 ...

昨天，发生了哪些财经大事？ 李嘉诚 旗下长和突然公告 3月31日早上，李嘉诚旗下长和在港交所公告称，董事会知悉最近与可能分拆本公司全球电讯资 产及业务有关的若干媒体报道。 本集团不时接获建议并探索及评估可供考虑之机会，藉以提升股东的长远价值，包括与本公司全 球电讯业务之资产及运营相关的可能交易（包括分拆上市）。 于本公告日期，董事会未有就本公司全球电讯业务有关的任何交易作出决定。 本公司股东及潜在投资者谨请注意，目前并不确定是否将会进行任何交易。 三桶油合计日赚近10亿 3月30日晚间，中国石油（601857.SH，股价8.08元，市值14788.1亿元）披露2024年年报，按照 国际财务报告会计准则，报告期内公司实现营业收入2.9万亿元；归属于母公司股东净利润1646.8 亿元，同比增长2.0%，再创历史新高。截至报告期末，中国石油自由现金流1043.5亿元，连续三 年超过1000亿元。 在业绩创下新高的同时，中国石油的股东回报也达到新高。为积极回报股东，中国石油董事会建 议派发2024年末期股息每股0.25元，期末总派息额约457.55亿元。全年股息每股0.47元，派息率 52.2%，总派息额约860.2 ...

编者按： "现在开金店，不如摆摊"，为及时止损，张雪把经营三年的黄金店关掉了。至 此，她家经营的9家门店，已经关掉了8家。 张雪倒闭的门店刚开业时 图源/受访者提供 张雪家里已经做珠宝生意20多年，父母从最开始的打金店，到现在的品牌专卖店，在线下陆续开了9家金店，加盟了周六福、中国黄金等品牌。她回 忆，在疫情时有门店业绩很差，关闭了几家，余下的门店熬过了疫情，但从2023年下半年开始，业绩大幅下滑，2024年的五一和国庆节，更是经历了 黄金行业20多年来最惨淡的黄金周，"业绩只有往年的四分之一"。张雪说，2024年国庆节后，一整天，店里就入账了200块，房租都付不起。 2024年下半年关到只剩两家门店，地下商场的这家，是近期关的最后一家，现在，张雪手里还只剩一家金店没关。 国内金价上涨，牵动大众的神经，黄金店主却高兴不起来。黄金作为价格越来 越高的商品，消费者持续观望，让销售额大幅下滑，同时，金价上涨又推高了 门店的进货成本，增加金店经营压力。月亏损成为常态，迫于经营压力，近 年，多家品牌黄金店纷纷关闭。 来源｜极速财讯 01 金店一天收入200块，连房租都付不起 金店还能倒闭？面对外界的质疑，黄金加盟店老板 ...