Core Viewpoint - Silver prices have reached over $43.50 per ounce, marking the highest level since August 2011, driven by supply-demand imbalances and shifts in investment preferences [1] Group 1: Silver Price Dynamics - Silver's price increase is attributed to a significant supply-demand gap, estimated at approximately 4,000 tons, where global silver production is less than consumption [5] - The gold-silver ratio has attracted funds from gold to silver, as the ratio reached historical highs, indicating that silver is undervalued [5] - The historical average of the gold-silver ratio is between 60-80, currently sitting between 80-90, suggesting that the ratio remains relatively high [7] Group 2: Silver Demand Composition - According to the World Silver Association, the demand for silver in 2024 is projected to be distributed as follows: 58% for industrial use, 18% for jewelry, and 16% for investment [3]

黄金再度开启狂飙模式。北京时间9月23日9点45分，COMEX黄金续刷历史新高，盘中逼近3800美元/盎司的历史高点。至此，COMEX黄金年内涨幅已达 43.72%。 | COMEX黄金 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | GCOOY 延 ▼ | | | | | 3781.2 最高 3792.3 37 | 3795.1 最低 | | 377 | | 总手 25173 持仓 40.25万 日增 17.2 0.46% | | | 94 | | 结算 昨结 3775.1 | | | ਜ਼ਿ | | 分时 五日 HK 周K 月Ｋ | | 更多, | | | 均价: 3784.4 最新: 3792.3 17.2 0.46% | | | | | 3795.1 | 0.53% 卖1 3792.5 | | | | | 买1 | 3792.2 | | | | 时 | | 价 | | | | 21:47 3792.7 | | | | | 21:47 3792.7 | | | | | 21:47 3792.6J | | | | | 21:47 3792.5V | | | | | 21:47 37 ...

Group 1: Market Performance - On September 22, silver experienced significant gains, with SHFE silver reaching a maximum increase of 4% during the day, closing at a 3.81% increase, marking a year-to-date rise of 36.27% at 10,317 yuan/kg [1] - In the international market, London silver saw a fluctuation of around 1.4%, priced at $43.68/oz, with a year-to-date increase exceeding 51%, outpacing London gold's 41% increase by 10 percentage points [1] - The precious metals sector in the A-share market also performed well, with the sector rising by 6.18%, significantly leading other sectors, and individual stocks like Hunan Silver, Zhongjin Gold, and Xiaocheng Technology each rising over 9% [1] Group 2: Silver's Price Dynamics - The recent surge in silver prices surpassing gold is attributed to the gold-silver ratio indicating a significant room for silver's price increase, currently around 85:1, compared to a historical average of 55:1 to 60:1 [2] - The high gold-silver ratio suggests that silver is historically undervalued relative to gold, and as the gold bull market is confirmed, market funds are likely to seek more cost-effective investment options, leading to a "catch-up" rally for silver [2] Group 3: Industrial Demand and Supply Constraints - Silver's industrial applications, particularly in clean energy technologies like solar panels, have contributed to its demand, leading to a projected fifth consecutive year of supply shortages in the silver market [3] - The influx of investors into silver-backed ETFs has resulted in a continuous increase in holdings, causing a decline in freely available silver stocks in London, further tightening market supply [3] - The expectation of continued interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve is seen as a driving factor for both gold and silver bull markets, with projections for international silver to potentially reach $50/oz and domestic silver to break through the 11,500 to 12,000 yuan/kg range [3]

相对于黄金，一些分析师认为白银可能被低估了，后者可能有更大的上升空间。 汇丰银行贵金属分析师James Steel在上个月的一份报告中写道，"黄金价格上涨吸引了白银的购买，这些购买者可能是那些尚未充分利用黄金上涨的投资 者。" AI播客：换个方式听新闻 下载mp3 音频由扣子空间生成 周一亚盘，现货白银突破前高，站上43.50美元/盎司上方，创2011年8月以来新高，现货黄金则徘徊在历史高位附近，投资者正等待美联储官员的一系列讲话 和本周出炉的通胀数据。 今年白银价格已飙升50%，达到2011年以来的最高水平，2025年金价也上涨近40%，有望实现自1979年以来的最佳年度表现。 今年全球贸易格局发生调整，美联储独立性面临威胁，美元走弱，投资者纷纷涌入黄金和白银市场。白银也是半导体的关键成分。Rosenberg Research的 David Rosenberg最近写道，"在我的个人账户里，我刚刚买了一大堆金银条。" Gabelli gold基金的投资组合联席经理Chris Mancini说，随着金价走高，可能会有更多散户投资者被白银吸引。《捕熊陷阱报告》（Bear Trap Report）在9月 12日表示 ...

本文由 AI算法生成，仅作参考，不涉投资建议，使用风险自担 【TM奥义前瞻：黄金多头强势，白银单边行情或爆发】黄金强势突破空头云，某一阻力成为关键考 验。白银更强突破即将到来，金银比回落暗示白银潜力巨大。此外，英镑破位下跌，原油空头压制持 续，各资产基于订单流存在关键位。 ...

海通期货研报表示，在黄金涨势暂缓的背景下，白银价格开始补涨，表明当前全球市场风险偏好较高。 虽然美国8月非农就业数据大幅低于预期，劳动力市场需求持续走弱，但美联储降息交易逻辑使得市场 避险需求并未显著提升。美国8月核心CPI同比上升3.1%，环比上升0.3%，均持平预期和前值。鉴于核 心CPI未超预期，美联储年内降息预期进一步提升。 海通期货判断，后续来看，若市场维持风险偏好较高的状态，白银表现将强于黄金，金银比延续向下趋 势。 上证报中国证券网讯（记者 费天元）近期，全球白银价格持续上涨，上期所白银期货主力合约突破万 元大关，9月15日早盘最高触及10075元/千克，续创历史新高。 ...

本文由 AI算法生成，仅作参考，不涉投资建议，使用风险自担 【美国8月CPI创新高，初请失业金人数激增，白银短期偏强运行】国际上，美国8月未季调CPI年率达 2.9%，是1月以来新高。美国至9月6日当周初请失业金人数激增至26.3万人，为近四年高位。国内处于 政策暂时真空期。 分析师认为，短期宏观不确定性仍较强，周五建议求稳，观望市场情绪企稳，轻仓 过周末。 白银方面，美国近期数据走弱，提升市场对美联储后续降息预期，贵金属短期偏强运行。 亚 盘时段，白银获资金面支持，积极上破一万大关，达成一个月前预期目标。 后市来看，金银比仍处历 史相对高位，白银工业属性潜力未充分释放，中长线看好白银补涨机会，短线顺势参与需留意其波动 率。 ...

Market Overview - On September 12, the domestic futures market saw mixed results, with the main contracts showing varied performance. Notably, silver rose over 2%, while the shipping index for Europe fell over 5%, and low-sulfur fuel oil dropped more than 3%. Additionally, crude oil, fuel, and asphalt all declined by over 2% [2]. Silver Market Analysis - Analysts from Everbright Futures attribute the recent rise in silver prices to the U.S. August Consumer Price Index (CPI) which remained at 2.9%, aligning with expectations and showing a slight increase from the previous value of 2.7%. The core CPI also matched expectations at 3.1% year-on-year and 0.3% month-on-month [4]. - The market is reacting to the low inflation environment and disappointing employment data, which may lead to more frequent or larger interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. The initial jobless claims for the week ending September 6 reached 263,000, the highest since October 2021, significantly exceeding the market expectation of 235,000 [4]. - The gold-silver ratio has decreased to approximately 87.5, indicating a potential rebound in silver prices as it aligns with expectations. However, there is a noted decline in market positions following silver's price surpassing 10,000, suggesting caution against chasing high prices [4].

金银新高之路：本轮突破后的持续性展望 20250908 摘要 美联储降息预期及就业数据恶化推动贵金属上涨，但需关注数据平滑处 理对市场判断的影响。预计 2026 年重新编转后的数据将更清晰地揭示 就业问题，加大降息预期。 美元汇率因降息预期下跌，但欧洲市场疲软可能部分抵消影响，总体对 人民币有利。人民币兑美元汇率在 2025 年后半程仍存在利多因素，人 民币黄金相对弱势但仍有上涨空间。 短期内贵金属价格稳重，黄金尤为突出，衰退阶段或有回调但整体趋势 向上。黄金资金流健康，无快速回调风险，后市可看高。白银上涨突破 前期高点，但缺乏海外资金流入，主要受现货需求推动。 COMEX 黄金目标价位在 3,685 美元附近，伦敦金在 3,680 美元左右。 黄金上涨趋势健康，若不出现快速拉升，市场波动率将维持在合理范围 内。目前市场量能结构良好，有利于贵金属价格向上拓展。 世界黄金协会计划 2026 年发布链上黄金资产，以伦敦交易所库存为抵 押，降低交易成本，实现数字化黄金。此举将巩固伦敦现货交易所地位， 并可能影响美元信用及美债需求。 白银定价权受工业和金融属性交织影响，技术上看可能进入大三浪最后 一个子浪，有望达到 ...

她认为，即使在黄金目前的价位，投资者也不会因"恐高"而退缩，而当投资者开始逢高买入时，就会出 现向上的抛物线走势。 分析师们普遍认为，黄金自上周起的强势行情与美联储的货币政策转变有关。Schneider进一步解释称， 鲍威尔向市场表明，他并不太担心通胀率回落至2%，他现在更关注经济放缓和劳动力市场。 过去几个月，黄金价格一直在3200美元/盎司至3400美元/盎司之间盘整，导致很多投资者对该市场感到 沮丧。但最近，金价突破上档阻力，屡创新高。 分析师指出，黄金盘整阶段的持续时间越长，突破的势头就越强劲，而现在就是有效突破的时机。 MarketGauge首席策略师Michele Schneider上周就预测黄金即将突破3500美元，并指出目标价在3800美 元至4000美元是合理的，然后市场会出现一些获利回吐。 而这一变化意味着美联储不再关注通胀，反而加剧了人们对美元购买力的担忧。她指出，全球投资者和 主权国家似乎正在对美元失去信心，转而青睐黄金，这将重塑其作为世界货币的地位。 一边倒的行情 周三，黄金继续强势上涨，刷新历史新高至3616美元，目前纽约金现货价格在3606美元左右。这一波行 情除了美联储的降息概 ...