Group 1 - The core point of the article is that the non-banking financial companies (NBFCs) in India are projected to see their total bad loan ratio decrease to 3% by March 2025 [1] Group 2 - This reduction in bad loan ratio indicates an improvement in asset quality for the NBFC sector [1] - The decline in bad loans is significant for the overall financial stability and growth prospects of the Indian economy [1] - The performance of NBFCs is crucial as they play a vital role in providing credit to various sectors, especially in the context of India's economic recovery [1]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong non-bank ETF (513750) has seen significant investor interest, with its latest scale surpassing 5 billion yuan, marking a historical high [1] - The ETF has recorded a net inflow of 715 million yuan over the past five trading days, with a single-day peak net inflow of 384 million yuan, indicating strong demand for the non-bank financial sector in Hong Kong [1] - The ETF tracks the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Non-Bank Financial Theme Index, which focuses on leading non-bank financial companies in Hong Kong, with a high weight of 63.1% in the insurance sector [1] Group 2 - The Hong Kong non-bank ETF (513750) is the first and only ETF tracking the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Non-Bank Financial Theme Index, benefiting from its rarity and strong return capabilities [2] - As of July 8, the ETF has achieved a one-year net value growth rate of 74.3%, ranking in the top 2 among 2402 passive index funds [2] - Major brokerage firms, such as China Merchants Securities, express optimism about the current allocation value of the Hong Kong non-bank sector, highlighting the positive impact of related policies on insurance companies and securities firms [2]

行 业 及 产 业 非银金融 2025 年 07 月 06 日 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 相关研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 研究支持 金黎丹 A0230525060004 jinld@swsresearch.com 联系人 罗钻辉 (8621)23297818× luozh@swsresearch.com 关注非银中报业绩对估值的催化 看好 —— 非银金融行业周报（2025/6/30-2025/7/6） 本期投资提示： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 罗钻辉 A0230523090004 luozh@swsresearch.com 孙冀齐 A0230523110001 sunjq@swsresearch.com 冉兆邦 A0230524090003 ranzb@swsresearch.com - ⚫ 保险：本周申万保险 II 指数收跌 0.27%，跑输沪深 300 指数 1.81pct。 2Q25 资本市场表现稳健，建议关注部分险企业绩表现超预期带来的估值提振。2Q25 沪深 300 指数/中证红利指数/中证 800 收涨 1. ...

丨证券研究报告丨 吴一凡 谢宇尘 盛晓双 行业研究丨行业周报丨投资银行业与经纪业 [Table_Title] 回调后可积极配置，关注绩优权重及优质红 马 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 本周板块调整回落。政策端证监会召开扩大会议，研究部署资本市场贯彻落实具体举措，券商方面估值和 机构持仓位于低位，交易量维持高位，投行和海外业务环比改善，中报有望延续高景气，继续看好板块机 会；保险方面当前估值隐含市场对长期投资的悲观假设，考虑中远期利差水平，当前估值仍安全，看好集 中度和负债成本改善。从盈利和分红的稳定性维度出发，推荐江苏金租、中国平安及中国财险。综合业绩 弹性及估值分位，推荐新华保险、中国人寿、香港交易所、中信证券、东方财富、同花顺、九方智投控股。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC：S0490519080007 SAC：S0490521020001 SFC：BUV596 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 投资银行业与经纪业 cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title 回调后可积极配置，关注绩优权重及优质红马 2] ...

证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·非银金融 非银金融行业跟踪周报 继续看好保险股估值修复；期待非银中报较 好表现 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 2025 年 07 月 06 日 证券分析师 孙婷 东吴证券研究所 1 / 15 执业证书：S0600524120001 sunt@dwzq.com.cn 研究助理 罗宇康 执业证书：S0600123090002 luoyk@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -7% 1% 9% 17% 25% 33% 41% 49% 57% 65% 2024/7/8 2024/11/5 2025/3/5 2025/7/3 非银金融 沪深300 相关研究 《权益 ETF 系列：行情轮动较快，存 在结构性机会》 2025-07-06 《2025 年 7 月大类资产配置展望》 2025-07-03 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 非银行金融子行业近期表现：最近 5 个交易日（2025 年 06 月 30 日-2025 年 07 月 04 日）非银金融板块各子行业中仅保险行业跑赢沪深 300 指 数。保险行业上涨 1.73%，证券行业下跌 0 ...

Core Viewpoint - The non-bank financial sector in Hong Kong is experiencing mixed performance, with the non-bank financial ETF showing significant growth over the past year and recent inflows indicating strong investor interest [1][2]. Group 1: ETF Performance - As of July 3, 2025, the non-bank financial ETF has seen a net value increase of 66.53% over the past year, ranking 54 out of 2897 index stock funds, placing it in the top 1.86% [2]. - The ETF has recorded a maximum single-month return of 31.47% since its inception, with the longest consecutive monthly gains being four months and a total increase of 38.25% during that period [2]. - The ETF's average monthly return during up months is 7.04%, with a historical one-year holding profit probability of 100% [2]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The non-bank financial theme index includes up to 50 listed companies selected from the Hong Kong Stock Connect, reflecting the overall performance of non-bank financial companies within this scope [2][4]. - The top ten weighted stocks in the index account for 77.92% of its total weight, with major contributors being China Ping An, AIA, and Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing, each exceeding 14% [3]. - Recent market trends indicate a recovery in risk appetite, with the non-bank financial sector showing better performance compared to other high-dividend sectors [3]. Group 3: Investment Recommendations - Analysts recommend focusing on insurance stocks with stable fundamentals and beta elasticity, highlighting the ongoing strong demand for household savings and the potential for steady performance in 2025 [4]. - The securities sector is advised to be monitored for firms with balanced business structures and resilience, benefiting from ongoing capital market reforms [4]. - The non-bank financial ETF is noted as the first and only ETF tracking the non-bank index, providing unique investment opportunities without QDII quota restrictions [4].

国泰海通：7月底之前股市仍有上升空间 A股三大股指开盘涨跌不一，沪指涨0.01%，创业板指跌0.36%。盘面上，风电设备、港口航运、统一大 市场等板块涨幅居前。 机构看后市 招商证券：7月指数或突破上行 招商证券认为，展望7月，市场可能会呈现指数突破上行，科技非银等进攻性板块占优的格局。从基本 面的角度来看，财政指数的发力和消费的韧性，使得二季度总需求增速进一步边际改善，使得即将到来 的中报业绩期，在科技、消费、中游制造领域均存在业绩边际改善的可能，半年报披露窗口期成为A股 有利的上行动力。风格方面，从当前景气趋势和产业趋势来看，7月科技风格占优的可能性较大。具体 而言，7月市场风格可能整体偏大盘风格为主，成长价值或相对均衡。 本文转载自腾讯自选股，智通财经编辑：陈雯芳。 国泰海通证券认为，展望后市，随着关键点位突破，股指仍有空间。可淡化指数，重视成长。2025年中 国股市估值逻辑在内不在外，根本动力来自中国产业创新的不断涌现与股市贴现率的系统性降低，推动 增量入市。外部局势的缓和，更强化了内部确定性逻辑的延展。因此，判断7月底之前股市仍有上升空 间。行业方面，金融股的行情还没有结束，短期重点在新技术趋势/新 ...

Group 1 - The current Hong Kong stock market has abundant liquidity, with a focus on the upward elasticity of the non-bank sector [1] - Since June, the Hong Kong stock market has shown recovery, with the Hang Seng Index up by 4.27% and the Hang Seng Tech Index up by 3.31%, outperforming the MSCI World Index which increased by 3.77% [1] - As of June 27, the overall market capitalization of Hong Kong stocks reached HKD 42.84 trillion, an increase of 6.31% compared to the end of May [1] Group 2 - Trading activity in the Hong Kong stock market has increased, with an average daily turnover (ADT) of HKD 229.44 billion, up by 9.12% month-on-month [1] - Southbound capital's ADT increased by 27.16%, accounting for 26.18% of the total turnover [1] - The trading volume of derivatives has also risen, with futures average daily volume (ADV) at 58,000 contracts, up by 6.30%, and options ADV at 82,000 contracts, up by 11.53% [1] Group 3 - The HIBOR rate has risen again since June, with the 6-month HIBOR reaching 2.38% as of June 27, an increase of 0.22 percentage points month-on-month, and a decrease of 4.2 percentage points year-to-date [1] - With HIBOR remaining high, the investment income of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange is expected to continue to rise [1] Group 4 - The Hong Kong Stock Connect 50 ETF tracks the Hong Kong Stock Connect 50 Index, which is compiled by China Securities Index Co., Ltd., selecting 50 large-cap stocks with good liquidity under the Stock Connect mechanism [1] - The index is calculated using a free-float market capitalization weighting method and sets a 10% weight limit for individual constituent stocks, reflecting the overall market performance of large-cap stocks in Hong Kong [2]

Core Viewpoint - The payment industry in China is undergoing significant changes, with over 30 payment institutions updating their license-related information in 2023, driven by new regulations, market competition, and personnel changes [1][4]. Group 1: Changes in Payment Institutions - Several payment institutions have undergone changes in their legal representatives, company names, and business locations, including Kuaiqian Payment, which changed its legal representative from Fu Zhixiao to Zhang Yi [2][3]. - Kuaiqian Payment, established in 2004 and a pioneer in third-party payment, has seen a reduction in its business types over the years, now focusing on "Stored Value Account Operation I" and "Payment Transaction Processing I" as of June 30, 2025 [2]. Group 2: Industry Trends and Adjustments - The adjustments in the payment industry are attributed to the implementation of the "Non-Bank Payment Institution Supervision and Management Regulations," leading to strategic realignments among payment institutions towards high-quality development [5]. - The competitive landscape is expected to intensify, with larger institutions focusing on comprehensive ecosystems centered around payment services, while smaller institutions must innovate and differentiate themselves through technology upgrades and market positioning [5].

宏观研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 【宏观快评】 看股做债，不是看债做股 核心观点 1、宏观资配研判的时候，辨析股债关系是极其重要的: 当居民存款搬家为流动性主要矛盾的时候，股债交易大的逻辑是看股做债带来 的股债跷跷板——股票表达风险偏好➡风险偏好带动居民存款搬家➡居民存 款搬家带动非银存款提升➡非银存款存在脉冲性➡央行对冲空转的警惕➡银 行间资金易紧➡债券下跌； 当央行货币宽松为流动性主要矛盾的时候，股债交易大的逻辑是看债做股带来 的股债双牛——央行大幅宽松➡银行间充裕带来非银存款提升➡无风险利率 下行+非银存款提升➡股票估值与增量资金双击。 2、虽然本轮非银流动性的增长规模接近 2014年~2015年，但与2014~2015年 货币宽松主导流动性改善显著不同，本轮流动性改善的主逻辑是居民存款搬 家。因此大的宏观交易逻辑上，我们认为本轮更倾向于看股做债的股债跷跷板 逻辑，而非看债做股的股债双牛逻辑。 3、值得注意的是，与过往流动性宽松相比，本轮居民存款搬家也存在特殊性： 第一特殊，居民存款配置难回地产，客观面临资产荒，涌动力量更强。 第二特殊，自上而下"稳股市"政策助力资本市场，一定程度上限制了股票市 场风险 ...